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新手养基第一步 关掉你的基金超市
雪球· 2025-12-12 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the pitfalls of having an excessive number of funds in an investment portfolio, likening it to running a supermarket, which can lead to false diversification and management difficulties [6][17]. Group 1: Reasons for Excessive Fund Holdings - Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) drives investors to buy into new concepts and themes, leading to an overwhelming number of funds [9]. - Misunderstanding the principle of diversification results in investors believing that holding more funds inherently reduces risk [11]. - Decision paralysis occurs when investors are overwhelmed by choices, leading them to buy multiple funds without a clear strategy [13]. Group 2: Problems with Excessive Fund Holdings - False Diversification: Holding many funds does not guarantee risk diversification, as many funds may share the same underlying assets [18]. - Management Overload: Monitoring numerous funds can be time-consuming and impractical, making it difficult to analyze performance and make informed decisions [22]. Group 3: Steps to Optimize Fund Holdings - Step 1: Define a portfolio structure based on individual risk tolerance and investment goals, including allocations to different types of funds [27][30][34]. - Step 2: Tag each fund according to its category to gain clarity on the portfolio composition [37]. - Step 3: Consolidate similar funds by evaluating them based on performance, drawdown history, fund size, fee structure, and manager experience [41][45][49]. Group 4: Tools and Recommendations - The article suggests using fund comparison tools available in various apps to facilitate the selection process and streamline decision-making [50]. - It introduces a three-part asset allocation tool that helps investors avoid common pitfalls by providing a structured framework for fund selection and management [65][66].
多晶硅期货破6万!多头诛杀空头,光伏高管每人赚了几千万!这是一个怎样的资本局?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-04 20:47
总之,多晶硅空头已被彻底打爆——再有7个交易日,他们将彻底认输出局。虽然多晶硅现货只有5.2 万/吨,但市场上能够买得到的硅料,并不可以作为交割品,所以他们没有实物可以拿来交割。硅料价 格今后虽然未必能涨到8万,但多晶硅期货的价格完全有可能。 对于那些认为多晶硅期货价格终归要回归到接近现货价格的空头们来说,这是一个悲伤的故事,也是一 个为"认知"买单的故事。这个局相当复杂,就像历史上那些经典的商品期货多空大战一样,充满着谋划 与设计,猎杀与爆仓。现在回头看,多晶硅期货与反内卷、去产能或许没有任何关系,虽然在表象上, 多晶硅期货似乎给了这场反内卷以一个光伏产品涨上来的交代。而实际上,这就是一场彻头彻尾的金融 衍生品游戏。在这场零和博弈中,一些机构和一些个人赚得盆满钵满,当然他们的对手盘被洗劫一空, 倾家荡产。 以PS2512合约计算,如果在6月25日开始做多并持有至12月3日,纯价格收益率为87.7%,保证金交易的 收益率则高达877%!当然,对于那些充分掌握游戏规则、以及能够提前准确预判相关信息的人来说, 波段操作的收益,绝对不止八九倍——这仅仅需要不到半年时间。 12月3日,InfoLink周报公布的多晶硅 ...
机构观点:黄金高位暴跌后险守4000大关,牛市是否已逆转?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-10-22 06:49
Group 1 - The recent pullback in spot gold is attributed to profit-taking behavior, as algorithmic trading has ceased to chase higher prices [1] - The previous surge in gold prices led to excessive "FOMO" (fear of missing out), with small flash crashes potentially indicating larger volatility ahead [2] - Factors such as the anticipated end of the U.S. government shutdown may drive the gold market to consolidate in the next 2 to 3 weeks [3] - The largest decline in gold prices in a decade may be due to structural issues in holdings and a natural adjustment after nine consecutive weeks of increases [4] - Despite the recent pullback, there is an expectation for gold prices to rise further, as traders view any price drop as a buying opportunity [5] - Extreme daily fluctuations in gold prices suggest a bearish outlook, indicating that the primary bull market may be nearing its peak [6] - It is premature to declare the end of the gold bull market; the recent pullback is natural, and investors who missed the rally may soon enter the market to buy the dip, helping to stabilize sell-offs [7] - The absence of CFTC position data during the U.S. government shutdown has made it easier for speculators to build large positions in one direction, increasing market vulnerability, though underlying buying may limit declines [8] Group 2 - The current market perception of gold as an asset class is shifting, with investors viewing it as a scarce asset amid the rise of "currency devaluation" trades on Wall Street [9]
别人牛市都赚麻了,为什么我的账户还在装死?
雪球· 2025-08-18 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the common concerns of investors during a bull market, particularly regarding the performance of their holdings and the need for alignment with their risk preferences [3][4]. Group 1: Portfolio Assessment - Investors should regularly review their portfolio structure to ensure it aligns with their true risk tolerance, especially during significant market changes [4]. - A mismatch between current market conditions and the investor's portfolio style can lead to underperformance, which is normal in a bull market [7][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors need to clarify their goals: whether they seek quick profits or stable long-term returns, as this will influence their decision to adjust their holdings [9]. - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a clear investment strategy and avoiding emotional trading, especially during volatile market conditions [10][14]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The article highlights that not all assets will rise during a bull market, and structural market conditions often dictate performance rather than a general uptrend [10][11]. - It is crucial for investors to remain calm and not be swayed by the performance of others, as this can lead to poor decision-making [10][12]. Group 4: Long-term Perspective - The focus should be on avoiding significant losses during bear markets rather than chasing short-term gains in bull markets [11]. - A well-diversified portfolio should be evaluated for its resilience and stability, rather than solely on immediate performance [13][14].