Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the common concerns of investors during a bull market, particularly regarding the performance of their holdings and the need for alignment with their risk preferences [3][4]. Group 1: Portfolio Assessment - Investors should regularly review their portfolio structure to ensure it aligns with their true risk tolerance, especially during significant market changes [4]. - A mismatch between current market conditions and the investor's portfolio style can lead to underperformance, which is normal in a bull market [7][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors need to clarify their goals: whether they seek quick profits or stable long-term returns, as this will influence their decision to adjust their holdings [9]. - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a clear investment strategy and avoiding emotional trading, especially during volatile market conditions [10][14]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The article highlights that not all assets will rise during a bull market, and structural market conditions often dictate performance rather than a general uptrend [10][11]. - It is crucial for investors to remain calm and not be swayed by the performance of others, as this can lead to poor decision-making [10][12]. Group 4: Long-term Perspective - The focus should be on avoiding significant losses during bear markets rather than chasing short-term gains in bull markets [11]. - A well-diversified portfolio should be evaluated for its resilience and stability, rather than solely on immediate performance [13][14].

大资管体系定位：固收产品的主要供给者、含权产品的重要供给者 信银理财总裁董文赜出席论坛，并在主论坛"大资管再造竞争力"圆桌环节参与讨论。他表示，信银理财 上半年根据客户需求，持续加大固收产品供给，积极推进含权产品创设，取得了较好效果；下阶段会通 过体系化建设，更加精准匹配客户需求、优化产品布局，不断提升产品全过程的组合管理能力。 董文赜进一步指出，理财公司可以定位为固收产品的主要供给者、含权产品的重要供给者。他希望理财 行业持续打通资本市场堵点，逐步提升多策略多资产投研能力，为全行业高质量发展筑牢根基。 上半年多维布局，强化全体系建设 董文赜首先介绍了信银理财今年以来的相关情况。截至6月底，信银理财服务客群数量达 2500万人， 2025年上半年累计为客户创造投资收益 235亿元，跑赢了大市；产品规模实现合理增长，产品结构进一 步优化，中长期限产品规模突破7000亿元，占比超 30%，既为投资管理提供了充足空间，也有效引导 投资者树立长期主义理念。 投研能力建设上，信银理财在巩固传统固收投研体系优势的基础上，持续加大多策略、多资产配置体系 的建设力度。其中，"固收 +"等含权产品6月末规模已突破 2000亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing importance of trading ability in bond investment as the market transitions into a low-interest-rate environment and the era of credit expansion comes to an end [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Framework Characteristics - The investment framework of Chen Sixing is characterized by a strong ability to judge investor behavior and sentiment, utilizing trading spreads to gauge market emotions [3][16]. - Chen identifies a single main contradiction in the market at each stage, which is crucial for refined trading strategies [3][18]. - The framework includes flexible portfolio management, adjusting bond duration exposure based on the characteristics of equity assets [3][35]. Group 2: Career Development and Learning - Over 15 years, Chen has developed her investment philosophy through various roles, learning to balance profit maximization with risk management across different investment types [6][11]. - The transition from proprietary trading to pension fund investment allowed her to establish a macroeconomic cycle and asset allocation system [9][10]. - Joining Huatai Fund introduced the necessity of managing liabilities and liquidity constraints in investment decisions [10][11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trading Strategies - The bond market has shifted from being influenced by macroeconomic data to being driven by micro-level factors such as trading structures and investor behavior [13][14]. - Chen's investment framework has evolved to incorporate a micro-level database for assessing investor sentiment, moving beyond traditional macroeconomic indicators [14][30]. - The identification of the main contradiction in the market is essential for forming effective trading strategies, with a focus on the most impactful data at any given time [19][20][30]. Group 4: Portfolio Management and Risk Control - The management of bond portfolios requires an understanding of the correlation between equity styles and bond performance, leading to differentiated management strategies [32][35]. - Chen emphasizes the importance of adjusting bond positions based on the performance of equity assets, particularly during periods of market volatility [36][37]. - The team at Huatai Fund operates with a specialized division of labor, enhancing collaboration and efficiency in investment strategies [39][41]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The outlook for bond assets remains optimistic, with expectations of continued downward pressure on interest rates, although the absolute returns may be lower due to increased market volatility [44][45]. - The market is currently in a phase of re-evaluating lower funding costs, with future directions uncertain until new signals emerge [45].

Group 1: Consumption Trends - Consumption has led the market since April and year-to-date, with personal care products, animal health, feed, snacks, and cosmetics showing the highest gains[1] - Recommended consumption sectors include apparel, automobiles (including two-wheeled electric vehicles), retail, food, beauty care, aquaculture, feed, and snacks since the Spring Strategy Outlook on February 12[1] Group 2: Fiscal Impact on Consumption - Retail sales growth is highly elastic to fiscal spending cycles, with elasticity increasing during fiscal expansion periods[2] - The expected fiscal deficit rate for 2025 is around 4%, up from approximately 3% in 2024, indicating a significant increase in central government spending[21] - Local government debt pressures have historically suppressed consumption, but debt relief efforts are expected to drive internal recovery in consumption, particularly in high-debt provinces[2] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy suggests focusing on domestic consumption sectors, technology growth, cost improvement drivers, and structural opportunities abroad[32] - Recommended sectors include domestic consumption (apparel, automobiles, retail, food, beauty care), technology (AI, robotics, semiconductors), and cost-driven sectors (aquaculture, energy metals)[32]