证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 电力 迎峰度夏有望提振电力需求，新型电力系统试点解决新能源消纳 本周行情回顾：本周（6.3-6.6）上证指数报收 3385.36 点，上涨 1.13%，沪 深 300 指数报收 3873.98 点，上涨 0.88%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2939.08 点，下跌 0.12%，跑输沪深 300 指数 1.00pct，位列 30 个中信一级 板块涨跌幅榜第 25 位。 本周行业观点： ➢ 新型电力系统建设试点工作发布，算电协同、煤电改造等 7 大方向，有 望解决新能源消纳。6 月 4 日，国家能源局发布《关于组织开展新型电 力系统建设第一批试点工作的通知》，提出围绕算力与电力协同、大规 模高比例新能源外送、新一代煤电等七个方向开展试点工作。 在算电协同方面，提出重点在国家枢纽节点和青海、新疆、黑龙江等能 源资源条件好区域协同规划布局算力与电力项目，探索新能源就近供电、 聚合交易、就地消纳的"绿电聚合供应"模式，提高数据中心绿电占比； 通过算力负荷与新能源功率联合预测、算力负荷柔性控制、智能化调度 等技术，提升源荷协同水平 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the initiation of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on innovative technologies and models to enhance the integration and efficiency of renewable energy sources [1]. Group 1: Overall Requirements - The pilot projects will focus on seven key directions: grid-structured technology, system-friendly renewable power plants, smart microgrids, synergy between computing power and electricity, virtual power plants, large-scale high-proportion renewable energy delivery, and new-generation coal power [2]. - The approach will be tailored to local conditions, encouraging the adoption of new technologies and models while ensuring comprehensive management throughout the project lifecycle [2]. Group 2: Pilot Directions - **Grid-Structured Technology**: Aimed at areas with high renewable energy integration, this technology will address issues like reduced short-circuit capacity and enhance the stability of power supply [3]. - **System-Friendly Renewable Power Plants**: New or upgraded plants will improve system compatibility, with a target of increasing output reliability by over 10% during peak hours [4]. - **Smart Microgrids**: These will enhance self-regulation and balance capabilities, increasing the proportion of self-consumed renewable energy [5]. - **Synergy Between Computing Power and Electricity**: This involves planning for data centers' green electricity needs and optimizing the use of renewable resources [6]. - **Virtual Power Plants**: These will aggregate distributed energy resources to enhance flexibility and support renewable energy consumption [7]. - **Large-Scale High-Proportion Renewable Energy Delivery**: Focused on specific regions, this aims to improve the delivery of green electricity through advanced technologies [8]. - **New-Generation Coal Power**: This will promote cleaner and more efficient coal power generation, aligning with carbon reduction goals [9]. Group 3: Organization and Implementation - **Pilot Application**: Applications for pilot projects will be organized by provincial energy authorities or central enterprises, with a focus on feasibility and technical economics [10]. - **Pilot Review**: A third-party professional organization will evaluate applications based on established criteria, selecting projects for the first batch of pilots [11]. - **Project Implementation**: Local energy authorities and project units must adhere to the approved plans, with any significant changes requiring further approval [12]. Group 4: Support Policies - Supportive policies will be developed to facilitate pilot projects, including funding channels and prioritization of coal power projects that align with renewable energy initiatives [13]. - The results of the pilot projects will be integrated into the evaluation system for the new power system, influencing future assessments [14].

Group 1 - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on seven key areas including grid technology, system-friendly renewable energy plants, smart microgrids, and virtual power plants [1] - Emphasis is placed on the collaboration between computing power and electricity, particularly in regions with abundant energy resources, to enhance the green electricity supply for data centers and improve energy efficiency [1] - The new generation of coal power is encouraged to meet clean carbon reduction and efficient adjustment indicators, with pilot projects supported by favorable policy environments and funding channels [2] Group 2 - A recent meeting in Kunming highlighted the need for a unified national electricity market, addressing new challenges and tasks while promoting the continuous operation of electricity spot markets across provinces [3] - The meeting also focused on enhancing regulatory capabilities and implementing innovative digital supervision practices to ensure the stable operation of the electricity market [3]

答：您好，感谢您的关注与支持！ 证券代码：000690 证券简称：宝新能源 广东宝丽华新能源股份有限公司 投资者活动记录表 编号：2025-001 投资者关系 活动类别 □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 √业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □电话会议 □其他： （请文字说明其他活动内容） 参与单位名称 及人员姓名 深交所互动易平台"云访谈"栏目，面向全体投资者 时间 2025 年 5 月 19 日 地点 深交所互动易平台"云访谈"栏目线上交流 公司接待人员 姓名 董事长：邹锦开 董事、总经理：叶林 董事、董事会秘书、财务总监：江卓文 独立董事：吴世农 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 1.请问贵司怎样看待火电行业未来的发展前景？ 答：您好，感谢您的关注与支持！ 根据中电联关于全国电力供需形势的预测，预计2025年我国宏观经济将继 续保持平稳增长，全国全社会用电量10.4万亿千瓦时，同比增长6%左右。 国家能源局有关负责人在解读《新一代煤电升级专项行动实施方案（2025 —2027年）》时指出，需要立足基本国情，前瞻性谋划新一代煤电战略布 局，以新一代煤电技术作为新质生产力代表，推动煤电行业 ...

证券代码：000690 证券简称：宝新能源 广东宝丽华新能源股份有限公司 投资者活动记录表 答：您好，感谢您的关注与支持！ 公司重视煤炭成本控制，坚持以煤炭保供控价为目标，加强燃料管理，优 化组织货源。目前公司煤炭原材料由市场煤和长协煤构成，其中市场煤主 要为国内煤及进口煤。 5、公司能不能透露一下未来预期的分红比例，公司分红政策可持续吗？ | | □特定对象调研 编 | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | 1 □媒体采访 | √业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 | □路演活动 | | 活动类别 | □现场参观 | □电话会议 | | | □其他： （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 参与单位名称 | 深交所互动易平台"云访谈"栏目，面向全体投资者 | | | 及人员姓名 | | | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 月 19 日 | | | 地点 | 深交所互动易平台"云访谈"栏目线上交流 | | | 公司接待人员 | 董事长：邹锦开 董事、总经理：叶林 | | | 姓名 | 董事、董事会秘书、财务总监：江卓文 独立董事：吴世农 1.请问贵司怎样看待火电行业未 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 专业研究·创造价值 火电同比下滑，CEA 弱势运行 核心观点 根据上海环境能源交易所数据，截至到 2025 年 4 月 25 日，全国 碳市场碳排放配额(CEA)收盘价为 75.76 元/吨，较上月同期下跌 13.12%，较去年同期下跌 26.02%。近 30 个交易日内，全国碳排放配 额的平均成交量为 23.2 万吨，上期平均成交量为 11.9 万吨，可见 近期碳排放现货市场较为活跃，成交量均值月环比增加 11.3 万吨。 能源价格来看，截至 2025 年 4 月 27 日，秦皇岛港 5500K 报价 656 元/吨，较上月底偏低 11 元/吨，较去年底偏低 107 元/吨。动力 煤偏空因素堆积，年内价格重心持续下行，市场氛围较为悲观。 2024 年 1~12 月，全国天然气表观消费量累计 4234.65 亿立方 米，同比去年偏多 334.30 亿立方米；全国燃料油表观消费量累计 5199.42 万吨，同比去年偏少 1102.83 万吨；全国焦炭表观消费量累 计 48108.04 万吨，同比去年偏少 296.69 万吨。 电力方面，2025 年 3 月，全 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - In March, the total electricity consumption in the country increased by 4.8% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights that the State Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines to accelerate the development of virtual power plants, aiming for a national adjustment capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030 [4][44]. - The report notes a decline in average coal prices year-on-year, suggesting a favorable environment for thermal power companies [4][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of April 17, the Shenwan Utility Index fell by 1.0% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.3 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 Shenwan industries [11]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Utility Index has decreased by 3.0%, also outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.2 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 industries [11]. 2. Industry Valuation - As of April 17, the valuation of the Shenwan Utility sector is at 17.7 times earnings, below the one-year average [17]. - The sub-sector valuations include: - Photovoltaic power: 78.8 times - Hydropower: 20.5 times - Integrated energy services: 19.6 times - Wind power: 19.4 times - Thermal services: 18.3 times - Gas: 17.9 times - Thermal power: 12.5 times [17][18]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - As of April 17, the average price of Q6000 coal at the pit in Yulin, Shaanxi, was 614 yuan per ton, down 0.3% from the previous value [32]. - The average price of Q5500 coal at Qinhuangdao port was 667 yuan per ton, down 0.2% from the previous value [32]. 4. Key Industry News - The report mentions several important announcements, including the release of the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" by the State Development and Reform Commission [4][41]. - The report also highlights the issuance of 174 million green power certificates in March 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.39 times, with 82.26% being tradable [44]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on thermal power companies such as Huadian International (600027), Guodian Power (600795), and Hubei Energy (000883) due to their strong performance in the current market environment [42]. - In the gas sector, it recommends attention to companies like Xin'ao Co. (600803), Jiufeng Energy (605090), and New Natural Gas (603393) [42].