Core Viewpoint - The latest Vehicle Inventory Alert Index (VIA) for July 2025 indicates a slight decline in the automotive market's overall health, with a warning index of 57.2%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.6 percentage points month-on-month [2][3]. Inventory and Market Conditions - July marks a traditional off-season for the automotive market, influenced by the phased withdrawal of subsidy policies, reduced consumer financing rebates, and decreased promotional efforts from manufacturers. This has led to increased consumer hesitation, with 47.7% of dealers reporting a downward trend in the market, with declines exceeding 5% [3]. - Despite a demand pullback due to earlier sales surges, the market remains relatively active due to effective order digestion and summer tourism. However, extreme weather and manufacturers' summer breaks have contributed to a slight decrease in dealer inventory levels compared to the end of June [3]. - Dealers are facing challenges such as declining foot traffic, extended purchase decision cycles, and lower transaction rates, which are exacerbating inventory turnover and financial pressure [3]. Index Breakdown - In July, sub-indices for inventory, market demand, average daily sales, and employment all showed a month-on-month decline, while the operational status index increased [5]. - The national index stands at 57.2%, with regional indices showing variations: North at 60.5%, East at 59.8%, West at 52.9%, and South at 53.4% [6]. Brand Performance - The index for luxury and imported brands increased month-on-month, while the index for domestic brands saw a decline [9]. Future Market Outlook - The automotive market is expected to stabilize in August, with potential boosts from back-to-school purchasing and promotional events like the 818 shopping festival. Additionally, the government has allocated 69 billion yuan for the third batch of subsidies to support trade-in policies, with a fourth batch expected in October [11]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association advises dealers to realistically assess market demand and enhance promotion of trade-in and scrapping policies to boost consumer confidence while focusing on cost reduction and efficiency [11].

Group 1: Automotive Industry Overview - In June, China's automotive dealer inventory warning index was reported at 56.6%, a year-on-year decrease of 5.7 percentage points, but a month-on-month increase of 3.9 percentage points, indicating a decline in industry prosperity [1] - BYD reported sales of 382,585 new energy vehicles in June, with a cumulative sales figure of 2.15 million vehicles for the year [1] - Geely's June sales reached 236,036 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 42%, prompting the company to raise its annual sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million vehicles [1] - Great Wall Motors sold 110,700 vehicles in June, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.86% [1] - New energy vehicle startups showed significant growth, with Xpeng delivering 34,611 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 224% [1] Group 2: Company Developments - GAC Group announced that its first model in collaboration with Huawei is expected to be launched in 2026, focusing on the high-end market [4] - Li Auto's VP clarified that a fire incident involving a Li L7 vehicle was caused by burning debris from a hotel, and no injuries were reported [4] - Aich Automotive Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. has a new equity freeze of 1.5 billion RMB, with a three-year duration, as reported by the National Enterprise Credit Information Publicity System [5][6] Group 3: International Automotive Performance - South Korea's five major automakers reported a 0.2% year-on-year increase in global sales for June, totaling 691,507 vehicles [7] - Hyundai's global sales reached 358,891 vehicles, up 1.5% year-on-year, while Kia sold 269,652 vehicles, reflecting a 0.2% increase [7] Group 4: Financial Reporting Changes - Renault announced a change in the accounting method for its stake in Nissan, which will result in a non-cash loss of 9.5 billion euros, effective from June 30, 2025 [8]

Core Viewpoint - The latest Vehicle Inventory Alert Index (VIA) from the China Automobile Dealers Association indicates a slight decline in the automotive circulation industry's prosperity, with the index at 56.6% in June 2025, down 5.7 percentage points year-on-year but up 3.9 percentage points month-on-month [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - In June, automotive dealers aimed to meet half-year targets through promotions during the Dragon Boat Festival and "6.18" sales events, alongside increased family car purchases due to the end of the college entrance examination and summer travel [2]. - The total passenger car sales in June are expected to be around 2 million units, slightly exceeding expectations, despite rising dealer inventory levels due to the "price for volume" strategy [2]. - Only 27.5% of 4S stores met or exceeded their sales targets in the first half of the year, indicating significant pressure on most dealers, with a notable risk of inventory accumulation [2]. Group 2: Inventory and Demand Indicators - The inventory index for June has significantly increased, while market demand, average daily sales, and operational conditions indices have decreased, reflecting heightened market pressure [2]. - The national index stands at 56.6%, with regional indices showing variability: North at 60.2%, East at 54.9%, West at 62.7%, and South at 49.6% [3]. - The indices for luxury/imported, joint venture, and domestic brands have risen month-on-month, indicating varied performance across brand types [7]. Group 3: Future Market Outlook - The automotive market demand in July is expected to decline month-on-month due to demand exhaustion, adverse weather in some regions, and the traditional off-peak consumption season [9]. - Despite ongoing increases in manufacturer wholesale volumes, dealer inventory pressure is anticipated to worsen, although new vehicle launches and regional auto shows may help boost sales [9].

近日，中国汽车流通协会发布数据显示，2025年5月中国汽车经销商库存预警指数为52.7%，同比下降5.5个百分点，环比下降7.1个百分点。库 存预警指数位于荣枯线之上，汽车流通行业景气度有所改善。 中国汽车流通协会副秘书长樊宇表示，5月汽车市场呈现"前高后低"的状态，各地车展密集启动叠加"五一"假期效应，自驾游与结婚季等家庭购车需求 集中释放，推动终端客流显著冲高。整个市场价格波动幅度较大，部分消费者存在持续观望的状态，也在持续关注新车市场。 从分指数情况看，5月汽车经销商库存、从业人员分指数环比下降，市场需求、平均日销量、经营状况分指数环比上升。 5月有27.4%的经销商认为"下降"；认为成交率"基本持平"的比例为56.1%；认为"增长"的比例为16.6%。 5月51.6%的经销商认为"降价"；认为价格"基本持平"的比例为45.2%；认为"涨价"的比例为3.2%。 5月库存量基本持平。17.2%的经销商认为库存量"下降"；认为"基本持平"的比例为61.8%；认为"增长"比例为21.0%。 5月份汽车经销商库存系数呈现环比下降趋势。从库存预警和库存系数历史数据可以看出，两者变动方向和趋势具有一致性。 对于6月 ...

从分指数情况看： 5月库存、从业人员分指数环比下降，市场需求、平均日销量、 经营状况分指数环比上升。 点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1710 字，阅读全文约需 5 分钟 2025年5月30日，中国汽车流通协会发布的最新一期"中国汽车经销商库存预警指数调查"VIA（Vehicle Inventory Alert Index）显示，2025年5月中国汽车经销商 库存预警指数为52.7%，同比下降5.5个百分点，环比下降7.1个百分点。库存预警指数位于荣枯线之上，汽车流通行业景气度有所改善。 5月汽车市场呈现"前高后低"走势。各地车展密集启动叠加"五一"假期效应，自驾游与结婚季等家庭购车需求集中释放，推动终端客流显著冲高。同时，汽 车"以旧换新"政策与地方促消费措施持续发力，进一步激发消费热情。 从促销策略看，针对618购物节的备战已拉开序幕，调查显示有54.8%的4S店处于活动筹备阶段，19.1%已提前开启促销抢占先机，但仍有26.1%暂未推出618 相关购车优惠。 经销商门店客流提升刺激补库需求，但终端价格波动导致订单及成交周期延长，资金回笼缓慢加剧经营压力，叠加半年考核节点，经销商资金紧张与销量 ...

Core Insights - The latest "Vehicle Inventory Alert Index" (VIA) released by the China Automobile Dealers Association indicates that the inventory warning index for May 2025 is at 52.7%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.5 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 7.1 percentage points [1] Industry Summary - The inventory warning index is above the threshold line, suggesting an improvement in the automotive circulation industry's prosperity [1]

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1665 字，阅读全文约需 5 分钟 2025年4月30日，中国汽车流通协会发布的最新一期"中国汽车经销商库存预警指数调查"VIA（Vehicle Inventory Alert Index）显示，2025年4月中国汽车经销商库存预警指数为59.8%，同比上升0.4个百分点，环比 上升5.2个百分点。库存预警指数位于荣枯线之上，汽车流通行业处在不景气区间。 4月上旬，受北方农忙及南方部分地区风俗性大宗消费延迟影响，车市表现平淡。下旬上海国际车展召 开，大量新车待发。一方面为车市注入活力，另一方面也带来消费者短期观望。调查结果显示：45.9%的经销 商认为车展对终端销量推动作用有限，仅带来短期热度提升。新车密集发布与营销活动，吸引消费者到店，带 动订单转化率环比增长。然而，市场竞争加剧导致终端价格持续下行，消费者观望情绪蔓延，削弱了车展对短 期内成交的拉动作用。 调查还显示，58.2%的经销商表示4月销量下滑，其中38.4%的经销商认为降幅超5%，仅18.5%的认为销量 环比上升。整体来看，上海车展带来全社会对汽车品牌及新产品的关注，对车市销量的推动将在车展后逐步释 ...

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1615 字，阅读全文约需 5 分钟 2025年2月28日，中国汽车流通协会发布的最新一期"中国汽车经销商库存预警指数调查"VIA（Vehicle Inventory Alert Index）显示，2025年2月中国汽车经销商库存预警指数为56.9%，同比下降7.2个百分点，环比 下降5.4个百分点，库存预警指数位于荣枯线之上，汽车流通行业处在不景气区间。 2月车市有效销售天数较少，且春节前购车需求集中释放，透支影响较大，市场处于淡季调整阶段。今年 以旧换新政策发布和实施时间较早，对2月车市有一定推动作用。但节后多个厂家的降价和促销，以及3月多款 新车上市，导致消费者持币观望情绪较重。 经销商在春节前加大清库力度，并调整进车节奏，库存压力有所缓解；但由于2月市场需求不足，客流、 成交率下滑。部分车型依然价格倒挂严重，经销商销售收入难以弥补购车支出，现金流持续紧张，经营风险依 旧存在。 多家机构公布对2025年乘用车销量增幅预测，增幅预测集中在2%-5%。根据本次调查反馈，2025年汽车 经销商普遍面临更高的销量任务，30.5%的经销商年度任务量同比提升幅度超10%； ...