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销量数据持续改善 啤酒旺季表现可期(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 00:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that China's beer production in the first four months of 2025 has decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, totaling 11.44 million kiloliters [1] - In April 2025, beer production from large-scale enterprises reached 2.896 million kiloliters, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, suggesting a recovery in sales within the sector [2] - The introduction of dining consumption vouchers in cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou since October 2024, along with similar initiatives in Beijing, is expected to stimulate beer consumption and support a price recovery in the 6-8 yuan range [2] Group 2 - The beer industry is currently in the late stage of capital expenditure, with state-owned enterprises like Qingdao Beer having room for increased dividend payouts, while Chongqing Beer maintains a high dividend rate of around 100% [2] - Research from Dongfang Securities indicates that since March, the beer industry has seen accelerated volume growth, entering a peak stocking season, which aligns with previous forecasts [2] - Guotai Junan Securities reports that the beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season, with structural benefits and seasonal consumption opportunities expected to drive sales growth [3] Group 3 - Major beer brands are expanding into new channels such as Weima and Jiu Xiaoyi, which are expected to positively impact short-term sales and enhance brand momentum in the medium to long term [3] - The Hong Kong-listed beer companies include Budweiser APAC (01876), Qingdao Beer (600600) (00168), China Resources Beer (00291), and Beijing Enterprises (00392) [4]