3D 打印行业深度汇报：消费级需求方兴未艾，重点关注高 性价比 PLA 耗材 20250926 摘要 全球 3D 打印市场持续扩张，预计 2034 年市场规模将超 1,100 亿美元， 未来十年复合增长率达 18%，材料端增速或超 20%。2024 年市场规模 约为 219 亿美元，其中打印服务占比最高（46%），设备端占比 27%，材料端占比 20%，软件端占比最小（6%）。 消费级 3D 打印市场增长迅速，2020 年至 2024 年市场规模从 15 亿美 元增至 41 亿美元，年均复合增长率约 28%，预计未来五年将超过 30%。入门级消费级 3D 打印机（售价低于 2,500 美元）是唯一出货量 增长的品类，2024 年同比增长 26%。 消费级 3D 打印行业受益于价格下降和 AI 技术驱动的建模软件门槛降低。 主流品牌售价相较三年前下降 60%，集中在 2000-3,000 元人民币，AI 技术大幅降低建模难度，消费级 3D 打印已进入需求爆发拐点。 PLA（聚乳酸）是消费级 3D 打印中最常见的耗材，环保无毒且形变小， 适合初学者。预计 2024 年底中国国内 PLA 需求将达 12 万吨，同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The consumer-grade 3D printing market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by "price reduction + AI empowerment" [1][2] Market Size - The global consumer-grade 3D printing market size is projected to grow from $1.5 billion in 2020 to $4.1 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28% [1] - From 2025 to 2029, the market size is expected to increase from $4.9 billion to $16.9 billion, with a CAGR of about 33% [1] - The annual shipment of consumer-grade printers is expected to remain around 3 million units from 2020 to 2023, surpassing 4 million units in 2024, with a CAGR of approximately 10.2% [1] - By 2029, shipments are projected to reach 13.4 million units, with a CAGR of about 26.6% from 2024 to 2029 [1] Competitive Landscape - Four Shenzhen companies, including Creality and Tiertime, hold a combined 90% market share in the entry-level 3D printer segment [2] - The entry-level 3D printer market (priced ≤ $2,500) is the only segment expected to see growth in 2024, with a shipment increase of 26% [2] Catalysts - The price of consumer-grade 3D printers has decreased by 60% compared to three years ago, with mainstream brands focusing on products priced between $200 to $300 [2] - Some entry-level products are priced below $1000, making them comparable to mid-range smartphones, facilitating the rapid adoption of consumer-grade 3D printers [2] - AI tools, exemplified by Hitem3D, have significantly lowered the creative barrier, providing software conditions for the popularization of consumer-grade 3D printing [2] Material Demand - PLA is the most common material in 3D printing, made from corn starch or sugarcane, known for its eco-friendliness and non-toxicity [3] - The domestic demand for PLA is expected to reach 120,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 48.1%, with 3D printing accounting for approximately 35% of this demand [3] - PLA's cost-effectiveness and high frequency of repurchase make it well-positioned to benefit from the growth in consumer-grade 3D printing demand [3]

行 业 及 产 业 机械设备/ 通用设备 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 李蕾 A0230519080008 lilei@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 杨海晏 A0230518070003 yanghy@swsresearch.com 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 韩强 A02305180600 ...

Summary of the Conference Call on Consumer-Level 3D Printing Industry Overview - The consumer-level 3D printing industry in China is experiencing strong export growth, with exports to the US accounting for 37% and Germany for 20% in the first half of 2024. The total export volume for the year is projected to reach 3.77 million units, generating revenue of 8.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 33% [1][5]. - The global market size for consumer-level 3D printing reached $19.8 billion in 2024, with an expected annual growth rate of 18.6% over the next 5 to 6 years [2]. Key Players - **拓竹科技 (Tao Zhu Technology)**: - Became the industry leader within three years by continuously iterating new models, building overseas brand presence, and creating a user co-creation community called Make World, which has over 1 million registered users [1][6]. - Reported revenue of 2.7 billion RMB in 2023, with a projected revenue exceeding 5.5 billion RMB and a net profit nearing 2 billion RMB in 2024 [3][9]. - **创想 3D (Chuangxiang 3D)**: - The second-largest consumer-level printer supplier globally and the largest consumer-level scanner supplier, currently pursuing an IPO in Hong Kong to expand market share [7]. Market Dynamics - The consumer-level 3D printing market is characterized by a shift towards professional applications, with B-end demand accounting for 60% and C-end demand for 40% [1][2]. - The industry benefits from improvements in equipment usability, speed, precision, yield, and cost reductions. For instance, the entry-level product price of Tao Zhu Technology dropped from 3,700 RMB in 2022 to 1,500 RMB in 2024 [4]. Growth Factors - Internal factors driving growth include advancements in technology (AI applications for real-time diagnostics and model generation) and significant cost reductions in both equipment and materials [4]. - External factors include the diversification of application scenarios, such as dental crowns in healthcare, small-batch figurines in cultural creativity, and jewelry supports in the jewelry industry [4]. Competitive Landscape - Domestic brands like Tao Zhu Technology and Chuangxiang 3D are rapidly increasing their global influence, surpassing established brands like Prusa in search volume on platforms like Google and Amazon [3][8]. - Tao Zhu Technology has maintained a market share exceeding 50% for five consecutive quarters, with a projected sales growth of 627% for the 2025 618 sales event [9]. Investment Opportunities - The upstream supply chain presents opportunities in consumables, particularly PLA materials, which are widely used and have strong repurchase attributes [13]. - Key components in the midstream supply chain include laser modules, motors, and scanners, with companies like 海正生材 (Haizheng Biomaterials) and 嘉联科技 (Jialian Technology) showing potential in PLA production [14][15][16]. Conclusion - The consumer-level 3D printing industry is poised for significant growth, driven by technological advancements, cost reductions, and expanding application scenarios. Domestic players are increasingly competitive on a global scale, presenting various investment opportunities across the supply chain.

Group 1: Zhonglian Heavy Industry - The company maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook on market demand, supported by a concentrated equipment renewal period of 8-10 years and the transition to National IV standards [1] - Healthy recovery pace reflects genuine construction demand, with national major projects driving the demand for larger, smarter, and greener equipment [1] - Overseas revenue increased by approximately 15% year-on-year, with Africa doubling and significant growth in the Middle East and Southeast Asia, while the market share in Europe, the US, and Australia reached 39% [1] - The company plans to increase resource investment in Latin America, Africa, and Europe, with an overseas investment return cycle typically taking 2-3 years [1] - The company has a mid-term dividend payout exceeding 60%, with cumulative dividends exceeding 30.6 billion yuan over 28 distributions, reflecting a long-term stable return philosophy [1] Group 2: Jinchengzi - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 132.68 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27.70 million yuan, up 64.58% [2] - The growth in performance is attributed to market expansion and cost control, with the company enhancing competitiveness through employee stock ownership, governance optimization, and the acquisition of Samit [2] - The acquisition of Samit is expected to generate revenue of 57.55 million yuan and a net profit of 21.05 million yuan in 2024, with technology reaching international advanced levels applicable in fields like aviation detection and laser communication [2] - The company is entering the consumer-grade 3D printing sector with its ToC consumer-grade control card currently in the testing phase [2] - The acquisition plan includes performance and impairment compensation, which is beneficial for the sustainable development of the listed company [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 124.50 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.64 billion yuan, up 23.13% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 5.60 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.90% increase [3][5]. - The company is expected to achieve a single-quarter net profit of 4.47 billion yuan in Q3 2025, which is a year-on-year growth of 21.57% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.20% [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 11.61%, a slight decrease of 0.10 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin improved by 0.30 percentage points to 5.86% [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are 2.29 yuan and 2.80 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19 and 16 times [4][6]. Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment generated revenue of 97.80 billion yuan, growing by 14.32% year-on-year, benefiting from the introduction of new products in emerging fields such as AR/VR and robotics [5]. - The communication segment saw a significant revenue increase of 48.65% year-on-year, reaching 11.10 billion yuan, driven by high-value product deliveries [5]. - The automotive segment experienced remarkable growth, with revenue of 8.66 billion yuan, up 82.07% year-on-year, as the company secured new projects from major automotive manufacturers [5].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Shenzhen Chuangxiang Sanwei Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the first consumer-grade 3D printer company listed in Hong Kong [1][2] - The company plans to use the funds raised from the IPO for research and development, overseas user operations, global brand promotion, sales channel development, seeking strategic partnerships, and potential investments or acquisitions [1][2] - Chuangxiang Sanwei is recognized as the largest provider of consumer-grade 3D printing products and services globally, with a market share of 27.9% based on cumulative shipments from 2020 to 2024 [2][6] Group 2 - The revenue from 3D printers has been decreasing, with the revenue share from 3D printers dropping from 81.7% in 2022 to 61.3% in the first quarter of 2025, while the revenue share from 3D printing consumables increased from 3% to 12% during the same period [3][4] - The company's revenue for the reporting periods was 1.346 billion, 1.883 billion, 2.288 billion, and 708 million, with net profits of 104 million, 129 million, 88.66 million, and 81.564 million respectively [3][4] - Chuangxiang Sanwei's inventory has been increasing, with the book value of inventory rising from 184 million to 516 million over the reporting periods, indicating a growing trend [5][6] Group 3 - The company relies heavily on a limited number of key online platforms for sales, including Amazon, eBay, Tmall, JD.com, and Taobao, which account for a significant portion of its online sales [4][5] - Chuangxiang Sanwei has only received external financing once since its establishment, with a 5.08 billion A-round financing completed in June 2021 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Lixun Precision (002475.SZ) reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 124.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.18%, and a net profit of 6.644 billion yuan, up 23.13% [1] Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit of 4.246 to 4.699 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.41% to 27.74% [1] - For the first three quarters, the projected net profit is between 10.890 to 11.343 billion yuan, indicating a growth of 20% to 25% compared to the previous year [1] Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment generated 97.8 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 78.55% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 14.32% [2] - The automotive electronics segment saw the highest growth, with revenue reaching 8.658 billion yuan, a significant increase of 82.07% year-on-year, marking it as the fastest-growing segment [3] - The communication and data center segment also performed well, achieving revenue of 11.098 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.65% [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing an H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having submitted its application on August 18 [1] - Lixun Precision has completed acquisitions of Leoni AG and parts of Wentech Technology, with a total transaction value exceeding 8 billion yuan, enhancing its core competitiveness in the consumer electronics and automotive sectors [5][6] Market Positioning - The company aims to transition from a "fruit chain" supplier to a multi-field Tier 1 player, reflecting a proactive approach in the global value chain [5] - Lixun Precision's automotive business is positioned as a preferred Tier 1 partner for major automotive brands, supporting Chinese brands in global markets [3][6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates that AI will drive innovation in consumer electronics, focusing on the integration of software and hardware rather than just hardware specifications [2] - Lixun Precision plans to optimize Leoni's global production capacity and aims to achieve breakeven by 2025, with a target to match its own wiring harness business profitability within 5 to 7 years [6]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Chuangxiang 3D Technology Co., Ltd. (Chuangxiang 3D) has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for R&D, overseas operations, global brand promotion, and sales channel development, as well as seeking strategic partnerships, investments, or acquisitions [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Chuangxiang 3D, established in 2014, is a provider of consumer-grade 3D printing products and services, including 3D printers, consumables, and a global online community called "Chuangxiang Cloud" [2] - The company is the largest provider of consumer-grade 3D printing products and services globally, with a market share of 27.9% from 2020 to 2024, ranking second in consumer-grade 3D printers, first in consumer-grade 3D scanners, and third in consumer-grade laser engravers [2][8] Group 2: Financial Performance - Chuangxiang 3D's revenue from 2022 to Q1 2025 shows a declining trend in the revenue share from 3D printers, decreasing from 81.7% in 2022 to 61.3% in Q1 2025, while the revenue share from 3D printing consumables increased from 3% to 12% during the same period [3] - The company's revenue figures for the reporting period were 1.346 billion, 1.883 billion, 2.288 billion, and 708 million yuan, with net profits of 104 million, 129 million, 88.66 million, and 81.56 million yuan respectively, indicating a 21.5% revenue growth in 2024 but a 31% decline in net profit [4] - Raw material costs accounted for over 75% of the sales cost during the reporting period, with specific percentages of 82.7%, 76.7%, 76.4%, and 75.2% [4] Group 3: Inventory and Supply Chain - Chuangxiang 3D's inventory, which includes finished goods, raw materials, and work-in-progress, has shown a growth trend, with values of 184 million, 356 million, 438 million, and 516 million yuan during the reporting period [5] - The average inventory turnover days increased from 86.5 days to 100.8 days, indicating a gradual extension in inventory turnover [6] Group 4: Market Position and Competition - In terms of 2024 shipment volume, Chuangxiang 3D shipped approximately 700,000 consumer-grade 3D printers, giving it a market share of 16.9%, ranking second globally [8][10] - The company has only completed one round of external financing since its establishment, raising approximately 508 million yuan in June 2021 [11]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Chuangxiang 3D Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise funds for R&D, overseas operations, global brand promotion, and sales channel development, potentially becoming the first consumer-grade 3D printer stock in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Founded in 2014, Chuangxiang 3D is a provider of consumer-grade 3D printing products and services, including 3D printers, consumables, and a global online community called "Chuangxiang Cloud" [2]. - The company has a market share of 27.9% in cumulative shipments of consumer-grade 3D printers from 2020 to 2024, making it the largest provider in this segment [2][7]. - Chuangxiang 3D's manufacturing facilities are located in Wuhan, Huizhou, and Shenzhen, with a sales network covering approximately 140 countries and regions [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue from 3D printers has been declining as a percentage of total revenue, from 81.7% in 2022 to 61.3% in Q1 2025, while the revenue share from 3D printing consumables increased from 3% to 12% during the same period [3][4]. - The company's revenue for the reporting periods was 1.346 billion, 1.883 billion, 2.288 billion, and 708 million yuan, with net profits of 104 million, 129 million, 88.66 million, and 81.56 million yuan respectively [4]. - In 2024, revenue grew by 21.5%, but net profit declined by 31%, indicating a situation of "increased revenue without increased profit" [4]. Group 3: Inventory and Supply Chain - Chuangxiang 3D's inventory has been increasing, with figures of 184 million, 356 million, 438 million, and 516 million yuan over the reporting periods [5]. - The average inventory turnover days have extended from 86.5 days to 100.8 days, which may negatively impact cash flow and liquidity [5]. - Raw material costs accounted for over 75% of the sales cost during the reporting periods, with specific components including electronic parts, motors, and biodegradable materials [4]. Group 4: Market Position and Competition - Chuangxiang 3D is positioned as the second-largest consumer-grade 3D printer company based on 2024 shipment volume, with approximately 700,000 units shipped and a market share of 16.9% [7][10]. - The company has only completed one round of external financing since its establishment, raising approximately 508 million yuan in June 2021 [12].