疫苗行业转型
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湘财证券:疫苗行业依然承压 四季度旺季有望迎来结构性机会
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 07:06
Core Insights - The vaccine industry is experiencing significant pressure on both revenue and profit, with profit declines outpacing revenue declines, indicating substantial strain on profitability [1] - Despite the challenges, the industry maintains high R&D expenditure, which has increased year-on-year, reflecting ongoing efforts to seek new pipeline transformations amid homogeneous competition [1] Industry Performance - The performance of vaccine companies is showing a divergence, with only a few companies, namely Olin Biological, CanSino, and Kanglao Weishi, reporting positive growth in both revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] - Companies like Kanghua Biological and Wantai Biological have shown signs of recovery in revenue growth, while others like Watson Bio and CanSino have demonstrated significant improvements in net profit margins [2] Investment Recommendations - The fourth quarter is expected to present structural opportunities for the vaccine industry due to seasonal increases in respiratory infections and heightened public awareness of vaccination [3] - Two main investment themes are suggested: innovation-driven companies with strong technological advantages and event-driven opportunities related to seasonal demand for vaccines like influenza and pneumonia [3] - Companies with high technical barriers and differentiated pipeline layouts are expected to outperform, with a focus on CanSino as a key player [3]