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科技实力迈上新台阶
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-25 00:03
国家统计局发布的数据显示,2024年,我国全社会研究与试验发展(R&D)经费超过3.63万亿元,折 射出我国科技投入在规模、结构与质量上的多维突破。 投入规模与强度双升,在全球创新版图中地位凸显。我国研发经费持续稳定增长,目前总量已稳居 世界第二位。2024年研发投入强度升至2.69%,连续多年超过欧盟水平,已接近OECD(经济合作与发展 组织)国家平均水平。持续加大的科技投入,正转化为中国的创新实力。 区域协同持续发力,创新高地引领效应显著。研发经费投入超过2000亿元的省份有6个,其中广东 突破5000亿元大关,区域创新高地加速形成。2025全球百强创新集群排名中,我国共有24个集群上榜, 数量连续3年位居全球第一。其中,"深圳—香港—广州"创新集群首次名列全球创新集群榜首,成为全 球创新生态的标杆案例。 尽管我国科技投入总量已居世界第二,但仍面临一些挑战。面对新形势新任务,未来我国科技投入 应努力提质增效。一是继续加大基础研究投入。通过中央财政稳定支持、设立国家基础研究基金、鼓励 企业设立"无人区"探索计划等方式,稳步提升基础研究占比,夯实原始创新根基。二是优化区域科技资 源配置。加强对中西部地区科技投 ...
周周芝道 - 四中全会和中美釜山会晤之后
2025-11-03 02:35
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Involvement - The discussion primarily revolves around the impact of U.S. monetary policy, U.S.-China relations, and the implications for global capital markets, particularly focusing on technology and manufacturing sectors. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **U.S. Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy** - After the October rate cut, Powell's hawkish stance on inflation reduced expectations for further cuts in December, leading to rising U.S. Treasury yields [1][3][4] - The probability of a December rate cut decreased from over 90% to around 60% due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainties [3] 2. **Impact of the Fourth Plenary Session and U.S.-China Meeting** - The domestic capital market showed muted performance post the Fourth Plenary Session, with weak economic data and restrained fiscal policy [1][5] - The U.S.-China meeting indicated a shift in competition towards technology and security, moving away from explicit restrictions to competitive investments [1][9] 3. **U.S.-China Trade Dynamics** - The trade war aims to reshape global supply chains, with the U.S. using tariffs to shift production to third countries, benefiting all parties involved [10][11] - The trade conflict is expected to gradually ease by 2025, with technology investments becoming the main pricing driver in global capital markets [12] 4. **China's Manufacturing Sector Evolution** - China's high-end manufacturing has seen significant upgrades, with production shifting to other countries as GDP per capita rises [13] - This rapid upgrade in the industrial chain is a key reason for the swift resolution of recent tariff disputes [13] 5. **Future Economic Policies and Market Predictions** - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December is crucial for domestic asset performance, with expectations of limited policy changes in November [6][7] - The focus on technology and high-quality growth will dominate China's economic planning for the next five years [16][17] 6. **Commodity Market Outlook** - Copper prices are expected to perform well due to increased demand from a new industrial revolution, with significant price increases anticipated in 2025 [20][22] - The outlook for gold remains strong due to ongoing monetary easing, despite potential volatility in 2026 as competition shifts [23] Other Important but Overlooked Content 1. **Global Capital Market Trends** - The transition from uncertainty to a new production order post the U.S.-China meeting is expected to improve the investment environment in 2026 [14] - The focus on technology investments will significantly influence asset pricing and market dynamics [19] 2. **U.S. Midterm Elections Impact** - The 2026 midterm elections will likely shift U.S. policy focus back to domestic economic issues, emphasizing social welfare and inflation concerns [15] 3. **Debt Market Outlook** - The bond market is expected to present trading opportunities in Q4 2025, with a cautious outlook for 2026 as risks are anticipated to rise [24][25]
统筹解答产业发展方程式
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-16 22:14
Core Viewpoint - The development of modern coal chemical industry involves multiple factors and variables, requiring a comprehensive approach to balance production and quality, stock and increment, and variables and total amounts [1][2]. Group 1: Energy Security Account - China's energy resource endowment features "rich coal, poor oil, and scarce gas," indicating that coal will remain a cornerstone in the short term [1]. - Regions with coal resource advantages, such as Xinjiang, should focus on their energy supply responsibilities and promote the release of advanced coal production capacity [1]. - A scientific approach to the ratio of fuel coal to raw material coal is essential for orderly advancement of high-quality industrial development [1]. Group 2: Ecological and Environmental Protection Account - The coal chemical industry is energy-intensive, making the exploration and promotion of clean and efficient coal utilization crucial for improving resource development efficiency and reducing energy consumption [1]. - Hami is focusing on the latest technologies to advance the modern coal chemical industry towards high-end, diversified, and low-carbon development, integrating with the new energy sector to enhance the industry's "green content" [1]. Group 3: Technological Investment Account - Technological innovation is identified as a "key variable" and the "largest increment" for promoting high-quality industrial development [2]. - The industry should invest in advanced technologies and apply them practically to enhance quality and efficiency [2]. - Timely integration of technological variables into existing projects is necessary to guide enterprises in implementing new technology upgrades [2]. Group 4: Talent Development Account - There is a significant talent gap in the coal chemical industry, necessitating a focus on skills training and optimizing vocational education supply [2]. - Strengthening cooperation between schools and enterprises is essential for enhancing the training of required skilled personnel [2]. - Hami has established the Xinjiang Energy Chemical Technical School, offering targeted programs in coal chemical disciplines to meet current and future industry demands [2].