格隆汇1月21日｜东北证券研报指出，长芯博创2025年预计实现归母净利润3.20-3.70亿元， YoY+344.01%-413.39%；单四季度归母净利润中值0.95亿元，QoQ+ 16.25%，YoY+ 174.89%；全年及单 四季度业绩符合预期。公司是稀缺的光电互连解决方案综合提供商，考虑公司与谷歌在MPO领域长期 稳定的合作供应关系以及公司在光模块、AOC等有源产品的长期布局，有望成为谷歌算力扩容核心受 益标的，数通业务有望实现快速增长。预计2025-2027年公司营业收入分别为34.52/69.92/120.22亿元， 归母净利润分别为3.70/10.94/19.05亿元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][55]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a rare comprehensive provider of optical interconnection solutions, benefiting significantly from its long-term stable partnership with Google in the MPO field and its strategic layout in active products like optical modules and AOC [3][55]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow rapidly, with projected revenues of 34.52 billion, 69.92 billion, and 120.22 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 3.72 billion, 10.94 billion, and 19.05 billion yuan for the same years [3][55]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company started with PLC optical splitters and has gradually built a complete optical interconnection system solution, targeting telecommunications, data centers, and industrial interconnection fields [13]. - Its product range includes PLC optical splitters, PON optical transceivers, DWDM, AWG, VMUX for telecommunications, and AOC and copper cable products for data centers, covering speeds from 10G to 800G [13]. Market Opportunities - Google is a key beneficiary of the company's offerings, with a strong emphasis on AI commercialization and the urgent need for capacity expansion, aiming to double its computing power every six months [2][37]. - The company has established a long-term stable supply relationship with Google in the MPO field, which is crucial for high-density optical connections [2][43]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.675 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected increase to 3.452 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 97.54% [6][55]. - The net profit for 2023 was 81 million yuan, expected to rise to 372 million yuan in 2025, indicating a significant growth trajectory [6][55]. - The overall gross margin improved to 40.19% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by the growth in data communication and industrial interconnection markets [27]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to become a core beneficiary of Google's computing power expansion, with its data communication business projected to achieve rapid growth [3][55]. - The report highlights the potential for significant market opportunities in the AOC and MPO sectors, with the company already making strides in silicon photonics technology [2][49].

Core Insights - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) has seen significant trading activity, with a transaction volume of 177 million yuan and a strong performance of over 3% in the ChiNext Index [1] - The ETF has experienced a substantial increase in shares, growing by 56 million shares in the past week, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF has attracted a net inflow of 128 million yuan over the past six days, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] Product Highlights - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) tracks the ChiNext Index, focusing on strategic emerging industries such as high-end manufacturing, photovoltaics, and new energy vehicles, providing high elasticity advantages [2] - The ETF is positioned as a leading option for investors looking to capitalize on the A-share market rebound [2] Related Products - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) has corresponding off-market connections: A: 001592; C: 001593; Y: 022960 [3] Hot Events - Zhongji Xuchuang, a leading optical module company, saw its stock price surge nearly 16%, reaching a historical high and a market capitalization exceeding 600 billion yuan, driven by the global AI computing power expansion [4] - The company's growth is closely linked to the competitive landscape of the global AI computing power industry, benefiting from deep partnerships with tech giants like Google and Nvidia [4] Institutional Views - The development of AI technology is transitioning from computing power to application, marking a significant shift in the industry [5] - The semiconductor sector is expected to enter a new growth cycle, driven by increased demand for storage chips and semiconductor manufacturing [5] - The semiconductor materials industry is projected to experience a trend of rising volume and prices, presenting long-term investment opportunities [5]