Core Insights - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (code: 159977) has seen a 2.06% increase, marking three consecutive days of gains with a trading volume of 113 million yuan [6] - The Tianhong Sci-Tech Index ETF (code: 589860) rose by 1.90%, with a turnover rate of 12.1% and a trading volume of 49.59 million yuan, indicating active market participation [6] - The Tianhong CSI A500 ETF (code: 159360) increased by 0.50%, also achieving three consecutive days of gains, with a turnover rate of 3.54% and a trading volume of 63.59 million yuan [6] Fund Performance - As of September 1, 2025, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) reached a new high in scale at 9.655 billion yuan, the highest in the past six months [7] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF encompasses four high-growth sectors: pharmaceuticals, new energy, computing power, and brokerage, with a valuation at the 38.36th percentile of its ten-year history, indicating it is undervalued compared to broad-based indices [7] - The Tianhong Sci-Tech Index ETF covers 97% of the Sci-Tech board's market value, focusing on hard technology and balancing investments in semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and biomedicine, with over 80% in strategic emerging industries [7] Economic Indicators - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the manufacturing PMI, non-manufacturing business activity index, and comprehensive PMI output index for August were 49.4%, 50.3%, and 50.5%, respectively, showing a slight increase from the previous month [7] - Analysts suggest that the economic indicators reflect positive changes in China's economy, with expectations for continued release of domestic demand potential in September and the fourth quarter [7] Market Outlook - Huatai Securities indicates that the extension of short-term tariff exemptions and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts may improve risk appetite, with a shift towards fundamentals expected in the medium term [8] - China Galaxy Securities anticipates that the market will maintain a high central tendency, with active trading and supportive policies driving market conditions, while structural allocation opportunities should be monitored [8]

Group 1 - The market showed a rebound on August 29, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.34%, driven by a collective surge in solid-state battery concept stocks [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) experienced a peak increase of over 3.5% during the session, closing up 2.31% with a trading volume exceeding 98 million yuan [1] - Key component stocks such as XianDao Intelligent (300450) hit the daily limit, while Ningde Times (300750), Tianfu Communication (300394), and Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014) also saw significant gains [1] Group 2 - As of August 28, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) recorded a year-to-date increase of 32.94%, closely tracking the ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies in the ChiNext market [2] - The Tianhong CSI 500 ETF (159360) rose by 1.01% during the session, with a trading volume exceeding 42 million yuan, reflecting active trading with a premium rate of 0.11% [2] - The Tianhong Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF (589860) saw a decline of 1.72% at midday, with a trading volume over 30 million yuan and a turnover rate exceeding 7% [2] Group 3 - Short-term market conditions indicate a positive feedback loop in liquidity, suggesting a continuation of valuation-driven market trends [3] - Investment opportunities are identified in the TMT sector and pharmaceutical biotechnology, driven by AI trends and innovation [3] - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from a stabilizing capital market, while power equipment and certain resource products may see investment opportunities due to capacity governance [3]

Core Viewpoint - A-shares continue to perform strongly with a midday trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, indicating robust market activity and investor interest [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.86% at midday, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.22%, reaching a three-year high [1] - The trading volume increased by 571.3 billion yuan compared to the previous day, reflecting strong market participation [1] Group 2: Capital Inflow - There is a strong willingness for new capital to enter the market, supported by substantial household savings waiting to be invested and a margin financing balance remaining above 2 trillion yuan [1] - External factors include the potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in September and the first inflow of active foreign capital into A-shares since October of the previous year, as per EPFR data [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Over 5,000 stocks showed mixed performance, indicating increased difficulty in single-stock investments amid a rapidly rotating market [1] - Broad-based ETFs are highlighted as a strategy to capture different market hotspots while providing inherent resistance to rotation risks: - Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977, linked 001593) has risen over 36% since June 23, with a current PE (TTM) of 38.86, ranking in the lowest historical percentile for the past decade [1] - Tianhong Sci-Tech ETF (589860, linked 023722) covers 97% of the Sci-Tech board's market value, focusing on hard technology with balanced allocations in semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and biomedicine [1] - Tianhong CSI A500 ETF (159360, linked 022429) tracks 500 constituent stocks that represent core assets of the Chinese economy, serving as a stabilizing investment to effectively hedge against rotation risks [1]

Group 1 - A-shares continue to perform strongly with a half-day trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, an increase of 571.3 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.86% at midday, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.22%, reaching a three-year high [1] - There is a strong willingness for new capital to enter the market, supported by substantial household savings waiting to be invested and a margin financing balance remaining above 2 trillion yuan [1] Group 2 - Foreign capital has begun to flow into A-shares for the first time since October of last year, coinciding with expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1] - Over 5,000 stocks showed mixed performance at midday, indicating increased difficulty in single-point investments amid a rapidly rotating market [1] - Broad-based ETFs are highlighted as a strategy to capture different market hotspots while providing inherent resistance to rotation risks [1] Group 3 - Tianhong's ChiNext ETF (159977, linked to 001593) has risen over 36% since June 23, with the latest PE (TTM) at 38.86, ranking in the lowest historical percentile for the past decade [1] - Tianhong's Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF (589860, linked to 023722) covers 97% of the Sci-Tech board's market value, providing balanced exposure to hard technology sectors such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and biomedicine [1] - Tianhong's CSI A500 ETF (159360, linked to 022429) tracks 500 constituent stocks that represent core assets of the Chinese economy, serving as a stabilizing force for balanced allocation and effectively hedging against rotation risks [1]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Wantushi AI Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The Wantushi AI model evaluates indices based on their potential upward probability and selects ETFs with favorable characteristics for investment[6] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. The model assigns a score to indices based on their upward probability. Indices with scores above 0.8 are selected[6] 2. For each selected index, the corresponding ETFs are identified[6] 3. Among these ETFs, those with a 30-day average daily trading volume exceeding 30 million RMB are retained[6] 4. Finally, the ETF with the lowest IOPV premium rate for each index is chosen[6] - **Model Evaluation**: The model systematically filters ETFs based on liquidity and valuation metrics, ensuring a focus on high-quality investment options[6] --- Backtesting Results of Models 1. Wantushi AI Model - **Index Code: 932000 (CSI)** - Upward Probability: 93.52% - Selected ETF: 159552 (CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399006 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 93.37% - Selected ETF: 159977 (Tianhong ChiNext ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399673 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 92.49% - Selected ETF: 159682 (ChiNext 50 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399850 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 90.15% - Selected ETF: 159350 (Shenzhen 50 ETF by Fuguo)[7] - **Index Code: 000852 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 85.86% - Selected ETF: 159680 (1000 Enhanced ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399303 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 85.82% - Selected ETF: 159628 (Guozheng 2000 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399293 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 85.03% - Selected ETF: 159814 (ChiNext Large Cap ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399330 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 84.81% - Selected ETF: 159901 (Shenzhen 100 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399296 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 84.46% - Selected ETF: 159967 (ChiNext Growth ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 000905 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 83.23% - Selected ETF: 510580 (CSI 500 ETF by E Fund)[7] - **Index Code: 000906 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 81.05% - Selected ETF: 515800 (800 ETF)[7]

Core Viewpoint - The ChiNext board is experiencing structural opportunities amid increasing global tech competition, with the Tianhong ChiNext ETF showing significant price increases over various time frames, driven by valuation advantages and strong fundamentals [1][2]. Valuation Insights - The ChiNext index is currently at a significant valuation low, with a price-to-book ratio of approximately 4 times, marking a historical low of 32% since the index's inception. In contrast, the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices have price-to-book ratios at 42% and 62%, respectively, highlighting the ChiNext's valuation advantage [2]. Performance and Growth - The ChiNext index has shown a strong performance, with an 18.74% increase since June 20, leading among major indices. Year-to-date, it remains in the top tier, demonstrating robust market resilience [4]. - The profitability turning point for the ChiNext is evident, with revenue and net profit both showing year-on-year growth, particularly a 20% increase in net profit for Q1 2025, providing solid support for the index's rise [8]. Historical Context - Historically, the ChiNext index has outperformed major indices during bull markets, with a cumulative increase of 141% since its base date, significantly surpassing the 50% increase of the CSI 300 index, validating its long-term growth potential [12]. Industry Strengths - The ChiNext's high elasticity is attributed to its deep coverage of new economy sectors, with over 65% of its constituents in key technology areas such as power equipment, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and communications. These sectors have recently shown marginal improvements in fundamentals, contributing to the index's momentum [14]. - The power equipment sector has risen by 29.4%, electronics by over 14%, pharmaceuticals by 11.6%, and communications by over 10%, indicating strong industry performance [14]. Research and Development - In 2024, the R&D expense ratio for ChiNext constituents is projected to reach 4.97%, significantly higher than that of the CSI 300 and Shenzhen Composite indices, reflecting a commitment to innovation [16]. - Continuous high-intensity R&D investments over three years are expected to yield a net asset return on equity (ROE) exceeding 12% by 2024, establishing a sustainable growth foundation through enhanced technological barriers [18]. Investment Strategy - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF, characterized by low valuation, high growth potential, and refined management, offers a clear investment strategy for investors looking to capitalize on the ChiNext's development opportunities [22].