专题：中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会 12月27日金融一线消息，中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会在京召开，本届年会的主题是"迈向'十五 五'建设金融强国"。第十三届全国政协经济委员会副主任杨伟民发表演讲并建言"十五五"规划需在五大 战略任务上实现突破。 经济增长保持合理区间："十五五"头等大事 杨伟民表示，经济增长保持合理区间是"十五五"时期我国发展的头等大事，是事关现代化全局的首要任 务，关系到确保基本实现社会主义现代化取得决定性的进展。杨伟民强调，它既是一个发展目标，也是 一个战略任务。关于合理区间的标志，他表示，"按照到2035年人均GDP达到中等发达国家水平的目 标，这一合理区间大体为4.5%，且不仅实际增长要达到该水平，名义增长也应保持在4.5%以上。" 杨伟民指出，值得重视的是，2023年、2024年、2025年这三年，我国名义增长均低于实际增长，即GDP 平减指数为负。这导致城镇居民收入、企业利润、财政收入这三项指标的增长均弱于、低于经济增长， 进而助推内需不足，强化供强需弱的矛盾，而供强需弱与平减指数为负又相互关联。 杨伟民提到，过去我国宏观调控主要任务是防止物价上涨，无需过多考虑名义增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes significantly increasing the resident consumption rate as a primary goal, focusing on expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption through various new proposals [1]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Consumption - The reasonable growth range for China's economy during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is estimated to be between 4.5% and 5.5%, considering the current economic scale and potential growth rate [2][3]. - The plan highlights the need for a flexible approach to economic growth, with a lower limit to ensure employment and a higher limit to prevent inflation and promote structural adjustments [3]. Group 2: Enhancing Resident Consumption Rate - To address the low resident consumption rate, solutions should be sought from both the income and supply sides, including expanding the middle-income group and increasing public service spending [3][4]. - Three key actions are necessary to enhance resident consumption: increasing the share of new consumption types, enriching consumption scenarios, and ensuring the implementation of national policies to stimulate consumption [4]. Group 3: Real Estate and Automotive Markets - The plan proposes removing unreasonable restrictions on automotive and housing consumption, as both sectors have significant economic impacts and can stimulate related industries [5][6]. - The real estate market is expected to see slight growth over the next five years, with its stability being crucial for consumer confidence and financial system stability [7]. Group 4: Role of Consumption, Investment, and Exports - Consumption is projected to play a dual role as both a "ballast" and a "main engine" for economic growth, with expectations that its contribution to GDP growth will exceed 60% [12][13]. - Investment will shift focus from total volume to structural optimization, supporting high-quality development in sectors like high-end manufacturing and technology [13]. - Exports will serve as a stabilizer, maintaining their importance due to China's comprehensive industrial system, despite potential fluctuations [12][14]. Group 5: Service Industry and Market Opening - The emphasis on expanding the service industry as a key area for market opening indicates a strategic shift towards enhancing service sector competitiveness and internationalization [20][21]. - The growing middle-income group and the increasing share of services in GDP highlight the need for improved service quality and management practices to meet consumer demands [21].

Core Points - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes significantly increasing the resident consumption rate as a primary goal, focusing on expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [1] - The plan proposes a combination of investments in goods and people, increasing public service spending, and removing unreasonable restrictions on consumption in sectors like housing and automobiles [1][4] Economic Growth Targets - The reasonable economic growth rate for China during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is projected to be between 4.5% and 5.5%, considering the large economic base and potential growth rate [4][5] - The plan aims to align with the long-term goal of achieving a per capita GDP comparable to that of moderately developed countries by 2035 [4] Resident Consumption Rate - To address the low resident consumption rate, strategies should focus on expanding the middle-income group and increasing public service spending to enhance consumer confidence [5][6] - New consumption patterns should prioritize human-centered consumption, with a focus on sectors like the silver economy, infant products, and women's economy [6] Role of Real Estate - The real estate market is expected to experience slight growth over the next five years, with its stability being crucial for consumer confidence and financial system stability [7][8] - The removal of unreasonable restrictions on housing and automobiles is aimed at releasing suppressed consumer demand, which is vital for economic growth [7] Consumption, Investment, and Export Dynamics - Consumption is projected to play a dual role as both a "ballast" and a "main engine" for economic growth, with expectations that it will contribute over 60% to GDP growth [12] - Investment will serve as an "incubator" and "accelerator," focusing on optimizing economic structure and transitioning to high-quality development [13] - Exports will act as a "stabilizer," maintaining their importance despite potential fluctuations, supported by China's comprehensive industrial system [12][13] Service Industry Development - The shift in focus towards expanding the service sector reflects a strategic change, with the service industry expected to drive future economic growth and competitiveness [19][20] - The growing middle-income group and the increasing share of services in GDP highlight the need for improved service quality and international engagement in service management [20]