Core Insights - The rising prices and currency devaluation in Iran have led to significant public concern regarding the economic policies of the current government [2] Economic Indicators - The official macroeconomic indicators show a widening gap between government statistics and the daily experiences of the populace, indicating a crisis [2] - The price of cars has increased by 66%, while the prices of bread and other staple foods have nearly doubled [2] - Chicken prices have surged to 1.6 million rials per kilogram, highlighting the ongoing economic crisis [2] Inflation and Currency Issues - The currency has depreciated by approximately 30% to 40% in the first half of the year, with some goods experiencing price increases exceeding 60% [2] - The current inflation situation is attributed not only to currency devaluation but also to ineffective monetary, financial, and trade policies [2] Public Sentiment - The failure of inflation control policies, significant price hikes, and low government transparency have contributed to public anxiety about the economy [2]

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth at 3.0% for this year, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the April prediction, and 3.1% for 2026, also up by 0.1 percentage points [1] - The global trade growth forecast has been raised by 0.9 percentage points to 2.6% for this year, indicating resilience in the global economy amid increasing uncertainties [1] - China's economic growth forecast has been adjusted upward by 0.8 percentage points to 5.6% for this year, and by 0.2 percentage points to 4.4% for next year [1] - The growth forecast for India has been slightly increased by 0.2 percentage points to 6.4% for this year and by 0.1 percentage points for next year [1] - Developed economies' growth predictions have been raised by 0.1 percentage points to 1.5% for this year and 1.6% for next year [1] - The U.S. economic growth forecast has been increased by 0.1 percentage points to 1.9% for this year and by 0.3 percentage points to 2.0% for next year [1] - The growth forecast for developing countries has been raised by 0.4 percentage points to 4.1% for this year and by 0.1 percentage points to 4.0% for next year [1] - The Eurozone growth forecast has been adjusted upward by 0.2 percentage points to 1.0% for this year, while the next year's forecast remains at 1.2% [1] Group 2 - The IMF warns that there are still widespread downside risks to the economic situation, including potential increases in average tariff rates and unresolved trade tensions stemming from the Trump administration [2] - Ongoing uncertainties may begin to suppress economic activity, while geopolitical tensions could exacerbate inflationary pressures and disrupt supply chains [2] - High debt levels, unstable public finances, and various structural imbalances continue to pose significant risks [2]