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伊朗迈赫尔通讯社编译版:伊朗物价上涨和货币贬值引发民众担忧
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-17 16:12
伊朗迈赫尔通讯社11月10日报道,近几个月来,物价不断上涨趋势反映出第十四届政府经济政策令 人担忧的现状,官方宏观经济指标与民众日常感受之间的差距比以往任何时候都更加明显。从汽车出厂 价上涨66%,到面包和粮食价格几乎翻番,再到鸡肉价格飙升至160万里亚尔/公斤,这些情况都表明危 机仍在持续,而这场危机的根源不仅在于通胀抑制政策的失效,还在于国民经济各个层面的结构性失衡 和管理效率低下。今年上半年,汇率贬值幅度约为30%至40%,而包括汽车、食品、服装在内的部分商 品价格涨幅却超过60%。这表明,当前通胀情况并非仅受汇率贬值的影响,而是货币、金融和贸易领域 一系列政策失效的结果。通胀抑制政策失效、物价大幅上涨、政府信息透明度不高等情况引发了民众对 经济的担忧。(驻伊朗使馆经商处) (原标题:伊朗迈赫尔通讯社编译版:伊朗物价上涨和货币贬值引发民众担忧) ...
国际货币基金组织小幅上调全球经济增长预测
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-08-02 15:47
Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth at 3.0% for this year, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the April prediction, and 3.1% for 2026, also up by 0.1 percentage points [1] - The global trade growth forecast has been raised by 0.9 percentage points to 2.6% for this year, indicating resilience in the global economy amid increasing uncertainties [1] - China's economic growth forecast has been adjusted upward by 0.8 percentage points to 5.6% for this year, and by 0.2 percentage points to 4.4% for next year [1] - The growth forecast for India has been slightly increased by 0.2 percentage points to 6.4% for this year and by 0.1 percentage points for next year [1] - Developed economies' growth predictions have been raised by 0.1 percentage points to 1.5% for this year and 1.6% for next year [1] - The U.S. economic growth forecast has been increased by 0.1 percentage points to 1.9% for this year and by 0.3 percentage points to 2.0% for next year [1] - The growth forecast for developing countries has been raised by 0.4 percentage points to 4.1% for this year and by 0.1 percentage points to 4.0% for next year [1] - The Eurozone growth forecast has been adjusted upward by 0.2 percentage points to 1.0% for this year, while the next year's forecast remains at 1.2% [1] Group 2 - The IMF warns that there are still widespread downside risks to the economic situation, including potential increases in average tariff rates and unresolved trade tensions stemming from the Trump administration [2] - Ongoing uncertainties may begin to suppress economic activity, while geopolitical tensions could exacerbate inflationary pressures and disrupt supply chains [2] - High debt levels, unstable public finances, and various structural imbalances continue to pose significant risks [2]