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美国局势越来越乱!马斯克扶持新总统上位,特朗普的总统做到头了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 07:01
Core Points - Elon Musk announced the formation of a new political party called the "American Party," claiming it represents freedom and is a response to public demand for a new political option [1] - Musk's party aims to secure 2 to 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House seats, leveraging the close balance of power in Congress to influence legislation [2] - The establishment of the "American Party" signifies Musk's transition from entrepreneur to politician, positioning the party against both the Republican and Democratic parties [2][5] - Historical context suggests that third parties in the U.S. have struggled to gain traction, often failing to challenge the dominance of the two-party system [5] - Trump's reaction to Musk's announcement was one of strong disapproval, suggesting that Musk's motivations are self-serving rather than altruistic [7] Summary by Sections Political Landscape - The announcement of the "American Party" comes after the passage of Trump's "Big and Beautiful" bill, which has faced significant opposition [1] - Musk's strategy is to use minimal resources to gain maximum influence in a closely divided Congress [2] Challenges for Third Parties - The U.S. political system is characterized by a "winner-takes-all" voting principle, making it difficult for new parties to gain a foothold [2][5] - Historical attempts at establishing third parties have often resulted in short-lived successes, indicating a challenging environment for the "American Party" [5] Reactions and Implications - Trump's criticism of Musk's party formation highlights the contentious nature of U.S. politics and suggests that Musk's motivations may be driven by personal grievances rather than a genuine desire for political reform [7]
马斯克的“快意恩仇”
21世纪经济报道· 2025-07-11 05:39
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's proposal to establish a new political party in the U.S. aims to liberate citizens from the existing two-party system, which he claims is leading the country to bankruptcy due to waste and corruption [1][4]. Group 1: Political Context - The U.S. election system is characterized by an indirect election process where the president is elected by an electoral college rather than by direct popular vote [1][2]. - The electoral votes are allocated based on the population of each state, with a total of 538 electoral votes, including 3 from Washington D.C. [1]. - The "winner-takes-all" principle in U.S. elections means that the candidate with the majority of votes in a state receives all of that state's electoral votes, contrasting with proportional representation systems in some European countries [2]. Group 2: Historical Stability of Two-Party System - The two-party system has been stable for nearly 200 years, with the Democratic and Republican parties dominating due to their substantial campaign resources and experience [3]. - California, a Democratic stronghold, has the highest number of electoral votes at approximately 54, while Texas, a Republican stronghold, has about 40 electoral votes [3]. Group 3: Challenges for Third Parties - Third parties in the U.S., such as the Green Party and the Libertarian Party, often participate in elections to raise awareness rather than to win, with many candidates withdrawing early to increase their visibility [4]. - The political landscape is complicated by the two parties' ability to adapt their policies to attract voters, making it uncertain whether Musk's new party can effectively challenge the status quo [4]. Group 4: Impact on Tesla - Following Musk's announcement about forming a new party, Tesla's stock price dropped nearly 7%, resulting in a market value loss of approximately $68 billion [5]. - Analysts express concern that Musk's political activities could negatively impact Tesla's stock, with some suggesting that he should distance himself from politics to protect the company's interests [5]. - Recent legislative changes reducing tax incentives for electric vehicles may further affect Tesla's sales and the broader electric vehicle market [5]. Group 5: Internal Challenges - Musk's high compensation package, which could yield up to $56 billion in stock options if performance targets are met, has drawn criticism regarding the board's oversight [6]. - Analysts recommend implementing restrictions on Musk's political activities and setting boundaries for his tenure at Tesla to mitigate potential conflicts of interest [6]. - Musk's dissatisfaction with the two-party system raises questions about the feasibility and sincerity of his intentions to establish a new political party [6].
【史海回眸】历史上,美国诸多“第三党”来去匆匆
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-10 22:53
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk has announced the establishment of a new political party called the "American Party," aiming to participate in the upcoming midterm elections in the U.S. and secure minority seats in both the House and Senate [1] Historical Context of Third Parties in the U.S. - The U.S. has a long history of third parties, starting with the Anti-Masonic Party in 1831, which was the first third party in American politics [1][3] - The Anti-Masonic Party held its first national presidential candidate nomination convention in 1831, where William Wirt was nominated for the 1832 presidential election, receiving 8% of the popular vote in Vermont [3][4] - The Anti-Masonic Party lasted about ten years and influenced American politics by promoting anti-Masonic sentiments and establishing the practice of national conventions for presidential nominations [4] Emergence and Decline of Other Third Parties - Following the Anti-Masonic Party, other third parties emerged, such as the Know Nothing Party and the People's Party, with the Know Nothing Party gaining significant traction in the 1854 elections [5][6] - The People's Party, founded in 1891, opposed monopolies in banking and railroads and garnered over 1 million votes in the 1892 elections, but eventually declined after aligning with the Democratic Party in 1896 [6][7] Modern Third Parties - Contemporary third parties include the Independent Party, Reform Party, and Green Party, with the Reform Party being established by billionaire Ross Perot in 1995 after his independent presidential run in 1992 [8][9] - The Reform Party's influence has diminished in the 21st century, similar to other third parties that have historically struggled to maintain a lasting presence in U.S. politics [9]
有的认为时机成熟,有的担心很难成功,美媒激辩马斯克建第三党
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-08 22:46
Core Viewpoint - The announcement by Elon Musk to establish a "American Party" has sparked significant discussion regarding the potential for a third political party in the United States, challenging the long-standing two-party system [1][3][7]. Historical Context - The U.S. has predominantly operated under a two-party system for over 200 years, with third-party candidates historically failing to gain substantial power [3][4]. - The last notable success of a third-party candidate was in 1968, and the most successful third-party candidate was Theodore Roosevelt in 1912, who garnered approximately 27% of the popular vote but only 88 electoral votes [4][5]. Structural Challenges - The electoral system in the U.S. favors a two-party structure due to the winner-takes-all principle and the electoral college system, making it difficult for third parties to compete effectively [5][6]. - The Democratic and Republican parties have historically adapted to maintain their dominance, often collaborating to suppress potential threats from third parties [6][11]. Public Sentiment - A significant portion of the American public, approximately 58%, believes that a third major party is needed, indicating dissatisfaction with the current two-party representation [7][8]. - Political polarization is a driving factor for the desire to establish a third party, as the binary system fosters extreme partisanship and identity politics [8][9]. Potential Strategies for Success - Experts suggest that for Musk's "American Party" to succeed, it should focus on swing states and grassroots mobilization while avoiding the pitfalls of previous third parties that failed to maintain visibility [13][14]. - Learning from successful political movements, such as the Tea Party, which reshaped the Republican Party from within, may provide a more viable path for Musk's initiative [11][14]. Ideological Focus - The "American Party" is expected to align ideologically closer to the right, with suggestions for policies that resonate with voters' concerns, such as trade, fiscal responsibility, and technological advancement [10][14]. - The current political landscape presents an opportunity for a new party to address issues that both major parties have overlooked, particularly in trade and government spending [12][14].
马斯克不是第一个想组“美国党”的人,他们都去哪儿了?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-07 14:23
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk has established the "American Party" with the clear goal of opposing Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" and creating a genuine third party to influence politics, encouraging supporters to break free from the two-party system [3][4]. Group 1: Political Landscape and Challenges - The entrenched two-party system in the U.S. poses significant challenges for Musk, as many doubt his ability to disrupt this established order [4][12]. - Musk's initial targets are modest, aiming for a few Senate and House seats that could sway policy decisions, especially in a closely divided Congress [6][12]. - Historical attempts at third parties in the U.S. have often ended in failure, with many such parties dissolving or merging back into the two main parties after brief successes [7][10][11]. Group 2: Historical Context of Third Parties - The original "American Party," known as the "Know Nothing Party," emerged in the 1840s, gaining significant political traction before fading away [9][10]. - The "American Independent Party," founded in 1969 by George Wallace, aimed to disrupt the political landscape but ultimately failed to maintain influence [10][11]. - The historical pattern shows that third parties often achieve temporary success but struggle to sustain their presence in the long term [11][12]. Group 3: Structural and Financial Barriers - The "winner-takes-all" electoral system in the U.S. inherently favors two parties, making it difficult for third parties to gain traction [12][13]. - Financial resources are crucial, and Musk's substantial investment of $290 million for the 2024 election may not be sufficient compared to the financial demands of national campaigns [12][13]. - The existing political infrastructure and grassroots organizations of the two main parties create formidable barriers for any new party attempting to establish itself [12][13]. Group 4: Current Political Dynamics - Despite dissatisfaction with the two-party system, new political movements often find their ideas absorbed by the existing parties, as seen with Trump's rise within the Republican Party [14][15]. - Musk's lack of clear, appealing political proposals may hinder his ability to attract both voters and politicians from the established parties [15]. - Previous political investments by Musk, such as funding a judicial election in Wisconsin, resulted in failure, indicating challenges in translating financial resources into political influence [15].
马斯克不是第一个想组“美国党”的人,他们都去哪儿了?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-07 08:25
Core Points - Elon Musk has established a new political party called the "American Party" with the aim of opposing Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" and creating a genuine third party to influence politics [2][4] - Musk's initial goal is modest, focusing on winning a few Senate and House seats to become a key player in policy decisions, rather than attempting to replace the existing parties outright [4][5] Historical Context - The concept of a third party in the U.S. is not new, with several historical examples, including the original "American Party" of the 1840s, which gained significant political traction before fading away [6][8] - The original "American Party" reached its peak in the 1850s, holding five Senate seats and over fifty House seats, but ultimately disbanded as members either joined other parties or became politically irrelevant [8][9] - More recent attempts at third parties, such as George Wallace's "American Independent Party" in 1968, also failed to maintain influence after initial successes [10][12] Challenges for Third Parties - The entrenched two-party system in the U.S. poses significant challenges for any new political party, as the "winner-takes-all" electoral system discourages votes for third parties [15][14] - Historical evidence suggests that third parties often struggle to maintain their presence and influence, typically dissolving or merging back into the two major parties [12][13] - Musk's financial backing, while substantial, may not be sufficient to overcome the established political structures and grassroots organizations of the existing parties [15][17] Current Political Landscape - Despite public dissatisfaction with the two-party system, new political movements often find their ideas co-opted by the major parties, limiting the space for third-party growth [18][19] - Musk's political influence is currently limited, as evidenced by his recent failed investment in a judicial election, which did not yield the desired results [21] - There may be opportunities for Musk to align with factions within the Republican Party, particularly those opposed to Trump, but his current political capital and appeal are questioned [20][21]
马斯克成立美国党还要过几道关?
财联社· 2025-07-06 08:03
Core Viewpoint - Establishing a third party to challenge the U.S. two-party system is a complex endeavor that may take years to address legal and economic challenges [1] Legal and Economic Challenges - Different states have varying requirements for new political parties to qualify for elections; for instance, in California, a new party must secure at least 0.33% of the state's voters or gather 1.1 million signatures [1] - National recognition requires approval from the Federal Election Commission, which is likely to face strong opposition from the Democratic and Republican parties [1] Funding Issues - Securing campaign funding poses a significant challenge; it is suggested that Elon Musk may need thousands of donors to finance his political party [1] Existing Political Landscape - Besides the Democratic and Republican parties, there are other parties like the Green Party and Libertarian Party, but they have not been able to significantly disrupt the dominance of the two major parties [1]
马斯克发起建党调查
中国基金报· 2025-07-05 09:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential formation of a new political party by Elon Musk in response to the "Big and Beautiful" bill signed by President Trump, which could significantly impact industries reliant on clean energy subsidies [1][2]. Group 1: Political Developments - Elon Musk proposed the idea of creating a new political party, referred to as the "American Party," to focus on a few key congressional seats, suggesting that this could influence contentious legislation [1]. - The "Big and Beautiful" bill includes substantial tax cuts and increased immigration enforcement spending while cutting federal funding for healthcare, solar, wind, and electric vehicle projects, which directly affects Musk's businesses [2]. Group 2: Challenges of Establishing a New Party - Experts indicate that if Musk pursues the establishment of a new party, he will face complex state laws that create significant barriers to entry for third parties [3]. - The legal and logistical challenges include time-consuming ballot access rules and potential litigation, which could be costly and difficult to navigate [4]. Group 3: Financial Considerations - Despite the potential high costs associated with legal challenges, Musk's substantial net worth, estimated at over $350 billion, suggests that financial constraints may not be a significant obstacle for him [4].
【解局】马斯克要建“美国党”,靠谱吗?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-02 11:15
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's proposal to establish a new political party, the "American Party," is a response to dissatisfaction with the current political landscape, particularly the Republican and Democratic parties [1][2][4] Group 1: Political Ideology and Structure - The "American Party" is expected to be based on two main ideological pillars: fiscal conservatism and proactive investment in future industries [2] - The party may focus less on traditional ideological concerns and more on reform, aiming to reduce regulatory burdens to enhance innovation, especially in biotechnology, artificial intelligence, and space [2] - It is anticipated that the party will maximize freedom of speech and may adopt a decentralized, skills-first approach to education [2][3] Group 2: Target Demographics - The "American Party" could attract tech-centric independents, disillusioned moderates, cultural libertarians who value free speech, influential social media users, and younger voters enthusiastic about technology and innovation [3] - The party's branding may reflect a minimalist and futuristic design, possibly incorporating digital elements and avoiding traditional patriotic symbols [3] Group 3: Challenges and Historical Context - Establishing a successful third party in the U.S. is historically difficult, with systemic barriers such as strict voting laws and the Electoral College making it challenging for new parties to gain traction [4][5] - Previous attempts at third parties have often resulted in limited success, with many failing to convert online support into tangible political influence [4][5] - Political analysts suggest that Musk's initiative may serve more as a disruptive force rather than a viable long-term political entity, potentially drawing votes away from mainstream candidates [6][7] Group 4: Future Implications - Musk's influence in American politics is expected to persist, whether through the establishment of the "American Party" or by supporting candidates through political action committees [7] - The potential for the "American Party" to split Republican votes could inadvertently strengthen the Democratic Party's position in upcoming elections [6][7]