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贸易战担忧缓解澳元收复失地
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-22 06:02
Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) has shown a positive trend, rising above 0.6500, with the latest exchange rate at 0.6505, reflecting a 0.28% increase. This rise is attributed to optimistic signals in international trade, particularly regarding a potential trade agreement between the US and China [1] - US President Trump indicated that implementing comprehensive tariffs on China is not sustainable and expressed hope for a high-quality agreement between the two nations. However, he warned of a potential 155% tariff if negotiations fail, making the upcoming US-China trade talks a focal point for the market [1] - The US government shutdown has entered its 22nd day, with the Senate failing to pass a funding bill for the 11th time, indicating a continued legislative deadlock [1] Group 2 - Market attention is shifting towards the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data set to be released on October 24, with expectations of a 0.4% month-on-month increase and a 3.1% year-on-year rise. Additionally, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on October 29 is anticipated to result in a 25 basis point rate cut, which may further influence the AUD's performance [2] - Technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD exchange rate has gained some bullish momentum, supported by the stability of the current support level at 0.6475. However, the negative pressure from trading below the EMA50 continues to limit recovery opportunities in the near term [2] - The AUD/USD has failed to break through the key resistance level of 0.6535, with a lack of new catalysts suggesting a potential for continued volatility in the short term. Analysts have identified support levels at 0.6440 and 0.6415, and resistance levels at 0.6535 and 0.6630, indicating the need for investors to monitor upcoming catalysts [2]
10月21日上期所沪金期货仓单较上一日增加1959千克
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-22 02:03
Group 1 - The total amount of gold futures at the Shanghai Futures Exchange is 86,565 kilograms, with an increase of 1,959 kilograms compared to the previous day [1] - The main gold futures contract opened at 990.00 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 1,001.96 CNY and a low of 982.28 CNY, currently trading at 994.06 CNY, reflecting a 2.02% increase [1] - Trading volume for the day is 496,445 contracts, with open interest decreasing by 2,806 contracts to 205,110 contracts [1] Group 2 - The market is focused on the upcoming U.S. CPI data to be released on October 24, with expectations of a 0.4% month-over-month increase and a 3.1% year-over-year increase [1] - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on October 29 is anticipated, with a general expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut [1]
美澳签署关键矿产协议 澳元关注后续催化剂
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-21 07:41
Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing a decline against the US dollar (USD), currently trading below 0.6500 at 0.6495, with a decrease of 0.27% as traders assess the impact of a key mineral agreement between the US and Australia [1] - The agreement, signed by US President Trump and Australian Prime Minister Albanese, supports "shovel-ready" projects worth $8.5 billion, aimed at expanding Australia's mining and processing capabilities [1] - Market focus is shifting towards the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release on October 24, with expectations of a 0.4% month-on-month increase and a 3.1% year-on-year rise [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD exchange rate failed to break the critical resistance level of 0.6535, suggesting a lack of new driving factors and potential for continued volatility in the short term [2] - Support levels are identified at 0.6440 and 0.6415, while resistance levels are at 0.6535 and 0.6630, indicating the need for investors to monitor future catalysts [2] - The currency pair is trading within a downward channel, with a bearish outlook reinforced by the 14-day RSI remaining below 50, suggesting further potential declines [2]