在股市变化走势中，如何把握住起点掌握利润，以及如何把握住卖点锁定利润，对于每一个投资者来说 都至关重要。实战操盘时，分析判断能力和决策把握能力缺一不可，分析判断能力能让投资者正确判断 出股市趋势的变化，决策把握能力能让投资者准确把握住股价走势的变化。 俗话说"没有不赚钱的股票，只有赚不到钱的操作"。也就是说，任何股票在投资者的手里都可以赚到 钱，但并不是随便地操作就会赚到钱。这就要求投资者对买卖点的把握要准确，只有把买点和卖点的位 置判断清楚，才能将股市当做自己的取款机。 4、主升浪一旦形成且没有明显放量，果断介入，缩量上涨持股，缩量下跌趋势未破持股，放量下跌趋 势破快速减仓。 5、当个股趋势向上时，除了成交量，什么指标都不要看，缩量、平量就持有，巨量天量你就跑，量价 是灵魂，量是水，价是船。 6、炒股要炒龙头，只干龙头，不干杂毛，因为涨的时候龙头股涨的最猛，跌的时候最抗跌，不要不敢 上车，炒股很多时候是反人性的，不要因为跌的多而去买，不因涨的多而不买，越不敢买的越涨，越敢 买的越跌，强者恒强，炒龙头短线最重要的是高位买，更高位卖！ 7、拥抱趋势，顺势而为，股票买入的价格并不是越低越好，而是越合适越好，你不会 ...

Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is scheduled to release its earnings on July 24, 2025, with historical trends indicating a tendency for negative one-day returns post-announcement [2][3] - Analysts project earnings of $0.49 per share and sales of $4.14 billion for the upcoming quarter, reflecting growth from last year's earnings of $0.45 per share and sales of $3.92 billion [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $45 billion, with $16 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, resulting in operating profits of $3.3 billion and a net income of $1.5 billion, showcasing strong operational profitability [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, KDP has recorded 15 earnings data points, with 7 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 47% of the time [7] - The median of the 7 positive returns is 2.4%, while the median of the 8 negative returns is -1.9% [7] - The percentage of positive one-day returns increases to 67% when analyzing data from the last 3 years [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider establishing positions prior to the earnings announcement based on historical probabilities [6] - Post-earnings analysis can help traders evaluate the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns to inform their positioning [6] - A strategy involving the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be employed, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [8]

Core Insights - IBM is scheduled to release its earnings report on July 23, 2025, with historical data indicating a 63% probability of positive one-day returns following earnings releases, with a median return of 4.8% and a peak return of 13.0% [1][6]. Earnings Forecast - The current consensus for IBM's upcoming earnings is $2.66 per share on revenue of $16.58 billion, representing an increase from the previous year's earnings of $2.43 per share on revenue of $15.77 billion [2]. Financial Performance - IBM has a market capitalization of $265 billion, with revenue of $63 billion, operating income of $10 billion, and a net profit of $5.5 billion over the past twelve months [3]. Historical Earnings Data - Over the last five years, there have been 19 earnings data points, with 12 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 63% occurrence of positive returns. This percentage increases to 64% when considering the last three years [6]. Return Correlation - An analysis of the correlation between one-day, five-day, and twenty-one-day returns can provide insights for traders. If the one-day return is positive, traders may consider going long for the subsequent five days if a strong correlation exists [7].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a nearly one-sided upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding 400 points since its low in April, and small-cap indices approaching new highs [1][5] - The Hong Kong stock market shows a more significant rebound, particularly in the Hang Seng Medical and Technology indices, indicating a broad-based rally [1][5] - There is a notable rotation in sectors, with healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and pet economy stocks gaining attention, while the white wine sector remains underperforming [3][5] Group 2 - The market is expected to see a new rally, likely driven by a collective rise in sectors such as white wine, securities, and real estate, with a target of returning to 3400 points [5] - The current market environment suggests that as long as investors avoid chasing prices, they will not incur losses, emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for opportunities to arise [5][3] - The Hong Kong market still presents opportunities, particularly in the Hang Seng Technology and Medical indices, which are at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [5][3]