Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesSOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesKeurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) is set to release its earnings on Thursday, July 24, 2025. Historically, KDP stock has exhibited a tendency for negative one-day returns in the aftermath of earnings announcements. In the past five years, the stock declined the day after earnings in 53% of instances. The median one-day drop was -1.9%, with the biggest single-day decrease reaching -4.8%.While the ...

Core Insights - IBM is scheduled to release its earnings report on July 23, 2025, with historical data indicating a 63% probability of positive one-day returns following earnings releases, with a median return of 4.8% and a peak return of 13.0% [1][6]. Earnings Forecast - The current consensus for IBM's upcoming earnings is $2.66 per share on revenue of $16.58 billion, representing an increase from the previous year's earnings of $2.43 per share on revenue of $15.77 billion [2]. Financial Performance - IBM has a market capitalization of $265 billion, with revenue of $63 billion, operating income of $10 billion, and a net profit of $5.5 billion over the past twelve months [3]. Historical Earnings Data - Over the last five years, there have been 19 earnings data points, with 12 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 63% occurrence of positive returns. This percentage increases to 64% when considering the last three years [6]. Return Correlation - An analysis of the correlation between one-day, five-day, and twenty-one-day returns can provide insights for traders. If the one-day return is positive, traders may consider going long for the subsequent five days if a strong correlation exists [7].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a nearly one-sided upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding 400 points since its low in April, and small-cap indices approaching new highs [1][5] - The Hong Kong stock market shows a more significant rebound, particularly in the Hang Seng Medical and Technology indices, indicating a broad-based rally [1][5] - There is a notable rotation in sectors, with healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and pet economy stocks gaining attention, while the white wine sector remains underperforming [3][5] Group 2 - The market is expected to see a new rally, likely driven by a collective rise in sectors such as white wine, securities, and real estate, with a target of returning to 3400 points [5] - The current market environment suggests that as long as investors avoid chasing prices, they will not incur losses, emphasizing the importance of patience and waiting for opportunities to arise [5][3] - The Hong Kong market still presents opportunities, particularly in the Hang Seng Technology and Medical indices, which are at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [5][3]