Core Viewpoint - The A-share securities sector has been actively rising due to multiple favorable factors, including better-than-expected earnings, increased capital allocation, and business innovation [1][2]. Group 1: Performance - The securities sector saw a rise of over 6% from July 1 to July 23, with individual stocks like Zhongyin Securities leading with a 29.28% increase [1]. - Major listed brokers are expected to report significant profit growth, with Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities forecasting a net profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 205% to 218% [1]. - Other firms like Guolian Minsheng and Huaxi Securities are also expected to see over 1000% year-on-year growth in net profit [1]. Group 2: Capital Allocation - Public funds significantly increased their allocation to securities stocks in the second quarter, with the proportion of active equity funds holding securities stocks rising by 0.28 percentage points to 0.64% [1][2]. - The top five A-share securities stocks held by active equity funds as of the end of the second quarter were Huatai Securities, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Guotai Junan, and China Galaxy, with holdings of 2.1 billion, 1.7 billion, 1.5 billion, 700 million, and 500 million yuan respectively [2]. Group 3: Business Innovation - The exploration of virtual asset businesses has emerged as a new highlight in the industry, with firms like Guotai Junan, Tianfeng Securities, and Dongfang Wealth entering the virtual asset trading service market through their Hong Kong subsidiaries [2]. - Analysts believe that the securities sector's valuation is currently low, with a price-to-book ratio of approximately 1.5, indicating a potential for valuation recovery [2]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The securities sector is viewed as a preferred allocation direction in the market due to its "low valuation + high elasticity" appeal, with analysts optimistic about future performance [2]. - The framework for high-quality development in the securities industry is taking shape, with a focus on mergers and acquisitions, wealth management transformation, and innovation in licensing [3].

Group 1 - The A-share market opened with slight fluctuations on June 27, with the brokerage sector continuing to perform strongly, as evidenced by Tianfeng Securities rising over 5% and Huaxi Securities rising over 4% [1] - The issuance of the "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support to Boost and Expand Consumption" on June 24 is expected to enhance the business climate for securities companies, particularly in investment banking [1] - The approval of virtual asset trading service licenses for Guotai Junan's Hong Kong subsidiary marks a significant breakthrough for mainland brokerages in expanding into virtual asset businesses [1] Group 2 - The brokerage ETF (159842) tracks the leading companies in China's brokerage industry, with its main businesses such as brokerage, proprietary investment, and wealth management closely tied to capital market conditions [1] - The current PB valuation of the securities III index (CITIC) is 1.37x, which is at approximately the 45th percentile since 2018, indicating a moderate valuation level [2] - The Wind[HK] Chinese brokerage index has a PB valuation of 0.69x, positioned at around the 52nd percentile since 2018, suggesting strong potential for price appreciation in the brokerage sector [2]

Group 1 - The brokerage sector experienced a strong performance on the 27th, with Tianfeng Securities hitting the daily limit, Huaxi Securities rising over 8%, and other firms like Guosheng Jinkong and Xiangcai Shares increasing by more than 5% [1] - The People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission, along with other departments, issued guidelines to support and expand consumption, which is expected to enhance the business environment for securities firms [1] - Guotai Junan International, a subsidiary of Guotai Haitong, received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its license, allowing it to provide virtual asset trading services, marking a significant breakthrough for mainland brokerages [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities noted that the guidelines for financial support of consumption are likely to improve the business climate for investment banking within securities firms [2] - The approval for virtual asset trading services is seen as a major breakthrough for mainland brokerages' operations in Hong Kong, potentially accelerating the application for related licenses [2] - Current PB valuations for the securities sector indicate that the brokerage sector has strong upside potential, with the Citic Securities III index at 1.37 times and the Wind Chinese brokerage index at 0.69 times, both reflecting moderate levels [2]