Domestic Economic Indicators - During the Dragon Boat Festival, domestic travel reached 119 million trips, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with total spending of 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9%[6] - The Caixin Manufacturing PMI for May recorded 48.3, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points from April, marking the first drop below the critical point since October 2022[8] - The Caixin Services PMI for May rose to 51.1, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from April, indicating marginal improvement in the services sector[8] Monetary Policy and Market Trends - The People's Bank of China conducted a 1 trillion yuan reverse repo operation to maintain reasonable liquidity, reflecting a continued "moderately loose" monetary policy stance[13] - M2 growth in Q1 2025 was 7%, while the total social financing stock increased by 8.2%, indicating a stable monetary environment[13] - The average interbank market interest rate, DR007, fell by 14 basis points to 1.6% in May, suggesting overall liquidity is easing[14] International Economic Developments - The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was 48.5, indicating a contraction for the third consecutive month, with new orders declining for four months in a row[18] - The Eurozone's May harmonized CPI was 1.9%, falling below the ECB's 2% target for the first time in eight months, prompting a 25 basis point rate cut by the ECB[20][21] - South Korea's new president, Lee Jae-myung, has initiated economic reforms focusing on semiconductor strategy and labor market adjustments, amidst challenges from global economic conditions[22][23] Commodity Market Insights - Brent crude oil prices increased by 4.01% week-on-week, while iron ore and copper prices fell by 0.55% and 0.04%, respectively[26] - Saudi Arabia plans to increase oil production by at least 411,000 barrels per day in August and possibly September, aiming to capture market share amid fluctuating global demand[24]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - For soda ash, although the overall profit on the supply - side has declined, natural soda ash projects maintain high profits. Traditional backward - capacity maintenance has intensified, and the expansion of natural soda ash project capacity has led to an increase in production and capacity utilization, resulting in significant supply pressure. On the demand side, while futures and spot traders are active and restocking is sufficient, the decline in soda ash spot prices is expected to lead to a slowdown in demand and a decrease in the de - stocking speed. The main downstream industries of soda ash, such as float glass and photovoltaic glass, are not optimistic. Therefore, it is recommended to go short on the soda ash main contract after a rebound [2]. - For glass, on the supply side, the resumption of production lines in some areas has increased the weekly output, but the overall industry profit is poor, and the willingness of enterprises to support prices is limited, so the subsequent resumption of production may decline. On the demand side, the current real - estate situation is not optimistic, and demand will weaken further in the traditional off - season. Downstream deep - processing orders are unstable, and purchases are mainly for rigid needs. The increase in the inventory of automobile glass factories cannot offset the weak demand related to real estate, and photovoltaic glass also faces inventory pressure. It is expected that there is still upward momentum in the short term, and it is recommended to go short after a short - term rebound [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Price and Spread**: The closing price of the soda ash main contract is 240 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 22 yuan; the closing price of the glass main contract is 963 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 25 yuan. The soda ash - glass price difference is 1203 yuan/ton. The 9 - 1 contract spread of soda ash is 7 yuan, with a decrease of 2 yuan; the 9 - 1 contract spread of glass is - 55 yuan, with a decrease of 3 yuan. The basis of soda ash is 5 yuan, with a decrease of 45 yuan; the basis of glass is 68 yuan, with a decrease of 46 yuan [2]. - **Position and Warehouse Receipt**: The position of the soda ash main contract is 1443208 lots, with a decrease of 65754 lots; the position of the glass main contract is 1552205 lots, with an increase of 107933 lots. The net position of the top 20 in soda ash is - 227449 lots, with a decrease of 52982 lots; the net position of the top 20 in glass is - 220121 lots, with a decrease of 45869 lots. The soda ash exchange warehouse receipt is 3340 tons, with an increase of 1278 tons; the glass exchange warehouse receipt is 0 tons, with no change [2]. 现货市场 - **Soda Ash**: The price of North China heavy soda ash is 1230 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 5 yuan; the price of Central China heavy soda ash is 1350 yuan/ton, with no change. The price of East China light soda ash is 1340 yuan/ton, with no change; the price of Central China light soda ash is 1285 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. - **Glass**: The price of Shahe glass sheets is 1056 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 12 yuan; the price of Central China glass sheets is 1070 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. Industry Situation - **Operating Rate**: The operating rate of soda ash plants is 78.57%, with a decrease of 0.06 percentage points; the operating rate of float glass enterprises is 75.68%, with an increase of 0.34 percentage points [2]. - **Production Capacity and Inventory**: The in - production capacity of glass is 15.63 million tons/year, with no change; the number of in - production glass production lines is 225, with an increase of 2. The inventory of soda ash enterprises is 162.43 million tons, with an increase of 2.2 million tons; the inventory of glass enterprises is 6766.2 million heavy - boxes, with a decrease of 10.7 million heavy - boxes [2]. 下游情况 - **Real - Estate**: The cumulative new construction area of real estate is 17835.84 million square meters, with an increase of 4839.38 million square meters; the cumulative completed area of real estate is 15647.85 million square meters, with an increase of 2587.58 million square meters [2]. 行业消息 - Multiple industry news is reported, including the organization of the first - batch pilot work of new - type power system construction by the National Energy Administration, the research and deployment of promoting the development of the artificial - intelligence industry by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the preliminary estimate of 124 million new - energy passenger - vehicle wholesale sales in May by the Passenger Car Association with a year - on - year increase of 38%, etc. [2] 宏观情况 - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in May is 48.3, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points from April, and it has fallen below the critical point for the first time since last October [2].

Key Points - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is considering introducing virtual asset derivatives trading for professional investors [1] Company News - Sanhua Intelligent Control has passed the main board listing hearing at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2] - Haitian Flavoring and Food Company has approved the global offering of H-shares and related matters for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2] - According to the China Passenger Car Association, BYD's sales in May are estimated to reach 376,930 units [2] - China State Construction International's subsidiary is investing 7.491 billion yuan in a real estate project in Beijing [2] - Chow Tai Fook Jewellery has passed the listing hearing at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and is reportedly conducting a pre-roadshow, planning to raise up to 1.57 billion HKD [2] - Gemdale Properties' cumulative contract sales for the first five months are approximately 4.139 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 44.83% [2] - Sincere Watch International's cumulative net operating revenue for the first five months is approximately 6.657 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of about 8.4% [2] - Agile Group's contract sales in May amounted to 930 million yuan, with cumulative contract sales from January to May reaching 4.24 billion yuan [2] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. has reached a strategic cooperation with A.P. Moller-Maersk to accelerate the electrification of container handling equipment using high-performance batteries and system-level solutions [2]

Macro Trends - The central government plans to support 20 cities in implementing urban renewal actions, including major cities like Beijing, Guangzhou, and Tianjin [1] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is conducting intensive research on eight central enterprises, signaling the direction for future state-owned enterprise reforms [2] Market Adjustments - FTSE Russell announced adjustments to several indices, including the FTSE China 50 Index and FTSE China A50 Index, effective June 20, 2025 [3] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has initiated a pilot program for the re-issuance of corporate bonds and asset-backed securities, aiming to enhance market liquidity and promote high-quality development in the bond market [3] Energy Sector Developments - The National Energy Administration is promoting breakthroughs in the construction of new power systems, focusing on various innovative technologies and models [4] Financial Innovations - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is considering introducing virtual asset derivatives trading for professional investors, aiming to enhance product offerings while ensuring orderly and transparent trading [5] Company News - Wantai Biological Pharmacy's nine-valent HPV vaccine has been approved for market launch, targeting women aged 9 to 45, which will enhance the company's product line and competitiveness [8] - Hainan Huatie is planning to issue shares overseas and list on the Singapore Exchange to advance its international strategy [9] - Maiwei Co. intends to invest 100 million yuan in a fund focused on growth-stage companies in the new energy and semiconductor sectors [10] - Suqian Agricultural Development plans to acquire a 28.75% stake in Jinyang Sun Grain and Oil for 178 million yuan [11] - CITIC Securities has received approval to issue up to 8 billion yuan in technology innovation corporate bonds to professional investors [12] - Zhongke Electric plans to invest up to 8 billion yuan in a lithium-ion battery anode material integrated base project in Oman [13] - Feiya Technology intends to acquire all or part of the equity of Chang Kong Gear [14] - Lehui International's fresh beer business is currently small and in a loss phase, with projected losses of 60.65 million yuan and 75.28 million yuan for 2023 and 2024, respectively [15] - Harta Technology is validating RFID chips for railway applications [17] - Xidi Micro has established partnerships with several well-known brands in the AI glasses sector [16] - Yutong Heavy Industry reports limited orders for its L4 autonomous sanitation vehicles, contributing minimally to its performance [17] - Huamao Technology plans to acquire a 57.84% stake in Fuchuang Youyue, with stock resuming trading [18] - Kingsoft Office intends to acquire the remaining 31.9769% stake in its subsidiary, Shuke Network Technology, for 254 million yuan [19] - Li New Energy plans to invest approximately 1.25 billion yuan in three independent energy storage projects [20]