摩根大通发表研究报告指，中国太平自8月28日公布中期业绩后股价累计下跌18%，表现跑输大市，相 信是由于投资者对其贝塔策略主题信心减弱。该行指，目前仍维持中国太平"减持"评级，指出至今年底 前仍存在两大下行风险，包括市场预期尚未上调盈利预测以及收益率前景黯淡，预料将抵销掉可持续承 保表现所带来的潜在上行空间，导致其股价在今年底前较难跑赢大市。摩通将目标价预测时间框架延伸 至明年6月，目标价由8.2港元上调至9.4港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that MTR Corporation's recurring profit growth remains weak due to rising expenses potentially dragging down profits, while revenues also remain weak [1] Financial Performance - Credit Lyonnais has lowered the target price for MTR Corporation from HKD 30 to HKD 27 and downgraded the rating from outperform to hold [1] - The firm has reduced its recurring profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 28% and 33% respectively [1] Capital Expenditure and Debt Ratios - Increased capital expenditures may lead to MTR's adjusted net debt-to-equity ratios rising to 46% and 55% for 2026 and 2027 respectively [1] - The forecast for MTR's working capital to net debt ratio for 2027 has been lowered to 14% [1] Dividend and Risk Assessment - With a dividend yield of 4.8% per year, Credit Lyonnais considers MTR's risk-return profile unattractive and does not rule out the possibility of issuing convertible bonds or even equity [1]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - The report focuses on the new changes in credit rating adjustments in 2025 and the key points in rating reports, analyzing the rating adjustment characteristics and reasons of urban investment, industrial, and financial bonds [10]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. 2025, Rating Report Focus Points 1.1. Urban Investment (Chengtou) Subject Rating Report - Regional negative public opinions, such as local fiscal revenue decline, heavy government debt burden, and frequent capital chain tensions of Chengtou companies, have become important factors affecting credit ratings [12]. - The appearance of "public - welfare" in the report implies poor profitability of the current business segment, which requires government financial subsidies [13]. 1.2. Industrial Bond Subject Rating Report - For real - estate, the quality of land reserves is more important than quantity, and projects in first - tier cities have stronger profit potential [15]. - For construction, ratings focus more on order quality and structure, including order structure, regional distribution, and owner credit [16]. 1.3. Financial Bond Subject Rating Report - Non - interest income, such as fees and commissions, provides an additional income source for financial institutions in a narrowing net interest margin environment, but is also affected by regulatory policies [17][18]. - Regulatory authorities promote the reduction of non - standard investments to improve asset quality, and rating reports pay attention to its impact on financial institutions [19]. 2. Characteristics of Rating Adjustments Since the First Half of 2025 2.1. Changes in Urban Investment (Chengtou) Subject Rating Adjustments - **Upward Adjustments**: In the first half of 2025, the number of Chengtou subjects with upward - adjusted ratings increased to 33 from 28 in the same period of 2024, and reached 41 as of August 12, 2025. Upward - adjusted platforms are mainly at the prefecture - level and district - county levels, concentrated in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Hunan, and Shanghai. The main reasons for upward adjustments include regional economic advantages, increased government support, prominent strategic positioning, good self - operation and financial conditions, and strong industry prospects and competitiveness [51][53][63]. - **Downward Adjustments**: In the first half of 2025, the number of Chengtou subjects with downward - adjusted ratings decreased to 3 from 7 in the same period of 2024, and reached 4 as of August 12, 2025. Downward - adjusted subjects are mainly from Guizhou and Yunnan, at the district - county, prefecture - level, and national - level park levels. The main reasons for downward adjustments include changes in business and functions, deterioration of financial conditions, and increased contingent risks [68][73][78]. - **Implied Rating Adjustments**: As of August 12, 2025, 23 platforms had upward - adjusted ChinaBond implied ratings, and 14 had downward - adjusted ratings. Platforms with upward - adjusted ratings from AA - to AA(2) are concentrated in Jiangsu and Jiangxi, mainly at the district - county level; those with downward - adjusted ratings from AA(2) to AA - are concentrated in Guangxi, all at the prefecture - level [81][86][89]. 2.2. Changes in Industrial Bond Issuer Rating Adjustments - As of August 12, 2025, 16 non - financial industrial bond issuers had upward - adjusted ratings, and 43 had downward - adjusted ratings (4 after excluding convertible - bond - only issuers). Upward - adjusted industries are mainly power, infrastructure construction, and trade, and the main reasons include strong government support, significant industry status and competitive advantages, large project investment and development potential, and improved financial conditions and profitability. Downward - adjusted reasons mainly include high debt - repayment pressure and declining profitability [4][90][100]. 2.3. Changes in Financial Bond Issuer Rating Adjustments - As of August 12, 2025, 18 financial bond issuers had upward - adjusted ratings, and 6 had downward - adjusted ratings. The number of upward - adjusted financial bond issuers increased in the first half of 2025. Upward - adjusted reasons mainly include strong shareholder background, improved business development and profitability, enhanced asset quality and risk management ability, smooth financing channels, and significant regional advantages. Downward - adjusted reasons mainly include poor asset quality, declining profitability, insufficient capital, high shareholder credit risk, and large liquidity pressure [5][105][108].

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that HSBC Holdings' adjusted pre-tax profit for the second quarter exceeded the bank's expectations and market consensus by 10% and 12% respectively, primarily driven by non-interest income [1] - Net interest income also surpassed expectations by 2%, and HSBC reaffirmed its full-year net interest income guidance, which Morgan Stanley believes can offset the impact of higher provisions for Hong Kong commercial real estate, alleviating concerns for the quarter [1] - Morgan Stanley raised its earnings per share forecast for HSBC by 1.6% to 3%, aligning closely with consensus [1] Group 2 - HSBC is rated "in line with the market" for its London listing and "overweight" for its H-shares, with the target price increased from HKD 90 to HKD 107.1 [1]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Global Research has raised the target price for China Molybdenum (01208.HK) by 18.5% to HKD 3.2, while downgrading the rating from Buy to Hold due to copper price downside risks and lack of dividends [1] Group 1: Target Price Adjustment - The target price for China Molybdenum has been increased from HKD 2.7 to HKD 3.2, reflecting a 18.5% rise [1] - The stock price has increased over 30% in the past month, indicating positive developments in the copper industry and improved profit outlook for the group [1] Group 2: Rating Change and Market Conditions - HSBC believes the current valuation of the stock is reasonable, leading to the downgrade of the rating from Buy to Hold [1] - Despite potential increases in copper prices, HSBC sees limited upside for the stock price, while downside risks are intensifying [1]