Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold and silver prices marks a rare event, with gold experiencing its largest single-day drop since April 2013 and silver its largest drop since 2021 [1][2]. Price Movements - On October 21, spot gold fell by 6.3%, closing at $4,124.355 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures dropped by 5.07% to $4,138.5 per ounce [1]. - Spot silver saw a decline of 7.11%, with COMEX silver futures down by 6.27% [1]. - Following the initial drop, gold prices rebounded slightly to above $4,070 per ounce [1]. Causes of the Decline - Analysts attribute the price drop primarily to profit-taking and a decrease in safe-haven demand due to easing global trade tensions [2]. - A strengthening U.S. dollar has made precious metals more expensive for most buyers, further contributing to the decline [2]. - Changes in the Russia-Ukraine situation have also introduced volatility in the gold market, with European leaders expressing strong support for U.S. positions on Ukraine [2]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Independent metal trader Tai Wong noted that recent high volatility in gold prices may lead to short-term profit-taking [3]. - Hudson Attar from Bridgewater expressed uncertainty about the future of the gold market, suggesting that the likelihood of a decline is greater than further increases [4]. - Attar highlighted that the sustainability of high-net-worth Western investors' gold purchases is crucial for future price support [4]. Long-term Projections - HSBC's commodity outlook report suggests that gold's upward momentum could continue until 2026, driven by strong central bank purchases and ongoing fiscal concerns in the U.S., with a target price of $5,000 per ounce [5]. - The report emphasizes that the U.S. fiscal deficit is a significant factor driving gold demand, as investors increasingly view gold as a hedge against debt sustainability risks and potential dollar weakness [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant drop in gold and silver prices, highlighting the largest single-day declines since 2013 and 2021 respectively, driven by profit-taking and reduced safe-haven demand due to easing global trade tensions and a stronger US dollar [3][6]. Price Movements - On October 21, gold prices fell by 6.3%, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013, with current prices at $4,128.27 per ounce, down 5.24% [3][4]. - Silver prices experienced a decline of 8.7%, the largest drop since 2021, with current prices at $48.58 per ounce, down 7.29% [3][4]. Market Analysis - Analysts attribute the price drop to profit-taking by investors, alongside a decrease in safe-haven demand due to improved global trade conditions and a stronger US dollar, making precious metals more expensive for buyers [6]. - The market had previously anticipated further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which had driven gold prices to new highs, but the current pullback is seen as a buying opportunity if the CPI data does not show unexpected increases [6]. Geopolitical Factors - Changes in the Russia-Ukraine situation have introduced volatility in the gold market, with European leaders expressing strong support for the US stance on Ukraine and planning to increase pressure on Russia while supporting Ukraine [7].

Core Insights - Gold and silver prices experienced significant declines, with gold dropping 6.3%, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013, and silver falling 8.7%, the largest drop since 2021 [1][3] Price Movements - As of the report, spot gold was down 5.24% at $4128.27 per ounce, while spot silver was down 7.29% at $48.58 per ounce [1][3] - Gold opened at $4359.15, reached a high of $4375.27, and a low of $4082, closing at $4128.27 [2] - Silver opened at $52.48, peaked at $52.68, and hit a low of $47, closing at $48.58 [3] Market Analysis - Analysts indicated that profit-taking was a primary reason for the price drop, alongside a temporary easing of global trade tensions which reduced safe-haven demand [3][4] - The strengthening of the US dollar made precious metals more expensive for most buyers, contributing to the decline [3] Future Outlook - Market analysts believe that as long as the Federal Reserve maintains its current interest rate path, any pullback in gold prices will be viewed as a buying opportunity [4] - Upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is expected to influence gold's upward momentum, provided there are no unexpected increases [4] - Changes in the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation, may also impact the gold market significantly [4]

Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices experienced significant declines, with gold dropping 6.3%, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013, and silver falling 8.7%, the largest drop since 2021 [1][3]. Price Movements - As of the report, spot gold was down 5.24% at $4128.27 per ounce, while spot silver was down 7.29% at $48.58 per ounce [1]. - Gold opened at $4359.15, reached a high of $4375.27, and a low of $4082, reflecting a total decline of 6.30% [2]. - Silver opened at $52.68, with a low of $47 and a high of $52.48, resulting in a total decline of 7.29% [3]. Market Analysis - Analysts indicated that profit-taking was a primary reason for the sharp decline in prices, alongside a temporary easing of global trade tensions which reduced safe-haven demand [3]. - The strengthening of the US dollar made precious metals more expensive for most buyers, contributing to the price drop [3]. Future Outlook - Market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong safe-haven demand had previously driven gold prices to new highs [4]. - Analysts believe that any pullback in gold prices will be viewed as a buying opportunity, especially if upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data does not show unexpected increases [4]. - Changes in the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation, could also introduce volatility in the gold market [4].

Fundamental Analysis - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for June showed strong performance, with 147,000 new jobs added, exceeding the expected 110,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1% [1] - Initial jobless claims remained low at 233,000, indicating resilience in the labor market, which boosts the economic outlook for the U.S. [1] - This data has strengthened the U.S. dollar and suppressed gold prices, while also reducing market expectations for a short-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary warned countries against delaying trade negotiations, suggesting that tariffs could rise to levels seen on April 2, affecting around 100 countries with at least 10% reciprocal tariffs [1] - The passage of the "Big and Beautiful" bill in the House indicates a trend towards expansionary fiscal policy, potentially supporting the economy and lowering safe-haven demand [1] - The Atlanta Fed President indicated that the U.S. economy may experience prolonged high inflation, reinforcing market expectations for sustained high interest rates, which increases the holding cost of gold [1] - Discussions between Trump and Putin regarding the Middle East and Ukraine, along with plans to restart nuclear negotiations with Iran, have eased geopolitical risks, diminishing gold's appeal as a safe haven [1] Gold Market Analysis - The gold price has shown a bearish trend after retreating from its high, currently facing pressure from the non-farm data, trading below the 20 and 60-period moving averages [4] - The price is under pressure from the middle Bollinger Band, with potential further resistance from the upper Bollinger Band as time progresses [4] - The CCI indicator has entered the overbought zone, suggesting a possible short-term pullback in gold prices [4] Trading Strategy - A short position is recommended around 3338.2, with a stop loss at 3345.0 and targets set at 3311.5 to 3283.5 [5] Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is currently in a weekly oscillation phase, with the recent non-farm data exerting downward pressure on bullish momentum [8] - The price is facing strong resistance near the upper boundary of the weekly oscillation and the previous high of 37.06, indicating potential obstacles for upward movement [8] - The CCI indicator has entered the oversold zone, suggesting weakness in the market [8] Trading Strategy for Silver - A short position is suggested around 36.97, with a stop loss at 37.20 and targets set at 36.49 to 36.16 [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent U.S. Federal Court ruling has boosted market risk sentiment, leading to a decrease in safe-haven demand and a decline in gold prices for four consecutive trading days, reaching a one-and-a-half-week low [1] - Multiple factors are pressuring gold prices, including hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and the dollar index returning to the 100 mark [1] - Despite the recent weakness in gold prices due to a rebound in the dollar and decreased safe-haven demand, medium to long-term support factors are accumulating, particularly in the context of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Group 2 - The upcoming release of the U.S. PCE price index on Friday is highlighted as an important reference point for assessing the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction and gold price trends [1] - The short-term gold price trend is indicated to be weak, with the Bollinger Bands showing an upward opening, while the short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, continuing to exert pressure on gold prices [3] - The suggested trading strategy includes maintaining a low long position, focusing on buying opportunities after pullbacks, with specific resistance and support levels identified for trading [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a decline in gold prices due to easing trade tensions and a decrease in safe-haven demand, alongside a strengthening dollar impacting the attractiveness of gold as a safe asset [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold futures have plummeted as trade tensions ease and safe-haven demand diminishes [1] - A strong dollar has further dampened enthusiasm for gold as a safe asset, making dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for international buyers [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - There is optimism in the market regarding a potential trade agreement in the U.S., leading to increased risk appetite [1] - Following the release of a series of weak economic data, expectations for interest rate cuts in the U.S. have risen, as the economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter [1] - Lower interest rates typically stimulate demand for non-yielding gold [1]