Workflow
美联储鹰派信号
icon
Search documents
中国资产,深夜爆发!美股齐跌,沃尔玛重挫
第一财经· 2025-08-21 23:39
截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.81点,跌幅0.34%,收于44785.50点;标普500指数下 跌 25.61 点 , 跌 幅 0.40% , 至 6370.17 点 ; 纳 斯 达 克 综 合 指 数 下 跌 72.54 点 , 跌 幅 0.34% , 报 21100.31点。 2025.08. 22 本文字数:1221,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 胡弋杰 周四,美国股市主要指数延续跌势, 标普500指数连续第五日下挫, 投资者担忧美联储主席鲍威尔 可能在杰克逊霍尔经济政策研讨会上释放鹰派信号。 大宗商品方面,国际油价21日上涨。截至当天收盘,纽约商品交易所10月交货的轻质原油期货价格 上涨81美分,收于每桶63.52美元,涨幅为1.29%;10月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨83美 分,收于每桶67.67美元,涨幅为1.24%。 科技股近期的调整势头仍在延续,大型科技股普遍走弱,特斯拉收跌 1.17%,Meta跌1.15%,亚 马逊跌0.83%,苹果跌0.49%,英伟达跌0.24%,微软跌0.13%,谷歌收涨0.22%。 热门中概股多数上涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨1.35%。小鹏 ...
瑞达期货不锈钢产业日报-20250821
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 08:59
| 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:不锈钢(日,元/吨) | 12795 | -25 09-10月合约价差:不锈钢(日,元/吨) | -65 | 0 3046 | | | 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:不锈钢(日,手) | -10049 | 135 主力合约持仓量:不锈钢(日,手) | 138810 | | | | 仓单数量:不锈钢(日,吨) | 118640 | -1129 | | | | 现货市场 | 304/2B卷:切边:无锡(日,元/吨) | 13700 | 0 市场价:废不锈钢304:无锡(日,元/吨) | 9650 | 0 | | | SS主力合约基差(日,元/吨) | 400 | 40 | | | | 上游情况 | 电解镍产量(月,吨) | 29430 | 1120 镍铁产量合计(月,万金属吨) | 2.22 | -0.04 | | | 进口数量:精炼镍及合金(月,吨) | 17215.27 | -472.3 进口数量:镍铁(月,万吨) | ...
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20250821
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 08:56
库延续累增,现货升水下跌;海外LME库存下降明显,LME现货升水下调,对国内锌价支撑或减弱。技术面 研究员: 王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 ,持仓低位价格调整,跌破MA60,关注22000支撑。操作上,建议暂时观望,或区间操作。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 沪锌产业日报 2025-08-21 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪锌主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 22240 | -25 09-10月合约价差:沪锌(日,元/吨) | 20 ...
黄金、白银期货品种周报-20250623
Chang Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 01:23
Group 1: General Information - Report Period: June 23 - 27, 2025 [1] - Report Title: Weekly Report on Gold and Silver Futures [2] Group 2: Gold Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in an upward channel, and it may be near the end of the trend [7] - Trend Logic: Last week, the Fed's hawkish signals pushed up the US dollar and US Treasury yields, suppressing the gold price. However, geopolitical risks (escalation of the Middle - East conflict) and ETF purchases (an 8.31 - ton weekly increase in SPDR) provided support, causing gold to enter a consolidation phase. Next week, focus on economic data (core PCE, non - farm payrolls) and geopolitical situations. Weak data strengthening the interest - rate cut expectation or new changes in the Middle - East may lead to a gold price rebound; a continuously strengthening US dollar may continue to drive the price down. Central bank gold purchases provide long - term support, but policy fluctuations may intensify short - term volatility [7] - Mid - term Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [8] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: It was expected that the main gold contract 2508 would fluctuate at a high level in the short term, and it was recommended to wait and see. The lower support was 774 - 782, and the upper resistance was 800 - 808 [10] - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: It is expected that the main gold contract 2508 will fluctuate at a high level in the short term, and it is recommended to wait and see. The lower support is 766 - 775, and the upper resistance is 800 - 808 [11] 3. Relevant Data - Data includes the trend of Shanghai Gold and COMEX gold prices, SPDR gold ETF holdings, COMEX gold inventory, 10 - year US Treasury yields, US dollar index, US dollar against offshore RMB, gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and gold's internal - external price difference [17][19][21] Group 3: Silver Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a consolidation phase, and it may be near the end of the trend [30] - Trend Logic: Last week, the silver price first rose and then fell, mainly driven by fluctuations in Fed policy expectations (interest rates remained unchanged but the easing expectation increased) and US dollar fluctuations. The industrial property of silver (surge in photovoltaic demand + global shortage) drove the silver price to a new high. The repair of the gold - silver ratio strengthened the upward trend, but hawkish signals and the stabilization of the US dollar led to profit - taking. Next week, a tight supply - demand balance (low inventory) and dovish expectations are expected to support a relatively strong consolidation. Be vigilant against the suppression of a US dollar rebound, and the impact of geopolitical risks is limited [30] - Mid - term Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [31] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: It was expected that the silver contract 2508 would operate strongly, with the lower support range at 8300 - 8500 and the upper resistance at 8900 - 9000 [33] - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: It is expected that the silver contract 2508 will operate strongly, with the lower support range at 8300 - 8500 and the upper resistance at 8900 - 9000 [33] 3. Relevant Data - Data includes the trend of Shanghai Silver and COMEX silver prices, SLV silver ETF holdings, COMEX silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and silver's internal - external price difference [41][43][45]
突发!“伊朗首都德黑兰传出巨大爆炸声”,内塔尼亚胡最新发声!白宫:特朗普将作决定
中国基金报· 2025-06-20 00:03
Group 1 - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 0.61% to $3387.4 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.5% to $36.36 per ounce [4][5] - As of the latest report, gold prices continued to weaken, trading at $3381.30 per ounce [4] - Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates while signaling a hawkish stance has heightened market concerns over inflation and tariffs, leading to a shift of funds towards dollar assets, which puts pressure on gold [5] Group 2 - A significant explosion was reported in Tehran, with multiple locations in the city affected, including military bases in the Lavizan area [6][7] - Iran's airspace has been closed until noon on June 20 due to the current security situation, resulting in the suspension of all commercial flights [11][12] - Iran claims to have shot down two Israeli "Heron" drones in recent days, indicating ongoing military tensions [9][10] Group 3 - The White House announced that President Trump will decide within two weeks whether to attack Iran, with ongoing communications between the U.S. and Iran [17][19] - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated that Israel has the capability to destroy all of Iran's nuclear facilities and has already destroyed over half of Iran's missile launchers [20][21] - Since June 13, Israel has conducted large-scale airstrikes against various Iranian targets, resulting in significant casualties [23] Group 4 - Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed readiness for high-level meetings and a willingness to meet with Putin, indicating a desire to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict during Trump's presidency [24][25]
翁富豪:5.29美联储鹰派纪要后,晚间黄金操作策略调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 12:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent U.S. Federal Court ruling has boosted market risk sentiment, leading to a decrease in safe-haven demand and a decline in gold prices for four consecutive trading days, reaching a one-and-a-half-week low [1] - Multiple factors are pressuring gold prices, including hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and the dollar index returning to the 100 mark [1] - Despite the recent weakness in gold prices due to a rebound in the dollar and decreased safe-haven demand, medium to long-term support factors are accumulating, particularly in the context of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Group 2 - The upcoming release of the U.S. PCE price index on Friday is highlighted as an important reference point for assessing the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction and gold price trends [1] - The short-term gold price trend is indicated to be weak, with the Bollinger Bands showing an upward opening, while the short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, continuing to exert pressure on gold prices [3] - The suggested trading strategy includes maintaining a low long position, focusing on buying opportunities after pullbacks, with specific resistance and support levels identified for trading [2][3]
95后姑娘20万买黄金一周亏1.6万:避险资产为何变"高风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in gold prices has transformed it from a traditional safe-haven asset into a high-risk investment, particularly among younger investors who treat it like a stock for short-term trading [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Since May, gold has experienced significant fluctuations, with daily price changes often exceeding 2%, comparable to tech stocks [3]. - The interplay of three main forces is driving this volatility: hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve boosting the dollar index, progress in China-U.S. trade negotiations reducing safe-haven demand, and ongoing gold purchases by global central banks providing a support mechanism [3]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Younger investors, particularly those born in the 1990s, now account for 47% of bank gold accumulation business, showing a trend of frequent trading and a preference for short-term gains [3]. - This shift in investment strategy contrasts sharply with older generations who view gold as a long-term asset for wealth preservation [3]. Group 3: Historical Context and Lessons - Historical instances of gold price drops, such as a 9% decline in 2008 and prolonged losses after the 2013 buying spree by Chinese retail investors, highlight the risks associated with short-term trading in gold [3]. - The current market conditions serve as a reminder that all assets have cyclical patterns, and chasing price movements can lead to significant risks [4].