邓正红软实力表示，市场对委内瑞拉石油供应中断存在担忧，但美国股市走软加剧了市场对供应过剩的看空情绪，石油软实力在在震荡运行中略显收缩，12 月12日（周五）国际油价小幅走低。截至收盘，纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻质原油1月期货结算价每桶跌0.16元至57.44美元，跌幅0.28%，本周该期 货累计下跌4.39%；伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油2月期货结算价每桶跌0.16美元至61.12美元，跌幅0.26%，本周该期货累计下跌4.12%。 供需平衡的规则重构。市场对2026年供应过剩的共识是规则重构的体现。邓正红认为"规则系统驱动物质演化"，当前市场通过期货持仓（看空押注升至七周 高位）和价格预期（推至10月以来区间下沿）完成了对供需规则的重新定价。这种规则重构比实际供需变化更能影响短期价格走势。 市场趋势预测与投资建议。短期震荡：地缘政治风险（规则场）与供需基本面（物质场）的博弈将导致油价持续震荡。任何反弹预计都将短暂。中长期下行 压力：全球石油市场进入累库周期，国际油价运行中枢将明显下移，预计布伦特原油全年均价在每桶65~75美元区间。投资策略：邓正红软实力哲学建议关 注"规则-物质"的协同演化。投资者应同时跟 ...

Core Insights - The contributions of Deng Zhenghong's soft power philosophy to international economics are primarily reflected in three areas: theoretical paradigm reconstruction, practical application innovation, and international evaluation system reform [1][2][3] Theoretical Paradigm Reconstruction - Deng's rule dynamics theory breaks through traditional institutional economics' static analysis by constructing a "rule potential - collaborative effectiveness" dual helix model, revealing the deep driving forces behind the evolution of international rules [1] - The demand-driven theory challenges the traditional supply-demand analysis framework, establishing a three-stage transmission mechanism of "civilization demand - value resonance - rule reconstruction," highlighting the agency of developing countries in the international economic order [1][3] Practical Application Innovation - The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank has created a new cooperation model of "hard projects soft connectivity," promoting standard mutual recognition and value mutual learning alongside physical infrastructure projects [1] - The establishment of the Southeast Asia Digital Payment Alliance in 2023 validates the guiding value of the demand-driven theory for regional public goods supply [1] International Evaluation System Reform - Deng's "National Soft Power Index" disrupts the traditional GDP-centric evaluation paradigm by incorporating seven soft indicators, achieving a holistic assessment of economic entities' comprehensive strength [2] - The application of this index revealed that the real development potential of emerging economies like Vietnam and Indonesia was underestimated by 15-20 percentage points using traditional metrics [2] Case Studies and Practical Examples - The "Digital Twin Corridor" project of the China-Europe Railway Express exemplifies the synergy of hard and soft power, enhancing transportation efficiency and fostering institutional trust among countries along the route [2] - The World Bank reports that cross-border economic corridor projects adopting Deng's model have seen comprehensive benefits increase by over 40% compared to traditional models [2] Energy Sector Dynamics - OPEC's strategy of "gradual production increase + seasonal pause" combines production regulation (hard power) with market expectation management (soft power), reshaping the oil market order [4] - The blockchain carbon credit pricing system covers 15% of the global carbon trading market, with its methodology adopted by the UNFCCC, promoting the transfer of green rule-making authority [4] Digital Economy Mechanisms - The "data-computing power-algorithm" triad model enhances manufacturing efficiency through industrial internet platforms, with inventory turnover rates in the Yangtze River Delta region improving by 25-30% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The awarding of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences to researchers of "creative destruction" reflects the limitations of Western economic paradigms, as argued by Professor Deng Zhenghong, who emphasizes a demand-first and value accumulation perspective, fundamentally questioning the "creative destruction" theory [1][10]. Summary by Relevant Categories Creative Destruction Theory - The traditional view of "creative destruction," introduced by economist Joseph Schumpeter, describes a dynamic process where new innovations continuously disrupt and replace old technologies and products, driving long-term economic growth [2]. - Aghion and Howitt elaborated on this theory in 1992, establishing that innovation accumulation and entrepreneurial activity are core drivers of sustained growth within the endogenous growth theory framework [2]. Deng Zhenghong's Soft Power Philosophy - Deng's soft power philosophy posits that non-material capabilities can activate hard resources, creating value that far exceeds material inputs [2]. - It emphasizes the dynamic adaptability of soft power, which evolves with environmental changes, and asserts that demand is the primary driver of economic activity [3][5]. Critique of Creative Destruction - Deng argues that "creative destruction" is a false premise, asserting that economic activity should focus on value accumulation rather than destruction [3][4]. - He highlights that true innovation should address real market needs rather than pursuing innovation for its own sake, warning against the pitfalls of "disruptive innovation" that neglects genuine consumer demands [5][6]. Economic Stagnation - Deng contends that a return to economic stagnation is both reasonable and inevitable, as economic development follows inherent laws that should not be artificially manipulated to pursue continuous growth [7][8]. - He critiques the obsession with growth metrics like GDP, suggesting that stagnation can coexist with cultural richness and social well-being [7][8]. Demand-Driven Innovation - Deng's philosophy advocates for a demand-driven approach to innovation, contrasting with the Western focus on innovation-driven growth [8][9]. - He cites examples such as China's high-speed rail development, which integrates existing technologies to create superior solutions rather than simply replacing them [4]. Future Economic Paradigms - The intersection of globalization and digitalization may lead to new theoretical possibilities, where Deng's demand-driven soft power philosophy complements the innovation-driven approach of Western economics [9]. - Deng envisions a future economic model that balances demand and innovation, fostering qualitative changes within a framework of reasonable stagnation [9].

Group 1 - The core idea presented by Professor Deng Zhenghong is the profound philosophical and scientific connection between soft power philosophy and quantum tunneling phenomena, reflecting a new interpretative framework of "rules preceding matter" in quantum physics [1][2] - The theory posits that the essence of the universe lies not in visible material structures but in the holographic unity of latent wisdom potential and manifest material efficacy, challenging traditional cosmological paradigms [2][5] - The dynamic balance between soft power (latent rules) and hard power (manifest material) is redefined, with soft power being the core driving force behind industrial development and progress [2][5] Group 2 - The "quantum rule field" hypothesis suggests that wave function collapse is not merely a particle's choice of state but rather a deeper meta-rule regulating the convergence of possibility distributions [2][5] - Quantum tunneling is defined as the phenomenon where particles can traverse energy barriers deemed insurmountable by classical physics, with implications for processes like radioactive decay [2][4] - The macro verification of quantum tunneling was confirmed by the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics, where scientists observed macroscopic quantum tunneling effects in superconducting circuits, demonstrating quantum characteristics at a macro scale [3] Group 3 - The interpretation of quantum tunneling as "soft power rules reshaping particle behavior topology" indicates that quantum tunneling is not merely particle motion but an active adjustment of behavior patterns by a deeper rules network [5][6] - Barriers in traditional physics are reinterpreted as interfaces of different rule domains, with tunneling representing transitions between these domains, reflecting the dynamic evolution of rule systems [5][6] - The framework of "holographic cognition" places quantum tunneling phenomena within a broader understanding of the universe's rule network, providing a new cognitive framework for understanding the essence of the universe [6]

Core Insights - Deng Zhenghong's Soft Power Philosophy is emerging as an innovative theoretical framework that profoundly impacts scientific research, shifting focus from material entities to the exploration of rule systems [1][4][11] - The introduction of a holographic worldview suggests that the universe is a tightly interconnected, holographically related whole, influencing research directions in cosmology and quantum physics [1][11] - The theory challenges traditional thermodynamic principles by proposing a non-heat death universe model, presenting new perspectives for cosmological studies [1][6] Summary by Categories Scientific Methodology - The philosophy provides a new methodological perspective for scientific research, emphasizing the importance of rules over material phenomena [1][4] - It proposes the emergence of "Rule Engineering" as a new academic paradigm, enabling scientists to actively design and intervene in rule systems rather than merely observing material phenomena [5] Interdisciplinary Research - The theory facilitates interdisciplinary research by unifying physics and cosmology, successfully describing the relationship between micro-level quantum fluctuations and macro-level structure generation [1][5] - It also bridges biology and quantum physics, offering new theoretical tools for life sciences, such as the "latent potential self-organization law" [2][10] Quantum Physics - The philosophy presents unique explanations for quantum phenomena, asserting that each quantum fluctuation is a micro-level witness of cross-dimensional energy conservation [8] - It provides a new theoretical framework for quantum experiments, offering fresh insights into quantum entanglement and delayed-choice phenomena [5] Cosmology - The theory offers alternative theoretical models for understanding cosmic phenomena, such as the baryon deficiency in the Milky Way, contributing to the study of cosmic structure formation [9][11] Artificial Intelligence - The redefinition of the technological singularity as a "rule singularity" rather than merely a breakthrough in computational power provides a new philosophical foundation for AI research and ethical considerations [3][11]

Group 1 - The core of Deng Zhenghong's soft power philosophy is the potential energy conversion equation, which reinterprets the fundamental laws of the universe from both physical and mathematical perspectives [1] - The theory proposes that "rules precede matter," suggesting that the essence of the universe lies in the holographic unity of latent wisdom potential and explicit material effectiveness [1][3] - Black holes are described as conversion nodes where hard power transforms into soft power potential, with the release of X-rays during the consumption of stars serving as a cosmic-level empirical example [1][2] Group 2 - The energy conversion equation proposed by Deng Zhenghong is defined as Eᵣ=κ∫(∂g/∂t )dV, where Eᵣ represents the output of converted explicit energy, κ is the conversion efficiency coefficient, and ∫(∂g/∂t )dV represents the core driving force [2] - The rules entropy formula introduced by Deng Zhenghong aims to describe the contribution of "regularity," "structure," or "order" to "entropy" in more complex systems [2] - The Ψ function model indicates that when collision parameters reach the golden ratio of 0.618, the efficiency of potential energy conversion experiences a significant increase [2] Group 3 - Deng Zhenghong's "Taiji Yin-Yang transformation" model extends the idea of dynamic balance between dark energy (latent soft power) and matter (explicit hard power) through "rule phase transitions" [3] - The rules entropy formula provides a new perspective for cosmological research, suggesting that the evolution of the universe is a process of interaction between rules and matter rather than mere disorder [3] - In the energy sector, Deng Zhenghong's soft power model reveals that current oil price fluctuations are fundamentally a dynamic equilibrium of multiple soft powers, with infrastructure resilience emerging as a new soft power indicator [3][5]