Report Overview - Report Title: Copper Futures Daily Report - Date: July 23, 2025 - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report. 2. Core View - The current fundamentals of copper are supportive, with significant growth in Chinese copper demand and favorable domestic and international macro - environments. Short - term, copper prices are expected to continue rising [11]. 3. Summary by Sections 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Shanghai copper closed with a doji star, and the total open interest decreased by 1,386 lots. The sentiment for going long on industrial products was high during the day, but copper prices were relatively flat, with weak capital entry willingness. The futures market maintained a structure where the near - month contracts were in contango and the far - month contracts were in back. The spot premium continued to rise to 240, and the LME 0 - 3 contango widened to $67/ton. The short - term spot market showed a pattern of strong domestic and weak overseas. In June 2025, China's copper product output was 2.214 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 6.8%, hitting a multi - year high for the same period [11]. 3.2 Industry News - In June, the export volume of refined copper rods (>6mm) continued to reach a new high, with stable growth in the Southeast Asian market. The total export volume of refined copper rods with a maximum cross - section >6mm was 9,827.53 tons, a month - on - month increase of 8.4% and a year - on - year increase of 50.36%. The export volume of refined copper rods with a maximum cross - section >6mm through feed - processing trade in June 2025 was 7,183.14 tons, a month - on - month increase of 36.22% and a year - on - year increase of 33.75 times [12]. - Russia's Norilsk Nickel (Nornickel) currently expects its copper production this year to be between 343,000 - 355,000 tons, lower than the previous estimate of 353,000 - 373,000 tons. The company's nickel production in the second quarter was 45,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 9%, and palladium production was 658,000 ounces, a year - on - year decrease of 11% [12]. - Anglo Asian Mining plc announced that its Demirli copper mine in the Karabakh Economic Region of Azerbaijan has started trial production, and the output is expected to increase by the end of this year. The company expects its copper concentrate output in 2025 to be 4,000 tons, and after 2026, the annual output of the Demirli copper mine will increase to 15,000 tons. The mining life of the mine depends on further geopolitical developments and the mineral resource model [12].

2025 年 04 月 28 日 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铜主力合约 | 77,440 | 0.04% | 77470 | 0.04% | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 9,360 | -1.00% | - | - | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 期 货 | 沪铜主力合约 | 110,001 | -1,571 | 165,933 | -203 | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 5,574 | 357 | 286,000 | 1,748 | | | | 昨日期货库存 | 较前日变动 | 注销仓单比 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪铜 | 41,588 | -1,376 | - | - | | | 伦铜 | 203,450 | 25 | 37.97% | 0.59% | | | | | 昨日价差 | 前日价差 | 较前日变动 | | | LME铜升贴水 | | 2.41 | 6.43 | -4.02 | | | 保税区仓单升水 | | 9 ...