Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that spot silver is facing short-term resistance at the $38.70 level and has retreated during intraday trading [1] - The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has shown a rebound after reaching oversold levels, providing a positive signal for silver prices [1] - The auxiliary bias line also offers positive support, suggesting that silver prices will continue to attempt to break through resistance and maintain an upward trend [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The upcoming Jackson Hole annual meeting (August 21-23) is highly anticipated, with the Federal Reserve's latest policy signals potentially acting as a key catalyst for gold price movements [1] - The market is currently experiencing cautious consolidation at high levels due to heightened uncertainty from the Russia-Ukraine situation and comments from Trump regarding tariffs [1] - The focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on September 17, with a recent economist survey on August 15 indicating ongoing market divergence in interpreting Fed policies [1] Group 2: Gold Price Technical Analysis - Gold prices have shown a slight breakdown in the daily chart, with short-term trends focusing on support around 3310 [3] - A descending wedge pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, suggesting potential bullish breakout risks, but is currently constrained by the 100-period simple moving average at $3346.98 [3] - Key resistance is identified at $3370, with a breakthrough potentially leading to targets of $3400 and the early August high of $3410; however, a drop below $3330 could direct prices towards $3300 and possibly test the August low of $3282 [3] Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - From a technical perspective, silver is hovering above the neckline of a bearish double top pattern in the $38.50-$39.00 range, indicating a loss of upward momentum [5] - A decisive drop below the support level of $37.50 could open the door for further declines to $36.50 or even $35.50 [5] - The silver market opened at $38.024, experienced fluctuations, and closed at $37.377, forming a large bearish candle, with short-term trading strategies focusing on buying on dips and selling on rebounds [5]

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices are currently at $37.86, having retreated from recent highs and are consolidating after breaking the upward channel [1][4]. Price Levels and Market Sentiment - The immediate focus is on reclaiming the 50-period simple moving average at $38.03, which has turned from a support level to a resistance level [2][4]. - The momentum indicators show a bearish bias, with selling pressure easing, but bulls have not yet gained control as silver prices face resistance at $38.03 [3][5]. - Unless silver prices can break above $38.03, the outlook remains neutral to bearish, with a potential retest of lower support levels [4][10]. Technical Indicators - The relative strength index (RSI) is at 46.66, recovering from oversold conditions but still below 50, indicating a mild bearish bias [6]. - The MACD shows that negative momentum is easing, with the histogram contracting and no bullish crossover present [7]. - Price structure indicates lower highs since August 5, with bulls facing resistance [8]. Potential Price Movements - If silver prices close above $38.03, they may rise to $38.50 or even $39.04; conversely, failure to break this level could lead to a retest of $37.31 or even $36.80 [9][12]. - Key resistance levels are at $38.03, $38.50, and $39.04, while support levels are at $37.31, $36.80, and $36.24 [12]. Market Condition - Silver is at a crossroads, with $38.03 acting as a pivot point; a breakout could rejuvenate upward momentum, while rejection may prolong consolidation or push prices back to recent lows [12].

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