今日周六(2月28日)白银休市，白银期货周五收于23927元/千克，上涨6.95%，最高触及24059元/千克， 最低下探22966元/千克。白银注册仓单占比持续低位，对短期银价提供支撑。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 据央视新闻消息，27日，美军"福特"号航母被曝抵达以色列。这意味着美军在中东地区同时部署了"福 特"号和"林肯"号两艘航母。 以色列方面消息称，"福特"号将停靠在以色列北部的海法一带。同时，截至27日，美军已在以色列部署 近20架加油机。 伊朗军方27日称，将对美国的任何侵略行为予以"毁灭性"回应。伊朗武装部队总参谋部发言人谢卡尔希 说，伊朗武装部队正严密监控美军和以色列在该地区的动向，并做好充分准备。任何鲁莽的举动都将在 该地区引发大规模冲突，并招致前所未有的强烈反应。 以色列国防军发言人德夫林27日则称，以色列国防军正密切关注伊朗的局势，保持高度警惕并已准备好 保卫民众的安全。 【最新白银期货行情解析】 沪银目前价位接近24000，按照合理的上涨走势来看，沪银收线要关注本周高点的得失，趋势之下破位 是肯定的，但现在偏向震荡，所以短期内不破高点就短线获利了结，破位则可以继续 ...

周四，随着美伊第三轮核谈判在日内瓦展开，投资者选择观望，黄金期货小幅走低，白银则终结了此前 的七连涨走势。周五截至发稿，现货黄金上涨0.17%，报5194.01美元/盎司，现货白银上涨1.80%，报 89.8895美元/盎司。 不过该行也承认，短期内金价可能面临阻力，因为投资者需要时间适应更高的价格水平。报告显示，投 资者增持黄金的速度已有所放缓，"因此我们预计，春季前金价可能阶段性走弱。不过，由于关税不确 定性再度升温，这一盘整期可能相对短暂。" 对于白银，美银分析师则持相对谨慎态度。他们表示，白银"走势更为复杂，我们担心短期内价格可能 进一步回调"，但同时也不排除银价重返100美元/盎司的可能性。 智通财经APP获悉，美国银行全球研究部周四在一份报告中表示，未来12个月内，黄金价格有望突破 6000美元/盎司的历史性关口。美联储领导层更迭带来的不确定性，叠加美国关税政策引发的经济风 险，正促使更多资金流入黄金市场。 外汇网站Forex.com分析师Razan Hilal在报告中称："本周黄金、白银分别试图突破5200美元、90美元阻 力位，但均未能站稳涨势。若短期内地缘政治层面达成协议，金银回落风险将上升 ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，黄金价格已超越该行对下半年每盎司4,750美元的预测， 然而该行认为金价尚未见顶，主要受地缘政治风险、央行释放的积极信号及ETF买盘支撑。该行特别提 出看涨情境下的目标价：下半年每盎司5,700美元。白银价格动能强劲，上海市场的现货溢价凸显供应 紧张。 大摩表示，看涨黄金情境正在发酵，美元指数走弱、实物需求稳健及地缘政治风险居高不下，该行认为 金涨势尚未结束。该行强调对2026年下半年的牛市情境目标为每盎司5,700美元，意味着较当前水平仍 有14%上行空间。 白银正以每盎司100美元的历史高点交易，其贵金属属性主导走势。在经历数年供应短缺后，强劲的 ETF需求正吸纳有限的库存。上海白银价格(实物交割合约比例较高)相对于芝加哥商品交易所呈现大幅 溢价，反映实物供应持续紧绷。尽管太阳能需求可能已见顶，或导致下半年银价走弱，但目前其他驱动 因素仍占主导地位。 大摩指出，波兰央行正转向以绝对吨位数作为黄金储备目标，而非占总储备比例，显示其对价格敏感度 降低。联储局今年的降息预期应能持续支持贵金属ETF买盘。上海白银现货价格飙升，表明供应紧缩局 面可能延续。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that spot silver is facing short-term resistance at the $38.70 level and has retreated during intraday trading [1] - The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has shown a rebound after reaching oversold levels, providing a positive signal for silver prices [1] - The auxiliary bias line also offers positive support, suggesting that silver prices will continue to attempt to break through resistance and maintain an upward trend [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The upcoming Jackson Hole annual meeting (August 21-23) is highly anticipated, with the Federal Reserve's latest policy signals potentially acting as a key catalyst for gold price movements [1] - The market is currently experiencing cautious consolidation at high levels due to heightened uncertainty from the Russia-Ukraine situation and comments from Trump regarding tariffs [1] - The focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on September 17, with a recent economist survey on August 15 indicating ongoing market divergence in interpreting Fed policies [1] Group 2: Gold Price Technical Analysis - Gold prices have shown a slight breakdown in the daily chart, with short-term trends focusing on support around 3310 [3] - A descending wedge pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, suggesting potential bullish breakout risks, but is currently constrained by the 100-period simple moving average at $3346.98 [3] - Key resistance is identified at $3370, with a breakthrough potentially leading to targets of $3400 and the early August high of $3410; however, a drop below $3330 could direct prices towards $3300 and possibly test the August low of $3282 [3] Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - From a technical perspective, silver is hovering above the neckline of a bearish double top pattern in the $38.50-$39.00 range, indicating a loss of upward momentum [5] - A decisive drop below the support level of $37.50 could open the door for further declines to $36.50 or even $35.50 [5] - The silver market opened at $38.024, experienced fluctuations, and closed at $37.377, forming a large bearish candle, with short-term trading strategies focusing on buying on dips and selling on rebounds [5]

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices are currently at $37.86, having retreated from recent highs and are consolidating after breaking the upward channel [1][4]. Price Levels and Market Sentiment - The immediate focus is on reclaiming the 50-period simple moving average at $38.03, which has turned from a support level to a resistance level [2][4]. - The momentum indicators show a bearish bias, with selling pressure easing, but bulls have not yet gained control as silver prices face resistance at $38.03 [3][5]. - Unless silver prices can break above $38.03, the outlook remains neutral to bearish, with a potential retest of lower support levels [4][10]. Technical Indicators - The relative strength index (RSI) is at 46.66, recovering from oversold conditions but still below 50, indicating a mild bearish bias [6]. - The MACD shows that negative momentum is easing, with the histogram contracting and no bullish crossover present [7]. - Price structure indicates lower highs since August 5, with bulls facing resistance [8]. Potential Price Movements - If silver prices close above $38.03, they may rise to $38.50 or even $39.04; conversely, failure to break this level could lead to a retest of $37.31 or even $36.80 [9][12]. - Key resistance levels are at $38.03, $38.50, and $39.04, while support levels are at $37.31, $36.80, and $36.24 [12]. Market Condition - Silver is at a crossroads, with $38.03 acting as a pivot point; a breakout could rejuvenate upward momentum, while rejection may prolong consolidation or push prices back to recent lows [12].

Core Viewpoint - The latest analysis from Economies.com indicates that spot silver prices are experiencing an upward trend supported by a major bullish trend line, despite technical indicators showing overbought conditions [1] Group 1 - Spot silver prices are oscillating higher on the 4-hour chart [1] - The support from the EMA50 moving average is contributing to the upward movement of silver prices [1] - It is expected that silver prices will maintain an upward trend despite the overbought technical indicators [1]

Core Insights - The silver futures price in Shanghai has rapidly increased, with an intraday rise approaching 2% [1] - Institutions indicate that the market supply-demand gap has narrowed to a four-year low, suggesting potential limitations on the upward movement of silver prices [1] Group 1 - The rapid increase in silver futures price reflects strong market activity [1] - The narrowing supply-demand gap indicates a significant shift in market dynamics, potentially affecting future price movements [1]