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张尧浠:鲍威尔年会讲话来袭、金价多头减弱仍是看涨机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 01:13
具体走势上,金价自亚市开于3349.54美元/盎司,先行录得日内高点3351.92美元后,便遇阻持续回撤,延续到欧盘19点时段录得日内低点3325.24美元, 之后触底回升,陷入震荡走盘,最终收于3338.43美元,日振幅26.68美元,收跌11.11美元,跌幅0.33%。 影响上,受到技术阻力获利了结,日内先行走低,之后由于支撑买盘和美国周初请失业金数据和美国8月费城联储制造业指数利好助力金价触底回升,不 过美国8月标普全球综合PMI创8个月新高,美联储官员依旧对降息保持谨慎,交易员减少对美联储今年两次降息的押注,又限制了金价反弹动力,最终仍 然收跌。 展望今日周五(8月22日):国际黄金开盘先行窄幅波动,早盘走势清淡,延续隔夜尾盘的震荡调整格局,其美元指数近期震荡上行,目前多头动力有所增 强,后市将保持反弹预期继续回升,而将限制金价多头,令其维持震荡走盘。 张尧浠:鲍威尔年会讲话来袭、金价多头减弱仍是看涨机会 上交易日周四(8月21日):国际黄金遇阻回落收跌,未能突破中轨及60日均线阻力,令后市仍有回落走低的风险,但昨日触底回升,走势仍运行在100日均 线上方,同样也暗示后市有再度走强向上突破的预期,故此 ...
王召金:8.20黄金最新行情走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 01:08
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The upcoming Jackson Hole annual meeting (August 21-23) is highly anticipated, with the Federal Reserve's latest policy signals potentially acting as a key catalyst for gold price movements [1] - The market is currently experiencing cautious consolidation at high levels due to heightened uncertainty from the Russia-Ukraine situation and comments from Trump regarding tariffs [1] - The focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on September 17, with a recent economist survey on August 15 indicating ongoing market divergence in interpreting Fed policies [1] Group 2: Gold Price Technical Analysis - Gold prices have shown a slight breakdown in the daily chart, with short-term trends focusing on support around 3310 [3] - A descending wedge pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, suggesting potential bullish breakout risks, but is currently constrained by the 100-period simple moving average at $3346.98 [3] - Key resistance is identified at $3370, with a breakthrough potentially leading to targets of $3400 and the early August high of $3410; however, a drop below $3330 could direct prices towards $3300 and possibly test the August low of $3282 [3] Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - From a technical perspective, silver is hovering above the neckline of a bearish double top pattern in the $38.50-$39.00 range, indicating a loss of upward momentum [5] - A decisive drop below the support level of $37.50 could open the door for further declines to $36.50 or even $35.50 [5] - The silver market opened at $38.024, experienced fluctuations, and closed at $37.377, forming a large bearish candle, with short-term trading strategies focusing on buying on dips and selling on rebounds [5]
光大新鸿基晨会纪要-20250813
光大新鸿基· 2025-08-13 05:59
大行晨報 - 金價短線未見明顯動力 - 2025 年 8 月 13 日星島日報 / 頭條日報 https://www.stheadline.com/columnists/finance- property/3489794/%E5%A4%A7%E8%A1%8C%E6%99%A8%E5%A0%B1- %E9%87%91%E5%83%B9%E7%9F%AD%E7%B7%9A%E6%9C%AA%E8%A6%8B%E6%98%8E%E9%A1%AF %E5%8B%95%E5%8A%9B%E5%A4%A7%E8%A1%8C%E6%99%A8%E5%A0%B1 ...
期现价差拉大 机构称金价中期上行趋势不改
● 葛瑶 代诗瑶 近期,国际金价再度成为全球投资者关注的焦点。受宏观环境、政策预期等因素影响,COMEX黄金期 货价格屡创新高,伦敦金现货价格则在高位震荡,期现价差明显拉大。 业内人士表示,中期金价走势仍取决于宏观经济与政策环境,或在短期调整后维持上行趋势。 金价波动加剧 Wind数据显示,截至8月11日中国证券报记者发稿时,COMEX黄金期货价格报3415.7美元/盎司,下降 约2%;伦敦金现货价格延续高位震荡态势,报3359.81美元/盎司。国内方面,沪金主连期货价格报收 779.48元/克,下降0.81%。 7月末以来,金价波动加剧。第二季度美国GDP增长超预期及美联储官员的系列言论,曾导致金价短暂 下跌。但随后美国7月非农数据远低于市场预期,加剧市场对其经济疲软的担忧,带动金价快速反弹。 上海黄金交易所8月8日公告称,近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多,为防范市场波动可能带来的风险,提 示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。 今年以来,国际黄金期货与现货的价差从10美元/盎司左右逐渐扩大,创近年来罕见水平。Wind数据显 示,8月8日,COMEX黄金期货价格盘中一度冲高至3534.10美元/盎司 ...
金价预测:黄金/美元在下一轮上涨前回调
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 10:20
今日Ultima Markets为您带来了 2025年8月6日的黄金深入分析。 ·金价在周三早些时候从接近3390美元的八天高点回落。 ·由于对美联储任命和更多宽松的担忧,美元进入下行盘整阶段。 这些因素继续保持美国美元(USD)周围的看跌基调,因为其在主要货币对手面前处于多日低位的盘整状态。 然而,主要央行(包括美联储、澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)、英格兰银行(BoE)等)进一步政策宽松的预期,以及乐观的贸易消息,重新激发了风险流 动,这对避险金价产生了负面影响,同时美元的下跌也暂时停滞。 现在所有的目光都集中在几位美联储政策制定者的讲话、特朗普关于贸易和美联储任命的公告上,以寻找金价的新交易动力。 在此之前,一些获利了结和更广泛的市场情绪可能会在推动金价走势中发挥作用。 ·周二金价收于关键的3380美元阻力位之上,日线图上相对强度指标看涨且出现看涨交叉。 金价在周二美国交易时段达到3391美元的八天高点后回落,交易者在等待美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对美联储(Fed)任命的决定之前,选择兑现近期的反弹 收益。 金价下跌但在美联储担忧中仍有支撑 特朗普在周二晚间接受CNBC访问时表示,他将很快宣布对美联储理事阿德里 ...
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-8-5)不确定性因素聚集推金价走势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 06:45
Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a total holding of 954.8 tons of gold as of August 4, 2025, marking an increase of 1.72 tons from the previous trading day, indicating a reversal from prior reductions in holdings as gold prices have been rising [4]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of August 4, 2025, SPDR Gold Trust's holdings reached 954.8 tons, up by 1.72 tons from the previous day [4]. - The increase in gold ETF holdings coincided with a rise in spot gold prices, which reached a high of $3,385.5 per ounce and closed at $3,373.47 per ounce, reflecting a gain of $10.43 or 0.31% [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Economic Indicators - Recent economic data showed a non-farm payroll increase of 73,000 in July, with downward revisions of 258,000 for May and June, leading to market volatility and a shift in expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy towards a more dovish stance [4]. - Concerns over the independence and credibility of economic data have been heightened following the dismissal of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics chief by Trump and the resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Kaskel, which may influence market sentiment and gold prices [4][5]. Group 3: Future Price Predictions and Technical Analysis - Citigroup has revised its three-month gold price forecast from $3,300 to $3,500, citing deteriorating short-term economic growth and inflation outlooks in the U.S. [5]. - Technical analysis indicates a bullish outlook for gold, with the price having broken above the 21-day and 50-day moving averages, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggesting potential for continued upward movement [5].
花旗:美国经济前景负面将推动金价适度走高
news flash· 2025-08-04 05:01
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has raised its gold price forecast for the next three months from $3,300 to $3,500 per ounce, citing deteriorating growth and inflation outlooks for the U.S. economy [1] Economic Outlook - The bank anticipates that concerns over U.S. economic growth and tariff-related inflation will continue to escalate in the second half of 2025 [1] - A weakening dollar is expected to contribute to a moderate increase in gold prices, potentially reaching historical highs [1] Employment and Geopolitical Risks - Weak U.S. employment data in Q2 2025 is likely to heighten concerns regarding the credibility of the Federal Reserve and U.S. statistical data [1] - Rising geopolitical risks associated with the Russia-Ukraine conflict are also noted as a factor influencing gold prices [1] Demand for Gold - Since mid-2022, total demand for gold has increased by over one-third [1]
今起现金买黄金超10万元需上报!记者实探
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-01 14:26
Regulatory Changes - The People's Bank of China has issued new regulations for anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing in the precious metals and gemstones industry, requiring institutions to report cash transactions exceeding 100,000 RMB or equivalent foreign currency within five working days starting from August 1, 2025 [1] Market Trends - International gold prices have been fluctuating around historical highs, with a notable decline of over 10% from peak levels in late July [2] - Demand for gold jewelry has decreased in recent months, with one retailer reporting a 15% drop in transaction volume in July compared to June [2] - The World Gold Council reported a 3% year-on-year increase in global gold demand in Q2 2025, but a significant 14% decline in gold jewelry consumption, nearing levels seen during the 2020 pandemic [2] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are showing a preference for investing in gold bars rather than high-priced gold jewelry, with a notable price threshold of 800 RMB per gram influencing purchasing decisions [2] - The overall consumer confidence remains low, which is expected to continue to pressure gold jewelry consumption in the second half of the year [3] Economic Outlook - Analysts predict that gold prices may remain stable within a narrow range in the second half of the year, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and potential geopolitical tensions that could enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]
非农数据低于预期,金价快速飙升。盯盘神器(15分钟)显示,黄金上方最阻力位在3332.66-3339.51,为多个级别的阻力构成压制。下方支撑位关注3307.51的保护。多头订单占比为52.48%,而空头占比为47.47%,多头明显占优。
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:35
盯盘神器·现货黄金:金价快速飙升 非农数据低于预期,金价快速飙升。盯盘神器(15分钟)显示,黄金上方最阻力位在3332.66-3339.51,为多个级别的阻力构成 压制。下方支撑位关注3307.51的保护。多头订单占比为52.48%,而空头占比为47.47%,多头明显占优。 ...
港股黄金股持续走低 潼关黄金跌超8%录得6连跌 摩根大通预计金价明年初将达到4000美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 03:09
Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks are experiencing a decline, with Tongguan Gold falling over 8% for six consecutive days, and other companies like Zijin Mining, Lingbao Gold, Shandong Gold, and China Silver Group dropping over 4% [1] - The night session saw spot gold prices drop, briefly falling below $3,270 per ounce, with a nearly 2% decline during trading [3] - Chinese investors are shifting funds from gold ETFs to domestic stocks, with a record net outflow of approximately 3.2 billion yuan from four major domestic gold ETFs in July [3] Group 2 - The outflow of funds is primarily driven by individual investors, as gold has been trading within a narrow range, leading to decreased enthusiasm for gold investments [3] - Morgan Stanley indicates that the key to gold price increases lies in ETF inflows, which depend on the Federal Reserve meeting interest rate cut expectations and pushing down U.S. real yields [3] - In an optimistic scenario, gold prices are projected to reach a target of $3,675 per ounce by the end of the year, with expectations of hitting $4,000 per ounce by early next year [3]