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锌产业周报-20250919
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 10:34
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Industry Weekly Report - Report Date: September 19, 2025 - Author: Xu Liang (Z0002220) - Reviewer: Tang Yun (Z0002422) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints Bullish Factors - Global zinc supply shortage supports a relatively strong price [3] - Clear fundamental bullish factors, with the supply - demand structure favoring zinc prices, but the market reaction on the trading board is weak [3] Bearish Factors - The spot basis has been continuously negative (Shanghai -70 yuan/ton), indicating a weak spot market [3] - Weak downstream demand and average trading volume suppress the upward momentum of prices [3] Trading Consultation Viewpoint - The fundamentals are bullish, but the market performance on the trading board is contrary to expectations, and the market reaction is weaker than expected. Risks need to be vigilant [3] Summary by Directory Processing and Terminal Demand - Analyzed the market sentiment index, inventory, production, and net export/import of galvanized steel coils, die - cast zinc alloys, color - coated sheets, and zinc oxide, as well as real - estate development investment, engineering progress, sales, and land transactions, and infrastructure fixed - asset investment [4][6][9] Supply and Supply - Side Profits - Studied the monthly import volume of zinc concentrates, processing fees, zinc ingot production, enterprise production profits, raw material inventory days, and exchange inventories [19][21][22] Futures and Spot Market Review - Reviewed the price trends of domestic and foreign zinc futures, trading volume, open interest, the relationship between LME zinc prices and the US dollar index, basis trends, etc [27][28][29]
沪锌期货早报-20250617
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-06-17 02:24
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 沪锌期货早报-2025年6月17日 大越期货投资咨询部 祝森林 从业资格证号:F3023048 投资咨询证号: Z0013626 联系方式:0575-85225791 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 指标体系 沪锌: 1、基本面:外媒5月21日消息:世界金属统计局( WBMS )公布的最新数据报 告显示, 2025年3月,全球锌板产量为108.74万吨,消费量为113.35万吨, 供应短缺4.6万吨。1-3月,全球锌板产量为328.31万吨,消费量为338.48万 吨,供应短缺10.16万吨。3月,全球锌矿产量为100.78万吨。1-3月,全球锌 矿产量为296.11万吨;偏多。 2、基差:现货22020,基差+180;偏多。 3、库存:6月16日LME锌库存较上日减少775吨至130225吨,6月16日上期所 锌库存仓单较上日增加994吨至9966吨;中性。 4、盘面:昨日沪锌震荡反弹走势,收20日均线之 ...