成份股60跌20涨，七一二跌3.67%居首，中航成飞、中航沈飞等大权重续跌逾1%。局部火热依旧，航天 智装盘中触及20CM涨停，收涨10.64%，际华集团两连板，航天科技4天3板。人气股长城军工6天5板后 巨振10%，收涨0.39%量价再创新高，成交73.8亿元跃升A股第4。 民生证券分析指出，2015~2019年五年间的四次阅兵，均在事件前后的阶段性时间内通过短期情绪提振 和预期发酵对国防军工行情形成催化，推动板块出现脉冲式上涨。当前8月正处于阅兵前的重要时间 段，建议高度重视国防军工板块机遇。 8月8日，大盘缩量回调，国防军工板块日内走势震荡，代码有"八一"的高人气国防军工ETF（512810） 早盘几度逆市飘红，午后走弱翻绿，尾盘再现溢价飙升，场内价格最终微跌0.14%报收，成交9226万 元。 本周（8月4日-8日），国防军工板块强劲反弹，热度继续飙升。国防军工ETF（512810）场内累涨 5.78%大幅跑赢市场，周内价格突破逾3年半高点，单周累计成交6.56亿元，一举刷新2016年8月22日上 市以来最高纪录！ 尽管国防军工板块近两日短线调整，但幅度较小，且局部火热依旧，板块整体交投不降反升。对此 ...

本周（8月4日-8日），国防军工板块强劲反弹，热度继续飙升。国防军工ETF（512810）场内累涨 5.78%大幅跑赢市场，周内价格突破逾3年半高点，单周累计成交6.56亿元，一举刷新2016年8月22日上 市以来最高纪录！ 尽管国防军工板块近两日短线调整，但幅度较小，且局部火热依旧，板块整体交投不降反升。对此，机 构分析指出，短期国防军工或受市场风险偏好影响出现波动。但从历史上看，阅兵前后国防军工各子板 块均较为活跃，普遍热情高涨。 回归根本逻辑来看，申万宏源证券认为，十五五规划预期打开国防军工空间上限，叠加军贸开启供需共 振大格局，国防军工基本面或已进入上行大周期。 8月8日，大盘缩量回调，国防军工板块日内走势震荡，代码有"八一"的高人气国防军工ETF（512810） 早盘几度逆市飘红，午后走弱翻绿，尾盘再现溢价飙升，场内价格最终微跌0.14%报收，成交9226万 元。 成份股60跌20涨，七一二跌3.67%居首，中航成飞、中航沈飞等大权重续跌逾1%。局部火热依旧，航天 智装盘中触及20CM涨停，收涨10.64%，际华集团两连板，航天科技4天3板。人气股长城军工6天5板后 巨振10%，收涨0.39%量价再 ...

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry sector experienced an unexpected decline on August 1st, with the ETF (512810) dropping to a low of 2.2%, marking a three-day consecutive decline and falling below the 10-day moving average [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The defense and military sector ETF (512810) saw a cumulative decline of 0.74% over the week, ending a five-week streak of gains, despite a significant trading volume of 4.86 billion yuan, the highest in nearly 11 weeks [2][3] - The ETF recorded a trading volume of 1.11 billion yuan on August 1st, indicating high market activity and strong buying interest despite the price drop [1] Group 2: Sector Dynamics - The recent pullback in the sector is attributed to market sentiment, technical corrections after consecutive gains, and profit-taking ahead of the "August 1st" expectations, while the underlying investment logic remains robust [3] - Key factors supporting future growth include the upcoming military parade, ongoing geopolitical tensions sustaining military trade, and the critical delivery phase of the military's 14th Five-Year Plan, with expectations for accelerated order releases in the third quarter [3] Group 3: Stock Performance - Among the component stocks, 57 declined while 23 rose, with notable declines in ground equipment stocks, particularly North Navigation, which fell by 7% [4] - Major stocks like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and China Shipbuilding Corporation also experienced declines of 3.89% and 1.31%, respectively, while Longcheng Military Industry saw a significant fluctuation of 14.85% [4] Group 4: ETF Characteristics - The ETF (512810) encompasses both traditional and emerging military capabilities, covering various hot topics such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion [5] - The ETF underwent a share split in June, reducing the investment threshold by half, allowing investors to access core military assets for under 70 yuan [5]

Market Overview - On August 1, A-shares experienced a slight pullback with the three major indices declining, while the overall market saw more stocks rising than falling. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.60 trillion yuan, a significant decrease of 337.7 billion yuan from the previous day [1] - The market is currently witnessing a mixed performance, with the photovoltaic sector receiving multiple favorable policies, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's issuance of the "2025 Annual Special Energy Supervision Task List for the Polycrystalline Silicon Industry" [1] Sector Highlights Renewable Energy - The Green Energy ETF (562010) was active throughout the day, closing up 0.68% [2][1] AI Sector - The AI sector is gaining attention following the State Council meeting on July 31, which emphasized the implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative. The Entrepreneurial Board AI ETF (159363) saw a net subscription of 80 million units, indicating strong investor interest [1][11] - The AI application sector showed resilience, with significant gains in stocks like Wanjing Technology, which surged over 11% [11] Banking Sector - The Banking ETF (512800) rose by 0.59%, with a trading volume of 9.85 billion yuan. Agricultural Bank of China reached a new high, marking a positive sentiment in the banking sector [4][6] - Several banks reported positive mid-year earnings forecasts, with all five banks that released preliminary reports showing positive growth in net profit [8] Defense and Military - The Defense and Military ETF (512810) experienced a decline, dropping to a low of 2.2% but remained actively traded, indicating strong buying interest despite the drop [17][19] - The upcoming military parade is expected to generate interest in the sector, with potential for a rebound as geopolitical tensions continue to support military trade [19][20] Investment Trends - The market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" trend through 2025, driven by policies supporting technology, green development, and infrastructure investments [3] - The banking sector is anticipated to recover as economic conditions improve, with a focus on long-term valuation recovery despite short-term fluctuations [9][10] - The AI sector is projected to continue attracting investment due to increasing demand for computing power and applications, supported by favorable policy developments [15][16]

究其缘由，可能在于，近日回调更多是受大市情绪、连涨后的技术性回调及博弈"八一"预期的资金撤离 等因素影响，板块本身的投资逻辑仍坚挺，后市利好因素仍多。具体来看，重点关注以下几方面： 其一，九三大阅兵临近，阅兵行情或可期待。 其二，地缘政治持续扰动将维持军贸高景气，中国高性价比装备出口具备明确的增长预期。 "八一"当日，国防军工板块意外走低，领跌全市场！代码有"八一"的国防军工ETF（512810）最低跌至 2.2%，场内收跌1.75%三连阴，失守10日均线。 场内交投高度活跃，成交额达1.11亿元，为近2周次高。从场内溢价交易频率来看，买盘资金更为强 势，资金逢跌吸筹迹象明显。而此前4日，512810已连续吸金合计近1亿元。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 振幅 | 成交额 ▼ | 总市值1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 601606 | 长城军工 | 35.30 c | 1.79% | 14.85% | 58.79亿 | 2561Z | | 2 | 002265 | 建设工业 | 36.62 c | - ...