>>>>> ELL首知道 >>>>>> EIF早知道 ETF早知道 u WP wabao (43) >>>> -10-11-2 2025 知 Nov ETFE知道 25 ETF로规道 <<<< 市场温度计 >>>>> 中长期信号 · 投资看温度 ETFE 刷 -- 75% + 75% -- + 75% .- 2596 -- 2596 -- 2596 ETFEFRE 0.05% 0.37% 0.31% ← T T <<<< 上证指数 深证成指 创业板指 注:温度计水银条由对应指数的近十年市盈手分位数表示,总值为100%。数据来源:iFind,截至 2025.11.24,上证指数、深证成溶、创业板指的近十年市盈丰分位数分别为88.44%、71.66%。 31.43% ETFOH B e 0 14 6 能力热力 ETFE无测 <<<< 短期轮动走向 · 观九宫热力值 +4.31% +2.41% +3.49% 国防军工 传媒 计简机 ETFEE -0.56% +2.22% +2.07% 社会服务 食品饮料 综合 -0.79% -1.09% -1.21% 银行 煤炭 石油石化 ETFERS 数据来源:iFind,截至2 ...

视觉中国遭两家机构卖出7992万，同时遭两家一线游资席位（国泰海通证券成都北一环路、国泰海通证券上海新闸路）分别卖出1.04亿、1.01亿。 易点天下遭一家机构卖出7835万，同时遭两家一线游资席位（国泰海通证券上海中山东路、国泰海通证券成都北一环路）分别卖出1.81亿、0.94亿。 省广集团获三家一线游资席位（国泰海通证券上海新闸路、国投证券西安朱雀大街、国泰海通证券成都北一环路）分别买入1.09亿、1.02亿、0.7亿，同时遭 两家机构卖出5930万。 龙虎榜方面，AI应用股今日表现活跃，其中值得买获三家机构买入5748万。 蓝色光标获两家一线游资席位（国泰海通证券上海海阳西路、国泰海通证券上海新闸路）大幅买入4.96亿、2.54亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1146.53亿，深股通总成交金额为1216.55亿。 | | | 沪股通( 11月24日 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 601138 | 工业富联 | 34.19 | | 2 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 16. ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 海科技 + 军用AI "等诸多热门主题。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 主力净流入额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 801740 | 国防军工(申万) | 1685.19 | 2.58% | 52.50 Z | | 801770 | 通信(申万) | 4568.30 | 1.15% | 36.85 Z | | 801720 | 建筑装饰(申万) | 2084.01 | 0.85% | 16.93亿 | 成份股方面，中船防务涨停，股价再创四年新高，中国海防逼近涨停，航天科技、航天智装、海格通信 等大幅跟涨。 国新证券指出，在全球冲突多发和地缘局势并不平静的背景下，国防安全重要性提升，行业估值有望获 得支撑。 基本面也有支撑。据中信建投跟踪分析，2025年三季报，板块共实现营业收入6003.75亿元，同比回升 16.99%；归母净利润Q1业绩筑底，Q2景气度逐步改善，三季报共实现298.22亿元，同比回升14.01%。 板块核心标的在第三季度迎 ...

一是军贸视角下的主战装备产业链，重点布局具备整机总装能力、定价权和海外交付经验的核心企业； 二是新质战斗力加速形成的先进作战领域，包括水下攻防、无人集群、网络电磁对抗和智能指控四大方 向； 三是军民融合纵深推进下的科技强国抓手型赛道，如商业航天、低空经济、可控核聚变关键部件、高能 激光、电磁发射及特种机器人等； 大市深度调整背景下，国防军工行情"一日游"，今日（11月18日）随市走低，场内热门国防军工ETF （512810）场内收跌1.31%，全天延续溢价交易，显示买盘仍活跃。此前6日，512810连续吸金合计逾 亿元。 | 分时 多日 1分 ■ | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 图加 九线 图线 工具 @ (2) > | | | | | 国防军工ETFO | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.770 | | | | 512810国防军工ETF] 15:00 价 0.677 法庆 -0.010[-1.46 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the current trends in the ETF market, highlighting the performance of various sectors and the impact of geopolitical tensions on the defense industry [1][7]. Market Temperature - The market temperature indicator shows that the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index have percentile valuations of 97.53%, 80.71%, and 39.08% respectively, indicating a mixed valuation landscape [1]. Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors on November 17, 2025, included: - Computer: +1.67% - Defense Industry: +1.59% - Banking: +1.10% - The sectors that experienced declines were: - Real Estate: -1.11% - Non-bank Financials: -1.31% - Pharmaceuticals: -1.73% [2]. Fund Flow Signals - The top three sectors with net inflows were: - Computer: 4.331 billion - Defense Industry: 2.657 billion - Banking: 0.838 billion - The sectors with the highest net outflows included: - Pharmaceuticals: -6.216 billion - Electronics: -5.311 billion - Power Equipment: -4.718 billion [2]. ETF Performance - The "创业板人工智能ETF华宝" showed a 6-month increase of 78.53% and a daily increase of 2.20% [5]. - The "国防军工ETF" has a strong outlook due to geopolitical tensions and is expected to benefit from increased military orders and technological advancements [7][10]. Geopolitical Impact on Defense Sector - The defense industry is experiencing a surge due to heightened geopolitical tensions, with the 中证军工指数 rising over 1% on November 17, 2025. Key stocks like 长城军工 and 航天发展 reached new highs [7]. - The upcoming "十五五" military orders are anticipated to boost the sector further, alongside military trade catalysts [7].

【投国防军工，选"512八一0"】代码有"八一"的国防军工ETF（512810）同时是融资融券+互联互通标 的，是一键投资国防军工核心资产的高效工具，覆盖"商业航天 + 低空经济 + 可控核聚变 + 大飞机 + 深 海科技 + 军用AI "等诸多热门主题。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：国防军工ETF被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。2020- 2024年分年度历史收益分别为：67.91%、14.28%、-25.74%、-11.02%、8.20%。指数成份股构成根据该 指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。以上个股均为标的指数成份股，仅作展 示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金 管理人评估的本基金的风险等级为R3-中风险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以上投资者，适当性匹配意见请以 销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形 式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析 及预测不构成对阅读者 ...

Economic Outlook - The economic growth momentum has weakened since Q3 2025, with GDP growth expected to decline to approximately 4.8% in Q3 and 4.5% in Q4, although the annual growth target of around 5% is still achievable due to strong performance in the first half of the year [1][7] - The report indicates that the main reasons for the weakening domestic demand include the reduction in the effectiveness of the trade-in subsidy policy and a significant decline in restaurant consumption, which aligns with previous analyses [3][5] Consumer Spending - From January to August, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.6% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [5] - The decline in retail sales growth is primarily attributed to the diminishing impact of the trade-in subsidy policy, with sales growth for home appliances and communication equipment dropping significantly [5] - Service consumption has outperformed goods consumption, contributing positively to overall consumption growth, with service retail sales increasing by 5.1% compared to 4.8% for goods [5][3] Real Estate Market - The real estate market has accelerated its downturn since Q3, with pressures on both supply and demand sides becoming more pronounced [6] - Demand has decreased due to a continuous decline in residents' willingness to purchase homes, while supply is increasing with a residential inventory of 400 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [6][8] Housing Supply Issues - The average housing supply interruption rate across the country has risen to 3.7%, up from 1.6% in 2022, with some third and fourth-tier cities exceeding 5% [8] - This represents a 130% increase in mortgage interruption rates over three years, highlighting significant challenges in the housing market [8] Future Economic Predictions - The report provides forecasts for various economic indicators for Q3 and Q4 of 2025, suggesting a cautious outlook for the macroeconomic environment if no new stimulus policies are introduced [10][7]

Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of various ETFs, particularly focusing on the defense and military industry, which has shown significant growth and investment interest recently [3][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The defense and military sector has outperformed the market, with the China Securities Military Index rising over 1% on October 28, 2025, amidst a general market decline [3]. - Among the 32 companies in the military index that have reported quarterly results, 27 showed profits, with half achieving over 10% year-on-year growth [5]. Group 2: Investment Trends - The article notes a substantial net inflow of capital into the defense and military sector, amounting to 993 million yuan, indicating strong investor confidence [2]. - The AI sector, particularly the entrepreneurial board AI index, has also seen impressive performance, with a year-to-date increase of 93%, outperforming other AI-related indices [5]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) has shown a 24.35% increase over the past six months, reflecting the sector's robust growth [3]. - The entrepreneurial board AI ETF (159363) has experienced a remarkable 110.74% increase over the same period, highlighting the growing interest in AI technologies [3].

Market Overview - The three major indices turned positive on October 28, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 4000-point mark, reaching a ten-year high, while the ChiNext Index experienced a pullback after initially rising over 1% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the two markets was 2.15 trillion yuan, a decrease of 192.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The artificial intelligence ETF (159363), heavily invested in optical modules, led the market with an intraday increase of over 3% and closed at a new high, with a net subscription of 28 million units [1][10] - The defense and military sector saw a resurgence, with the high-profile defense ETF (512810) rising over 1%, ranking among the top five in the market [1][3] - Domestic software stocks also showed upward movement, with the Xinchuang ETF (562030) and financial technology ETF (159851) both closing higher [1] A-Share Market Dynamics - The recent breakthrough of the Shanghai Composite Index above 4000 points is attributed to a "technology bull" market, contrasting with previous surges driven by traditional cyclical industries like non-bank financials and real estate [2][3] - Short-term fluctuations may occur as the market adjusts to the psychological barrier of 4000 points, with some investors likely to take profits [2][3] - Long-term trends will depend on whether "hard technology" can translate into sustained profit growth [2] Defense and Military Sector Insights - The defense sector is experiencing significant inflows, with net capital inflow exceeding 8.4 billion yuan, making it the top-performing sector among 31 categories [3][4] - The defense ETF (512810) showed a technical bullish pattern, indicating a potential trend shift towards a more favorable market environment [6] - Among the 32 disclosed quarterly reports of the defense ETF's constituent stocks, 27 reported profits, with half achieving over 10% year-on-year growth [8] Artificial Intelligence Sector Developments - The artificial intelligence sector, particularly optical modules, is expected to continue its strong performance, driven by increasing demand for 1.6T optical modules [12][13] - The AI index has seen a year-to-date increase of 93%, significantly outperforming other AI-themed indices [13] - Major companies in the optical module space, such as NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang, are anticipated to report strong earnings growth in the upcoming quarterly disclosures [12][13] Hong Kong Market Trends - The Hong Kong market is witnessing a recovery phase, with significant capital inflows into ETFs focused on internet and innovative drug sectors [3][17] - The Hong Kong internet ETF (513770) has attracted over 540 million yuan in the past four days, indicating strong investor interest [15][18] - The valuation of the Hong Kong internet sector remains attractive, with a current PE ratio of 23.69, below historical averages [21]

Core Viewpoint - The recent release of the "15th Five-Year Plan" has significantly boosted market sentiment, leading to a notable increase in A-shares, particularly in technology and defense sectors, as the government emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance and national security [1][9][14]. Market Performance - On October 24, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.71% to 3950.31 points, marking a ten-year high, while the ChiNext Index surged by 3.57% [1]. - The total trading volume reached 1.99 trillion yuan, indicating a rapid increase in market activity [1]. - Key ETFs such as the "Entrepreneurship Board AI ETF" (159363) and "Dual Innovation Leading ETF" (588330) saw significant gains of 5.49% and 4.9%, respectively [2][10]. Sector Highlights - The AI sector experienced a resurgence, with major players in optical modules, such as Zhongji Xuchuang, seeing stock prices increase by over 12% [1][5]. - The defense and aerospace sectors were highlighted in the new plan, with commercial aerospace stocks experiencing a surge, including a 20% limit-up for Aerospace Intelligent Equipment [1][18]. Investment Themes - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests a focus on new productive forces, with technology companies that possess genuine technological barriers being a key investment theme in A-shares [3][14]. - The consumption sector is also emphasized as crucial for stabilizing the economy, alongside infrastructure projects related to local strategic initiatives [4][14]. - The real estate sector is expected to transition towards quality improvement and institutional innovation, driven by high-quality development frameworks [4][14]. ETF and Stock Performance - The "Entrepreneurship Board AI ETF" (159363) has shown a weekly increase of nearly 14%, with a strong upward trend indicated by technical analysis [5][8]. - The "Dual Innovation Leading ETF" (588330) has gained traction, reflecting the broader market's focus on hard technology and innovation [10][12]. - The defense sector ETF (512810) also performed well, with 75 out of 79 constituent stocks rising, driven by the government's focus on becoming a "space power" [18][19]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the AI sector, as a key driver of the current technological revolution, is poised for continued growth, supported by government policies and increasing demand for computing power [9][10]. - The focus on optical modules and related technologies is expected to yield strong performance from leading companies in the sector, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Communication [9][10].