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技术看市:A股迎近年最佳开局,多个危险信号消失,未来一周没有卖出理由,坚定持股!
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-06 12:36
1月6日,A股继续强势表现,沪指再创10年新高,根据交易所数据,上证指数涨1.5%报4083.67点,深证成指涨1.4%,创业板指涨0.75%,沪深300涨1.55%, 科创50涨1.84%。 沪深两市3844股上涨,1201股下跌,138股持平,合计成交额2.81万亿元,较前一交易日放量约2602.32亿元。 资金方面,大盘主力资金净流出88.36亿元,证券主力资金净流入居首,光学光电子、小金属、能源金属、汽车零部件等板块也获主力资金青睐;通信设备 主力资金净流出居首,文化传媒、消费电子、专用设备、通信服务等板块资金流出较多。题材上,钛白粉、人脑工程、AEBS、低轨卫星、纳米银等涨幅居 前;磁悬浮压缩机、谷歌概念、MIM概念、F5G概念、昇腾384超节点等跌幅居前。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:钟离 徐小明分析,急涨会使得指数远离趋势,当市场远离趋势的时候,趋势的危险就大幅降低,一时半会到不了趋势附近。同时急涨也会导致结构钝化消失,昨 天消失了60分钟和90分钟的顶部钝化,周三大概率日线级别也会消失。 徐小明指出,钝化消失之后,未来一周内都不会有顶部结构,价格又距离趋势较远,也就 ...
技术看市:沪指罕见走出“七连阳”,强势收官有利明年预期,美中不足速度中规中矩
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-25 11:30
周四,A股继续稳步上行,沪指走出"七连阳",根据交易所数据,上证指数涨0.47%报3959.62点,深证成指涨0.33%,创业板指涨0.3%,沪深300涨0.18%, 科创50跌0.23%。 沪深两市3610股上涨,1360股下跌,209股持平,合计成交额1.92万亿元,较前一交易日放量约442.53亿元;大盘主力资金净流出235.59亿元,航天航空主力 资金净流入28.70亿元居首,电子元件主力资金净流出38.70亿元居前。 展望后市,资深市场人士徐小明表示,"上证指数七连阳,上一次七连阳已记不清是什么时候的事了,今天个股比大盘的表现还强,3600家上涨,平均股价 的涨幅比指数大多了,是很不错的一天。" 目前的市场情况是指数突破了趋势,在趋势之上,短期也没有顶部钝化,没有钝化近期就没有结构,徐小明指出,没有顶部结构只要指数在趋势之上,保持 持股待涨就行了。2025年还有4个交易日就结束了,目前看年线收在相对高位,有利于明年的预期。 他强调,大方向要坚决看涨,即便在前几天的调整行情里,也多次提及方向问题。当初判断是上升途中的调整,而且是4月7日以来最大规模的调整,今年的 行情即将结束,调整结束之后,市场应继续 ...
上证120分钟顶部结构,需要调整多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 07:36
Group 1 - The market is experiencing volatility, particularly following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario [1] - Many investors incorrectly anticipate that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) will follow suit with rate cuts, despite a lack of prior indications and current bank lending margins not supporting such actions [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index, which is directly influenced by the US dollar, showed a pattern of opening high and then retreating [4] Group 2 - Upcoming meetings involving key figures are scheduled for post-market hours, which may lead to different market reactions compared to previous meetings held before market opening [6] - There is skepticism regarding the potential for significant announcements or "incremental" changes from the upcoming meetings, especially in light of recent market adjustments and the slow market conditions expected leading into the National Day holiday [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index is showing signs of forming a top structure across multiple time frames, indicating potential market corrections in the near term [10]
A股终于出现一波流畅的下跌了,后市怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 12:47
Group 1 - A-shares experienced a significant decline today, attributed to multiple factors including the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][2][8] - The Federal Reserve's meeting resulted in no interest rate cuts, with Chairman Powell citing uncertainties in inflation and trade tensions as reasons for the decision, leading to a rebound in the US dollar and a drop in US stocks [1][2] - The Middle East situation remains tense, with recent attacks affecting securities trading centers, contributing to market volatility [2] Group 2 - A-shares saw a substantial increase in trading volume, reaching 1.28 trillion, with a net outflow of 73.9 billion, marking one of the worst trading days since June [3][5] - The majority of sectors, except for oil and gas, faced declines, indicating a broad market downturn [5] - Despite the downturn, there are no immediate signs of a major risk event, suggesting that while the market is volatile, it is not in a state of crisis [5][8] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that the market has formed a top structure since June 10, and the current decline was anticipated [11] - Many indices, including the CSI 1000, are showing signs of potential bottom structures, although overcoming the larger top structures may be challenging [11]