顶部结构
Search documents
上证120分钟顶部结构,需要调整多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 07:36
Group 1 - The market is experiencing volatility, particularly following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario [1] - Many investors incorrectly anticipate that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) will follow suit with rate cuts, despite a lack of prior indications and current bank lending margins not supporting such actions [3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index, which is directly influenced by the US dollar, showed a pattern of opening high and then retreating [4] Group 2 - Upcoming meetings involving key figures are scheduled for post-market hours, which may lead to different market reactions compared to previous meetings held before market opening [6] - There is skepticism regarding the potential for significant announcements or "incremental" changes from the upcoming meetings, especially in light of recent market adjustments and the slow market conditions expected leading into the National Day holiday [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index is showing signs of forming a top structure across multiple time frames, indicating potential market corrections in the near term [10]
A股终于出现一波流畅的下跌了,后市怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 12:47
Group 1 - A-shares experienced a significant decline today, attributed to multiple factors including the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][2][8] - The Federal Reserve's meeting resulted in no interest rate cuts, with Chairman Powell citing uncertainties in inflation and trade tensions as reasons for the decision, leading to a rebound in the US dollar and a drop in US stocks [1][2] - The Middle East situation remains tense, with recent attacks affecting securities trading centers, contributing to market volatility [2] Group 2 - A-shares saw a substantial increase in trading volume, reaching 1.28 trillion, with a net outflow of 73.9 billion, marking one of the worst trading days since June [3][5] - The majority of sectors, except for oil and gas, faced declines, indicating a broad market downturn [5] - Despite the downturn, there are no immediate signs of a major risk event, suggesting that while the market is volatile, it is not in a state of crisis [5][8] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that the market has formed a top structure since June 10, and the current decline was anticipated [11] - Many indices, including the CSI 1000, are showing signs of potential bottom structures, although overcoming the larger top structures may be challenging [11]