公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 来 源 ： 内容来自 经济日报 。 台湾记忆体模组龙头威刚董事长陈立白昨（24）日表示，AI需求涌入，导致记忆体缺货进入20年来 最严重的局面，客户实际能拿到的量仅能原本下单量的三成，「有钱也买不到」，根本不存在重复下 单问题，「因为就算下再多单也没货可拿」。 他并透露，自己现在「有半数的时间是在道歉」，因为无法满足所有客户的订单，预期这波记忆体合 约价涨势将持续至少二至三季以上，2026上半年DRAM与储存型快闪记忆体（NAND Flash）仍将全 面缺货。 针对NAND市况，陈立白分析，原本预期小缺，现在看起来缺货将更严重，原因包括产能遭DRAM排 挤，导致供给减少，固态硬碟（SSD）需求端需填补缺口，全面缺货比DRAM稍晚但缺口更深，价格 涨幅也比先前评估更大。 陈立白昨天出席《冠军之路》职棒纪录片记者会，释出以上讯息。他说，这波记忆体缺货潮，已迫使 国际电子品牌将采购层级提升至最高层，过去多由采购主管或业务负责的谈判，现在改由大型科技公 司董事长、总裁亲自出面要货。 即使品牌厂「一把手」亲自出马，能拿到的记忆体仍极为有限，供应商拥有绝对议价权，多数客户连 ...

Core Insights - TSMC is rapidly advancing its 2nm production capabilities, with Kaohsiung set to become a key production hub for the 2nm family, including the introduction of the A16 process in 2024 [3][4][5] - The total investment in the Kaohsiung facility is expected to exceed $50 billion, marking a significant milestone in semiconductor manufacturing [3][4] - The establishment of five fabs (P1 to P5) is projected to create approximately 7,000 high-tech jobs and 20,000 construction jobs, significantly boosting the local economy [3][4][5] Investment and Production Plans - The P1 fab is set to begin mass production of 2nm wafers by the end of this year, while the P2 fab is currently in the equipment installation phase, aiming for mass production in Q2 2024 [3][5] - The P3 fab is expected to start construction in October 2024, with all five fabs projected to be operational by Q4 2027, establishing a leading global 2nm cluster [5] - TSMC's investment in Kaohsiung is anticipated to surpass NT$1.5 trillion, setting a new record for corporate investment in the region [3][4] Technological Advancements - The A16 process will enhance performance and power efficiency, incorporating a new chip architecture that is crucial for AI and high-performance computing [4][5] - The A14 process is scheduled for mass production in 2028, with the main production base located in Taichung, indicating a strong market demand for AI and high-efficiency computing [4][5] Economic Impact - The development of the Nanzih Science Park, which includes the P1 and P2 fabs, is expected to create over 10,000 jobs when considering construction workers and downstream contractors [4] - The local government is committed to optimizing the investment environment to support TSMC's operations and enhance the semiconductor ecosystem in southern Taiwan [5]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC (2330) is expected to face a decline in revenue in Q4 compared to Q3 for the first time in nearly a decade, despite actively pursuing growth opportunities in the U.S. semiconductor market [1][2] Group 1: Revenue and Production Outlook - TSMC anticipates that Q4 revenue in New Taiwan Dollars and U.S. Dollars may not surpass Q3 levels, marking a significant seasonal decline [1] - The first wafer fab in Arizona is set to begin mass production using 4nm technology in Q4 2024, achieving yield rates comparable to those in Taiwan [1] - The second wafer fab, utilizing 3nm technology, has been completed, with strong interest from advanced process customers, prompting TSMC to accelerate production timelines [1] Group 2: Investment and Expansion Plans - TSMC has committed to investing a total of $165 billion in advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S., including six wafer fabs, two advanced packaging facilities, and a major R&D center [1][2] - Approximately 30% of the advanced process capacity below 2nm is expected to be produced in Arizona, supporting major U.S. clients such as Apple, NVIDIA, AMD, Qualcomm, and Broadcom [1] - The fourth wafer fab in Arizona will utilize N2 and A16 process technologies, with the fifth and sixth fabs planned to adopt even more advanced technologies, contingent on customer demand [2]

Company Overview - Junya Technology's main business involves the research, production, and sales of printed circuit boards (PCBs), which are widely used in consumer electronics, communication devices, and automotive electronics [1] - The company operates within the electronic components sector [1] Financial Performance - As of July 29, Junya Technology's stock price was 14.56 yuan, reflecting a decline of 1.89% from the previous trading day, with an intraday fluctuation of 12.26% and a trading volume of 980 million yuan [1] - The company is expected to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, primarily driven by increased demand for high-end PCBs in AI servers and high-speed computing, leading to a higher proportion of high-value-added products [1] Market Activity - On July 29, there was a net outflow of 56.02 million yuan in the main funds for Junya Technology [2]