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国泰海通|宏观:经济运行平稳——国内高频指标跟踪(2025年第22期)
Group 1 - The overall economic operation remains stable, with a temporary pause in the impact of holidays and tariffs [1] - Post-holiday consumption of goods and services has seen a decline, while investment in infrastructure is slowing down and real estate is under pressure, although construction progress is marginally accelerating [1] - Port operations are returning to normal, with a short-term increase in freight rates followed by a relief in tight shipping capacity [1] Group 2 - Production indicators in industries such as coal, electricity, steel, and automobiles have shown a year-on-year decline [1] - There is a continuous reduction in coal inventory, while the PTA industry chain exhibits a divergence in inventory levels between upstream and downstream [1] - Consumer prices for most goods have risen, while most industrial products have decreased in price, with only slight increases in crude oil and construction-related materials like asphalt and copper [1] Group 3 - After the month-end, liquidity conditions have improved with a decline in funding rates, and the renminbi has appreciated [1]