操作上，依托支撑布局多单，重点关注压力位突破情况。今天不到4140附近不做空，只要市场回踩，则以多为主。下方回调4070-4060 分批多，损10点，看4090-4110；上方触及4140-4145压制空，损10点，看4120-4100； 关键支撑：日线第一支撑4070，第二支撑（强拐点）在4050附近； 核心压制：4140-4145顶底转换； 来源：万乾金wqj068 上周五暴跌后，市场进入新震荡区间，月线宽幅震荡格局将持续至年底美联储纪要发布。黄金自上周五行情击穿4140，前期支撑变阻 力，但日线拐点4030未破，回踩转向尚未确认，倾向"反弹高空"以推动更深调整。 文/万乾论金 ...

Group 1 - The current gold market lacks a clear trend reversal signal despite a significant bullish daily candle, as the volume release is not sustained [1][3] - Short-term and long-term moving averages are still in a divergence repair phase, indicating that the strong single candlestick has not fully reversed the previous consolidation pattern [1] - The market is influenced by fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, contributing to increased uncertainty in gold prices [1] Group 2 - The recent geopolitical tensions have shown alternating phases of easing and localized stress, leading to a pulse-like inflow of safe-haven funds without stable buying support [1] - The resistance level is identified at 4050-4070, corresponding to the upper boundary of the previous consolidation platform and the upper Bollinger Band, while key support is at 3980-3960, aligning with the 10-day moving average [3] - Short-term strategies suggest focusing on buying on dips and selling on rebounds, with close monitoring of international dynamics and Federal Reserve policy signals to adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends and analysis of international gold prices, indicating potential movements in the market based on technical indicators [1]. Group 1 - The 4-hour chart of international gold shows significant price levels that traders should monitor for potential trading opportunities [1]. - Technical analysis suggests that certain resistance and support levels are critical for predicting future price movements in gold [1].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a slight upward trend, with a focus on the potential for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, which has a probability of 91.9% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive week, indicating resilience during the initial phase of a monetary policy shift [1] - The gold market showed high volatility last week, starting at $3642 per ounce, dipping to a low of $3626, peaking at $3707 midweek, and closing at $3685 [1] - The weekly chart formed a small bullish candle, confirming a five-week upward trend [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - Daily charts indicate a reversal from consecutive declines to an upward trend, with key indicators showing signs of recovery [1] - The 4-hour chart shows a bullish crossover in the stochastic indicator and MACD near the zero line, suggesting potential upward momentum [1] - Short-term resistance is noted at the Bollinger upper band around $3698-$3700, with support identified at $3625-$3630 [1] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Aggressive traders are advised to enter long positions on pullbacks between $3660-$3665, with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3675-$3685 [3] - Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to the $3648-$3653 range to enter long positions, also with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3670-$3680 [3] - For short positions, traders are recommended to sell on rebounds between $3692-$3697, with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of $3665-$3675 [3]

Group 1 - Gold prices rose on Friday, marking the fifth consecutive week of gains, as the market focused on further clues following the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year [1] - The Federal Reserve lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points but warned of persistent inflation, creating uncertainty about future easing measures [1] - After the announcement, spot gold briefly reached a record high of $3707.40 before retreating in volatile trading [1] Group 2 - The medium to long-term outlook remains solid despite the weekly deviation from moving averages, indicating a need for time to consolidate [1] - The market has already priced in the first rate cut, but the probabilities for further cuts in October and December remain high, which will continue to support gold prices [1] - The overall trend is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward pattern, with significant downward conditions lacking [1] Group 3 - An analysis of the 4-hour chart shows a gradual completion of a technical adjustment, forming a small arc bottom, with K-line continuing to oscillate upwards along short-term moving averages [3] - Key support levels are identified at 3655-64 and 3627-35, with a potential shift in market dynamics if these levels are breached [3] - The operational strategy suggests focusing on short positions at the first touch of the 3700 level, with a stop loss at 3710 and a target of 3670, while considering long positions at 3660 with a stop loss at 3650 and a target of 3690 [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices experienced significant fluctuations, with a notable decline attributed to profit-taking by bullish investors following a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and better-than-expected initial jobless claims data in the U.S. [1] - On September 19, gold opened at $3659 per ounce, peaked at $3673 during the day, but fell to a low of $3627, closing again at $3659, forming a bearish candlestick pattern [3] - Recent attempts to break the resistance level of $3708 have failed, indicating a potential double top formation, which signals a weakening trend for gold prices [3] Group 2 - Technical indicators show that gold prices have broken below the 5-day moving average and key support levels of $3650-$3645, with both daily and 4-hour RSI indicators retreating from high levels [3] - Short-term resistance levels are identified at $3675-$3680, while support levels are noted at $3605-$3610 [3] - Suggested trading strategies include light long positions at $3610-$3615 with a target of $3625-$3635, and short positions at $3660-$3665 or $3670-$3675 with targets of $3650-$3640 and $3645-$3635 respectively [6]

Market Overview - Gold prices have shown strong performance, breaking through the psychological barrier of $3400, reaching a five-week high of $3423.02 per ounce, driven by a weaker dollar, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and an influx of safe-haven investments [1] - Silver has also reached its highest level in over a month, indicating overall strength in the precious metals sector [1] Technical Analysis - In the previous trading day, gold prices dipped to $3384.4 before rebounding, with the daily closing above $3400, indicating a bullish trend [3] - Technical indicators such as the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending upwards, with TRIX and KDJ indicators showing bullish crossovers, although the J-line is in the overbought region, suggesting limited upside potential in the near term [3] - The hourly chart indicates a slight decline from $3319, currently trading around $3412, with KDJ showing a high-level bearish crossover and MACD indicating increasing bearish momentum [3] Trading Recommendations - Suggested to buy gold in the range of $3395-$3398 with a stop loss at $3390 and a target of $3415 [5] - Suggested to sell gold in the range of $3421-$3424 with a stop loss at $3429 and a target of $3405 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market has experienced a significant turning point, with a strong rally leading to a breakthrough of the 3350-3360 resistance zone, culminating in a single-day increase of 57 points to reach a high of 3378 [1]. Technical Analysis - The market is showing clear bullish signals, with the daily moving average system shifting to a positive trend. Previous resistance levels have transformed into strong support, and short-term moving average pressures have been decisively overcome, laying a solid foundation for a medium-term uptrend [1]. Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy focuses on identifying buying opportunities during pullbacks, particularly around the key support level of 3360, which is expected to act as a significant support area following its previous resistance status. The immediate target for bullish momentum is set at the psychological level of 3400 [1]. - Specific trading recommendations include entering long positions when gold prices retreat to the 3360-3355 range, with a target set at 3375-3385 and a strict stop-loss at 3348. If prices remain below 3360, traders are advised to wait for clearer trend confirmation signals before making further trading decisions [3].

Core Impact - Gold prices are trading around $3333 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar and declining U.S. Treasury yields, which enhance the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [1] - The U.S. July CPI data met expectations, reinforcing market speculation for a Fed rate cut in September and increasing bets on further easing policies this year [1] - If global economic uncertainty persists and the Fed maintains its rate cut pace, gold is expected to remain strong in the long term [1] Multi-Cycle Trend Analysis Daily Level - The daily chart indicates that gold has stopped its consecutive downtrend, with upward momentum gradually accumulating [2] - A key signal for short-term stabilization is a close above the 5-day moving average, with resistance at $3370-$3375; a breakthrough could lead to testing the $3400 level [2] - If unable to break through, gold is likely to continue its consolidation [2] 4-Hour Level - The 4-hour cycle shows signs of a rebound, but confirmation is needed by breaking the mid-band resistance [2] - The ideal scenario involves a bottoming out followed by a rise above the mid-band to open further rebound potential [2] Specific Trading Strategies and Recommendations Long Position Strategy - It is recommended to enter long positions when gold prices pull back to around $3320 per ounce, with a stop loss set at $3320 and a target range of $3340-$3350 [4] Short Position Strategy - It is advised to short when gold prices rebound to the $3360-$3370 range, with a stop loss at $3390 and a target range of $3350-$3340 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced a slight upward trend, driven by a weaker US dollar and declining US Treasury yields, reinforcing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On August 14, spot gold fluctuated upwards, opening at $3349 per ounce and reaching a low of $3342 before climbing to a high of $3370 during the trading session, ultimately closing at $3355.90, marking a 0.24% increase [1] - The daily chart indicates a triangular convergence pattern, with a main upward trend, while caution is advised for potential fluctuations [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, but lacks significant momentum, and there are no clear volume signals [1] - The RSI is positioned around 53, indicating a neutral zone, suggesting that the market is in a consolidation phase awaiting direction from fundamental data [1] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Bullish strategy suggests buying on dips at the 3340-3345 range with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of 3365-3375 [3] - Bearish strategy recommends selling on rebounds at the 3395-3390 range with a stop loss of 8 points and a target of 3383-3372 [3]