Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance in the first half of the year, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index recording semi-annual returns of 20% and 18.7% respectively, ranking among the top global indices [1] - The rebound in the Hong Kong stock market is primarily driven by a decrease in risk premium, while contributions from risk-free interest rates and fundamental earnings improvement are relatively limited [1] - Current favorable conditions for the Hong Kong stock market include a reduction in external environmental disturbances, a shift in Trump's policy focus from tariffs to tax cuts, and a supportive liquidity environment for capital allocation [1] Group 2 - The technology sector is highlighted as having significant investment value, with foreign capital showing sustained confidence through increased allocations to the information technology sector [2] - The adjustment in the technology sector's valuation narrative has led to a moderate level of crowding, indicating potential for upward elasticity and positioning it as a key driver for the next market rally [2] - There is a notable rotation of southbound capital across various sectors, with recent focus shifting towards healthcare and financial sectors, reflecting market interest in high-growth sectors and defensive value in high-dividend stocks [2] Group 3 - The short-selling landscape shows high levels of short interest in cyclical and consumer sectors, while the technology sector is experiencing a convergence of long and short positions [3] - The consumer sector is witnessing a clear divergence, with essential consumption remaining stable while discretionary consumption has seen increased short-selling activity [3] - The concentration of short-selling in the information technology sector is decreasing, supported by continued foreign investment and appropriate allocation from southbound capital [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is currently in a consolidation phase, having largely completed the macroeconomic impact recovery process, with the Hang Seng Index approaching its March high due to themes in new consumption and pharmaceuticals [1][2] Market Conditions - The recent rise in the Hong Kong stock market is supported by a significant reduction in tariff uncertainties and a stabilization of the RMB exchange rate, alongside ample liquidity in the Hong Kong dollar market [2][3] - Despite the favorable liquidity environment, the Hang Seng Technology Index remains in a sideways trend, indicating that strong upward catalysts are still needed for the technology sector [2] Investment Opportunities - The current market conditions present a favorable window for investors, particularly as the technology sector has seen a release of valuation pressure, transitioning from a structural market to a broader rally [3] - The improvement in risk sentiment and liquidity provides a necessary foundation for the next phase of technology stock rallies, with the potential for significant upward movement as the narrative themes evolve [3]

今日（4.24）港股飘绿，恒生科技ETF基金（513260）回调跌超1%。资金逢跌布局，盘中溢价走阔达0.24%，反映资金情绪乐观，近60日净流入近27亿 元，恒生科技ETF基金（513260）最新基金规模突破41亿元，再创新高！ 海外方面，昨夜美股暴涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数一度涨超5%。消息面上，美高层"松口"，表示目前对我国进口商品的关税过高，预计税率将大幅降 低，在某些情况下削减幅度超过一半。 年初以来，南向资金累计净流入已超6077亿港元，是去年同期的近4倍！买入标的集中在科技资产，近7日以来，恒生科技ETF基金（513260）标的指数 成份股中，阿里巴巴、腾讯控股、美团位居前三。 | | | | | 南回 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | | 净买入 排名 | | 1 | 9988.HK | 阿里巴巴 W | 64.48 | 1 | | 2 | 0700.HK | 腾讯控股 | 46.83 | 2 | | 3 | 3690.HK | 美团-W | 23.61 | 3 | | ব | 9992.HK | 泡泡玛特 | 15.2 ...