Workflow
MAGA主义
icon
Search documents
全球化的丧钟为谁而鸣?
虎嗅APP· 2025-05-02 03:38
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of globalization from 1.0 to 3.0, highlighting the impact of MAGAism and the rise of protectionism, leading to a potential collapse of the current global trade system and the emergence of a new, more inclusive globalization model driven by digital technology and emerging economies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Globalization 1.0 - Globalization 1.0 was established post-World War II, primarily led by the United States, focusing on rebuilding economies through international cooperation and the establishment of organizations like the IMF and World Bank [7][8]. - The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was signed in 1947, leading to a significant reduction in global tariff levels, with an average annual trade growth rate of 7.8% from 1950 to 1973 [7][8]. - The period was characterized by a division between capitalist and socialist blocs, resulting in a structured but not fully globalized trade system [9]. Group 2: Globalization 2.0 - Globalization 2.0 began after the Cold War, marked by the establishment of the WTO in 1995, which facilitated a true global economic integration, particularly between the U.S. and China [11][12]. - The period saw rapid trade liberalization, with global tariffs dropping from 6.2% in 1991 to 3.2% in 2006, and significant growth in international investment [12][13]. - The rise of emerging economies, particularly China and India, began to reshape the global economic landscape, contributing to a multi-polar world [15]. Group 3: MAGAism and Its Impact - MAGAism has led to a rise in protectionist policies in the U.S., which may provide short-term benefits to certain industries but could disrupt global supply chains and increase consumer costs in the long run [20][21]. - The political polarization in the U.S. has intensified, with MAGAism exacerbating divisions between different social and economic groups, impacting political stability and governance [21][22]. - The global implications of MAGAism include a decline in U.S. leadership in international affairs and a shift towards a more fragmented global trade environment [22][23]. Group 4: Transition to Globalization 3.0 - The article posits that the world is transitioning towards Globalization 3.0, characterized by a more inclusive and technology-driven economic model, despite the challenges posed by de-globalization and protectionism [26][27]. - Emerging economies are advocating for a more open and cooperative global economic system, as seen in initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative and RCEP [26]. - The future of globalization is seen as an inevitable trend, with the potential for a new economic order that is less dominated by major powers and more reliant on digital technologies [27].
双双“滑跪”!上任不满100天的“特马组合”,不仅折了还要分手
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 08:13
如果问起今年开年以来,最惊爆全球的流量组合,那非特朗普和马斯克的"特马组合"莫属了。 1月,赢得大选、重回白宫的特朗普和稳坐世界首富、跳反共和党的马斯克"强强联手",老马被懂王强势任命为美国联邦新晋部门"效率部"的负责人,正式 入仕。 两个特立独行的人联手,给人一种要重燃美国霸权、整顿全球局势的感觉。然而,还不到100天,特马组合的结果,却是双双"滑跪"。 马斯克想靠特朗普的政治资源为自己商业造势,结果面临的是特斯拉销量断崖式下跌,特朗普拉拢马斯克,没整顿世界局势,先整顿了美国公务员职场,弄 得鸡飞狗跳、怨声载道。 想复刻2018年的贸易战局面,却发现美国已经不再是7年前的美国,而中国,也不再是7年前的中国,特朗普的关税大棒俨然成了双刃剑,不仅让他举步维 艰,而且还骑虎难下。 据CNN报道,最近特斯拉公布的第一季度财报显示,净收入为4.09亿美元,同比下降71%,汽车业务同比下降20%,交车量减少5万辆。 要知道作为当前的全球第一大科技车企,特斯拉市值高达7000亿美元,过去几年作为美国电动车企业龙头,一直强势领跑全球新能源车企发展势头,然而现 在的特斯拉,却面临着几个主要市场的接连业务缩水。 马斯克在特斯拉 ...