投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 30 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 制造业 PMI 继续修复，股指震荡上涨 核心观点 今日各股指均震荡上涨。沪深京三市全天成交额 21972 亿元，较上日 放量 191 亿元。9 月制造业 PMI 继续修复，表明国内宏观经济的韧性较强， 叠加 10 月重磅会议政策利好预期，市场风险偏好持续回升。不过短期来看， 由于股票估值端显著上升，特别是指数反弹至前期高点附近，获利资金止盈 需求仍存，需要关注后续资金止盈节奏与政策预期发酵的博弈情况。总的来 说，由于指数接近前期高点，短期内股指预计以宽幅震荡为主。 目前期权隐含波动率有所回升，考虑到股指中长线向上，可以继续持 有牛市价差或比例价差。 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明：本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书，期货投资咨询资格证书， 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度， 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反映了本人的 研究观点。本人不会因本报告 中的具体推荐意见或观点 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks showed a market trend of gradually declining in the long position direction, then rebounding and rising, and finally oscillating at a high level [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options remained at a relatively high level of fluctuation [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct a long-biased buyer strategy and a bull spread combination strategy for call options; for index options, it is suitable to construct a long-biased seller strategy, a bull spread combination strategy for call options, and an arbitrage strategy between synthetic long futures of options and short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Important Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,862.53, up 34.43 points or 0.90%, with a trading volume of 968.2 billion yuan, an increase of 40.3 billion yuan [3]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,479.43, up 270.43 points or 2.05%, with a trading volume of 1,193.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 25.8 billion yuan [3]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 2,973.04, up 32.02 points or 1.09%, with a trading volume of 190 billion yuan, an increase of 39.8 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,620.05, up 70.00 points or 1.54%, with a trading volume of 693.4 billion yuan, an increase of 94.7 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 7,350.56, up 109.65 points or 1.51%, with a trading volume of 433.9 billion yuan, an increase of 3.7 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,497.83, up 100.24 points or 1.36%, with a trading volume of 419.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.3 billion yuan [3]. 3.2 Option Underlying ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 3.109, up 0.032 or 1.04%, with a trading volume of 12.6409 million shares, an increase of 12.5943 million shares, and a trading volume of 3.914 billion yuan, an increase of 2.479 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.728, up 0.077 or 1.66%, with a trading volume of 11.9544 million shares, an increase of 11.8828 million shares, and a trading volume of 5.620 billion yuan, an increase of 2.276 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 7.462, up 0.126 or 1.72%, with a trading volume of 3.3294 million shares, an increase of 3.3073 million shares, and a trading volume of 2.473 billion yuan, an increase of 0.839 billion yuan [4]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.543, up 0.019 or 1.25%, with a trading volume of 35.143 million shares, an increase of 34.8542 million shares, and a trading volume of 5.345 billion yuan, an increase of 0.899 billion yuan [4]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.510, up 0.017 or 1.14%, with a trading volume of 10.5311 million shares, an increase of 10.4435 million shares, and a trading volume of 1.566 billion yuan, an increase of 0.245 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.880, up 0.080 or 1.67%, with a trading volume of 2.5923 million shares, an increase of 2.5808 million shares, and a trading volume of 1.257 billion yuan, an increase of 0.702 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.980, up 0.046 or 1.57%, with a trading volume of 1.254 million shares, an increase of 1.2335 million shares, and a trading volume of 0.371 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.236 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.608, up 0.079 or 2.24%, with a trading volume of 0.7154 million shares, an increase of 0.7098 million shares, and a trading volume of 0.256 billion yuan, an increase of 0.057 billion yuan [4]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 3.213, up 0.084 or 2.68%, with a trading volume of 16.3285 million shares, an increase of 16.1592 million shares, and a trading volume of 5.208 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.16 billion yuan [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Position PCR - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the trading volume was 1.4737 million contracts, an increase of 0.6855 million contracts, the open interest was 1.2883 million contracts, an increase of 0.062 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.59, a decrease of 0.32, and the open interest PCR was 0.78, an increase of 0.02 [6]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the trading volume was 1.4472 million contracts, an increase of 0.5099 million contracts, the open interest was 1.1082 million contracts, an increase of 0.0283 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.87, a decrease of 0.35, and the open interest PCR was 1.04, a decrease of 0.01 [6]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the trading volume was 1.5295 million contracts, an increase of 0.086 million contracts, the open interest was 1.0855 million contracts, an increase of 0.0289 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.91, a decrease of 0.28, and the open interest PCR was 1.29, a decrease of 0.01 [6]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the trading volume was 1.4806 million contracts, an increase of 0.0463 million contracts, the open interest was 1.7509 million contracts, an increase of 0.0807 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.87, a decrease of 0.09, and the open interest PCR was 1.04, a decrease of 0.02 [6]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the trading volume was 0.314 million contracts, an increase of 0.0295 million contracts, the open interest was 0.4785 million contracts, an increase of 0.0301 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.80, an increase of 0.03, and the open interest PCR was 0.96, a decrease of 0.01 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the trading volume was 0.2741 million contracts, an increase of 0.1395 million contracts, the open interest was 0.2646 million contracts, an increase of 0.0361 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.92, an increase of 0.14, and the open interest PCR was 0.84, an increase of 0.06 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the trading volume was 0.2622 million contracts, an increase of 0.0865 million contracts, the open interest was 0.318 million contracts, an increase of 0.0126 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 1.02, a decrease of 0.04, and the open interest PCR was 0.88, an increase of 0.02 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the trading volume was 0.1279 million contracts, an increase of 0.0034 million contracts, the open interest was 0.1178 million contracts, an increase of 0.0049 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 2.92, a decrease of 0.34, and the open interest PCR was 1.16, a decrease of 0.02 [6]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the trading volume was 1.7877 million contracts, an increase of 0.0179 million contracts, the open interest was 1.5818 million contracts, an increase of 0.0333 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.92, a decrease of 0.10, and the open interest PCR was 1.33, an increase of 0.14 [6]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the trading volume was 0.0741 million contracts, an increase of 0.0456 million contracts, the open interest was 0.0714 million contracts, an increase of 0.0017 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.45, a decrease of 0.10, and the open interest PCR was 0.70, an increase of 0.04 [6]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the trading volume was 0.176 million contracts, an increase of 0.0696 million contracts, the open interest was 0.1786 million contracts, an increase of 0.0024 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.55, a decrease of 0.21, and the open interest PCR was 0.92, an increase of 0.05 [6]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the trading volume was 0.3066 million contracts, an increase of 0.0241 million contracts, the open interest was 0.2735 million contracts, a decrease of 0.0001 million contracts, the trading volume PCR was 0.80, a decrease of 0.27, and the open interest PCR was 0.99, an increase of 0.02 [6]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure Point and Support Point - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 3.109, the at-the-money strike price was 3.10, the pressure point was 3.10, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 3.10, the support point deviation was 0.10, the maximum long position of call options was 128,775 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 86,084 contracts [8]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 4.728, the at-the-money strike price was 4.70, the pressure point was 4.70, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 4.60, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 87,647 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 83,270 contracts [8]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 7.462, the at-the-money strike price was 7.50, the pressure point was 7.50, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 7.00, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 81,999 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 92,250 contracts [8]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 1.543, the at-the-money strike price was 1.55, the pressure point was 1.55, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 1.50, the support point deviation was 0.15, the maximum long position of call options was 94,489 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 64,694 contracts [8]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 1.510, the at-the-money strike price was 1.50, the pressure point was 1.50, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 1.35, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 30,321 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 16,868 contracts [8]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 4.880, the at-the-money strike price was 4.90, the pressure point was 5.00, the pressure point deviation was 0.10, the support point was 4.80, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 18,754 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 17,107 contracts [8]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 2.980, the at-the-money strike price was 3.00, the pressure point was 3.00, the pressure point deviation was 0.05, the support point was 2.95, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 18,749 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 12,971 contracts [8]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the underlying closing price was 3.608, the at-the-money strike price was 3.60, the pressure point was 3.60, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 3.50, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 12,164 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 8,031 contracts [8]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the underlying closing price was 3.213, the at-the-money strike price was 3.20, the pressure point was 3.20, the pressure point deviation was 0.00, the support point was 3.10, the support point deviation was 0.00, the maximum long position of call options was 101,833 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 84,037 contracts [8]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the underlying closing price was 2,973.04, the at-the-money strike price was 2,950, the pressure point was 3,000, the pressure point deviation was 0, the support point was 2,850, the support point deviation was 0, the maximum long position of call options was 5,255 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 3,517 contracts [8]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the underlying closing price was 4,620.05, the at-the-money strike price was 4,600, the pressure point was 4,600, the pressure point deviation was 0, the support point was 4,500, the support point deviation was 0, the maximum long position of call options was 8,031 contracts, and the maximum long position of put options was 9,327 contracts [8]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the underlying closing price was 7,497.83, the at-the-money strike price was 7,500, the pressure point was 7,500, the pressure point deviation was 0, the support point was 7,000, the support point deviation was 0, the maximum long position of call options

金融期权 2025-09-29 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要： （1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为多头方向上逐渐下降回落后反弹回升后高 位震荡的市场行情。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率维持较高水平波动。 （3）金融期权策略与建议：对于ETF期权来说，适合构建偏多头的买方策略，认购期权牛市价差组合策略；对于股 指期权来说，适合构建偏多头的卖方策略、认购期权牛市价差组合策略和期权合成期货多头与期货空头做套利策略 表1：金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - All stock indices oscillated and pulled back on the day, with the total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets reaching 2166.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 225.7 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - Trump's recent announcement of a new round of high - tariffs on various imported products has led to an increase in market risk - aversion sentiment [3]. - As the valuation has risen significantly, especially when the index rebounded near the previous high, the profit - taking demand of profitable funds has increased. Additionally, with the approaching National Day holiday, investors' desire to secure profits has grown [3]. - In the medium - to - long term, the expectation of policy benefits and the long - term net inflow trend of funds constitute the medium - to - long - term driving force for the upward movement of stock indices [3]. - In the future, the focus will be on the game between the rhythm of profit - taking by funds and the fermentation of policy expectations. In general, due to the index approaching the previous high and the approaching holiday, the stock index is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term [3]. - Currently, the implied volatility of options has declined. Considering the medium - to - long - term upward trend of the stock index, investors can continue to hold bull spreads or ratio spreads [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On September 26, 2025, the 50ETF fell 0.32% to close at 3.077; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.94% to close at 4.651; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.91% to close at 4.800; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.95% to close at 4550.05; the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.45% to close at 7397.59; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 1.41% to close at 7.336; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 1.21% to close at 2.934; the ChiNext ETF fell 2.55% to close at 3.129; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 1.84% to close at 3.529; the SSE 50 Index fell 0.40% to close at 2941.02; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.55% to close at 1.52; and the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.32% to close at 1.49 [5]. - The trading volume PCR and open - interest PCR of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For example, the trading volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options was 91.14 (85.45 the previous day), and the open - interest PCR was 78.68 (77.23 the previous day) [6]. - The implied volatility of the at - the - money options in October 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options were provided. For instance, the implied volatility of the at - the - money options of SSE 50ETF options in October 2025 was 14.64%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 15.75% [7]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Charts include the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [9][11][13][17]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Charts cover the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [20][22][24][30]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Charts involve the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [33][34]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Charts include the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [36][38][40][42][46]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [49][51][53][55][59]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Charts involve the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [62][64][65][71]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Charts include the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [75][79][80][82][87]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Charts cover the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [90][92][93][98]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [103][105][107][113]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Charts include the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [116][118][120][126]. - **Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Charts cover the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [129][131][133]. - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Charts involve the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [137][139][141][147].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market shows a market trend where the Shanghai Composite Index, large - cap blue - chip stocks, small and medium - cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks decline on the long - position side, then rebound and oscillate at a high level [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options maintains a relatively high - level fluctuation [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct a long - biased buyer strategy and a bull spread combination strategy of call options; for index options, it is suitable to construct a long - biased seller strategy, a bull spread combination strategy of call options, and an arbitrage strategy between synthetic long futures of options and short futures [3]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Market Overview - **Important Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,853.30, down 0.01%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,445.90, up 0.67%; the SSE 50 closed at 2,952.74, up 0.45%; the CSI 300 closed at 4,593.49, up 0.60%; the CSI 500 closed at 7,341.32, up 0.24%; the CSI 1000 closed at 7,506.51, down 0.37% [3]. - **ETF Market**: Different ETFs showed different price changes, such as the SSE 50 ETF closing at 3.087, up 0.49%, and the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closing at 1.548, up 1.18% [4]. Option Factor Analysis - **Volume and Position PCR**: Different option varieties have different volume and position PCR values and their changes, which can be used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [6][7]. - **Pressure and Support Points**: By looking at the strike prices of the maximum positions of call and put options, the pressure and support points of the option underlying can be determined, such as the pressure point of the SSE 50 ETF is 3.10 and the support point is 3.00 [8][10]. - **Implied Volatility**: The implied volatility of options, including at - the - money implied volatility and weighted implied volatility, shows different levels and changes for different option varieties [11][12]. Strategy and Recommendations - **Overall Strategy**: The financial option sector is divided into several sub - sectors, and different option strategies are recommended for each sub - sector, including directional strategies, volatility strategies, and spot long - position covered call strategies [13]. - **Sub - sector Strategies** - **Financial Stocks**: For the SSE 50 ETF and SSE 50, construct a seller long - biased combination strategy and a spot long - position covered call strategy [14]. - **Large - cap Blue - chip Stocks**: For the SSE 300 ETF, SZSE 300 ETF, and CSI 300, construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [14]. - **Medium - sized Stocks**: For the SZSE 100 ETF, construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [15]. - **Small - cap Stocks**: For the SSE 500 ETF, SZSE 500 ETF, and CSI 1000, construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options, a short - volatility strategy (for CSI 1000), and a spot long - position covered call strategy [15][16]. - **ChiNext Stocks**: For the ChiNext ETF, Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, construct a bull call option combination strategy, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [16].

金融期权 2025-09-25 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要： （1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为多头方向上逐渐下降回落后反弹回升后高 位震荡的市场行情。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率逐渐上升至均值较高水平波动。 （3）金融期权策略与建议：对于ETF期权来说，适合构建偏多头的买方策略，认购期权牛市价差组合策略；对于股 指期权来说，适合构建偏多头的卖方策略、认购期权牛市价差组合策略和期权合成期货多头与期货空头做套利策略 。 表1：金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 目前期权隐含波动率有所回落，考虑到股指中长线向上，可以继续持 有牛市价差或比例价差。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3035632 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 24 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 股市成交缩量，股指全面反弹 核心观点 今日各股指全面上涨，其中中证 500 与中证 1000 涨幅居前。沪深京三 市全天成交额 23471 亿元，较上日缩量 1713 亿元。不过本次反弹伴随的是 股市成交金额缩量，以及股指期货持仓量减仓，这意味着投资者对后市的看 法仍存分歧。目前股市的主要交易逻辑来自于政策预期以及资金流向这两 方面，后市需要重点关注资金止盈节奏与政策预期发酵的博弈情况。一方面 随着估值端显著上升，特别是指数反弹至前期高点附近，获利资金止盈需求 上升，投资者落袋为安的想法有所升温；另一方面，政策利好预期与资金面 长期净流入趋势构成驱动股指上行的中长期动力。目前政策利好预期的发 酵有待 10 月重磅会议的召开，增量资金方面从融资余额突破 2.4 万亿 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 23 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 股指宽幅震荡整理为主 核心观点 今日各股指均宽幅震荡整理，全天探底回升。沪深京三市全天成交额 25186 亿元，较上日放量 3760 亿元。目前市场情绪存在一定分歧，重点关 注资金止盈节奏与政策预期发酵的博弈情况。一方面随着估值端显著上升， 获利资金止盈需求仍存；另一方面，政策利好预期与资金面净流入趋势构成 驱动股指上行的中长期动力。目前政策利好预期的发酵有待 10 月重磅会议 的召开，增量资金方面从融资余额突破 2.4 万亿、7 月份和 8 月份新增非银 存款同比大幅多增等情况可见一斑。总的来说，短期内股指预计以宽幅震荡 为主。 目前期权隐含波动率有所上升，考虑到股指中长线向上，可以继续持 有牛市价差或比例价差。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3035632 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明：本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks showed a market trend of gradually declining on the long side, then rebounding and rising, and finally oscillating at a high level [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options gradually rose to fluctuate at a relatively high average level [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct a long-biased buyer strategy and a bull spread combination strategy for call options; for index options, it is suitable to construct a long-biased seller strategy, a bull spread combination strategy for call options, and an arbitrage strategy of combining long synthetic futures and short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Important Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,820.09, down 11.57 points or 0.30%, with a trading volume of 101.63 billion yuan, a decrease of 34.96 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,070.86, down 4.80 points or 0.04%, with a trading volume of 130.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 46.17 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 2,909.74, down 3.08 points or 0.11%, with a trading volume of 16.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.25 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,501.92, up 3.81 points or 0.08%, with a trading volume of 60.39 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.61 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 7,170.35, down 29.53 points or 0.41%, with a trading volume of 45.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.36 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,438.19, down 38.21 points or 0.51%, with a trading volume of 48.32 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.08 billion yuan [4]. 3.2 Option Underlying ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 3.045, down 0.003 or 0.10%, with a trading volume of 6.5567 million shares, an increase of 6.4262 million shares, and a trading value of 1.999 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.00 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.604, up 0.010 or 0.22%, with a trading volume of 7.3161 million shares, an increase of 7.1974 million shares, and a trading value of 3.370 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.119 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 7.261, down 0.031 or 0.43%, with a trading volume of 2.8555 million shares, an increase of 2.8217 million shares, and a trading value of 2.080 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.02 billion yuan [5]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.431, down 0.019 or 1.31%, with a trading volume of 43.9223 million shares, an increase of 43.3052 million shares, and a trading value of 6.360 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.688 billion yuan [5]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.398, down 0.017 or 1.20%, with a trading volume of 13.5837 million shares, an increase of 13.4241 million shares, and a trading value of 1.922 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.57 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.747, up 0.015 or 0.32%, with a trading volume of 1.5969 million shares, an increase of 1.5784 million shares, and a trading value of 758 million yuan, a decrease of 124 million yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.903, down 0.010 or 0.34%, with a trading volume of 962,600 shares, an increase of 945,200 shares, and a trading value of 280 million yuan, a decrease of 232 million yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.475, up 0.013 or 0.38%, with a trading volume of 806,900 shares, an increase of 795,400 shares, and a trading value of 280 million yuan, a decrease of 120 million yuan [5]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 3.062, down 0.005 or 0.16%, with a trading volume of 17.1223 million shares, an increase of 16.8504 million shares, and a trading value of 5.267 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.142 billion yuan [5]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Position PCR - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 1.14, an increase of 0.35, and the position PCR was 0.77, an increase of 0.06 [6]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 1.54, an increase of 0.43, and the position PCR was 1.15, an increase of 0.09 [6]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 1.40, an increase of 0.37, and the position PCR was 1.33, an increase of 0.03 [6]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 1.19, an increase of 0.15, and the position PCR was 1.11, an increase of 0.04 [6]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 0.84, unchanged, and the position PCR was 0.94, an increase of 0.02 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 0.73, an increase of 0.01, and the position PCR was 1.00, an increase of 0.08 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 1.44, an increase of 0.49, and the position PCR was 0.90, an increase of 0.03 [6]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 4.11, an increase of 2.84, and the position PCR was 1.43, an increase of 0.16 [6]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the trading volume PCR was 0.89, an increase of 0.03, and the position PCR was 1.34, an increase of 0.01 [6]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the trading volume PCR was 0.68, an increase of 0.12, and the position PCR was 0.60, unchanged [6]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the trading volume PCR was 0.65, a decrease of 0.02, and the position PCR was 0.74, a decrease of 0.07 [6]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the trading volume PCR was 0.86, an increase of 0.01, and the position PCR was 0.94, a decrease of 0.17 [6]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Points - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the pressure point was 3.10, and the support point was 3.10 [8]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the pressure point was 4.60, and the support point was 4.60 [8]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the pressure point was 7.50, and the support point was 7.00 [8]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the pressure point was 1.65, and the support point was 1.40 [8]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the pressure point was 1.60, and the support point was 1.35 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the pressure point was 4.80, and the support point was 4.70 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the pressure point was 3.00, and the support point was 2.85 [8]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the pressure point was 3.60, and the support point was 3.30 [8]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the pressure point was 3.10, and the support point was 3.00 [8]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the pressure point was 3,000, and the support point was 2,850 [8]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the pressure point was 4,600, and the support point was 4,500 [8]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the pressure point was 7,500, and the support point was 7,400 [8]. 3.5 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - For the SSE 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 18.75%, the weighted implied volatility was 21.42%, a decrease of 1.22%, the annual average was 16.00%, the call implied volatility was 21.97%, the put implied volatility was 20.59%, the HISV20 was 18.67%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 2.75% [11]. - For the SSE 300 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 19.26%, the weighted implied volatility was 20.29%, a decrease of 0.40%, the annual average was 16.44%, the call implied volatility was 20.46%, the put implied volatility was 20.09%, the HISV20 was 18.47%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 1.82% [11]. - For the SSE 500 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 25.14%, the weighted implied volatility was 26.33%, an increase of 0.41%, the annual average was 20.14%, the call implied volatility was 25.04%, the put implied volatility was 27.80%, the HISV20 was 22.87%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 3.46% [11]. - For the Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 48.42%, the weighted implied volatility was 49.47%, a decrease of 2.80%, the annual average was 31.18%, the call implied volatility was 50.13%, the put implied volatility was 48.52%, the HISV20 was 43.14%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 6.33% [11]. - For the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 49.16%, the weighted implied volatility was 51.04%, a decrease of 3.10%, the annual average was 32.00%, the call implied volatility was 51.29%, the put implied volatility was 50.63%, the HISV20 was 44.37%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 6.67% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 300 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 20.38%, the weighted implied volatility was 22.12%, a decrease of 0.17%, the annual average was 18.05%, the call implied volatility was 21.87%, the put implied volatility was 22.49%, the HISV20 was 20.26%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 1.87% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 500 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 25.24%, the weighted implied volatility was 42.76%, an increase of 4.47%, the annual average was 21.44%, the call implied volatility was 25.87%, the put implied volatility was 56.76%, the HISV20 was 24.63%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 18.13% [11]. - For the Shenzhen 100 ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 26.07%, the weighted implied volatility was 84.14%, an increase of 41.91%, the annual average was 23.50%, the call implied volatility was 29.22%, the put implied volatility was 98.43%, the HISV20 was 27.00%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 57.13% [11]. - For the ChiNext ETF option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 40.77%, the weighted implied volatility was 41.65%, a decrease of 2.01%, the annual average was 27.32%, the call implied volatility was 41.15%, the put implied volatility was 42.23%, the HISV20 was 36.83%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 4.82% [11]. - For the SSE 50 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 26.32%, the weighted implied volatility was 22.50%, a decrease of 2.44%, the annual average was 17.38%, the call implied volatility was 23.08%, the put implied volatility was 21.56%, the HISV20 was 19.24%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 3.26% [11]. - For the CSI 300 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 18.27%, the weighted implied volatility was 22.42%, a decrease of 0.66%, the annual average was 17.10%, the call implied volatility was 22.16%, the put implied volatility was 22.84%, the HISV20 was 18.53%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 3.90% [11]. - For the CSI 1000 index option, the at-the-money implied volatility was 32.33%, the weighted implied volatility was 29.27%, a decrease of 0.66%, the annual average was 23.09%, the call implied volatility was 28.64%, the put implied volatility was 29.99%, the HISV20 was 24.07%, and the implied - historical volatility difference was 5.20% [11]. 3.6 Strategy and Recommendations - **Financial Stocks Sector (SSE 50 ETF, SSE 50)**: The SSE 50 ETF has shown a bullish trend with support below. The implied volatility of the SSE 50 ETF option fluctuates above the average. The position PCR indicates a sideways market. The pressure and support points are both 3.10. For strategies, there is no directional strategy; for volatility, construct a short - biased long combination strategy; for the spot, hold the SSE 50 ETF and sell call options [14]. - **Large - Cap Blue - Chip Stocks Sector (SSE 300 ETF, Shenzhen 300 ETF, CSI 300)**: The SSE 300 ETF has shown a bullish trend with large fluctuations at high levels. The implied volatility of the SSE 300 ETF option fluctuates above the average. The position PCR indicates a sideways - bullish market. The pressure and support points are both 4.60. For strategies, construct a

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market shows a market trend where the Shanghai Composite Index, large - cap blue - chip stocks, small and medium - cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks decline after rising in the long - position direction, then rebound and rise, and finally fluctuate at a high level [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options gradually rises and fluctuates at a relatively high mean level [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct a long - biased buyer strategy and a bull spread combination strategy of call options; for index options, it is suitable to construct a long - biased seller strategy, a bull spread combination strategy of call options, and an arbitrage strategy of synthetic long futures with options and short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Related Contents 3.1 Financial Market Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,831.66, down 44.68 points or 1.15%, with a trading volume of 136.6 billion yuan and an increase of 35.93 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,075.66, down 139.80 points or 1.06%, with a trading volume of 176.92 billion yuan and an increase of 39.91 billion yuan [4]. - Other important indices such as the SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 also showed different degrees of decline [4]. 3.2 Option - related Data - **Option - based ETF Market**: Different ETFs have different closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, and trading volume changes. For example, the SSE 50ETF closed at 3.048, down 0.040 or 1.30%, with a trading volume of 13.0486 million shares and an increase of 12.9906 million shares [5]. - **Option Factor - Volume and Position PCR**: Different option varieties have different volume and position PCR values and their changes. For instance, the volume PCR of SSE 50ETF is 0.78, down 0.09, and the position PCR is 0.71, down 0.09 [6]. - **Option Factor - Pressure and Support Points**: Different option varieties have different pressure and support points. For example, the pressure point and support point of SSE 50ETF are both 3.10 [8]. - **Option Factor - Implied Volatility**: Different option varieties have different implied volatility values. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of SSE 50ETF is 19.35%, and the weighted implied volatility is 22.64%, down 0.06% [10]. 3.3 Option Strategies by Sector - **Financial Stocks Sector (SSE 50ETF, SSE 50)**: The SSE 50ETF shows a long - position high - level shock trend. It is recommended to construct a short - biased long - position combination strategy for volatility and a spot long - position covered call strategy [13]. - **Large - cap Blue - chip Stocks Sector (SSE 300ETF, SZSE 300ETF, CSI 300)**: These ETFs show a long - position high - level large - fluctuation trend. It is recommended to construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options for direction, a short - volatility combination strategy of selling calls and puts for volatility, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [13]. - **Large - and Medium - sized Stocks Sector (SZSE 100ETF)**: The SZSE 100ETF shows a long - position upward trend. It is recommended to construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options for direction, a short - volatility combination strategy of selling calls and puts for volatility, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [14]. - **Small - cap Stocks Sector (SSE 500ETF, SZSE 500ETF, CSI 1000)**: These stocks show a short - term long - position high - level large - fluctuation trend. It is recommended to construct a bull spread combination strategy of call options for direction and a spot long - position covered call strategy for SSE 500ETF, and a short - volatility strategy for CSI 1000 [14][15]. - **ChiNext Sector (ChiNext ETF, Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF)**: The ChiNext ETF shows a high - level shock trend. It is recommended to construct a bull call option combination strategy for direction, a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [15].