Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The main trend in the A-share market for 2026 is a technology-driven bull market, with AI leading the growth sectors. Other growth sectors are expected to have relatively lower elasticity. The emphasis on cyclical reversal and growth emergence will continue into 2026, particularly in commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics, which are anticipated to see sustained growth and market attention [2][3]. Sector Performance and Reversal - Industries that performed poorly in 2025, such as shipbuilding and rail transit, are expected to experience a reversal in 2026. These sectors had strong performances in 2024 but underwent an adjustment period in 2025. The commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics sectors are projected to continue their growth trends in 2026 [3][4]. - The engineering machinery sector's leading companies are expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20%-30% over the next three years, with companies like XCMG Machinery showing significant growth potential [3][5]. AI Industry Chain - The AI industry chain is currently driven by capital expenditure, with significant demand for upstream infrastructure such as optical modules and optical equipment. The transition of computing power from data centers (DC) to internet data centers (IDC) is increasing the demand for infrastructure like liquid cooling technology, providing development opportunities for related companies. By 2026, applications of embodied intelligent agents, including humanoid robots, autonomous driving, and drones, are expected to see more opportunities [6]. Commercial Aerospace - Commercial aerospace is viewed as a critical field combining high technology and future industries. The expectations include reduced costs for reusable rockets and satellite manufacturing, which will facilitate commercialization and open up larger market spaces. Opportunities in space computing, space energy, and lunar commercial activities present significant growth potential [7]. Lithium Battery Equipment Sector - The lithium battery equipment sector is recovering after an adjustment period from 2022 to 2024, with a new capacity cycle starting in 2025. Revenue and net profit growth turned positive in 2025, with a stock price increase of 103%. The demand for power lithium batteries and energy storage lithium batteries is fully recovering, and the expansion cycle of leading domestic battery manufacturers is expected to continue into 2026 [12]. - The solid-state battery industry is anticipated to reach a turning point in industrialization between 2026 and 2027, driven by technological improvements, demand growth, and policy support. The market size for solid-state batteries is projected to grow over 15 times from 2025 to 2030 [13]. Investment Recommendations - Key sectors and stocks to focus on include: - Engineering machinery, with XCMG Machinery recommended as a key stock due to its significant growth over the past three years and future potential [5][9]. - Humanoid robotics and commercial aerospace as emerging fields with vast industrial space [5]. - Specific companies in the lithium battery equipment sector, including leading equipment manufacturers and those involved in solid-state battery production, are recommended for their strong cash flow and technological advantages [14]. Solar Industry Insights - The solar industry has seen a significant increase in component prices, with prices for Trina Solar components rising from approximately 0.7 to over 0.82, and some exceeding 1. This price increase indicates a gradual reversal in the solar industry. If these price increases can be accepted by the power station end, the overall market may no longer incur losses, leading to a reversal [11]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and recommendations from the conference call, highlighting the anticipated trends and investment opportunities across various sectors.

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that in 2026, brokerage asset management will focus on equities, bonds, and FOF (Fund of Funds) strategies, indicating a clear investment direction for the year. The equity market is seen as being in the "second half of a bull market," with abundant structural opportunities, while the bond market is expected to maintain a wide range of fluctuations. Multi-asset and multi-strategy allocations remain the mainstream choice in a volatile environment [2]. Equity Market: Anchoring the Bull Market's Second Half - Multiple brokerage asset management firms hold a positive outlook for the A-share market in 2026, believing it remains in the "second half of a bull market." Key drivers include ample liquidity, a recovering profit cycle, ongoing policy support, and a shift in residents' asset allocation [4]. - Guojin Asset Management notes that the current liquidity and regulatory environment is improving, with long-term capital inflows expected. Structural opportunities are anticipated in certain industries due to technological breakthroughs and economic highlights [4]. - Caitong Asset Management suggests that a "spring rally" may occur at the end of the year, primarily driven by TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and small-cap stocks. They highlight sectors like power equipment, non-bank financials, and media as having favorable price-to-book (PB) and return on equity (ROE) metrics [4]. - Guotai Haitong Asset Management believes the current A-share market began its rally on September 24, 2024, with a steady "slow bull" trend expected in 2026, supported by a favorable environment of RMB appreciation and low domestic interest rates [4]. - Guotai Haitong recommends focusing on "5+X" industries in the first half of 2026, including solar energy, brokerage firms, semiconductors, consumer electronics, and basic chemicals, with an additional focus on Hang Seng Technology [5]. - Huatai Securities Asset Management identifies four main investment lines: technology growth, upstream sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies, advanced manufacturing, and deeply undervalued consumer and non-bank financial sectors [5]. Bond Market: Wide Fluctuations as the Main Theme - Several brokerage asset management firms predict that bond yields will maintain a wide fluctuation trend in 2026, with limited space for both upward and downward movements. Focus should be on wave trading and structural opportunities, with credit bonds and convertible bonds each having their own value [6]. - Guojin Asset Management states that active fiscal policies may continue to exert pressure on bond yields, while basic economic pressures remain. The central bank's liquidity is expected to remain loose to support fiscal policy implementation [7]. - Caitong Asset Management emphasizes that weak economic recovery will support the bond market, with an overall expectation of fluctuating bond yields in 2026. They highlight the value of credit bonds amid a prolonged "asset shortage" [8]. FOF Market: Multi-Asset Strategies Present Allocation Opportunities - The market is expected to mature in 2025, with a significant reduction in the phenomenon of betting on single assets or strategies, highlighting the advantages of multi-asset allocation. In 2026, brokerage asset management firms are optimistic about multi-asset FOF strategies, anticipating that quantitative strategies and active funds will contribute to excess returns [9]. - Guojin Asset Management notes that the complementary nature of the credit cycles in China and the U.S. supports total demand, leading to a cautious optimism regarding multi-asset FOF returns in 2026 [10]. - Caitong Asset Management emphasizes that multi-asset allocation will have significant advantages in 2026, with expectations for a "slow bull" in equities and opportunities in commodities and global assets [10]. - Guotai Haitong Asset Management maintains a positive outlook on quantitative stock selection strategies, expecting a favorable environment for stock quantitative strategies due to ample liquidity in the equity market [11].

证书编号：S0790524030002 jianyuhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525050005 春季躁动提前开启，结构先行特征鲜明，科技占优条件依然未变 2026 年 01 月 04 日 掘金 1 月春季躁动的机会 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn 我们在 11.30 的报告《提前布局春季躁动》当中指出：近期市场出现了一定的调 整，但我们认为当下已经可以更加积极。我们在 12.21 提出，当前可以进一步积 极的原因还有：前期市场调整的 3 大因素影响都在减弱：其一为海外流动性扰动， 美联储降息对冲了日本加息的冲击；其二为美股财报窗口下 AI 泡沫论的风险溢 出得到改善，无需恐慌；其三为近期出炉的经济数据相对温和，叠加中央经济工 作会议并未有显著超预期的点，但我们认为，人民币汇率持续升值或代表全球投 资者对中国经济信心仍然充足，证伪此担忧。 当前 A 股市场已正式进入 2026 年"春季躁动"的预热与布局窗口。与过往普涨 行情不同，本轮躁动在宏观经济数据尚待验证、增量资金稳步入场的背景下，呈 现出鲜明的"结构先行、机会 ...

电力设备及新能源 2026 年 1 月 4 日 行业周报 宁德时代宣布规模应用钠电池，政策支持光伏知识产权保护 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 | 李梦强 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060525090001 | | | LIMENGQIANG340@pingan.com.cn | | 皮秀 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060517070004 | | | PIXIU809@pingan.com.cn | | 张之尧 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060524070005 | | | ZHANGZHIYAO757@pingan.com.cn | 平安观点： 本周（2025.12.29-2025.12.31）新能源细分板块行情回顾。风电指数 （866044.WI）下跌 1.40%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.82 个百分点。截至本 周，风电板块 PE_TTM 估值约 25.62 倍。本周申万光伏设备指数 （801735.SI）下跌 3.29%，其中，申万光伏电池组件指数下跌 3.50%， 申万光伏加工设备指数上涨 2.15%，申万光伏辅材指数下跌 2.46% ...

12月31日，A股迎来年度最后一个交易日，商业航天概念再度强势走高。催化因素来自政策与产业双重 利好：12月30日，海南省航天领导小组会议在海口召开，明确提出要抢抓商业航天发展（000547）战略 机遇期，加快培育"向天图强"的新质生产力；12月26日，上交所发布《发行上市审核规则适用指引第9 号》，首次细化商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准，为商业航天企业打通资本市场通道。 更深层的逻辑正在形成。多家券商年度策略会纪要指出，当前商业航天的投资主线已从早期的基础设施 叙事，转向以"太空算力"为核心的新范式——即通过低轨卫星搭载AI芯片，实现星上智能处理，从而缓 解地面数据中心的能源瓶颈。这一闭环不仅提升了商业航天的经济可行性，也使其成为2026年科技投资 的核心主线之一。 在此背景下，市场关注焦点正从火箭、卫星整机制造，向上游高价值核心元器件(如高效能源系统)和下 游应用场景延伸。而光伏，尤其是具备超高能量密度与轻量化特性的钙钛矿电池，正成为支撑"太空算 力"落地的关键技术路径。 近日，光伏电池龙头企业钧达股份（002865）(002865.SZ)宣布与尚翼光电签署战略合作协议，共同推 进钙钛矿电池在太空能 ...

执业证书编号：S0740522100005 光伏设备 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | | | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：赵宇鹏 | | | 营业收入（百万元） | | 18,657 | 9,952 | 7,965 | 12,374 | 15,354 | | 增长率 | | | yoy% | | 61% | -47% | -20% | 55% | 24% | | 执业证书编号：S0740522100005 | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | | 816 | -591 | -582 | 633 | 1,054 | | 增长率 | | | yoy% | | 14% | -172% | 2% | 209% | 66% | | Email：zhaoyp02@zts.com.cn | | | 每股收益（元） | | 2.79 | -2.02 | -1.99 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业策略 gszqdatemark 2026 01 04 年 月 日 电力设备 光伏：反内卷带来行业拐点，新技术引领突围 需求稳中有升，全球结构性增长打开新空间。2025 年，国内光伏新增装 机延续"稳中有升"态势，1–10 月累计达 252.87GW，同比增长 39%， 其中政策驱动下的抢装潮推动 5 月单月装机高达 92.92GW。集中式与工 商业分布式仍是主力，合计占比达 86%。基于强劲表现，中国光伏行业协 会已将全年新增装机预期由 215–255GW 上调至 270–300GW。海外市场 方面，亚非拉地区成为最大亮点，贡献全球光伏增长的核心增量来源。全 球装机预期同步上调至 570–630GW。展望 2026 年，国内《分布式管理办 法》与 136 号文将引导行业从规模扩张转向效益优先；海外则呈现""成熟 市场稳健、新兴市场爆发"格局——欧美增速放缓，而中东、非洲、东南 亚、拉美等地凭借能源转型迫切性、融资支持及低贸易壁垒，将成为全球 增长核心引擎。 供给侧深度出清，技术迭代与全球化构筑长期竞争力。2025 年光伏行业 迎来系统性""反内卷"拐点，中央到部委密集出台政策遏制低价竞争 ...

26 年新能源汽车以旧换新等政策延续，印度到 2030 年需要 230GWh 储能 | 网 字 彪 | | --- | | . . | | 分析师: | 执业证书编号：S0740522020001 Email：zengbiao@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522040004 Email：wupeng@zts.com.cn 分析师：赵宇鹏 执业证书编号：S0740522100005 Email：zhaoyp02@zts.com.cn 分析师：徐梦超 执业证书编号：S0740525020001 Email：xumc@zts.com.cn 分析师：王欣悦 执业证书编号：S0740524060006 Email：wangxy23@zts.com.cn 1、《磷酸铁锂企业宣布对部分产线 检 修 ， 锂 电 价 格 弹 性 可 期 》 2025-12-28 2、《福特加强宁德技术合作，澳洲 户储补贴追加50亿澳元》2025-12-21 3、《加州固态电池公司 BlueCurrent | 电力设备 | | --- | | 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 | | 2026 年 01 | | 月 04 日 | 分 ...

相关研究 2026 年 01 月 04 日 A 股估值及行业中观景气跟 行业比较周跟踪 (20251227-20260102) 本期投资提示: 申万宏源研究微信服务号 证券分析师 林丽梅 A0230513090001 linlm@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 郝丹阳 A0230523120002 haody@swsresearch.com 冯彧 A0230525080001 fengyu@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 冯彧 A0230525080001 fengyu@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 一、Ａ 股本周估值（截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日) 1) 指数及板块估值比较: ● 中证全指（剔除 ST） PE 为 21.6 倍，PB 为 1.8 倍，处于历史 81%和 42%分位; √ √ 上证 50 PE 为 11.8 倍，PB 为 1.3 倍，处于历史 63%和 43%分位 ...

根据公告，截至2025年12月31日，晶澳科技股份回购的具体实施情况如下： 15,404,377股 0.47% 14.236元/股 13.33元/股 217,199,530.71元 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 2026年1月5日，晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"晶澳科技"或"公司"）发布《关于回购公司股 份进展的公告》，披露截至2025年12月31日，公司股份回购计划已实施部分进展。公告显示，公司通过 深圳证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式累计回购股份1540.44万股，占当前总股本的0.47%，成交 总金额约2.17亿元，回购价格区间为13.33元/股至14.236元/股。 回购进展：累计购股1540万股，总金额超2.17亿元 上述数据显示，公司此次回购的股份数量为1540.44万股，占总股本比例0.47%；交易价格区间覆盖 13.33元/股至14.236元/股，整体交易均价约为14.09元/股（按总金额除以总股数计算）；累计成交金额 为217,199,530.71元（不含印花税、交易佣金等费用），折合人民币约2.17亿元。 回购方案背景：拟斥资2-4亿元，用于员工激励 回溯公 ...