可控核聚变

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和讯投顾彭松:五月的科技行情已来,把握翻倍的机会
He Xun Wang· 2025-05-06 13:15
从盘后成交量前5来看,其中有三个和华为有关系,这说明大资金开始全面介入。且本月华为相关的科 技消息催化较多,有一定的预期差,在后续有望承接高位化工和消费的资金,且今日放量高开高走,指 数与情绪形成共振,后续有望持续走强。而对于机器人板块而言,今日板块虽然有20多家涨停,但是假 期发酵的外骨骼机器人仅有中超封了一次,属于不及预期20厘米核心探路,出现了高开低走放巨量的情 况,若明日不能快速修复锁住筹码,后续这个方向可能要降低关注。高位分支p一k材料的中心和新汉等 全天弱势震荡,若明日早盘无量高开上冲,要注意有兑现的风险,受到利好刺激的可控核聚变题材,早 盘河段快速涨停,带领板块相关个股大涨,其中久盛和中州20厘米涨停,其他有辨识度的个股也大涨。 盘后龙虎板来看,大部分是量化受到消息刺激拉的,吧且板块容量太小,无法支撑大资金进出,只能当 做轮动题材,目前来看不具备持续性而言,后续博弈的性价比可能不高,4月份主线题材是毛衣战走出 来了内需炒作的两被告方以及化工涨价的两倍红包,5月份市场普遍预期是AI和机器人。从盘面风格来 看,10厘米走的不如20厘米科创20厘米的精进,早盘就达到三板的高度了,甚至弱一点的创业板20 ...
国诚投资:大盘创反弹新高,补缺后是否加速?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 12:21
孟夏携雷捷报传,沪指重攀云汉边。 万亿成交添异彩,五千个股绽新妍。 聚能星火开新纪,算网鸿蒙拓宇天。 长线旌旗风正劲,牛途赤焰照坤乾。 市场解析: 今天市场放量走强,沪指突破3300点,能否一鼓作气出现连阳行情?从技术面分析来看,沪指日线级别 今天突破了长期趋势带的压力,这一信号非常重要。在我们的体系中,趋势是大前提,目前日线级别趋 势已开始出现由弱转强的信号,未来相对乐观。 不过,目前连阳上涨的概率不高。沪指60分钟、90分钟、120分钟级别均出现了黄色圆圈,代表筑顶信 号,信号强度不算弱,行情可能面临短期高点。 成交量方面,两市成交额不到1.4万亿,不满足连续进攻的条件。如果接下来能达到1.7万亿以上的级 别,才可能呈现持续进攻的状态。 接下来我们要密切注意两点: 一、短周期的见顶信号(绿色向下箭头)能否出现; 二、市场能否继续放量。如果见顶信号出现且市场放量不明显,行情可能维持震荡上行,呈现一步三回 头的走势,短线压力区在3320至3350点。 操作上,根据目前的信号来看,短期没必要追涨,耐心等待接下来行情调整时的低吸机会。 板块方向 节前我们就分析过,5月如果有行情,大概率是科技的天下,今天盘面表现确 ...
和讯投顾郑伟:要变天? 今天都回血了吧
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 10:47
Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a rebound, with expectations for further upward movement in the index, particularly with a focus on small-cap stocks and technology sectors [2][3]. Index Analysis - The index opened at 3295, with a pressure point identified at 3313, which was surpassed, reaching 3316-3317 by the end of the trading day [2]. - The next resistance level is projected at 3326, aligning with the 60-day moving average, indicating a potential for further gains [2][3]. - The overall market sentiment is positive, with most sectors showing gains, except for the banking sector, which was in the red [2]. Sector Performance - A shift in market style is noted, transitioning from large-cap to small-cap stocks, and from defensive to aggressive sectors, with controllable nuclear fusion leading the gains [2][3]. - Other sectors showing strong performance include humanoid robots, consumer electronics, and semiconductors [2][3]. Investment Opportunities - Two main investment opportunities are highlighted: 1. Core sectors such as computing power and humanoid robots, which are expected to lead the market [3]. 2. Potential rebound sectors that have lagged behind, such as deep-sea technology, which may catch up in the coming days [3]. Trading Strategy - The current market position suggests an opportunity to increase positions, with a focus on strong performers and avoiding distractions from weaker stocks [4]. - Emphasis is placed on aligning trading strategies with market trends rather than following popular sentiment [4]. ETF Insights - Food and Beverage ETF (515170) has seen a slight decline of 0.67% over the past five days, with a market cap of 56.9 billion and a net outflow of 247.4 million [7]. - Gaming ETF (159869) has increased by 4.17% recently, with a market cap of 62.1 billion and a net outflow of 572.3 million [7]. - Semiconductor ETF (588170) has gained 1.50%, with a market cap of 2.3 billion and a net inflow of 641.2 million [8]. - Cloud Computing ETF (516630) has risen by 5.13%, with a market cap of 5.3 billion and a net inflow of 177.8 million [8].
A股节后“开门红”,银行股独跌
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-06 10:32
Market Performance - A-shares experienced a comprehensive rise after the "May Day" holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.13% to 3316.11 points, the Shenzhen Composite Index rising by 2.25%, and the ChiNext Index surging by 2.75% [1] - The total trading volume across A-shares reached 1.3644 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the 1.1931 trillion yuan recorded on the last trading day before the holiday [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, Huawei HarmonyOS concept stocks, superconductors, rare earths, precious metals, general equipment, and communication equipment showed relatively strong performance [1] - The banking sector was one of the few to experience a slight decline, while the tourism sector saw minor increases, indicating weaker performance compared to other sectors [1] Economic Indicators - During the holiday, 314 million domestic trips were made, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, with total spending by domestic tourists reaching 180.269 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [1] - The April Caixin Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 50.7 from 51.9 in March, below the expected 51.8, while the manufacturing PMI slightly improved to 50.4 from 51.2, exceeding the expected 49.8 [1] External Market Influences - The US stock market experienced a slight pullback after a series of gains, while the Hong Kong stock market saw minor increases upon reopening [2] - The offshore RMB exchange rate continued to show strength, fluctuating around 7.21, despite a slight decrease in the rate of appreciation [2] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is anticipated to maintain current interest rates, with potential for rate cuts later in the year [2] Investment Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a consolidation pattern, with sector focus likely revolving around tariff-related news [2] - There is a possibility of stronger fiscal or monetary policies from management, which could create investment opportunities in directly benefiting sectors [2] - Technology and consumer sectors are viewed as having more opportunities for investment this year, suggesting a strategic allocation towards these areas [2]
可控核聚变深度:终极能源的短期变化与后续展望
2025-05-06 02:27
Summary of Controlled Nuclear Fusion Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The controlled nuclear fusion industry is experiencing significant milestones, with projects like ITER completing the construction of core pulse superconducting magnet systems and China's Circulation No. 3 renovation project starting, with total investments reaching several hundred million [1][2][3] - Major economies including the US, UK, Japan, and the EU are accelerating the commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion, aiming for energy structure transformation and environmental protection [1][6] Key Developments - The EAST project in Hefei has started two months ahead of schedule and demonstrated power generation capabilities, marking a major breakthrough in making controlled nuclear fusion a reality [2] - The industry is transitioning from scientific validation to engineering validation, with various construction and design tenders being launched [3][18] - Significant contributions from China include advancements in superconducting tokamak technology by institutions like the Southwest Institute of Physics and the Chinese Academy of Sciences [5] Future Projections - Commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is expected to begin after 2035 or 2040, with experimental pile construction and equipment tenders occurring beforehand [1][9] - 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the industry, with projects like EAST and Spark entering construction and equipment phases, potentially attracting hundreds of billions in investments [3][16] Market Dynamics - The market for controlled nuclear fusion is projected to expand significantly due to increased experimental pile construction and equipment tenders, alongside advancements in AI and high-temperature superconducting materials [13][10] - The total investment for a single tokamak device is approximately $1.2 billion, with the market for superconducting technology potentially reaching $14.8 billion if high-temperature superconducting technology is utilized [14][15] Key Players and Components - Key components in the controlled nuclear fusion industry include magnet systems, filters, blanket systems, vacuum chambers, and vacuum dewars, with magnet systems accounting for a significant portion of costs [17] - Companies with high participation in the controlled nuclear fusion sector include Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Yongding Co., Yinlong Co., Jinda Co., and Guoguang Electric, all of which are involved in critical product segments [19] Investment Opportunities - The industry is forming a resonance effect, accelerating the industrialization process, with increased capital market attention and strategic investments from companies like PetroChina and Shanghai Future Energy [7][8] - The focus on core components and equipment manufacturing in the controlled nuclear fusion supply chain presents significant investment opportunities [17][19]
郑眼看盘 | A股缩量反弹,消息面暂显平淡
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-29 14:50
每经记者 郑步春 每经编辑 彭水萍 继周一普跌后,周二A股稍有反弹,消息面暂显平淡。截至收盘,上证综指微跌0.05%至3286.65点。其 余各主要股指普涨,深综指涨0.24%,创业板综指涨0.5%,科创50指数涨0.1%,北证50指数涨1.23%。 全A总成交额为10418亿元,较周一的10768亿元进一步萎缩。 汇市方面,美元于本周有所下跌,但周二于亚欧交易时段已有所反弹。整体而言,近几个交易日美元表 现应该算是比较平稳。人民币汇率近两周呈震荡盘升格局,周一人民币汇率升势有所加快,至周二傍晚 时分,离岸人民币汇率已升至7.26左右。 本周以来的两个交易日A股整体表现稍稍偏弱,成交量也一缩再缩,暗示投资者已经减少了做多操作。 市场做多情绪之所以暂不太积极,应部分与近期消息面暂无特别明显的利好相关。 虽然上周五的重大会议释出了不少积极信号,但股市投资者十分在意的与"增加财政刺激规模"的内容暂 缺,这至少会对预期过于乐观的投资者情绪构成些打击。大家知道,在会议召开之前,市场对宽松政策 大幅加码的确是存在些预期的,所以最终消息与预期或多或少应存在些落差。 在外部因素方面,中美关税摩擦即使已有缓和迹象,但美国那边的 ...
【投资视角】启示2025:中国可控核聚变行业投融资及兼并重组分析(附投融资事件、产业基金和兼并重组等)
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-04-21 07:52
转自:前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司:安泰科技(000969.SZ),中国广核(003816.SZ),永鼎股份(600105.SH),西部超导 (688122.SH),上海电气(601727.SH)等 本文核心数据:可控核聚变行业投融资规模;代表性企业融资事件;兼并重组 1、近期国内可控核聚变行业投融资规模较小但增长较快 可控核聚变行业作为未来产业,据IT桔子统计,2015年及之前国内尚无融资事件,2016年,中科海奥B轮融 资开行业先河,2022-2024年行业投融资规模不大,但整体明显上涨,投资数量从2022年的2起增长至2024年 的6起;融资金额三年累计突破30亿元。2025年截至3月20日,我国可控核聚变行业融资数量已有2起,金额累 计已达17.6亿元。 2、可控核聚变领域单笔融资规模较高,投资轮次开始集中在早期天使轮 从单笔融资金额来看,除2024年平均规模较小外,近年来整体呈升高趋势,平均单笔融资金额达数亿元人民 币,反映出行业对资金需求较高。 从可控核聚变行业的投资轮次分析,该行业融资轮次近年来开始集中在早期阶段,种子轮和天使轮融资事件 合计占比近57.14%,A轮之后轮次的融资较少。根据前 ...
可控核聚变行业点评:商业化进程加速,关注产业链受益标的
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-04-14 11:29
Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The commercialization process of nuclear fusion is accelerating, and attention should be paid to beneficiaries in the industrial chain [4] - Nuclear fusion is seen as a solution to global energy challenges, with advantages such as abundant and environmentally friendly raw materials, high energy density, and enhanced safety compared to nuclear fission [5] - The global investment in the controllable nuclear fusion industry reached $7.1 billion by April 2024, with a significant increase of $900 million compared to the same period in 2023 [5] - The competition between China and the US in nuclear fusion is expected to intensify, leading to increased capital expenditure in the industry [5] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Industry Performance**: Nuclear fusion is positioned as a critical area in the next energy revolution, with significant advancements in technology and investment [5] - **Investment Analysis**: The acceleration of nuclear fusion commercialization and the potential for increased domestic capital expenditure suggest that the industrial chain will benefit. Recommended companies include Guoguang Electric, Hezhong Intelligent, Antai Technology, China Nuclear Engineering, and companies related to superconducting magnets [5]
负面来了
猫笔刀· 2025-04-01 14:20
三天前一辆小米su7发生车祸,引起电池燃烧,车内三名乘客不幸遇难。这件事在今天破圈发酵,成为重大舆情事件,受此影响小米的股价午后大跌6%, 一定程度上也拖累了恒生科技板块的表现。 我把核心信息总结一下。三个乘客是去外地考公的女大学生,夜间行车,启用了NOA驾驶辅助系统,车速110km+。开到一半路上有一段维修,用路障封 闭,需要汽车转入逆行车道,辅助智驾检测到异常情况后,一边警告驾驶员一边减速,同时让驾驶员接管车辆驾驶。但随后汽车还是撞上了隔离带水泥 桩,碰撞时速97km。 别看我上面写了不少字,其实从汽车智驾检测发现异常( 22:44:24),到让驾驶员接管车辆,再到最后撞上水泥桩( 22:44:28),前后不过3-4秒时间。车 内驾驶员在启用了辅助驾驶后处于相对松懈的状态(22:36:48有方向盘脱手预警),突遭变故来不及反应,最终发生惨剧。 事发后其中一位遇难者的母亲在网上发帖质疑,质疑的点在于电池为什么会燃烧,车门为什么没打开,以及小米公司在事发后没有联系和慰问她。这给小 米公司带来了一定的舆情压力,尤其是公司老板雷军的个人微博,有大量用户留言质疑。 以上是客观事实部分,我就纯描述,接下来是我主观评论 ...
晨报|寻找中国酒类创新点/外骨骼机器人
中信证券研究· 2025-03-28 00:15
可控核聚变|短期实验堆打开空间,远期商业化星辰大海 我们基于四条逻辑强烈推荐现阶段可控核聚变行业投资机会:①我们判断行业政策信 号将不断明确,后续或有潜在的行业顶层设计或支持资金预期;②我们认为行业具备 强烈的认知差和预期差,市场普遍认为行业兑现较为远期,但我们认为大量订单将进 入集中兑现期;③我们判断基于AI用电视角,核聚变为AI衍生概念,后续外部催化或 将非常明显;④我们判断核聚变行业与三代核电及军工材料公司具备较高业务重叠, 核电及军工材料行业业绩增速明确、估值合理,未来大量公司有望迎业绩和估值共 振。 华鹏伟 |中信证券 电新行业首席分析师 S1010521010007 外骨骼机器人|落地场景丰富,市场空间广阔 外骨骼机器人可为工业、物流、户外运动等多种场景提供助力和为医疗场景满足康养 需求,作为一种人机紧耦合系统受益于AI和工业控制技术的迭代发展。在人口老龄化 背景下,日渐增加的康养需求和日益减少的劳动力为外骨骼机器人的应用打开了广阔 的市场空间。建议关注具备确定性的核心零部件环节和部分相关设备企业。 风险因素:技术迭代不及预期;行业竞争加剧;零部件价格波动;其他技术路线对外 骨骼形成替代的风险。 ...