金融界2025年6月9日消息，摩根标普港股通低波红利指数A(005051) 最新净值1.1349元，增长0.67%。该 基金近1个月收益率3.71%，同类排名361 3864；近6个月收益率10.31%，同类排名236 3250；今年来收 益率9.67%，同类排名475 3431。 简历显示：胡迪女士:CFA,FRM,美国哥伦比亚大学金融工程硕士,现任指数及量化投资部总监。胡迪女 士自2008年2月至2009年12月在纽约美林证券担任全球资产管理部高级经理;自2010年1月至2012年10月 在纽约标准普尔担任量化投资主管;自2012年11月至2020年4月在中国国际金融股份有限公司担任资产管 理部执行总经理;自2020年5月加入摩根基金管理(中国)有限公司(原上投摩根基金管理有限公司),现任指 数及量化投资部总监兼基金经理。2021年1月7日起至2022年6月24日担任上投摩根优选多因子股票型证 券投资基金基金经理。2021年1月7日至2025年5月8日担任上投摩根量化多因子灵活配置混合型证券投资 基金基金经理。2021年1月7日起担任上投摩根标普港股通低波红利指数型证券投资基金基金经理。2021 年1月7 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shell plc announced the interim dividend for the first quarter of 2025, set at US$0.358 per ordinary share, with options for shareholders to receive dividends in US dollars, euros, or pounds sterling [1][2]. Dividend Payment Details - Shareholders who submitted valid currency elections by June 2, 2025, will receive dividends of US$0.358, €0.3136, or 26.41p per ordinary share, depending on their chosen currency [2]. - Dividends payable in euros and pounds sterling have been converted from US dollars based on average market exchange rates from June 4 to June 6, 2025 [4]. - The dividend payment date is set for June 23, 2025, for shareholders listed on the Register of Members as of May 16, 2025 [4]. Taxation and Currency Election - Shareholders are advised to consult their tax advisors regarding the tax treatment of dividends [5]. - Different currency election deadlines may apply to shareholders holding shares through various financial institutions, and they are encouraged to check with their brokers for specific deadlines [6].

Core Viewpoint - A significant lobbying effort by multinational companies is underway to oppose Clause 899 of Trump's tax reform, which is perceived as a potential threat to millions of American jobs and could reshape international capital flows [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Employment and Investment - Approximately 840,000 jobs in the U.S. are provided by foreign companies, and the implementation of Clause 899 could directly threaten this substantial employment base [2]. - The lobbying effort involves around 70 company representatives, including major firms like Shell, Toyota, SAP, and LVMH, indicating widespread concern among foreign investors [1][2]. Group 2: Tax Implications of Clause 899 - Clause 899 is viewed as a "capital expulsion order" that would allow the U.S. to impose additional taxes on companies and investors from countries deemed to have "unfair foreign tax policies" [2][3]. - The clause would increase U.S. tax rates on stock dividends and certain corporate bond interests by 5 percentage points annually over four years, and it would also tax sovereign wealth funds' U.S. investment portfolios, which are currently exempt [3]. Group 3: Financial Market Concerns - The implementation of Clause 899 is expected to disrupt foreign direct investment and could lead to financial market volatility, as highlighted by the International Bankers Association [3]. - In 2023, foreign banks lent over $1.3 trillion to U.S. companies, supporting $5.4 trillion in foreign direct investment and generating $270 billion in revenue, underscoring the importance of foreign capital in the U.S. economy [3]. Group 4: Legislative Outlook - Despite the potential to raise $116 billion for the U.S. government over the next decade, there are concerns that the overall tax reform could increase U.S. debt by $2.4 trillion by 2034 [4]. - There is a growing momentum in the Senate to repeal Clause 899, as lawmakers recognize that it contradicts the government's goal of attracting more investment to the U.S. [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the impact of the recent US-China tariff agreement, where the US cancels 91% of tariffs on Chinese goods, while China suspends additional tariffs for 90 days, leading to significant shifts in trade dynamics between the two countries [1][3][12] - Following the agreement, there was a surge in cargo traffic from US ports to China, but traditional US exports like energy and agricultural products faced a decline in demand from China [3][6] - The US soybean exports to China dropped by 32% in Q1 2025, while Brazil's soybean exports reached 60 million tons, indicating a shift in China's sourcing preferences towards South America [6][10] Group 2 - In the energy sector, US propane shipments were not approved for entry into China, redirecting to Southeast Asia, while China signed long-term contracts for liquefied natural gas with Qatar and Canada [8][22] - In manufacturing, China has replaced US scrap steel imports with nickel pig iron from Indonesia, and cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo to China surged by 47% [10][15] - China's chip self-sufficiency has increased to 35%, indicating a significant reduction in reliance on US semiconductor imports despite ongoing US restrictions [11][12] Group 3 - The article highlights a broader trend of China reducing imports from the US due to various factors, including a shift towards clean energy and a growing domestic market for electric vehicles, which has decreased the demand for US energy imports [15][17] - The trust crisis stemming from US policy fluctuations has led Chinese companies to seek stable and reliable supply sources outside the US [19][20] - The restructuring of supply chains and the establishment of a new global trade order based on the renminbi is underway, as China diversifies its energy and commodity sources [22][24] Group 4 - The article discusses the current state of the US economy, noting a decline in support for the Trump administration and a general perception of poor economic performance among Americans [26][28] - Economic uncertainty in the US has led to increased inflation and rising prices for consumers, with estimates suggesting an annual loss of $1,200 per household due to higher import tariffs [30][31] - The article concludes that the temporary resolution of the US-China trade conflict may provide short-term relief, but without a change in US policy, a trend towards economic recession is likely [37][38]

Core Viewpoint - The company held its 2024 annual general meeting on June 5, 2025, where 20 resolutions were approved, including the annual report and profit distribution plan, with significant shareholder participation [1][2][3]. Trading Information Summary - As of June 6, 2025, the company's stock closed at 17.47 yuan, up 0.92%, with a turnover rate of 1.94% and a trading volume of 89,600 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 157 million yuan [1]. - On the same day, the net outflow of main funds was 12.63 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 7.81 million yuan [1][3]. Company Announcement Summary - The 2024 annual general meeting was attended by 434 participants, representing 114,905,144 shares, which is 25.0696% of the total voting shares [2]. - The meeting approved various resolutions, including the annual report, board and supervisory committee reports, financial settlement report, and profit distribution plan, with special resolutions receiving over two-thirds approval [2][3]. - The company plans to hold a second extraordinary general meeting on June 24, 2025, to discuss purchasing liability insurance for directors and senior management and to approve investments in oil field projects in Iraq [5]. Board Meeting Summary - The company's board meeting on June 5, 2025, approved the cancellation of 56,900 stock options from the 2022 stock option incentive plan due to non-payment by seven incentive targets [4][15]. - The board also agreed to invest in oil field projects in Kazakhstan and Iraq, which will be submitted for shareholder approval [4][5]. Legal Opinions and Compliance - The legal opinion from Junhe Law Firm confirmed that the procedures and resolutions of the annual general meeting complied with relevant laws and regulations [1][2]. - The company has established various management measures, including insider information management and information disclosure management, to ensure compliance and protect investor rights [6][7][11].

Group 1 - The central theme of the articles revolves around the crackdown on violations of the Central Eight Regulations, particularly focusing on the issue of improper dining and entertainment practices within state-owned enterprises [1][2][3][4] - The China First Automobile Group's internal disciplinary body highlighted the case of a former procurement director who repeatedly accepted meals from business partners, emphasizing the need for vigilance against corruption that can stem from seemingly minor infractions [1] - The China National Petroleum Corporation's disciplinary team reported 52 cases of excessive hospitality and fraudulent expense claims, indicating systemic issues in the management of public receptions [2] Group 2 - The Yangshuo County Discipline Inspection Commission implemented corrective measures following a case where five employees accepted meals from management and service objects, focusing on improving the approval process for public receptions and establishing a negative list for business interactions [3] - The China Green Development Investment Group is addressing the intertwining of corruption and improper conduct by monitoring the shift of public funds to private dining and ensuring compliance with regulations [3] - The Fujian Provincial Highway Group is enhancing its disciplinary education efforts, particularly for new and young leaders, to instill awareness of the Central Eight Regulations and the various forms of improper dining practices [4]

Company Movements - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has appointed Zhang Chuanjiang as the new Chairman and Party Secretary of the company [5] - Geely Holding Group's Chairman Li Shufu stated that the global automotive industry is facing serious overcapacity, and Geely will not build new car production facilities to avoid redundant construction [6] - Hong Hao, a well-known strategist, has resigned as CEO of Huafu International (Hong Kong) Financial Holdings Limited and will focus on managing his hedge fund at Lotus Asset Management [6] - HNA Group announced a significant asset acquisition involving the purchase of 100% equity in Hainan Tianyu Flight Training Co., Ltd. for 799 million yuan, which constitutes a major asset restructuring [6] Investment News - A-share listed companies are expanding their repurchase and increase share loan support, with 11 companies including Longbai Group and BOE Technology Group disclosing related information this week [3] - Over 200 listed companies have announced plans for mid-term dividends for 2025, with companies like Gaoxin Development and Upway New Materials leading the announcements [3] - 13 smart wearable concept stocks have been investigated by institutions more than six times this year, with 15 stocks expected to see net profit growth exceeding 20% in the next two years [3] Macro Economy - The Ministry of Commerce reported that discussions between Minister Wang Wentao and European Commissioner Shevchovich regarding the electric vehicle case have progressed significantly, with negotiations entering the final stage [2] - As of May 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached 328.53 billion USD, an increase of 3.6 billion USD from April, reflecting a growth rate of 0.11% [2] - The Shenzhen Municipal Government has issued a plan to boost consumption, proposing 39 specific measures to support various sectors including retail and tourism [2] International Dynamics - U.S. President Trump warned that Elon Musk could face serious consequences if he funds Democratic candidates opposing Republican budget proposals, indicating a breakdown in their relationship [7] - The Chinese Consulate in Chicago has lodged a formal protest against the U.S. for politically manipulating the case of two Chinese students accused of smuggling dangerous bacteria [7]

Group 1 - China's foreign exchange reserves increased to $32,853 billion at the end of May, up by $3.6 billion from April, supported by the recovery of the economy and stable development quality [2] - China's gold reserves reached 7,383 million ounces at the end of May, an increase of 60,000 ounces, marking the seventh consecutive month of gold accumulation [2] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that discussions between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle anti-subsidy cases and export controls are ongoing, with price commitment negotiations in the final stages [3] Group 2 - A total of 11 A-share listed companies have disclosed information regarding share repurchase and increase in loans, indicating a trend of companies seeking financial support [4] - Over 200 listed companies have announced plans for mid-term dividends for 2025, reflecting a focus on returning value to shareholders [4] - 13 smart wearable concept stocks have been frequently investigated by institutions, with 15 stocks expected to see net profit growth exceeding 20% in the next two years [4] Group 3 - Hong Kong is actively developing its artificial intelligence industry, launching a HK$3 billion special funding plan and establishing a HK$10 billion innovation and technology fund [6] - Recent adjustments in leadership at city commercial banks indicate a trend towards younger management, aligning with the industry's digital transformation needs [6] - The real estate market in major cities is showing a divergence, with the second-hand housing market lagging behind new homes, driven by market speculation on policy relaxations [6] Group 4 - Boeing has resumed aircraft deliveries to China, with the first Boeing 737 MAX plane delivered after being held back due to trade tensions [9] - Geely Holdings has decided not to build new automobile production plants, citing serious overcapacity in the global automotive industry [9] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation has appointed a new chairman, indicating potential shifts in leadership strategy [10]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [51]. Core Insights - Changes in geopolitical situations, along with a year-on-year decrease in US crude oil inventories by 4.36%, and a reduction in the number of active drilling rigs and fracturing fleets by 12% and 23.08% respectively, indicate a potential rebound in oil prices [3][4]. - The average Brent oil price for the year is reported at $70.8 per barrel, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.08% [16]. - Natural gas prices have shown significant increases, with US NYMEX natural gas futures averaging $3.69 per million British thermal units, a 75% increase year-on-year [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Subsector Tracking - Natural gas prices have seen fluctuations, with domestic LNG ex-factory prices at 4424 RMB/ton, a decrease of 0.85% week-on-week but an increase of 0.57% year-on-year [8]. - Brent oil prices have decreased by 1.36% in the latest week, while US commercial crude oil inventories have decreased by 0.98% week-on-week [16]. - The price of potassium fertilizer remains high, with domestic spot prices at 2900 RMB/ton, unchanged week-on-week but up 20.51% year-on-year [30]. 2. Market Performance - The petrochemical sector has seen a slight increase of 0.23%, while the CSI 300 index rose by 0.97%, ranking 23rd among 30 major sectors [35]. - Among the petrochemical sub-sectors, "Other Petrochemicals" experienced the largest increase of 2.42% [35]. 3. Key Company Announcements and Industry News - A subsidiary of a key company received a project award for the construction of a gas pipeline in Iraq, with an estimated contract value of approximately $294 million (about 2.12 billion RMB) [42]. - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 65 RMB and 60 RMB per ton respectively, effective from June 3, 2025 [43]. 4. Changes in Major Downstream Consumption Areas - Domestic fuel vehicle sales have decreased by 8.65% year-on-year since April 2025, while highway freight traffic has increased by 3.41% year-on-year [46].

Group 1 - The U.S. Senate is preparing to review a sanctions bill against Russia, which may impose tariffs as high as 500% on countries importing Russian oil, gas, and petrochemical products [1][6] - The sanctions are aimed not only at major buyers like China and India but also at all countries purchasing Russian energy products, with European allies showing support for these measures [1][6] - Approximately 70% of Russian crude oil is purchased by China and India, highlighting the significant role these countries play in the Russian energy market [2] Group 2 - The proposed sanctions aim to prevent buyers from circumventing restrictions through third-party imports, targeting the core of the Russian energy economy [6] - There is skepticism regarding Russia's genuine interest in peace negotiations, as military buildup along the Ukrainian border continues [4] - Effective implementation of these sanctions requires close cooperation from OPEC and European allies, raising questions about their willingness to align with U.S. efforts [8]