1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current economic situation shows a weak recovery, with 10 - month economic data indicating mixed trends in various sectors. The bond market is expected to maintain a volatile recovery, and the stock market has different trends in insurance capital investment and institutional research preferences. For 2026, the economy is expected to have positive growth, and different investment strategies are recommended [32][33]. - The commodity market is affected by factors such as policy, supply - demand relationship, and geopolitical situation, resulting in price fluctuations and changes in market structure [4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew by 4.8% year - on - year, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter. The manufacturing PMI in October was 49%, lower than the previous and the same period last year. The non - manufacturing PMI was 50.1%, slightly up from the previous month. The social financing scale in October was 816.1 billion yuan, a significant decrease from the previous month [1]. - In October, CPI increased by 0.2% year - on - year, up from - 0.3% in the previous month, and PPI decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, a narrower decline than before. Fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.7% year - to - date, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.28% year - to - date [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment 3.2.1 Comprehensive - In October, China's industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 462.91 billion yuan, a 2.9% year - on - year increase. Platinum and palladium futures will be listed on November 27, 2025 [2]. - On November 14, 42 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 27 had negative basis. Trump adjusted the scope of "reciprocal tariffs", excluding some agricultural products [3]. 3.2.2 Metals - London's basic metals all declined due to the Fed's policy uncertainty and weak economic data. The demand for lithium carbonate in 2025 is expected to reach 155 tons, with an oversupply of about 20 tons. In 2026, the demand is expected to increase by 30%, and the price may rise [4][5]. - The expansion project of Northern Zhongxin Antai Rare Earth Metals was put into production, increasing the production capacity and product variety. On November 13, zinc inventory reached a new high in over a month, while lead inventory decreased [5][6]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - As of early November, the prices of coking coal and coke increased. The production of crude steel, pig iron, and steel in October decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. The shipping volume of iron ore to China increased, but port inventory reached an eight - month high [7][8][9]. - The Indonesian government set the benchmark prices for different grades of coal in the second half of November. The steel industry should seize development opportunities, improve product quality, and enhance the self - sufficiency rate of iron ore [8][9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - The first gas storage group in Northwest China started winter gas supply, with a maximum daily supply of over 5 million cubic meters. The Russian port of Novorossiysk stopped oil exports due to a drone attack and then resumed operations on November 16 [10][11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Over 80% of winter wheat has been sown in China. The US soybean crushing volume in October reached a record high. India is considering resuming wheat product exports, and the US and Switzerland adjusted agricultural product tariffs [12]. - The export volume of Malaysian palm oil from November 1 - 15 decreased by 15.5% [13]. 3.3 Financial News 3.3.1 Open Market - On November 17, the central bank conducted 80 billion yuan of 6 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. This week, 112.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases and 12 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits will mature. On November 14, the central bank conducted 21.28 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 7.11 billion yuan [15][16]. 3.3.2 Key News - An important article by Xi Jinping emphasizes the development of new - quality productivity. Han Wenxiu mentions cultivating emerging and future industries. China's economic data in October shows a stable operation, and the government promotes consumption and implements fiscal and monetary policies [17][18][19]. - The real estate market shows price declines, and the government promotes "two - major" construction. The financial market needs improvement, and the central bank and financial regulatory authorities take measures. The bond market has rating changes and redemption events [19][20][24]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The Chinese bond market fluctuated narrowly, with mixed changes in bond yields and futures. The money market funds were balanced, and the overnight repurchase rate increased. The exchange - traded bond market had different trends for different bonds, and the convertible bond index declined [26][27]. - The yields of European and US bonds increased, and the money market interest rates showed different trends. The central bank's bond issuance had specific winning bid yields and multiples [29][30]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1007, down 48 basis points. The US dollar index rose, and most non - US currencies fell [31]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Guosheng Fixed Income believes that the bond market will maintain a volatile recovery, and the 10 - year treasury bond rate may decline. Xingzheng Fixed Income believes that the bond market's allocation power is neutral [32][33]. - CITIC Construction Investment predicts that the GDP in 2026 will grow by about 5%, and recommends investment in three main lines. CITIC Securities believes that the wealth management industry is in a transformation period [33]. - Yangtze River Fixed Income believes that the probability of a comprehensive reserve requirement ratio cut is low, and the interest rate cut window may open. CICC Fixed Income believes that the bond market may have a configuration opportunity [34]. 3.4 Stock Market - At the end of Q3 2025, the insurance funds' stock investment balance increased significantly, with bank stocks being the main investment target. In November, nearly 770 companies were surveyed by institutions, with a focus on the electronics and machinery sectors [37]. - South - bound funds have been flowing in for 26 consecutive weeks, and Xiaomi Group - W received the highest net purchase in the past week [37][38].

行业 PTA 日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 17 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价（元/吨） | 涨跌 | 总量 | 增减 | | TA2601 | 4700 | 56 | ...

Core Insights - Hengli Petrochemical's stock increased by 5.19% to 20.67 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 566 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.40%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 145.498 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Hengli Petrochemical Co., Ltd. is located in Dalian, Liaoning Province, and was established on March 9, 1999, with its listing date on August 20, 2001. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of polyester fibers, polyester films, and related products, as well as the production and sales of steam and electricity, PTA production and sales, and refining and petrochemical businesses [1] - The revenue composition of Hengli Petrochemical is as follows: refining products 45.92%, PTA 31.10%, polyester products 19.24%, and others 3.73% [1] Fund Holdings - From the perspective of major fund holdings, one fund under Caitong Securities Asset Management has a significant position in Hengli Petrochemical. The Caitong Asset Value Discovery Mixed A Fund (008276) held 942,500 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 3.38% of the fund's net value, making it the eighth-largest holding. The estimated floating profit for today is approximately 961,400 CNY [2] - The Caitong Asset Value Discovery Mixed A Fund (008276) was established on March 23, 2020, with a current scale of 402 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 25.95%, ranking 3462 out of 8213 in its category; the one-year return is 20.7%, ranking 3757 out of 8130; and since inception, the return is 79.05% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Caitong Asset Value Discovery Mixed A Fund (008276) is Li Xiang, who has been in the position for 7 years and 237 days. The total asset scale of the fund is 3.293 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 37.6% and the worst being -30.26% [3]

Group 1: Report Core Information - The report is an LPG morning report by the energy and chemical team of the research center on November 17, 2025, presenting data from November 10 - 14, 2025 [4] Group 2: Daily Changes - On Friday, for civil LPG, prices were 4364 (-4) in East China, 4400 (+0) in Shandong, and 4460 (-30) in South China; ether - post - carbon four was 4630 (+0). The lowest delivery location was East China with a basis of 1 (-43), and the 12 - 01 month spread was 93 (-8). FEI was 502 (-1) and CP was 481 (-1) dollars/ton [4] Group 3: Weekly Views - The PG main contract showed a strong trend. The basis was 1 (-101), and the 12 - 01 month spread was 93 (+21). The cheapest delivery product was civil LPG in East China at 4364 (-10), 4440 (+60) in Shandong, 4460 (+10) in South China; ether - post - carbon four was 4630 (+130) [4] - The overseas paper cargo prices rose, the oil - gas ratio weakened slightly; the month spread strengthened; the domestic - foreign price difference weakened, with PG - CP at 128 (-9) and PG - FEI at 111 (-2) [4] - The discount strengthened. The arrival discount of propane in East China was 78 (+8), and the FOB discounts of AFEI, Middle East, and US propane were -2.75 dollars (+3.75), 22 dollars (+13), and 39 dollars (+13) respectively [4] - Freight rates weakened slightly. The FEI - MOPJ spread narrowed to -66 (+7). The naphtha crack spread changed little and remained at a relatively high level this year [4] - The profit of propylene production from PDH in Shandong recovered slightly; the profit of alkylation units deteriorated; the MTBE production profit fluctuated, and the export profit remained good [4] - Domestic production decreased slightly, arrivals were limited, factory inventories decreased slightly, and port inventories decreased. The PDH operating rate was 71.74% (-3.71), with Donghua Zhangjiagang restarted and Juzhengyuan and Haiwei under maintenance and shut - down [4] - Overall, the domestic chemical market is strong, there is an expectation of a strong peak season for civil use, but the futures price is over - valued; the international propane market pattern is loose, and attention should be paid to the weather and cold snaps in the US [4]

Report Information - Report Name: MEG Daily Report [1] - Date: November 17, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Core View - At present, the supply - demand and cost side of ethylene glycol lack support, and it is expected that the ethylene glycol price will maintain a low - level volatile operation in the short term [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: For EG2601, the closing price was 3922 yuan/ton, up 42 yuan, with a position of 338,660 contracts, a decrease of 19,433 contracts. For EG2605, the closing price was 4013 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan, with a position of 43,902 contracts, an increase of 64 contracts. On the 14th, the main contract of ethylene glycol futures opened at 3903 yuan/ton, with a maximum of 3946 yuan/ton, a minimum of 3965 yuan/ton, a settlement price of 3924 yuan/ton, and a closing price of 3922 yuan/ton, up 42 yuan from the previous trading day's settlement price. The total volume was 223,785 lots, and the position was 338,660 lots [7] 2. Industry News - No industry news content is provided in the available report. 3. Data Overview - International Oil Prices: On Thursday (November 13), the settlement price of the December 2025 West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $58.69 per barrel, up $0.20 or 0.34% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $58.12 - $59.21. The settlement price of the January 2026 Brent crude oil futures on the Intercontinental Exchange in London was $63.01 per barrel, up $0.30 or 0.48% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.34 - $63.45 [10] - Ethylene Glycol Market in Zhangjiagang: Next - week spot negotiations were in the range of 3972 - 3974 yuan/ton, and November - end negotiations were also in the range of 3972 - 3974 yuan/ton. The next - week spot basis was at a premium of 50 - 52 yuan/ton compared to EG2601, and the November - end basis was also at a premium of 50 - 52 yuan/ton compared to EG2601 [10] - Polyester Staple Fiber Market: The futures price of polyester staple fiber increased, the prices of staple fiber factories were stable, the prices of traders were on the warm side, downstream demand was cautious, and the on - site transactions were tepid [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the ongoing efforts by the government to optimize market competition and promote stable growth in the chemical industry, particularly through measures to eliminate backward production capacity and enhance industry health [4][5]. Group 1: Government Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has announced a new round of stable growth work plans for key industries, including steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials, focusing on structural adjustments and supply optimization [4]. - A draft amendment to the Price Law has been proposed to strengthen the regulation of irrational price wars and improve standards for identifying low-price dumping [4]. - The MIIT and other departments have issued a stable growth work plan for the petrochemical industry for 2025-2026, targeting an average annual growth of over 5% in the industry's added value [4]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The MIIT has convened a meeting to address the development of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and bottle-grade polyester chips, aiming to mitigate inward competition and promote stable industry operations [5]. - The chemical industry has seen a peak in new capacity investments in recent years, but the overall capital expenditure is expected to decrease moving forward [6]. - Fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector decreased by 5.6% year-on-year from January to September 2025, marking a decline for the first time since 2020 [6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The financial data from listed companies indicate a 12.5% year-on-year decrease in capital expenditure for the basic chemical industry in the first half of 2025, with total ongoing projects down by 12.2% [6]. - As capital expenditures decline and demand gradually recovers, the supply-demand dynamics in the chemical industry are expected to improve, leading to a potential increase in industry prosperity [6][7]. - The current price-to-book (PB) valuation of the basic chemical industry is close to historical lows, suggesting that the sector may be poised for a valuation recovery as market conditions improve [7].

Group 1: Banking Sector - The net profit growth rate of commercial banks in the first three quarters of 2025 improved by 1.2 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025, with state-owned banks showing the highest growth at 2.3% [4] - City commercial banks demonstrated the most significant improvement in net profit growth, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.8 percentage points [4] - The overall interest income is expected to have solid support for the year, alongside a recovery in the capital market, which may sustain the recovery of fee-based income [4] Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals - In the U.S., electricity supply is tight due to the rapid development of data centers, creating investment opportunities in electrolytic aluminum [5] - The U.S. is projected to generate 4.3 trillion kWh of electricity in 2024, with a consumption of 4.1 trillion kWh, ensuring sufficient power supply [5] - Industrial electricity consumption accounts for 26% of total usage, indicating a significant demand from the industrial sector [5] Group 3: Copper Industry - Refined copper inventory among downstream consumers hit a new low since 2015, indicating ongoing supply tightness [5] - Cable manufacturers' operating rates are recovering amid rising copper prices, and the fourth quarter is expected to benefit from seasonal demand [5] - The supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight, with copper prices likely to continue rising after short-term fluctuations [5] Group 4: Petrochemical Industry - The implementation of anti-involution policies is gradually taking shape, with a focus on optimizing market competition in the chemical industry [7] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology recently held a meeting on the development of PTA and bottle chips, signaling a commitment to stabilize growth in the chemical sector [7] - The chemical industry is expected to see a valuation recovery due to improved supply-demand dynamics [7] Group 5: Semiconductor Industry - SMIC's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of $2.382 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.8% [8] - The increase in wafer shipments by 4.6% quarter-on-quarter and a 3.8% rise in average selling price (ASP) were driven by improved product mix and higher sales of advanced process products [8] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 22%, surpassing the company's guidance range and market expectations [8] Group 6: Entertainment Industry - Damai Entertainment reported a revenue of 4.05 billion RMB for FY26H1, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33% [8] - The company achieved a gross profit of 1.44 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 35.7%, down 7.4 percentage points year-on-year [8] - Adjusted EBITA was 550 million RMB, showing a 14% increase compared to the previous year after excluding one-time gains [8] Group 7: Cosmetics Industry - The company proposed a restricted stock incentive plan to motivate core employees, indicating confidence in long-term development [9] - Sales during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival showed strong growth, with significant year-on-year increases across various platforms [9] - The brand entered the top 20 in the beauty category on Tmall for the first time, ranking 20th, and topped the domestic makeup category on JD.com [9]

Group 1 - The C919 aircraft from China Southern Airlines successfully arrived at Dubai Al Maktoum International Airport on November 14, marking its first appearance in the Middle East at the 2025 Dubai Airshow [4][5] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the C919 is expected to transition from its maiden flight to regular commercial operations, representing a significant milestone for China's aviation industry, with over 1,000 domestic and international orders received [4] - The Middle East market is projected to require 3,000 new passenger aircraft over the next 20 years, valued at over $500 billion, indicating a strong growth opportunity for the aviation sector [4] Group 2 - Bilibili hosted a 2025-2026 domestic animation release conference, announcing 40 new domestic animation works, including a return of the popular series "The King's Avatar" [8] - Since 2018, Bilibili has launched over 3,000 domestic creations, with a significant increase in viewing time for domestic content, reaching nearly 970 million hours in the past year [8] - The user base of Bilibili has grown to 330 million, highlighting the platform's increasing popularity among younger audiences [8] Group 3 - Yushun Technology has completed its IPO guidance work, with expectations to strengthen its leading position in the humanoid robot sector through capital market support [9] - The company has shown significant advantages in humanoid robotics, with ongoing product and technology iterations [9] - Related companies like Fengli Intelligent and Far East Holdings are collaborating with leading firms in the humanoid robotics industry, indicating a growing ecosystem [9] Group 4 - Aerospace industry players like AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group are expected to benefit from the rapid development of the domestic civil aircraft industry, particularly with the C919 and other new models [5] - The demand for domestic aircraft components is anticipated to rise, driven by the need for localized production of key systems such as engines [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec is leading the domestic industry in the recycling of waste plastics through a combination of independent research and international cooperation, establishing a comprehensive technical system from chemical recycling to physical regeneration [2][4]. Group 1: RPCC Technology Development - The RPCC technology developed by Sinopec's Research Institute represents the forefront of domestic chemical recycling of waste plastics, specifically targeting polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) [2]. - The RPCC technology features three main innovations: the ability to process mixed waste plastics containing varying levels of PVC, achieving a thermal oil yield exceeding 80%, and forming a complete closed-loop cycle from "plastic-waste plastic-olefins-resins-plastic" [7][8]. Group 2: Industrial Application and Investment - The RPCC technology is set to transition from laboratory to industrial application in 2024, with the RDC equipment being a core component of the first global chemical recycling industrial demonstration project for waste agricultural film [5]. - The Tahe Refining and Chemical's project, utilizing RPCC technology, has a total investment of 162 million yuan and aims to process 35,000 tons of waste agricultural film annually, converting it into pyrolysis oil to partially replace naphtha as a feedstock for ethylene production [5]. Group 3: Waste Plastic Pyrolysis Oil Processing - The processing of waste plastic pyrolysis oil is crucial due to its complex composition and high impurity content, necessitating deep processing to enhance quality [12][24]. - Key processing methods include dechlorination, hydrogenation refining, catalytic upgrading, and steam cracking, which are essential for transforming waste plastic pyrolysis oil into high-value products [12][22]. Group 4: Future Directions - Future development directions for the processing of waste plastic pyrolysis oil include improving analytical techniques for precise composition analysis, optimizing hydrogenation technologies, and developing integrated processing methods to address the challenges posed by diverse impurities [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry [3] Core Views - Global oil inventories are expected to continue increasing until 2026, with the EIA forecasting a supply surplus of 1.84 million barrels per day for this year [5][11] - The EIA has raised its price forecasts for crude oil and natural gas for 2025 and 2026, expecting an average crude oil price of $69 per barrel in 2025 and $55 per barrel in 2026 [6][8] - Demand growth for global oil is projected at 790,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 770,000 barrels per day in 2026, with significant contributions from the US, China, and Nigeria [8][45] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Analysis - The EIA and IEA have both adjusted their global oil supply forecasts upwards by 100,000 to 150,000 barrels per day due to OPEC's announced production increases [10][11] - The EIA expects global oil production to rise by 2.81 million barrels per day in 2025 and 1.39 million barrels per day in 2026 [10][11] - The IEA anticipates a demand increase of 310,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 250,000 barrels per day in 2026, with a total average supply reaching 108.7 million barrels per day [46][47] Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $64.39 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.19%, while WTI futures rose to $60.09 per barrel, up 0.57% [20] - The number of active oil rigs in the US increased to 549, with a slight week-on-week rise [35] Refining Sector - The report indicates an improvement in refining profitability due to rising product price spreads, despite current levels being relatively low [5][13] - The Singapore refining margin increased to $24.26 per barrel, while the US gasoline-WTI spread decreased to $20.84 per barrel [5] Polyester Sector - The profitability of PTA and polyester filament yarn has improved, with PTA prices rising to 4,585.4 CNY per ton [5][13] - The report suggests a recovery in the polyester sector, with expectations for improved profitability as supply and demand dynamics shift [13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as top refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [5][13] - It also highlights the resilience of oil companies like PetroChina and CNOOC in the face of potential price declines, recommending those with high dividend yields [13]