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What We’re Reading (Week Ending 21 September 2025) : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2025-09-21 01:00
Group 1: AI and Technological Innovations - The article discusses the historical context of technological innovations, comparing AI to past innovations like containerization, which initially boosted certain industries but did not lead to long-term wealth creation for many companies [3][4][5]. - It highlights that while AI is seen as the next big thing, the competitive intensity and high capital expenditures may lead to reduced profitability for AI companies, similar to the challenges faced by shipbuilders during the containerization boom [6][10]. - The article suggests that the real beneficiaries of AI productivity gains will be existing knowledge-industry service providers, emphasizing that companies must adapt their strategies to incorporate cost savings effectively [9][11]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in AI - Investors are advised to focus on companies that can leverage AI to achieve high-quality results from ambiguous information, particularly in sectors like professional services, healthcare, and education, which have not seen significant productivity increases from automation [11][12]. - The article notes that companies with established strategies for cost reduction, like IKEA and Walmart, have historically benefited from technological advancements, indicating a potential investment strategy for AI-related companies [12]. Group 3: Rare Earths and Defense Industry - The U.S. Department of Defense has entered a deal with MP Materials to reduce dependency on China for rare earth elements, specifically neodymium and praseodymium, which are critical for defense applications [30][31]. - MP Materials is set to expand its mining and processing operations and increase magnet manufacturing capacity significantly, with a guaranteed price floor for its products to ensure profitability [30][31][32]. - The deal raises questions about the role of government versus the private sector in addressing supply chain risks and the potential financial implications for U.S. taxpayers if market prices remain low [32][33][34].
Tech companies warn H-1B visa holders to avoid foreign travel
Fortune· 2025-09-20 23:08
Core Points - The tech sector and other companies are advising H-1B visa holders against foreign travel due to a new $100,000 application fee imposed by the Trump administration [1][2] - Major companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon have communicated to employees to return to the US and cancel travel plans following the announcement of the new rules [2][3] - The White House clarified that the fee applies only to new visa applications and not to current visa holders, but confusion remains regarding the enforcement of these changes [3][4] Company Responses - Microsoft expressed understanding of the uncertainty created by the new developments and advised employees to prioritize safety [4] - Amazon warned H-4 dependent visa holders to remain in the US, reflecting a cautious approach to the new regulations [5] - Walmart and Ernst & Young also issued similar guidance, advising employees to limit international travel until the situation is clearer [8][9] Visa Program Context - The H-1B visa program is crucial for the tech sector, allowing companies to hire skilled foreign workers, with major users including Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta [6] - In 2025, over 470,000 applications were submitted for the H-1B lottery, which includes 65,000 visas and an additional 20,000 for US master's graduates [7] Legal and Industry Concerns - Immigration lawyers anticipate significant confusion and potential legal challenges to the new policy, with expectations of immediate court action [10] - Current visa holders are expressing anxiety over the changes, with some considering relocating to other countries if the situation does not improve [12] - The Trump administration's rationale for the changes is to enhance legitimate applications while reducing abuses, but companies are concerned about the sustainability of the high application fee [12][14]
Is the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) a Buy Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-20 14:30
Core Insights - The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is highlighted as a strong investment option for those seeking growing dividend income, emphasizing the reliability of cash flows in companies that pay dividends [1][10] - Historical data indicates that reinvested dividends have significantly contributed to the total returns of the S&P 500 Index, accounting for 85% of cumulative returns since 1960 [2] Performance Metrics - The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF has a low expense ratio of 0.05%, translating to an annual cost of $5 for every $10,000 invested [5] - Recent performance averages for the ETF are as follows: - 3 years: 16.01% - 5 years: 12.69% - 10 years: 13.24% - 15 years: 12.79% - The ETF currently offers a dividend yield of 1.7%, compared to the S&P 500's yield of 1.2% [5][6] Dividend Growth - The ETF tracks the S&P US Dividend Growers Index, focusing on companies that have increased dividends for at least 10 consecutive years, suggesting potential for dividend growth at a rate faster than the S&P 500 [6] - Historical quarterly dividend payments show significant growth, with the dividend amount increasing from $0.288 in 2013 to $0.938 in 2025, more than tripling over 12 years [6] Top Holdings - The ETF includes approximately 330 holdings, with notable top stocks and their respective yields and weights: - Broadcom: 0.65%, 5.94% - Microsoft: 0.64%, 4.82% - JPMorgan Chase: 1.81%, 4.04% - Apple: 0.44%, 3.74% - Eli Lilly: 0.80%, 2.76% - Visa: 0.70%, 2.69% - ExxonMobil: 3.52%, 2.38% - Mastercard: 0.52%, 2.33% - Johnson & Johnson: 2.93%, 2.04% - Walmart: 0.91%, 2.01% [7] Growth Potential - Some companies within the ETF, like Broadcom, exhibit high dividend growth rates, with a 10-year average annual growth rate exceeding 30%, indicating potential for substantial share-price appreciation [8] Investment Considerations - When selecting a dividend-focused ETF, investors should weigh the importance of high yields versus fast-growing yields, with alternatives like the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF also being viable options [9] - The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is recommended for those seeking solid dividend income that is expected to grow over time, with a suggestion to invest incrementally rather than attempting to time the market [10]
Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Intel, FedEx, Cracker Barrel — And Markets Close At Record Highs Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Intel, FedEx, Cracker Barrel — And Markets Close At Record Highs
Benzinga· 2025-09-20 12:01
Market Overview - Wall Street reached record-high closes following the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut of 2025 and Nvidia's announcement of a $5 billion investment in Intel, leading to a significant rally in major indexes [1][2] - The rate cut was influenced by signs of a softening jobs market and lower unemployment claims, raising expectations for further easing [2] Company Highlights Intel - Intel's stock surged nearly 23%, marking its largest one-day gain since 1987, after Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced a partnership where Nvidia will become a "very large customer" of Intel CPUs [4] - The partnership will involve Nvidia supplying "GPU chiplets" for integration into Intel's products, combining Intel's x86 hardware with Nvidia's graphics and AI components [4] FedEx - FedEx reported Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $22.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $3.83, exceeding expectations of $3.62, driven by cost savings and stronger domestic parcel volumes [5] - The company also completed $500 million in buybacks and reaffirmed a revenue growth outlook of 4–6% for the year [5] IonQ - IonQ's shares jumped to all-time highs after signing a memorandum of understanding with the U.S. Department of Energy to demonstrate quantum-secure communications from space [6] - The company also acquired Vector Atomic, enhancing its quantum sensing capabilities [6] Bearish Trends Cracker Barrel - Cracker Barrel's shares fell sharply after its fiscal Q4 results showed revenue of $868.09 million, beating expectations, but adjusted earnings of $0.74 per share missed the $0.80 estimate [7] - The company provided soft guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting revenue between $3.35–$3.45 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $150–$190 million [7] Dave & Buster's - Dave & Buster's stock dropped approximately 15.25% after Q2 results revealed revenue of $557.41 million, missing the consensus of $562.78 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.40, falling short of the $0.92 expected [8] Nucor - Nucor's stock plunged after the company forecasted Q3 earnings of $2.05 to $2.15 per share, significantly below the Wall Street estimate of $2.61, citing expected earnings declines across all operating segments [9][10]
Kimbell Royalty Partners: A High-Margin And Sustainable Business Model Justify An Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-20 07:17
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential [1] - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines has influenced investment strategies, leading to diversification beyond traditional savings [1] - The trend of investing in blue-chip companies has evolved, with a broader portfolio now including various industries and market capitalizations [1] Investment Strategies - The company has diversified its investments across different sectors, including banking, telecommunications, retail, hotels, and logistics [1] - The approach to investing includes holding stocks for retirement as well as for trading profits, indicating a balanced investment strategy [1] - Entry into the US market has been facilitated by prior experience and knowledge gained from trading in the Philippines and through platforms like Seeking Alpha [1] Market Trends - The logistics and shipping industries are part of the investment focus, reflecting their importance in both the ASEAN and US markets [1] - The analysis of market trends in the US is compared with those in the Philippines, suggesting a strategic approach to understanding global market dynamics [1]
VantageRock's Avery Sheffield: Inflation likely to run warm to hot, pockets of opportunity remain
CNBC Television· 2025-09-19 20:49
Market Overview - The economy and inflation are likely to run warm to hot, creating a bifurcated market [1][2] - The Fed wants the economy to do well and has the opportunity to cut rates if needed, supporting the environment [3] Investment Opportunities - Opportunities exist in stocks that benefit from pricing power and are not overleveraged, especially with low valuations [2][3] - Focus on finding undervalued pockets likely to outpace inflation due to their ability to raise prices [3] Specific Sectors of Interest - Autolevered stocks and consumer discretionary retail are interesting sectors [5] - Auto OEMs are managing tariffs better than anticipated, with strong demand despite high prices [5] - Auto dealers benefit from a strong market and 40% of their volumes in parts and service, with low valuations [7] - Multiple retailers in consumer discretionary, including apparel and jewelry retail, are in turnaround situations with low valuations [8] Risk Considerations - Cost pressures from tariffs and inflation are already priced into some stocks [4][8] - Concerns over high auto prices exist, but demand remains strong [5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-19 16:23
Smyk, a Polish retailer of children’s toys and apparel, has hired banks to run an initial public offering that could kick off as soon as this month, according to people familiar with the matter https://t.co/VMhAkmNtHT ...
Can Newell's Restructuring Efforts Spark a Sustainable Turnaround?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 16:20
Core Insights - Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) is implementing a multi-year restructuring plan, Project Phoenix, aimed at stabilizing operations and rebuilding profitability through simplification of organizational structures and supply chain streamlining [1] - The company targets annualized savings of $220-$250 million by 2025, with plans to reinvest these resources into growth initiatives such as product innovation and digital expansion [2] - In Q2 2025, despite a 5.8% decline in net sales year over year, Newell achieved a 110-basis-point improvement in adjusted gross margin, attributed to expense control and restructuring savings [3][8] Financial Performance - The company reported a 4.9% decline in core sales, but the margin expansion indicates early signs of progress from Project Phoenix [3] - Management anticipates sequential improvement in core sales in the second half of 2025, supported by fresher assortments and improved execution [5][8] - Newell's shares have decreased by 41.7% year-to-date, underperforming the industry and broader Consumer Staples sector [6] Valuation Metrics - Newell currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 8.43X, significantly below the industry average of 19.89X and the S&P 500's average of 23.32X, indicating a premium valuation relative to peers and the broader market [9]
Tech sector maintains momentum: Tesla and Oracle fuel the rally
News & Analysis For Stocks, Crypto & Forex | Investinglive· 2025-09-19 14:46
Sector OverviewThe technology sector is driving today's stock market with impressive performances from key players. The semiconductor space shows a mixed bag, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) ticking up by 0.75% while Micron Technology (MU) faces a decline of 4.63%. However, the standout in technology is Oracle (ORCL) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR), making significant gains of 1.93% and 2.36%, respectively. This positive momentum is spreading across tech, bolstered by a robust showing from Microsoft (MSF ...
[Earnings]Upcoming Earnings: Key Reports for the Week Ahead
Stock Market News· 2025-09-19 13:12
Group 1 - Micron Technology Inc. is scheduled to report its earnings next Tuesday after market close [1] - Accenture plc Class A will release its key reports on Thursday before market open [1] - Costco Wholesale Corporation is set to report its earnings after market close on Thursday [1]