其他军工Ⅱ 分析师：刘智 登记编码：S0730520110001 liuzhi@ccnew.com 021-50586775 经营质量逐步提升，新型号产品开启公司 新成长 ——中航沈飞(600760)2024 年报点评 证券研究报告-年报点评 买入(首次) 市场数据(2025-04-08) | 收盘价(元) | 42.00 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 61.07/34.36 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,650.76 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.78 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,152.79 | | 基础数据(2024-12-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 6.20 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -1.36 | | 毛利率(%) | 12.47 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 19.88 | 投资要点： 中航沈飞（600760）4 月 1 日披露 2024 年年度报告。2024 年，公司实现 营业总收入 428.37 亿元，同比下降 7.37%；归母净利润 33.94 亿元，同 比增长 12.86%；扣非净利润 33.73 亿元，同比增长 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 42.837 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.394 billion yuan, an increase of 12.9% [5] - External factors such as contract signing progress and supply chain issues impacted revenue, but the company managed to improve operational efficiency through internal measures [6] - The year 2025 is seen as a critical year for the company to accelerate reforms and structural upgrades, focusing on both military and civil aviation sectors [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 47.107 billion yuan, 54.151 billion yuan, and 62.789 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.0%, 15.0%, and 16.0% respectively [7] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 3.743 billion yuan, 4.323 billion yuan, and 5.051 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10.3%, 15.5%, and 16.8% respectively [7] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 30.92, 26.77, and 22.91 respectively [7] - Key financial metrics include a gross margin of 12.5% in 2024, expected to rise to 12.8% by 2027, and a return on equity (ROE) of 19.9% in 2024, projected to decrease slightly to 18.7% by 2027 [9]

中航沈飞（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600760） 公司点评 外部因素影响营收，科研生产经营质效提升 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-04-09 | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 42.00 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 61.85/34.27 | | 总股本（百万股） | 2,756 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 2,745 | | 流通股比例（%） | 99.60 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -21% 6% 33% 59% 86% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 中航沈飞 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓承佯 4 月 1 日，公司发布 2024 年年度报告。根据公告，2024 年实现营业收入 428.37 亿元，同比下降 7.4%，归母净利润 33.94 亿元，同比增长 12.9%。 ⚫ 外部因素影响营收 公司年报显示，受合同签订进度、配套供应进度等外部因素影响，公司 营业收入受到了影 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 公司坚定推进深化改革，致力于全面完成改革深化提升行动任务，支撑实现一流企业阶段建设目标；完 成大型结构件能力提升任务，推进复材、钛合金产业化发展；推动战新产业落地实施，聚焦高商载无人 货运、功能结构件设计制造一体化能力生成研究落实途径；着力提升所属公司治理能力，明晰外派董事 行权规范。 中航沈飞股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）是集科研、生产、试验、试飞、维修与服务保障为一体的大 型现代化飞机制造企业，是中国航空防务装备的主要研制基地。公司作为新中国航空工业发祥地之一， 始终践行航空报国初心、担当航空强国使命，坚持"强军首责、科技引领、深化改革、融合发展"高质量 发展原则，致力于建设国际领先的创新引领型高科技航空装备企业，推动上市公司高质量发展和投资价 值提升，增强投资者回报与投资者获得感。基于对公司未来发展前景的信心和对公司价值的高度认可， 公司现将有关情况公告如下： 一、因地制宜发展新质生产力 公司始终坚持强化企业科技创新主体地位，加速打造航空科技国家战略力量。在体系建设方面， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 47.88 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.48%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 860.29 million yuan, a decline of 39.48% year-on-year [1][8] - The decline in net profit is attributed to increased R&D expenses, fluctuations in raw material prices, and a 24.91% decrease in revenue from non-aerospace products [8] - The company has made significant progress in technology innovation and market expansion, including partnerships with international aviation giants and an increase in maintenance service revenue by 18% [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2024 is 47.88 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 860.29 million yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 0.32 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 113.93 [1] - The company expects net profits of 894.14 million yuan in 2025 and 978.30 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 109.62 and 100.19 [1][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.88 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 17.68% compared to 29.01 billion yuan in the previous year, and a total profit of 1.308 billion yuan, down 42.02% from 2.257 billion yuan in the previous year [4][5] - The decline in performance is attributed to multiple factors, including market conditions, industry cycles, and policy impacts, with significant demand from key clients in aerospace defense equipment not meeting expectations [5] - Despite the challenges, the company has established partnerships with leading eVTOL enterprises in the low-altitude economy sector, providing compliant airborne computers, avionics, sensors, and other mature products [5] Financial Summary - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.113 billion yuan, 1.243 billion yuan, and 1.407 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.0%, 11.7%, and 13.2% [6] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for these years are 48.20, 43.17, and 38.13 [6] - Key financial indicators for 2024 include a gross margin of 28.2% and a return on equity (ROE) of 2.8% [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company,航发科技, has shown a mixed performance in its financial results for 2024, with a decline in revenue but significant growth in net profit and a substantial increase in non-recurring profit [3][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of March 28, 2025, the stock price of 航发科技 closed at 20.66 yuan, up 1.32% from the previous week [1]. - The stock reached a peak price of 21.26 yuan on March 27, 2025, and a low of 19.45 yuan on March 24, 2025 [1]. - The total market capitalization is 6.999 billion yuan, ranking 26th in the aerospace equipment sector and 2165th in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Changes - As of March 31, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased to 49,600, a reduction of 3,343 shareholders or 6.32% [2][6]. - The average number of shares held per shareholder increased from 6,239 shares to 6,660 shares, with an average holding value of 134,900 yuan [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the year 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 3.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.77% [3][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 68.79 million yuan, an increase of 42.85% year-on-year [3][4]. - The non-recurring net profit was 59.78 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 567.11% year-on-year [3][4]. - The debt ratio stood at 67.66%, with investment income reported at -1.45 million yuan and financial expenses at 53.14 million yuan [3]. - The gross profit margin was recorded at 16.09% [3]. Group 4: Dividend and Profit Distribution - The company announced that it would not distribute cash dividends for the year 2024 due to insufficient distributable profits, and there will be no capital increase from reserves [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [30]. Core Views - The company, AVIC Optoelectronics (002179), reported a total revenue of 20.686 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.04%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.354 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.45% year-on-year [7][8]. - The fourth quarter showed significant recovery in defense orders, leading to a substantial increase in performance, with quarterly revenue reaching 6.591 billion yuan, up 39.77% year-on-year, and net profit increasing by 88.79% [8][12]. - The company is focusing on expanding its civil products and maintaining a strong position in the defense sector, with a strategic emphasis on high-end manufacturing and emerging industries [12]. Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for 2024 was reported at 36.61%, a slight decrease of 1.34 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 17.15%, down 0.36 percentage points [9]. - The revenue from the electrical connector segment was 16.21 billion yuan, growing by 4.58% and accounting for 78.36% of total revenue. The optical connector segment saw a decline of 9.7%, generating 2.842 billion yuan [11]. - The company has effectively managed its expenses, with total expense ratios decreasing by 0.74 percentage points to 18.76% [9]. Business Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in defense and civil sectors, with projected revenues of 24.389 billion yuan, 28.083 billion yuan, and 31.069 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [13][14]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the defense sector, anticipating a recovery in demand and an upward trend in the company's performance as it approaches the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 42.837 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.37%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 12.86% to 3.394 billion yuan, highlighting its leading position in a weak industry environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 42.837 billion yuan (-7.37%) and a net profit of 3.394 billion yuan (+12.86%), with a non-recurring net profit of 3.373 billion yuan (+15.88%) [1] - In Q4 2024, the company recorded a revenue of 17.540 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 50.99% year-on-year and 377.55% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.576 billion yuan, up 145.19% year-on-year and 690.56% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's gross profit margin for 2024 was 12.47% (+1.52 percentage points), and the net profit margin was 7.97% (+1.46 percentage points) [2] Group 2: Operational Efficiency - The company effectively improved operational efficiency, as evidenced by a decrease in the expense ratio to 3.24% (-0.45 percentage points), with a sales expense ratio of 0.01% (-0.02 percentage points) and a research and development expense ratio of 1.70% (-0.41 percentage points) [2] - The company's accounts receivable and notes stood at 19.846 billion yuan, an increase of 110.59% from the beginning of the year, while inventory rose to 13.601 billion yuan (+16.75%) [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in related party transactions in 2025, with an estimated total of 49.437 billion yuan, representing a growth of 51.88% compared to the actual value in 2024 [3] - The expected purchase of raw materials and services from related parties is projected to be 19.158 billion yuan (+54.18%) and 6.003 billion yuan (+112.17%), respectively, indicating a positive outlook for contract signing and procurement [3] - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability in the aerospace defense equipment sector, with projected net profits of 3.959 billion yuan, 5.298 billion yuan, and 6.278 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760.SH) [1][7] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvements in quality and efficiency, benefiting from the high demand in the downstream market [1][5] - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 428.37 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.37% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 12.86% to 33.94 billion yuan [3][5] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the urgent demand for new and upgraded equipment in the air force and navy aviation sectors [5] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 175.40 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.99%, and a net profit of 15.76 billion yuan, up 145.19% [5] - The gross margin improved by 1.52 percentage points to 12.47%, and the net margin increased by 1.46 percentage points to 7.97% in 2024 [5] - The company’s total liabilities reached 425.39 billion yuan, an increase of 8.49% year-on-year, while cash and cash equivalents decreased by 36.48% to 98.92 billion yuan [3][5] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.47, 1.66, and 1.87 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 30.3, 26.7, and 23.8 [7][9]