证 券 研 究 报 告 信测标准（300938）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 夯实精细化管理，打造通用机器人+AI 大模 型+检测新模式 事项： 公司发布 2024 年报以及 2025 年一季报：2024 年公司实现收入 7.25 亿元，同 比+6.71%，归母净利润 1.76 亿元，同比+7.67%，扣非归母净利润 1.65 亿元， 同比+10.77%；2025Q1 公司实现收入 1.66 亿元，同比-8.04%；归母净利润 3714.70 万元，同比-9.48%；扣非归母净利润 3428.99 万元，同比-9.45%。 评论： 公司研究 仪器仪表Ⅲ 2025 年 05 月 04 日 目标价：39.74 元 当前价：30.56 元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：范益民 电话：021-20572562 邮箱：fanyimin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523020001 证券分析师：丁祎 邮箱：dingyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523030001 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 16,450.77 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for 2024, while facing challenges in Q1 2025, indicating a mixed performance outlook for the near term [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 725 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.71%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 176 million yuan, up 7.67% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 166 million yuan, a decline of 8.04% year-on-year, and a net profit of 37.14 million yuan, down 9.48% year-on-year [1]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 57.99%, a decrease of 1.11 percentage points compared to the previous year [2]. Business Segments - The company's testing business showed growth, with revenues from automotive testing, electronic and electrical product testing, equipment sales, consumer goods testing, and health and environmental testing at 306 million, 171 million, 154 million, 50 million, and 45 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 12.41%, 9.11%, -5.91%, 22.2%, and 7.0% [2]. - The gross margins for automotive testing, electronic and electrical product testing, and equipment sales were 67.71%, 60.98%, and 39.10%, with declines of 4.38, 2.17, and 6.94 percentage points respectively [2]. Management Efficiency - The company demonstrated strong management capabilities, with a decrease in expense ratios for sales, management, and financial expenses in 2024 [2]. - The sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios for 2024 were 14.80%, 7.58%, -1.25%, and 8.36%, showing improvements in cost management [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The establishment of a joint venture in February 2025 with Guangdong Wali Technology Co., Ltd. aims to enter the robotics sector, focusing on the development and sales of various types of robots [4]. - The company plans to integrate AI with testing robots to enhance operational efficiency and improve service quality, addressing the industry's reliance on manual labor [4][5]. Future Outlook - The company is set to leverage its technological advantages and market resources to expand into military product testing and enhance its capabilities through AI and robotics [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 198 million, 228 million, and 262 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 12.5%, 14.9%, and 15.2% respectively [6][7].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Xuchang Kaipu Testing Research Institute Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent for a testing system designed for FT3 frame format relay protection devices, indicating innovation in the field of testing technology [1] - The patent application was filed on January 2025, and the publication number is CN119892938A, showcasing the company's ongoing efforts in research and development [1] - The testing system includes a computing unit, FT3 digital interface unit, RTIO intelligent interface unit, and a switch, which allows for real-time data processing and flexible configuration for different FT3 frame format relay protection devices [1] Group 2 - Xuchang Kaipu Testing Research Institute Co., Ltd. was established in 2005 and is primarily engaged in business services, with a registered capital of 104 million RMB [2] - The company has made investments in four enterprises and has participated in 424 bidding projects, indicating active engagement in the market [2] - The company holds 171 patents and has 17 administrative licenses, reflecting its strong focus on innovation and compliance within its industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, primarily due to challenges in the testing equipment and health and environmental testing sectors [1][2]. Revenue Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 166 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.0% [1]. - Revenue from automotive testing reached 306 million yuan, growing 12.4% year-on-year, but the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years [2]. - Electronic and electrical product testing generated 171 million yuan, reflecting a 9.1% increase year-on-year [2]. - Testing equipment revenue was 154 million yuan, down 5.9% year-on-year, attributed to price competition in the manufacturing sector [2]. - Daily consumer goods testing revenue was 50 million yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2]. - Health and environmental testing revenue was 45 million yuan, increasing by 7.0% year-on-year [2]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 22.45%, a slight decrease of 2.04 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - Gross margin improved to 59.6%, an increase of 2.57 percentage points, likely due to a higher revenue share from automotive and electronic testing [3]. - Operating expense ratio rose to 34.3%, up 4.47 percentage points year-on-year, due to fixed costs amid declining revenue [3]. Cash Flow and Future Growth - Operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 26 million yuan, down from 36 million yuan in the same period last year [3]. - The company established a joint venture for robotics technology, aiming to enhance future growth through automation in testing services [3]. Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 797 million yuan, 890 million yuan, and 1.001 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.0%, 11.7%, and 12.5% respectively [4]. - Expected net profits for the same period are 192 million yuan, 221 million yuan, and 256 million yuan, with growth rates of 9.0%, 15.2%, and 15.6% respectively [4]. - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 24.9x, 21.6x, and 18.7x for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, attributed mainly to a downturn in equipment sales, while other segments like environmental testing services and integrated circuit testing are expected to perform better [1][2]. Revenue Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 429 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.0% [1] - Revenue growth rates for 2024 were +1.0%, -11.0%, -11.9%, and +4.9% for Q1 to Q4, indicating marginal improvement in Q4 [2] - Equipment sales revenue for 2024 was 623 million yuan, down 17.25% year-on-year, due to reduced capital expenditures from downstream third-party testing institutions [2] - Environmental testing services generated 1.01 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 0.64%, with military testing orders gradually recovering [2] - Integrated circuit testing revenue was 288 million yuan, up 12.33% year-on-year, driven by high demand from downstream clients [2] Profitability Analysis - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 41 million yuan, also down 3.0% year-on-year [1] - The decline in net profit for 2024 was significant, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.9%, -33.8%, -48.3%, and -11.6% from Q1 to Q4 [3] - Q1 2025 gross margin was 40.44%, a decrease of 2.03 percentage points year-on-year, while net margin improved by 0.32 percentage points to 10.53% [3] Capacity Expansion and Future Outlook - The company has been actively expanding its application fields and increasing capacity, with the original value of machinery and equipment growing by 26.1% year-on-year by the end of 2024 [4] - New laboratories are being established in various locations, including Shenzhen and other cities, to enhance testing capabilities [4] - The company anticipates a rapid release of military testing orders in 2025, along with a favorable semiconductor testing demand, which is expected to drive revenue recovery [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.32 billion, 2.63 billion, and 2.96 billion yuan, with net profits expected to grow by 27.0%, 23.7%, and 23.7% respectively [4]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in global trade and Chinese exports following the implementation of new tariffs, particularly affecting exports to the US while showing some improvement in exports to Vietnam [4] - The report anticipates that China's exports in April may see a notable decline, but "trans-exports" could partially offset this impact, with overall export figures not expected to turn significantly negative due to low base effects [4] Macroeconomic Analysis - Global trade indicators have shown a downturn since April, with a notable drop in US container bookings and port truck transport volumes, indicating a larger decline in US imports [4] - In China, high-frequency data related to exports to the US has weakened, while indicators for exports to Vietnam have improved, suggesting a shift in trade dynamics [4] - Industrial operating rates in sectors like automotive and textiles have recently weakened, likely linked to the impact of increased tariffs [4] Industry Performance Mechanical Sector - Peak Technology (688279.SH) reported slightly better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, with a focus on expanding applications in home appliances, automotive, and industrial sectors [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for high-performance motor control chips due to advancements in automation and smart technologies [8] Food and Beverage Sector - Haitian Flavor Industry (603288.SH) achieved Q1 2025 revenue of 8.315 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.08%, and a net profit of 2.202 billion yuan, up 14.77% [9] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the restaurant sector and plans for overseas expansion, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 7.01 billion, 7.82 billion, and 8.65 billion yuan respectively [10] Construction and Decoration Sector - China State Construction (601668.SH) demonstrated resilience with a 40% increase in infrastructure orders, while maintaining stable net profit margins [14] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 44.8 billion, 45.4 billion, and 45.6 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a slight decline in 2025 followed by modest growth [14] Electrical Equipment Sector - Tian Shun Wind Power (002531.SZ) is facing short-term performance pressures but is expected to see improvements as offshore wind projects ramp up [15] - Qingda Environmental Protection (688501.SH) is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with expected revenues of 1.987 billion, 2.384 billion, and 2.785 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [16] Home Appliances Sector - Hisense Home Appliances (000921.SZ) reported Q1 2025 revenue of 24.838 billion yuan, a 5.76% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising by 14.89% [20] - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in net profits over the next few years, with projections of 3.75 billion, 4.186 billion, and 4.602 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [20] Steel Construction Sector - Precision Steel Structure (600496.SH) has shown improved report quality and rapid growth in overseas business, with projected net profits of 570 million, 640 million, and 710 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [22]

Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, development, and application of metal material testing technology, providing services such as testing services, analytical instruments, standard materials, and corrosion protection engineering [2] - It is recognized as a leading authority in the domestic steel industry and has the most comprehensive testing capabilities in the metal material testing field [2] - As of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1,097.67 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15.60%, and a net profit of 145.02 million CNY, up by 15.37% [3] Financial Performance - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 219.06 million CNY, reflecting a 7.18% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 16.08 million CNY, which is a 33.28% increase [3] - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were 0.3861 CNY, up by 15.25%, while for Q1 2025, it was 0.0428 CNY, an increase of 32.10% [3] Business Growth Drivers - The growth in testing services is influenced by both industry demand and research and development needs, with industry-related business volume slightly higher [3] - The company has a natural advantage in material research-related testing due to its roots in China Steel Research [3] Product Structure and Market Position - The company offers over 60 types of analytical instruments, including spectrometers and electron microscopes, applicable across various sectors such as steel, aerospace, and food [4] - The high-end analytical instrument market presents challenges due to significant investment and long R&D cycles, but the company welcomes healthy competition to enhance product quality [4][5] Strategic Focus - The company aims to enhance the quality of conventional analytical instruments and develop more champion products while increasing automation and intelligence [5] - It seeks to balance long-term development with short-term profits by maintaining R&D intensity and continuously upgrading products to meet market demands [5]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for more proactive macro policies to stabilize the economy amid external shocks, with a focus on timely implementation of existing policies and introduction of new incremental policies [2][3] - The April Politburo meeting acknowledged the economic recovery but highlighted the necessity to solidify this foundation, especially in light of increasing external pressures [1][2] Fixed Income - The fixed income market is expected to remain in a narrow fluctuation pattern, with key observation points in May regarding potential reserve requirement ratio cuts [3][4] - The issuance of green bonds decreased significantly, with only 14 new bonds issued totaling approximately 10.87 billion yuan, while trading volume increased to 56.2 billion yuan [4] Company Analysis Arrow Home (001322) - The company faced demand pressure, with revenue expected to decline year-on-year in the first half of 2024, but a recovery is anticipated in the second half due to national subsidy policies [7] - Revenue from retail channels decreased due to intensified competition, while the home decoration channel showed growth [7] - The company is adjusting its strategy to focus on retail channels and enhance product strength and brand marketing [7] Nuotai Bio (688076) - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 57.21% in 2024, driven by the growth of peptide APIs [8] - The custom product segment also showed strong growth, with a notable order from a major European pharmaceutical company [8] - The forecast for net profit remains optimistic, with expected growth in the coming years [9] Taiji Group (600129) - The company experienced a substantial decline in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, but there are signs of improvement compared to Q4 2024 [10] - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted downward due to ongoing market challenges [10] Guizhou Sanli (603439) - The company achieved a revenue increase of 31.16% in 2024, but faced a decline in net profit [11] - The forecast for net profit has been adjusted downward for 2025-2026, reflecting short-term pressures [11] National Grid Yingda (600517) - The company is pursuing dual development in finance and manufacturing, with a stable performance expected in 2024 [25] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted, but the long-term growth potential remains positive [25] Hengli Petrochemical (600346) - The company reported stable profitability despite industry competition, with a focus on optimizing operations and maintaining high dividend payouts [26][27] - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted downward, but the company continues to show growth potential [27] National Securities (600109) - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for 2024 but showed strong growth in Q1 2025 [28] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a steady increase, supported by market reforms and economic recovery [28] Cambrian (688256) - The company achieved significant revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by strong contributions from its largest customer [29] - The outlook for 2025 remains positive, with expectations for continued revenue growth and improved profitability [29] Giant Network (002558) - The company is actively expanding its AI capabilities, with a positive outlook for revenue growth in the coming years [30][31] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upward, reflecting a strong pipeline of new games [31]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of employment empowerment centers in Linyi City, Shandong Province, aims to enhance job opportunities and support for various groups, including recent graduates and disadvantaged individuals, through integrated services and financial incentives [2][5]. Group 1: Employment Empowerment Initiatives - Linyi City has created employment empowerment centers that offer services such as on-site consultations, smart employment solutions, and live job broadcasts [2]. - The local government has implemented a combination of policies, including skill training, social security subsidies, and job placement subsidies, to support 227,000 individuals in entrepreneurship and employment by 2024 [5]. Group 2: Company Growth and Employment - Huajian Testing Company, a private third-party food safety testing firm, has successfully recruited 32 recent graduates since its establishment in 2019, benefiting from various employment subsidies [2][4]. - The company has expanded its operations to multiple regions, including Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, due to the influx of skilled professionals and improved financial conditions [4]. Group 3: Support for Disadvantaged Groups - The company employs individuals from disadvantaged backgrounds, including older workers and those with disabilities, providing them with stable jobs and an average monthly income of 4,500 yuan [4]. - The local government has introduced multiple policies to assist enterprises in creating job opportunities for vulnerable groups, emphasizing the social responsibility of private companies [4]. Group 4: Financial Support and Policy Implementation - In the first quarter of this year, Shandong Province distributed 165 million yuan in skill enhancement subsidies to 93,000 individuals, aiming to support the development of small and medium-sized enterprises [6]. - The provincial government has streamlined the application process for employment support policies, transitioning from a "people find policies" approach to a "policies find people" model [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to standardize and systematize testing processes in the industry, promoting a more regulated environment and enhancing public health through comprehensive testing services [2][7]. Group 1: Company Background and Development - Established in 2008, the company started with soil and groundwater testing and has since expanded to over 7,000 testing parameters across various fields including solid waste, air, water, and dioxin testing [2][5]. - The founder, Yang Jin, has nearly 20 years of experience in the field, having previously worked in both public health and foreign environmental testing institutions [3][4]. - The company has participated in the establishment of 31 national standards for soil and groundwater testing, with 21 already implemented by the end of 2024 [4]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Strategy - After going public in 2022, the company adopted a "dual-wheel drive" strategy, expanding its testing services to include food and agriculture, thus creating a comprehensive third-party testing service system [5][6]. - The company is exploring automation and intelligent transformation in testing processes, including a partnership with Qiteng Robotics to develop intelligent testing robots [6][8]. Group 3: Social Responsibility and Community Engagement - The company actively engages in social responsibility, providing free water quality testing services during natural disasters, demonstrating a commitment to public health and safety [7][8]. - The founder emphasizes the importance of technology in benefiting society, linking soil and groundwater safety to public health [7][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates growth in the testing and inspection industry due to ongoing global economic development and technological advancements, planning to increase investment and acquisition efforts [8]. - There is a focus on leveraging accumulated data to create value and enhance the maturity of the testing industry, ensuring sustainable development and addressing societal challenges [8].