投资建议： 新消费与价值成长并行，大众品首选成长，重视换季消费机会，白酒绝对价值显现。 报告导读： 新消费与价值成长并行，把握换季机会，估值提升。白酒短期受政策影响，长 期绝对价值凸显。大众品啤酒饮料旺季催化，大单品新渠道成长性凸出。 新消费与价值成长并行，标的分化和估值提升。 一方面， 新渠道和新品类创新驱动新消费结构性红利， 主要体现在零食、保健品、食品添加剂赛道；另一方面，传统食品饮料龙头依赖强大的产品创新能力、渠 道拓展能力实现大单品的稳健强劲增长，主要体现在啤酒、饮料赛道。我们预计新消费与价值成长并行， 龙头间或将逐步出现分化，新消费标的估值有望创新高，传统消费估值或将提升。 白酒：短期受政策影响，长期绝对价值凸显。 近期中共中央、国务院印发修订后的《党政机关厉行节约反 对浪费条例》，其中涉及用酒部分我们认为属于纪律的再度强调，我们预计白酒行业龙头或将持续挖掘新 场景和潜在增量，加速白酒商品属性重塑和消费结构转型。对于白酒板块，我们延续前期观点，行业 2025Q2 产业景气度环比角度仍在寻底，价格端压力大于量的压力，大部分企业短期业绩表现愈发依赖于 核心市场的市占率提升，且愈发依赖于腰部及以下单品驱 ...

Overview of Accounting Method Change - The company has changed its accounting method for its investment in Hunan Mingming Henmang Commercial Chain Co., Ltd. from equity method to fair value measurement due to changes in its board representation and shareholding percentage [3][4] - The investment in Mingming Henmang amounts to RMB 700 million, representing a 6.64% stake prior to the change [3] Financial Impact - The change in accounting method results in a decrease of RMB 723.87 million in long-term equity investments and an increase of RMB 684.02 million in other non-current financial assets on the consolidated balance sheet [3] - The capital reserve increases by RMB 37.45 million, while investment income decreases by RMB 77.31 million, leading to a corresponding decrease in net profit attributable to the parent company [3] Future Accounting Treatment - Future changes in the fair value of the investment will be recognized in the current profit and loss statement, reflecting a shift in how the company accounts for this investment [2][4] - The company emphasizes that the financial data changes are temporary and do not reflect a fundamental change in its operational capabilities or investment value [2][4]

食品饮料 分析师：刘冉 登记编码：S0730516010001 liuran@ccnew.com 021-50586281 食饮行情延续，多数子板块表现优异 ——食品饮料行业 5 月月报 发布日期：2025 年 06 月 06 日 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 食品饮料相对沪深 300 指数表现 相关报告 《食品饮料行业月报：食饮行情延续，零食、 乳品领衔》 2025-05-14 《食品饮料行业月报：食饮行情回暖，要素价 格延续回落态势——食品饮料行业 3 月月报》 2025-04-09 《食品饮料行业点评报告：提振消费政策有望 持续催化板块行情》 2025-03-18 联系人：李智 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共15页 投资要点： -23% -17% -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 18% 2024.06 2024.10 2025.02 2025.06 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券 ⚫ 食品饮料板块微涨，受白酒拖累较大。主力资金净流出，小单资金净流入。成 交量有所回落，但仍高上年同期。2025 年 5 月， ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has requested Liumei Guoyuan to provide supplementary explanations regarding new shareholders and potential conflicts of interest, as well as the progress of state-owned shareholders in fulfilling state asset management procedures [1][2] - Liumei Guoyuan has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CITIC Securities and Guoyuan International as joint sponsors [1] - The company is recognized as a leading enterprise in the Chinese fruit snack industry and a leader in plum products, focusing on promoting plum culture and offering natural and healthy snack options [2] Group 2 - The CSRC has outlined specific requirements for Liumei Guoyuan, including clarifying the reasons for inconsistencies in the identification of controlling shareholders and providing a conclusive legal opinion [2] - The company is expected to detail the specific amounts and proportions of funds raised for domestic and overseas investment projects, along with the status of relevant approvals and filings [2] - Liumei Guoyuan is committed to user information protection and data security, requiring clarification on the scale of user data collected and whether personal information is shared with third parties [2]

超配（维持） 食品饮料行业双周报（2025/05/23-2025/06/05） 白酒动销平淡，关注啤酒等旺季消费 投资要点： ◼ 风险提示：原材料价格波动、产品提价不及预期、渠道开展不及预期、 行业竞争加剧、食品安全风险等。 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 周 报 行 业 资料来源：同花顺,东莞证券研究所 相关报告 证 券 研 究 报 告 食品饮料行业 2025 年 6 月 6 日 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：黄冬祎 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523020001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： huangdongyi@dgzq.com.cn 食品饮料（申万）指数走势 行 业 研 究 ◼ 行情回顾：2025年5月23日-2025年6月5日，SW食品饮料行业指数整体下 跌1.83%，板块涨幅位居申万一级行业第二十六位，跑输同期沪深300指 数约0.90个百分 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations in the first half of the week, followed by a brief rise and subsequent decline, with overall performance remaining stable and trading volume maintaining at over 1 trillion [1] - The three major indices saw a continuous recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising by 1.13%, 1.42%, and 2.32% respectively [1] - The bond market showed a slight decline but remained at a relatively high level, reflecting a decrease in overall market risk appetite [1] ETF Performance - The average increase of all ETFs was 1.47%, with cross-border ETFs performing particularly well, averaging a rise of 2.23% [1] - AI and innovative pharmaceuticals were the main growth drivers, with top-performing ETFs in these sectors showing significant gains, such as the Huabao ChiNext AI ETF rising by 6.57% [2][3] - Conversely, consumer and automotive ETFs experienced notable declines, with the Greater Bay Area ETF dropping by 2.21% [4][5] Fund Flow Trends - The ETF market saw a net outflow of 24.88 billion, with a notable decrease in market activity [6] - Conservative investment preferences led to significant inflows into bond ETFs, with the Short-term Bond ETF attracting 14.69 billion, making it the top inflow [8] - The Shanghai Corporate Bond ETF recorded a weekly trading volume of 363.50 billion, indicating strong interest in bond funds [10] Upcoming ETF Listings - Four new ETFs are set to launch next week, including the Guotai ChiNext New Energy ETF, which tracks a representative index of the new energy industry [11] - The Invesco CSI 300 Enhanced Strategy ETF aims to provide returns exceeding the index through active management, focusing on high-quality core assets [12]

Z世代零食消费 偏好：口味创新 与包装社交属性 千禧研究 目录 Z世代——零食 消费主力军 01 Z世代零食口味 偏好趋势 02 零食口味创新案 例 03 Z世代对零食包 装的要求 04 零食包装的社交 属性体现 05 目录 包装创新案例 06 Z世代零食消费场 景与口味、包装 适配 07 零食品牌迎合Z 世代的策略 08 Z世代零食消费 未来趋势 09 总结与启示 10 Z世代——零食消 费主力军 01 Z世代人口规模 与消费能力 消费市场提供了广阔的基础。 庞大的人口规模 中国90/00后人口规模达3.4亿人，约占总人口 的1/4，Z世代在人口数量上占据相当比例，为 Z世代消费对零 食行业的影响 里斯战略定位咨询调查数据显示，Z世代月均可 支配收入比全国平均值高出49.36%，具备较强 的消费潜力。 较高的可支配收入 全国80%以上的Z世代群体，每月零食饮料花费在400元以上，即日均消费在10元以上。其中，一二线城 市Z世代群体里有40%每月零食饮料花费在800元以上，有21%每月在食品饮料上的开销达1000元及以 上。 零食饮料消费支出高 Z世代成为零食消费主力军，促使新品 牌有机会打破既有领导品牌主导 ...

当部分传统品牌增长乏力之际，一批"新锐"消费品牌却逆势创出新高，业绩持续超预期。 2025年，新消费企业在资本市场异军突起。其中，泡泡玛特、蜜雪集团、老铺黄金三家公司市值均已突破千亿港元，被业内冠以"新消费三朵金花"之称， 股价年涨幅均超100%，分别引领了IP潮玩、平价茶饮、古法黄金三大消费热潮。 差异化、提供情绪价值、性价比高成为这批新消费赛道黑马异军突起的密码。但是，要想从现象级爆款成为"百年老店"，还需跨越多重门槛。 现象： 蜜雪冰城的走红更是堪称意外。数据显示，截至2024年底，其全球门店数量已超4万家，日售饮品近2500万杯，全年终端零售额高达583亿元。 当市场还在热议"消费降级"、探讨年轻人把钱花向何处时，一批具备新消费特质的国产品牌已然突围，成为消费者追捧的"新宠"。 新消费品牌引发消费者抢购 "根本抢不到！"作为泡泡玛特的忠实粉丝，刘雨婷每天紧盯社群里的 LABUBU搪胶毛绒玩偶放货通知。一旦收到不定期的"上新"提醒，她便会立刻放下 手头所有事，疯狂刷新购物页面，只为等待"购买"按钮亮起的那一刻。然而即便如此，成功抢到 LABUBU 依然难如登天。在局外人看来，这样的抢购近 乎"疯狂"，但 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a significant increase in activity, with total fundraising exceeding 760 billion HKD this year, a more than sevenfold increase compared to the same period last year [1][2] - Notable companies such as CATL and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical have completed their listings in May, contributing to a record high in fundraising since March 2021 [2] - As of May 31, 2023, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange welcomed 28 new listings, raising a total of 773.6 billion HKD, surpassing the total fundraising amount for the entire previous year [2] Group 2 - Three core factors driving the recovery of the Hong Kong IPO market include advancements in AI technology, improved liquidity due to foreign capital inflows, and a more pronounced profit-making effect from IPOs attracting both institutional and retail investors [3] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented reforms to attract more quality companies, such as lowering the market capitalization threshold for specialized technology companies and optimizing the IPO pricing process [4] - There is a rich pipeline of IPO projects, with 156 companies having submitted applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, including over 40 A-share companies [4] Group 3 - Investment firms are actively recommending their portfolio companies to pursue listings in Hong Kong, anticipating a sustained trend in IPO activity for at least the next 12 months [5][6] - The current market environment provides a relatively quick liquidity exit for companies, although there may be significant variations in expected returns depending on the sector and company performance [6]

Company Overview - Mingming Hen Mang Commercial Chain Co., Ltd. reported a retail revenue of 55.5 billion RMB and an annual revenue of 39.3 billion RMB, with over 14,394 stores as of April 28, 2024, indicating strong growth potential in a challenging market [2] - The company emerged from the merger of "Zero Snack Busy" and "Zhao Yiming Snacks" in 2024, combining strengths in market penetration and product selection [10] Market Insights - The Chinese snack retail market is projected to reach 1.3596 trillion RMB by 2025, showing steady growth [3] - Consumer demand for snacks is increasingly diverse, focusing on health, taste, convenience, and cost-effectiveness, leading to the rise of various new brands [7] Business Model and Strategy - Mingming Hen Mang operates on a low-price, high-quality model, with over 1,800 SKUs per store and a significant number of new products launched monthly [14] - The company maintains a strict supply chain management system, collaborating with 2,300 factories to reduce costs to 54%-70% of industry averages [14] - The company has established 36 warehouses nationwide, ensuring efficient logistics and fresh product delivery within 24 hours [15] Franchise and Expansion - The franchise model includes free franchise opportunities and comprehensive support for franchisees, enhancing profitability and brand cohesion [16] - 58% of the stores are located in lower-tier cities, demonstrating a strategic focus on market penetration across various demographics [16] Sales Channels and Marketing - Mingming Hen Mang employs a multi-channel sales strategy, including its own website, major e-commerce platforms, and delivery services, achieving an average delivery time of under 2 hours [17] - The brand utilizes social media and content marketing to connect with younger consumers, enhancing brand loyalty and influence [19] Industry Trends - The retail industry is shifting from a reliance on traffic-driven models to a focus on supply chain efficiency, with Mingming Hen Mang exemplifying this trend through its integrated supply chain approach [25] - The perception of lower-tier markets is evolving; they are seen as opportunities for diverse consumer needs rather than merely low-cost competition [25]