经济导报记者 杨佳琪 曾经靠一包红袋瓜子成为"瓜子大王"的洽洽食品（002557.SZ），如今正面临增长困境。最新公布的半年报显示，公司归母净利润同比大幅下滑73.68%， 创下自上市以来的最大中期净利润跌幅。 经济导报记者注意到，洽洽食品利润大幅下滑的背后，存在原料成本上涨、毛利率骤降、渠道结构调整等问题。与此同时，洽洽食品今年推出瓜子仁冰 激凌、魔芋产品，试图拓宽多元化布局的边界，以寻找新增长点。 归母净利润下滑超七成 半年报显示，今年上半年，洽洽食品实现营收27.52亿元，同比下降5.05%；归母净利润为8864.16万元，同比下降73.68%；扣非后归母净利润4309万元， 同比下降84.77%。 实际上，这种下滑态势自2024年第四季度就已显现，当季公司归母净利润2.23亿元，同比下滑24.79%。进入2025年，公司仍延续下滑态势，一季度归母 净利润7724.78万元，同比下跌67.88%。 其中，作为洽洽食品的支柱业务板块，葵花子业务已显露增长疲态。今年上半年，葵花子业务营收17.72亿元，同比下降4.45%，占总收入的64.39%。尽 管洽洽食品曾推出臭味系列、茶系列等十余款创新口味，但未能在 ...

盐津铺子（002847.SZ）2025 年半年报点评 魔芋品类持续高增，规模效应逐步显现 2025 年 08 月 21 日 ➢ 公司发布 25H1 业绩公告。公司 25H1 实现营业收入 29.4 亿元，同比 +19.6%，归母净利润 3.73 亿元，同比+16.7%，扣非归母净利润 3.34 亿元，同 比+22.5%。其中，25Q2 公司实现营业收入 14.0 亿元，同比+13.5%，归母净 利润为 1.95 亿元，同比+21.7%，扣非归母净利润为 1.78 亿元，同比+31.8%。 ➢ 风险提示：新品推广不及预期；渠道拓展不及预期；原材料价格上涨；行业 竞争加剧；食品安全风险。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5,304 | 6,337 | 7,668 | 9,110 | | 增长率（%） | 28.9 | 19.5 | 21.0 | 18.8 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | 640 | 816 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.94 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, up 16.7% year-on-year [1][2] - The konjac product line has seen explosive growth, with revenue increasing by 155.1% year-on-year to 790 million yuan in H1 2025, indicating strong brand development and market potential [2][3] - The company is successfully expanding its product categories and channels, with significant contributions from egg snacks and deep-sea snacks, and has made strides in overseas markets [2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin decreased by 2.9 percentage points to 29.7%, while the net profit margin slightly decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 12.6% [2] - The company reported a net profit margin of 13.8% in Q2 2025, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost control and channel structure adjustments [2][3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are expected to grow by 21.6%, 19.3%, and 18.4%, reaching 6.45 billion, 7.69 billion, and 9.11 billion yuan respectively [3][9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its competitive advantages in product development, research, and channel management to enhance its market position in the konjac category [3] - The establishment of upstream processing facilities aims to stabilize raw material costs and improve operational efficiency [3] - The company has successfully created a standout product, "Big Demon" sesame sauce, which has become a phenomenon in the market, showcasing its brand cultivation capabilities [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue and net profit both increasing by 18.5% year-on-year, indicating robust operational quality and growth potential in key product categories [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.48 billion yuan and a net profit of 736 million yuan, both reflecting an 18.5% year-on-year increase [1]. - The net profit margin stood at 21.1%, maintaining stability despite high raw material costs for konjac, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The gross profit margin was 47.2%, down by 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for noodle products and vegetable products at 48.4% and 46.6%, respectively [2]. Product Performance - Noodle and vegetable products saw a year-on-year growth of 21% in H1 2025, with core products growing over 20% [1]. - The vegetable product segment continued to show high growth, driven by the success of the konjac super product [1]. - Other products experienced a significant decline, primarily due to the discontinuation of soft-boiled eggs, but new product launches like stinky tofu are expected to mitigate short-term impacts [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively adjusting its product offerings and channel strategies to adapt to market changes, focusing on enhancing the quality and quantity of retail outlets [1]. - Emerging channels such as retail and wholesale are growing rapidly, while traditional channels are being optimized [1]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates stabilization in the spicy strip business in H2 2025, with new flavors in konjac and seaweed products expected to drive growth [3]. - The long-term outlook remains positive due to strong product innovation capabilities, robust channel potential, and effective marketing strategies [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.52 billion, 9.05 billion, and 10.62 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.45 billion, 1.80 billion, and 2.15 billion yuan, respectively [3].

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.48 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 740 million yuan, also reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.5% [1] - A mid-term dividend of 0.18 yuan per share was announced, with a payout ratio of approximately 60% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Vegetable products continued to show high growth, while online channel revenue experienced a slight decline [1] - Revenue from noodle products decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, primarily due to the company's proactive SKU adjustments and intensified competition in the noodle product sector [1] - Revenue from vegetable products surged by 44.3% year-on-year, driven by enhanced market penetration, optimized terminal displays, and the introduction of new products [1] - Revenue from bean products and others plummeted by 48.1% due to the company's decision to withdraw certain products from the market [1] - Offline channel revenue increased by 21.5% year-on-year, while online channel revenue decreased by 3.8% due to adjustments in the e-commerce team's personnel and strategy [1] Gross Margin and Profitability - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 47.2%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Gross margins for different product categories were as follows: noodle products +0.5%, vegetable products -6.0%, and bean products +5.0 percentage points [2] - The decline in vegetable product gross margin was mainly due to a significant increase in the procurement price of konjac powder, although supply chain efficiencies partially offset cost pressures [2] - Despite the pressure on gross margins, the company achieved a net profit margin of 21.1%, significantly better than previous guidance [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Due to accelerated new product launches in the konjac category and successful internal cost reduction measures, the company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [3] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 7.53 billion, 9.06 billion, and 10.78 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.1%, 20.4%, and 18.9% respectively [3] - Projected net profits for the same period are 1.47 billion, 1.80 billion, and 2.18 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.0%, 22.2%, and 20.9% respectively [3] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, 17, and 14 times for the respective years [3] - The company has established a certain level of competitive barriers through its brand and product categories, benefiting from the current konjac market trends [3]

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·食物饮品(HS) 卫龙美味（09985.HK） 2025 年中报业绩点评：业绩超预期，产品渠 道两手抓 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,887 | 6,266 | 7,274 | 8,381 | 9,504 | | 同比(%) | 5.08 | 28.22 | 16.08 | 15.22 | 13.40 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 880.35 | 1,068.51 | 1,462.77 | 1,719.66 | 1,962.70 | | 同比(%) | 481.87 | 21.37 | 36.90 | 17.56 | 14.13 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 0.71 | 0.81 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.54 | 25.16 | 18.38 | 15.63 | 13.70 | [Tab ...

Group 1: Management Changes - He Xiuxia, the general manager and board member of Jinzhongzi Liquor, has resigned due to work adjustments, effective immediately upon submission of the resignation report [1] - Zhang Liandong, the chairman of Yanghe Co., has also resigned for similar reasons, with his resignation effective upon submission and will not affect the board's operation [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - Xue Tian Salt Industry expects a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 64.78 million to 77.74 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 76.34% to 80.29% [4] - Good Products has received government subsidies amounting to 23.96 million yuan, which accounts for 51.97% of its projected net profit for 2024 [6] - Pang Donglai Group reported total sales of 11.707 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with supermarket sales reaching 6.35 billion yuan [13] Group 3: Market Developments - Anji Food's stock debuted at 60 HKD per share and closed at 57 HKD, marking a 5% decline on its first trading day [3] - Three new entities have been established by Three Squirrels in the South Ling Snack Park to enhance its supply chain for snack production, with registered capital amounts of 10 million, 12 million, and 22.45 million yuan respectively [5] - Qiaqia Food has begun trial sales of its ice cream products on major online platforms such as JD, Tmall, and Pinduoduo [7][8] Group 4: Regulatory and Compliance Issues - The Xiamen Market Supervision Administration has ordered the closure of two "Niu Yue Bao" stores due to food safety violations, with further inspections planned for other locations [10]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.4%, while the CSI 300 increased by 0.2%. The STAR Market 50 index fell by 0.9%, and the ChiNext index decreased by 0.2%. The Hang Seng Index dropped by 0.9% [6] - The best-performing sectors included comprehensive (+2.6%), pharmaceutical and biological (+1.8%), banking (+1.5%), non-ferrous metals (+1.5%), and public utilities (+1.1%). The worst-performing sectors were computer (-1.2%), retail (-0.8%), telecommunications (-0.5%), media (-0.4%), and electric equipment (-0.4%) [6] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 14,660 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 5.22 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [6] Important Recommendations Company: 科创新源 (300731) - The recommendation logic indicates that the new energy battery and data center thermal management business are expected to drive the company into a rapid growth cycle, especially with the collaboration with Dongguan Zhaoke, potentially entering the overseas AI core industry chain [7] - Expected revenue for 2025-2027 is projected at 1,449.79 million, 2,420.74 million, and 3,370.63 million yuan, with growth rates of 51.32%, 66.97%, and 39.24% respectively. Net profit is forecasted at 91.67 million, 156.54 million, and 218.58 million yuan, with growth rates of 430.54%, 70.76%, and 39.63% [7] Company: 卫龙美味 (09985) - The recommendation logic highlights that as a leading spicy snack company, it is positioned in a high-growth sector, with the rapid growth of konjac products expected to drive performance beyond expectations [8] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7,881 million, 9,494 million, and 11,265 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 20%, and 19%. Net profit is expected to be 1,360 million, 1,670 million, and 1,984 million yuan, with growth rates of 27%, 23%, and 19% [9] Important Insights Sector: Precious Metals - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of interest rate cuts, maintaining a bullish outlook on gold. The market currently prices in a 75% probability of a Fed rate cut in September [10] - The report suggests that the existing upward short-term event catalysts have been fully priced in, and the overall bullish logic for gold remains unchanged despite market skepticism [10] Company: 奥比中光 (688322) - The company has achieved a turnaround in the first five months of 2025, driven by the accelerated implementation of its "technology innovation investment - commercial results transformation" strategy [11] - Key catalysts include the acceleration of humanoid robot mass production and the enhancement of the value of the company's visual solutions [11]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The conference call covers multiple industries including gold retail, logistics, motorcycle manufacturing, and beverages. - **Key Companies Mentioned**: Lao Pu Gold, JD Logistics, SF Express, Chuanfeng Power, Dongpeng Beverage, and others. Core Insights and Arguments Lao Pu Gold - **International Expansion**: Lao Pu Gold is actively expanding into overseas markets, starting with Singapore and planning to enter Japan, Southeast Asia, and Europe. The high proportion of Chinese residents and similar retail prices to domestic markets support this expansion [2][4]. - **Store Performance**: New stores in high-revenue malls, such as the Singapore Marina Bay Sands and Shanghai IFC, are expected to outperform existing stores, contributing significantly to revenue growth in the second half of the year [3]. Logistics Industry - **618 Shopping Festival Impact**: During the 618 shopping festival, logistics saw a 4% increase in collection and delivery volumes, with weekly parcel volumes nearing 4.1 billion. Year-on-year growth was below 15%, which is considered normal due to high base effects from the previous year [2][5]. - **JD Logistics Strategy**: JD Logistics is recruiting full-time riders to handle the increasing order volume from JD's food delivery service, aiming to enhance efficiency and service quality [7]. SF Express - **Capital Raising**: SF Express is raising capital through a stock issuance and convertible bonds to fill a funding gap from the previous year, focusing on technology and international business development [8][9]. - **Capital Expenditure Plans**: The company plans to maintain a stable but slightly reduced capital expenditure strategy, prioritizing the reduction of losses in international operations [10]. Motorcycle Industry - **Sales Growth**: In May 2025, the motorcycle industry saw over 100,000 units sold, a 30% year-on-year increase. Exports reached 150,000 units, driven by leading companies like Chuanfeng and Longxin [17][18]. - **Market Trends**: The market is experiencing a shift towards larger displacement motorcycles, with significant growth in the 500-800cc segment, indicating a trend towards higher-end products [20][23]. Beverage Industry - **Cost Reduction Benefits**: The beverage industry is benefiting from a decrease in PET costs, with rapid growth in categories like sugar-free tea and electrolyte water. Dongpeng Beverage reported nearly 40% monthly revenue growth in Q2 2025 [32][36]. - **New Product Launches**: Companies are expanding their product lines and entering new channels, such as Sam's Club, to drive growth [31]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The logistics sector is seeing a differentiation in performance among companies, with direct models like SF and JD performing better than others [6]. - **Investment Opportunities**: The motorcycle sector presents significant investment opportunities due to recovering overseas demand and changing competitive dynamics, with Chinese companies poised to capture market share from struggling Western brands [30]. - **Beverage Market Competition**: The bottled water market is experiencing improved competition dynamics, with major players adjusting strategies to focus on overall sales growth rather than specific product lines [34][35]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the strategic directions and performance metrics of the involved companies and industries.

Core Viewpoint - Qiaqia Food has launched a new ice cream product combining sunflower seeds and ice cream, aiming to attract younger consumers and enhance brand visibility amid declining performance in its core business [1][3]. Group 1: Product Launch and Strategy - Qiaqia Food has introduced a new ice cream product featuring sunflower seeds, available in three flavors: vanilla, pecan, and caramel [1]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings beyond its core sunflower seed business, which has reached saturation, by exploring new categories such as ice cream and konjac products [3]. - The introduction of niche flavors in the past, such as wasabi, durian, and snail powder, indicates a strategy to capture market attention and appeal to younger demographics [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Qiaqia Food's revenue growth rates from 2021 to 2024 are 13.15%, 15.01%, -1.13%, and 4.79%, while net profit growth rates are 15.35%, 5.12%, -17.77%, and 5.82% respectively [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a significant decline in performance, with revenue down 13.76% and net profit down 67.88% year-on-year [3]. - The decline in profitability is attributed to rising costs of sunflower seeds and certain nut raw materials, as well as changes in product and channel structures [3][4]. Group 3: Market Position and Challenges - The saturated sunflower seed market has prompted Qiaqia Food to frequently launch new products and explore cross-category expansions to maintain brand relevance [3][4]. - Analysts suggest that while the ice cream venture aims to attract younger consumers, the effectiveness of this strategy in generating sustainable growth remains uncertain [4]. - The company's past price increases on core sunflower seed products have not led to sustained growth, as evidenced by a 5.36% decline in revenue from sunflower seed products in 2023 [4].