Group 1 - Bitcoin price surged to a new all-time high of $116,908.5, with a 5% increase on July 11, 2023, and a year-to-date rise of over 20% [1] - The significant increase in Bitcoin price was driven by a $318 million short position liquidation in centralized exchanges, marking a 62% increase from the previous day [3] - The positive feedback loop of rising prices leading to short liquidations further propelled Bitcoin's price upward [3] Group 2 - Regulatory improvements globally, such as Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation and the EU's Crypto Asset Market Regulation, have contributed to the rise in Bitcoin prices [4] - Institutions predict that Bitcoin's upward trend will continue, with Standard Chartered forecasting a price of $135,000 in Q3 and potentially reaching $200,000 by the end of 2025 [5] - The U.S. is expected to enter a period of relaxed regulation for crypto assets, with new policies anticipated in July-August aimed at balancing innovation and investor protection [7] Group 3 - Despite the record highs, the high leverage trading environment has led to significant liquidation events, with $541 million liquidated in the past 24 hours and 89% of liquidations being short positions [7]

证 券 研 究 报 告 非银金融行业深度研究报告 从铸币到流通：稳定币生态拆解 推荐（维持） ——稳定币系列报告之一 行业研究 非银行金融 2025 年 07 月 11 日 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 联系人：崔祎晴 邮箱：cuiyiqing@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 华创证券研究所 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 71 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 73,466.14 | 6.95 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 56,759.47 | 6.82 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.5% | 13.3% | 50.4% | | 相对表现 | 4.8% | 5.9% | 33.4% | -8% 18% 44% 69% 24/07 24/09 24/12 25/02 25/04 25/07 2024-07-10~2025-07-10 非银行 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices rose collectively, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closing at new highs [1][4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 192.34 points to 44,650.64, a rise of 0.43% [4] - The S&P 500 index rose by 0.27% to 6,280.46, marking its eighth record close this year [4] Company Highlights - Nvidia's market capitalization surpassed $4 trillion for the first time at closing [5] - Delta Airlines shares rose by 11.99% following a positive earnings outlook indicating a rebound in demand [8] - United Airlines and American Airlines also saw significant increases in their stock prices, rising by 14.33% and 12.72% respectively [8] Cryptocurrency Developments - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, climbing over 4% to $115,877.4, with earlier peaks exceeding $117,000 [14] - The surge in Bitcoin led to a significant number of liquidations in the market, with over 230,000 traders affected in the past 24 hours [14][16] Economic Commentary - Recent uncertainties in the market have eased, providing support for stock performance, as noted by Wells Fargo's global equity strategist [13] - President Trump urged the Federal Reserve to take swift action to lower interest rates, reflecting ongoing pressure on monetary policy [2][18] - Federal Reserve officials indicated that a rate cut could be discussed in the upcoming July meeting, with a 64% probability of a 25 basis point cut by September [20]

港股午评：恒生科技指数涨超2%，券商股走强 金十数据7月11日讯，今日早盘，港股三大指数开盘后震荡走高。截至中午收盘。恒生指数收涨1.9%， 恒生科技指数收涨2.08%，国企指数收涨1.83%。中资券商股今日大幅走强，中州证券(01375.HK)涨超 64%，市值突破150亿港元；加密货币概念连日上涨，新火科技控股(01611.HK)涨超18%；生物医药概念 回升，药明康德(02359.HK)涨超11%；除此以外，保险、芯片、黄金、科网等概念涨幅居前。教育、电 力设备、电池、内房等概念早盘低迷。个股方面，金涌投资(01328.HK)收涨28%；盘中周杰伦发布第一 个抖音视频，巨星传奇(06683.HK)收涨21%；阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、美团(03690.HK)均涨超3%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Bitcoin prices, reaching a historical high of $116,488.83, is attributed to U.S. policy support and institutional buying, with a year-to-date increase of over 20% [1]. Group 1: U.S. Policy and Institutional Involvement - The establishment of a "National Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve" by the U.S. government marks the first official introduction of a digital asset strategy [1]. - Key appointments of cryptocurrency supporters to critical positions, including SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins and Technology Advisory Committee Chair David Sacks, indicate a favorable regulatory environment [1]. - The Trump Media & Technology Group plans to launch a cryptocurrency ETF named "Truth Social Crypto Blue Chip ETF," which will invest in various digital assets including Bitcoin and Ethereum [1]. Group 2: Institutional Investment Trends - Since the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, over $50 billion has flowed into related products, with net inflows exceeding $1.2 billion in the first two weeks of July 2025 [2]. - The BlackRock IBIT fund has seen its assets under management grow to $76 billion, doubling since the beginning of the year [2]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Economic Factors - Analysts caution about the high volatility of Bitcoin prices and their strong correlation with stock market performance, particularly during market downturns [2]. - The outcome of trade negotiations set for August 1 may influence market sentiment and Bitcoin's ability to maintain high prices [2][3]. - The dovish signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts have enhanced market risk appetite, indirectly benefiting high-volatility assets like Bitcoin [3]. - A weakening U.S. dollar has also positively impacted Bitcoin, as it is priced in dollars [3]. Group 4: Broader Market Context - The U.S. stock market has also seen gains, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new closing highs [4].

Group 1 - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $116,488.83, with a year-to-date increase of over 20% [1] - The recent surge in Bitcoin's price is attributed to U.S. policy support and institutional buying, including the establishment of a national strategy for cryptocurrency reserves [1] - Trump's media and technology group plans to launch a cryptocurrency ETF, investing in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Cronos, and XRP [1] Group 2 - Since the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, these products have attracted over $50 billion in inflows, indicating strong institutional interest [2] - The BlackRock IBIT fund has seen its assets under management grow to $76 billion, doubling since the beginning of the year [2] Group 3 - Analysts caution investors about potential risks, noting Bitcoin's high volatility and its strong correlation with stock market performance [3] - The outcome of upcoming trade negotiations and macroeconomic conditions will be crucial for Bitcoin's ability to maintain its high price levels [3] - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance and a weakening dollar have positively impacted Bitcoin, enhancing market risk appetite [3] Group 4 - U.S. stock markets also rose, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new closing highs [4]

Summary of Stablecoin Market Report Industry Overview - The global stablecoin market has reached a size of $250 billion, primarily used for cryptocurrency trading, with future growth expected in cross-border payments and trade, significantly reducing costs and enabling real-time transactions [1][4] Key Companies and Developments - Major companies such as Meta, Walmart, Amazon, and Shopify are actively exploring stablecoin payment options, indicating a trend towards broader adoption as legal frameworks improve [1][5][6] - The implementation of regulatory frameworks, such as the EU's "Crypto Asset Market Regulation" and Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance," is expected to facilitate further market entry by companies [1][7] Market Dynamics - USDT dominates the market with a valuation of $160 billion, accounting for 62.5% of the market share, while USDC follows with over $60 billion, representing 24% of the market [1][8] - USDT's flexible reserve system and strong profitability contrast with USDC's higher compliance but lower profitability [8][12] Future Projections - Standard Chartered predicts the global stablecoin market will grow to $2 trillion in the next three years, with other institutions forecasting a potential market size of $3-4 trillion in 5-10 years, driven by cross-border payment scenarios [1][9] Technological Support - Blockchain technologies like Ripple and Solana are increasingly supported for their high-frequency trading capabilities, serving as crucial links between the crypto market and traditional finance [1][10] Investment Opportunities - Investment directions in the stablecoin market include: 1. Issuance side: Companies like Ant Group may apply for stablecoin licenses following Hong Kong's regulations [2][15] 2. Trading platforms: Independent trading platforms in Hong Kong [2][15] 3. Payment solutions: Stablecoin payments in cross-border trade and retail [2][15] 4. Financial IT: Companies providing banking and securities IT solutions [2][15][16] 5. Equity-related companies: Companies associated with Ant Chain and JD Chain [2][15][16] 6. Real World Assets (RWA): Tokenized stocks and other assets [2][16] Regulatory Landscape - The regulatory environment is evolving, with the US "Genius Act" imposing stricter requirements on stablecoin issuers, including full reserve backing and transparency [1][7] Impact on Global Finance - The development of stablecoins may promote the internationalization of currencies like the Hong Kong dollar and the Chinese yuan, potentially challenging the dominance of the US dollar [1][17]

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices experienced slight gains, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching new highs [2][5] - The Dow Jones increased by 0.43% to 44650.64 points, the S&P 500 rose by 0.27% to 6280.46 points, and the Nasdaq gained 0.09% to 20630.66 points [5][6] Bitcoin Performance - Bitcoin prices surged, briefly surpassing $117,000, driven by investor interest in risk assets and short position liquidations [3][13] - Approximately $318 million (about 2.28 billion RMB) in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated within 24 hours [14] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Governor Waller suggested considering a rate cut in July and indicated that the Fed's balance sheet contraction may not need to be as significant as previously expected [7] - The White House expressed concerns over the Fed's transparency and independence, particularly regarding the lack of models explaining tariff impacts [7] Risks to the Bull Market - Goldman Sachs highlighted three major risks to the bull market in the second half of 2025: economic growth shocks, interest rate volatility, and a weakening dollar [7] - Morgan Stanley warned that the strong momentum strategy in U.S. stocks is facing a pullback, with significant declines observed since late June [7] Technology Sector Movements - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Tesla rising over 4%, while Amazon and Microsoft saw slight declines [9][10] - Tesla's xAI launched a new AI model, Grok4, claiming it to be the most powerful model currently available [11] International Trade Developments - Brazil's President Lula announced plans to negotiate tariffs with the U.S. following a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, with potential retaliatory measures if negotiations fail [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - The SEC's new regulations for cryptocurrency exchange-traded products (ETPs) signify a major shift in crypto regulation, facilitating the approval of various ETFs and significantly reducing the product listing timeline from 240 days to 75 days [1][3]. Group 1: SEC Regulation Changes - The SEC has released a 12-page guidance document that establishes a framework for including crypto assets in investment funds, marking a transition from strict enforcement to a more structured regulatory approach [1][3]. - The SEC has restructured its cryptocurrency enforcement team and paused several high-profile lawsuits to focus on developing standardized listing rules through a working group [1][3]. - The new regulations require issuers to disclose custody arrangements and market competition risks in "plain English," and plan to eliminate the current 19(b)4 special form [3]. Group 2: Market Response and Innovations - The new regulations have positively impacted market sentiment, with REX Financial and Osprey Funds launching the first Solana staking ETF, which raised $12 million on its first day, indicating institutional responsiveness to policy changes [3]. - XBIT decentralized exchange platform has seen a 198% quarter-over-quarter increase in USDT trading volume among Vietnamese users, significantly surpassing industry averages [3]. - XBIT's cross-chain protocol can seamlessly integrate with TCBS's tokenized securities platform, providing liquidity support for the digitization of traditional financial assets like stocks and bonds [3][5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The combination of the SEC's regulatory adjustments and XBIT's technological innovations is shaping a new landscape for the crypto market characterized by "regulatory compliance + innovation-driven" growth [5]. - XBIT is positioned as a crucial player in connecting traditional finance with the crypto world, offering efficient and secure trading channels for both institutional and retail investors [5]. - As more ETF products are launched, crypto assets are expected to enter the mainstream investment arena, with XBIT playing an indispensable role in this financial revolution [5].

Group 1: Market Trends - The cryptocurrency market continues to thrive, with a notable focus on Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization alongside stablecoins [1][3] - Bitcoin reached a historic high of $112,052.24 on July 10, marking a nearly 20% increase since the beginning of the year [1][3] - The stock of Derlin Holdings surged over 70% on July 10 after announcing the tokenization of $500 million worth of real assets [1][3] Group 2: RWA Tokenization - RWA refers to the tokenization of real-world assets using blockchain technology, encompassing both tangible and intangible assets [7][9] - Currently, Hong Kong's RWA offerings are primarily fixed-income assets, with limited access for retail investors due to regulatory constraints [8][9] - The market for RWA is expected to grow significantly, with predictions indicating a market size of $16 trillion by 2030 [11] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is actively exploring RWA tokenization through the Ensemble sandbox program, focusing on traditional financial assets and real-world assets [12][13] - The recent policy declaration by the Hong Kong government emphasizes the importance of stablecoins and RWA in enhancing market efficiency and liquidity [13] - Regulatory frameworks are evolving globally, with stablecoin market capitalization exceeding $240 billion as of mid-2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory [11]