（原标题：今夜，利空！跳水！） 【导读】美联储前景不明朗，股市下跌 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今晚继续关注海外市场的表现，美股走势不大平静！ 美股下跌 11月13日 晚间，美股三大指数跳水下跌，道指跌约300点，纳指跌超1.5%，标普500指数跌约1%。 消息面上，美联储迎来一个利空消息。 分析师表示，随着政府重新启动、经济数据的"印刷机"重新开动，未来几周市场出现一些震荡也不足为 奇。尽管仍然预计12月会降息，但分析师指出，此次数据"黑屏"也给高度依赖数据的美联储带来挑战， 加剧了投资者对降息前景的悲观情绪。 自上一次美联储会议以来，市场对12月再次降息的预期从几乎"板上钉钉"降至如今的摇摆状态。 克利夫兰联储主席Beth Hammack在接受采访时表示，在劳动力市场走软的背景下，她仍将重点放在物 价稳定上，并强调美联储实现2%通胀目标至关重要。另一方面，她在旧金山的同僚Mary Daly则称，现 在还为时过早，无法决定决策者是否应在12月降息。 在此之前一天，波士顿联储主席Susan Collins表示，在经济增长仍然强劲、而这可能放缓或阻碍通胀降 温进程的情况下，她倾向于维持利率不变。 特朗普的首席 ...

Market Overview - US stock market opened lower with Dow Jones down 0.29%, Nasdaq down 0.61%, and S&P 500 down 0.42% [1] Company Performance - Disney's Q4 revenue was $22.5 billion, below market expectations, with adjusted EPS of $1.11, a year-on-year decline of 3% [1] - Cisco's Q1 revenue increased by 8% year-on-year to $14.88 billion, raising its full-year revenue guidance to between $60.2 billion and $61 billion [1][4] - Alibaba's stock rose over 4% amid reports of its "Qianwen" project, aimed at developing a personal AI assistant to compete with ChatGPT [2] - Baidu launched its Wenxin large model 5.0 with over 2.4 trillion parameters and announced the upcoming release of its Kunlun chips M100 and M300 in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3] Stock Movements - Cisco's stock surged over 5% due to AI-driven demand growth and an upward revision of its revenue guidance [4] - Chinese stocks showed mixed performance with Xunlei up over 5%, Alibaba up over 3%, and Bilibili down over 7% [1]

【时政新闻】 ⑥白宫称特朗普外部团队已起诉BBC； ⑦日产和本田正在治谈在美国联合开发产品； 【市场动态】 ①美股三大股指期货齐跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.14%，标普500指数期货跌0.2%，纳指期货跌 0.2%； ②欧洲主要股指涨跌不一，截至发稿，英国富时100指数跌0.82%，法国CAC40指数涨0.4%，德国DAX 指数跌0.5%； ①特朗普签署临时拨款法案 结束政府停摆； ②美政府将"开门" 多部门要求员工明日返岗； ③特朗普：美国政府"停摆"损失了1.5万亿美元； ④美政府停摆结束但党争还在继续； ⑤白宫称10月经济数据或"断供" 美联储面临"失明"； ①腾讯控股盘前涨超2%，公司第三季度营收1928.7亿元，同比增长15%； ②京东美股盘前涨近2%，此前第三季度营收超预期； ③迪士尼美股盘前跌近5%，公司第四财季营收225亿美元； ④哔哩哔哩美股盘前涨近3%，其第三季度经调整净利润为7.86亿元，同比增长233%； ⑤阿里巴巴美股盘前涨超4%。 (本文来自第一财经) 【公司新闻】 ...

格隆汇11月13日｜迪士尼(DIS.US)加大向股东返还现金的力度，将其年度股息提高了50%，并将其新财 年的股票回购计划增加了一倍。迪士尼宣布2026财年的股息为1.50美元，分两次支付，高于这家娱乐巨 头2025财年支付的1美元。根据周三116.65美元的收盘价计算，这相当于年化收益率约为1.3%。这家市 值近2100亿美元的公司表示，其目标是在2026财年回购70亿美元的股票，是2025财年回购量的两倍。 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07% at 4,000 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 0.36% and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.39%[15] - Hong Kong stocks rose, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 0.85% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.16%[10] - European markets closed higher, with the Euro Stoxx 600 up 0.7% and the German DAX rising 1.2%[8] - U.S. markets showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.7% nearing record highs, while the Nasdaq fell 0.3%[8] Commodity and Currency Trends - OPEC revised its outlook, indicating a global oil supply surplus earlier than expected, leading to a 4.18% drop in WTI crude oil prices to $58.49 per barrel[26] - Gold prices increased by 2.4%, while silver prices surged, reflecting market expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve[26] - The Japanese yen fell below the 155 mark against the U.S. dollar for the first time since February[26] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields decreased by 2-5 basis points, with the 10-year yield at 4.07%[29] - The auction of $42 billion in 10-year Treasuries was relatively stable, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.43[29] - Asian bond markets saw a widening of spreads by 0-2 basis points due to selling pressure[29] Key Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a cautious stance on interest rates, with potential for a 10 basis point cut in Q4 if domestic demand does not recover sufficiently[5] - The Chinese central bank is focusing on enhancing the internal coordination of the interest rate system, transitioning from aggregate control to structural optimization[5] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, financial stocks led gains, with Agricultural Bank of China up 3.5% and China Life Insurance rising 4%[15] - In Hong Kong, financial stocks also performed well, with notable increases in Agricultural Bank and China Life, while home appliance stocks surged following positive sales reports[10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the Hong Kong stock market, highlighting the fluctuations in various sectors and specific stocks, particularly in the technology and healthcare industries. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index is currently at 26,779.48, down by 143.25 points or 0.53% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) is at 5,885.22, decreasing by 48.77 points or 0.82% [1] - The Hang Seng BioTech Index (HSBIO) shows a positive trend, up by 163.85 points or 1.04% to 15,911.62 [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) is at 9,491.64, down by 47.35 points or 0.50% [1] - The Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) is at 4,110.97, decreasing by 17.37 points or 0.42% [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology, gold and jewelry, liquor, and retail sectors are leading in gains [2] - Conversely, the media, oil and petrochemicals, semiconductor, and real estate sectors are experiencing declines [2] Group 3: Individual Stock Movements - Technology stocks opened lower, with Tencent Music down over 6%, JD.com and Kuaishou down over 2%, and Alibaba and Tencent Holdings down over 1% [3] - Specific stock performances include Tencent Music at 79.55, down 6.02%, JD.com at 121.50, down 2.57%, and Kuaishou at 68.25, down 2.08% [4] - Alibaba is at 153.90, down 1.85%, and Tencent Holdings at 649.50, down 1.14% [5] - Notable declines include China Resources Mixc Lifestyle down nearly 8% due to a proposed placement of 49.5 million shares, and Superstar Legend down over 13% for a discounted share placement [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced rapid rotation and structural differentiation around the 4000-point mark, with cyclical and value-style sectors becoming key drivers of market growth, while emphasizing value investment strategies that focus on safety margins and balanced allocation [1][4] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy emphasizes selecting undervalued stocks and acquiring good companies at favorable prices, focusing on both absolute and relative valuation methods [1][3] - The core of individual stock investment lies in objectively evaluating the equity value of listed companies, using discounted cash flow analysis and historical valuation metrics [1][2] Group 2: Sector and Stock Selection - Emphasis is placed on long-term factors such as corporate governance, competitive advantages, and industry structure rather than just short-term performance [2] - In sector allocation, the focus is on sustainable competitive advantages and cost leadership, particularly in familiar areas like finance, niche manufacturing, and consumer sectors [2][3] Group 3: Performance and Returns - The Penghua Shengshi Innovation Mixed Fund has shown significant excess returns, achieving 27.62%, 30.55%, and 382.62% excess net value growth rates over the past three years, five years, and since inception, respectively [3][4] - The fund manager has maintained positive excess returns in 12 out of 13 years, demonstrating strong active management capabilities [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is expected to balance liquidity, profitability, sentiment, and fundamentals, with a focus on high-dividend assets as a core strategy to navigate high volatility [4] - The approach includes maintaining a core position in stable high-dividend assets while also capturing market opportunities through selective investments in quality assets during market fluctuations [4]

Group 1 - CPE Yuanfeng is injecting $350 million into Burger King China and will hold approximately 83% equity in the joint venture [1] - The partnership aims to support restaurant expansion, marketing, menu innovation, and operational capacity enhancement [1] - A 20-year main development agreement will grant exclusive rights for Burger King brand development in China [1] Group 2 - Intel is suing former employee Jinfeng Luo for stealing 18,000 confidential files, seeking $250,000 in damages [4] - Luo attempted to download company data to an external hard drive before being stopped by Intel's security measures [4] - The case highlights the importance of data security in tech companies [4] Group 3 - WeRide has received approval from the UAE government to operate the world's first city-level Robotaxi service outside the US [10] - This marks a significant milestone in the commercialization of autonomous driving technology in the Middle East [10] - The project is expected to enhance the region's transportation infrastructure [10] Group 4 - Thailand has approved nearly $3.1 billion for four large data center projects to strengthen its digital economy [10] - The investment aims to position Thailand as a regional digital hub and improve its digital infrastructure [10] - This initiative reflects the growing demand for data centers in Southeast Asia [10] Group 5 - The Chinese tablet market saw a shipment of 8.49 million units in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [15] - Consumer market shipments grew by 12.3%, while the commercial market experienced a decline of 4.2% [15] - The data indicates a shift in consumer preferences and market dynamics in the tablet sector [15] Group 6 - The retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles in October reached 1.282 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [15] - Cumulative retail sales from January to October reached 10.151 million units, growing by 21.9% [15] - In contrast, traditional fuel vehicle sales saw a decline, indicating a shift towards electric vehicles [15]

Market Performance - Major tech stocks showed positive performance, with Nvidia up 4.1%, Tesla up 3.68%, Google up 2.82%, Facebook up 1.44%, Microsoft up 1.26%, Amazon up 1.19%, and Apple up 1.18% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index rose over 2%, with notable individual stock performances including Arctech Solar up over 12%, XPeng Motors up over 11%, and Miniso up nearly 5% [3][4] European Market - European stock markets experienced significant gains, with Italy's MIB Index rising over 2%, and France's CAC40, Germany's DAX, and the Europe STOXX50 all increasing by more than 1% [4] U.S. Government Funding Bill - The U.S. Senate passed a temporary funding bill to end the government shutdown, providing funding until January 30, 2026, following an agreement between some Democratic and Republican senators [4] - President Trump expressed optimism about the end of the shutdown, indicating progress in negotiations [4] Economic Data Release - Analysts predict that the reopening of the U.S. government will lead to a surge of delayed economic data releases, which could impact the Federal Reserve's December meeting [5] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is estimated at 65.6%, while the likelihood of maintaining current rates is 34.4% [5] - Federal Reserve officials indicated concerns about prolonged high interest rates potentially harming the economy, while noting that the labor market is nearing full employment but showing signs of cooling [5]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market maintained its upward trend amid ongoing negotiations to end a historic government shutdown that has lasted over 40 days [1][3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 68.22 points (0.15%) to 47,055.32, the Nasdaq increased by 361.16 points (1.57%) to 23,365.70, and the S&P 500 gained 59.33 points (0.88%) to 6,788.13 [3] - A procedural motion allowing for further voting on the agreement received at least 60 votes, with eight Democratic senators breaking party lines to support the deal [3] Group 2 - The agreement aims to keep the government operational until January and partially reverse recent large-scale federal layoffs, while also including follow-up measures for government employees [3] - The deal does not include provisions for extending credits related to the Affordable Care Act, which was a core point of contention for many Democratic senators, but it requires a vote on related subsidies in December [3] Group 3 - Consumer confidence has dropped to its lowest level in over three years due to concerns over the government shutdown, as reported by the University of Michigan [4] - The shutdown has halted the release of several key economic reports, including non-farm payroll data and consumer price indices, contributing to increased market anxiety [4] - Major stock indices experienced significant declines last week, with the Nasdaq Composite falling by 3% and the S&P 500 down by 1.6% [4] Group 4 - Data from OpenBrand indicates that the price increase of consumer goods in October slowed for the first time in three months, reflecting increased discounting by retailers [5] - The price index for consumer durable and personal goods rose by 0.22% in October, down from 0.48% in September, with discounts rising to 20.4%, nearing the highest level since July of the previous year [5] - Despite the overall slowdown in inflation, certain categories such as household equipment and electronics still showed resilience in pricing [5]