Group 1: Nomad Foods Limited - Nomad Foods Limited manufactures and distributes frozen foods primarily in the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Sweden, France, and Norway [1] - The company has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and has seen a 6.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Nomad Foods has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9.36 compared to 21.15 for the S&P, and possesses a Value Score of A [2] Group 2: Yara International ASA - Yara International ASA is the world's leading supplier of mineral fertilizers, particularly strong in nitrogen-based fertilizers [2] - The company carries a Zacks Rank 1 and has experienced a 12% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - Yara International has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 10.90 compared to 21.15 for the S&P, and also possesses a Value Score of A [3] Group 3: Kaiser Aluminum - Kaiser Aluminum is a leading producer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products, serving customers in aerospace, high-strength general engineering, and custom automotive and industrial applications [4] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 and has seen a 13% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [4] - Kaiser Aluminum has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17.43 compared to 21.15 for the S&P, and possesses a Value Score of A [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights three stocks with a buy rank and strong income characteristics, focusing on Kaiser Aluminum as a notable investment opportunity due to its recent earnings estimate increase [1] Company Summary - Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) is a leading producer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products, catering to global customers with engineered solutions for aerospace, high-strength general engineering, and custom automotive and industrial applications [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kaiser Aluminum's current year earnings has increased by 13% over the last 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment and potential for growth [1]

【国内电解铝行业动态一览】截至 3 月底，MYSTEEL 调研显示，国内电解铝建成产能约 4551 万吨， 运行产能约 4379 万吨，行业开工率环比提升 0.2%，较去年同期提升 2.9%。上周电解铝产量延续小幅 提升。 截至 4 月 24 日，国内铝锭社会库存 66.4 万吨，周环比减少 2.4 万吨；铝棒库存 18.9 万吨，周环 比减少 3.3 万吨。华东现货升水 0 元/吨，环比下调 50 元/吨。LME 铝库存 42.2 万吨，环比减 1.2 万 吨，Cash/3M 贴水 41.2 美元/吨。 上周沪铝进口亏损有所扩大。2025 年 3 月，中国原铝进口量为 22.2 万吨，同比减少 11.0%，1-3 月累计进口量为 58.4 万吨，同比减少 19.1%。 产业在线数据表明，我国三 大白色家电 4 月份总排产量达 3681 万台，同比增长 16.6%。其中，家用空调 4 月计划排产 2219 万台， 同比增长 22.7%；冰箱排产计划 820 万台，同比增长 14.2%；洗衣机排产计划 642 万台，同比微增 2.0%。 国内政治局会议表态未超预期，叠加美国"对等关税"政策预计反复，短期情绪面或 ...

Investment Rating - The industry view is rated as Attractive, with a preference for gold, cement, building materials, and steel for 2Q25 [7]. Core Insights - Demand in the materials sector showed signs of recovery in 1Q25, but the outlook for 2Q25 is uncertain due to tariff concerns. Domestic excavator sales increased by 38% YoY, and orders from cathode producers rose by 20% due to strong demand from electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage [2]. - The report anticipates that metals-related stocks may outperform in 2H25 as further stimulus is expected [1][6]. - The tariff impact is projected to weigh heavily on the materials space, with a forecasted GDP growth reduction of 30 basis points to 4.2% for 2025 due to tariff shocks and domestic demand impacts [2][18]. Summary by Sections Gold - Gold is identified as the top pick within commodities, supported by ongoing central bank buying and rising ETF inflows. Lower Treasury yields are expected to enhance gold's macro backdrop. Preferred stocks include Zhaojin (1818.HK) and Zijin Mining (2899.HK, 601899.SS) [3]. Cement and Steel - Cement supply-side controls were announced in November 2024, leading to a focus on profitability rather than price wars. The report expects a significant increase in gross profit per ton due to lower coal prices and higher cement prices. For steel, a production cut of 30 million tons and an export cut of 15-20 million tons are anticipated in 2025. Preferred stocks include Anhui Conch (0914.HK, 600585.SS), CNBM (3323.HK), and Baosteel (600019.SS) [4]. Copper and Aluminum - In 2H25, copper and aluminum are expected to outperform due to continued demand from grid and EV-related green infrastructure. Additional fiscal stimulus could further support demand. Preferred stocks include Zijin (2899.HK, 601899.SS), CMOC (3993.HK, 603993.SS), and Hongqiao (1378.HK) [5]. Tariff Impact - The report highlights that the current cumulative US tariffs could have a more significant growth drag than in 2018-19, with expectations of trade talks to lower tariffs to 34% by year-end. The tariff shocks are expected to impact both trade channels and domestic demand [17][18].

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. has met expectations for Q1 2025 performance, with profits expected to further recover, and a "buy" rating has been assigned to the company [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Yun Aluminum achieved total operating revenue of 14.411 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.89% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.59% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.974 billion yuan, down 12.26% year-on-year but up 64.66% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The sales gross margin was 9.96%, a decrease of 4.38 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 0.36 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Market Conditions - The average price of alumina in Q1 2025 was 3,863.5 yuan/ton, up 15.44% year-on-year but down 27.35% quarter-on-quarter [2] - As of March 31, 2025, the domestic average price of alumina was 3,090 yuan/ton, and by April 24, it had dropped to 2,895 yuan/ton, indicating a downward trend that may support profit recovery for the company [2] Production and Pricing - The average capacity utilization rate for electrolytic aluminum in Yunnan reached 99% in Q1 2025, compared to approximately 81% in the same period last year, driven by improved electricity supply [3] - The average domestic spot price for aluminum in Q1 2025 was 20,455 yuan/ton, a 7.22% increase year-on-year, with prices fluctuating due to macroeconomic uncertainties [3] Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.218 billion yuan, 7.306 billion yuan, and 8.214 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 8, 7, and 6 times [4]

Group 1 - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing explosive growth, leading to a revolution in material science, with lightweight materials becoming a necessity [1][2] - The demand for aluminum in humanoid robots is surging, with 2023 global aluminum usage for humanoid robots reaching 128,000 tons, of which China accounts for 63% [2][3] - The shift from traditional aluminum manufacturing to high-end aluminum supply is evident, as the profit margin for aluminum used in robots can reach 42%, compared to less than 8% for construction aluminum [3][4] Group 2 - Collaborative efforts in the industry are emerging, such as the partnership between Jianmei Aluminum and Country Garden to develop a one-piece die-cast aluminum robot torso, reducing production costs by 40% [4] - The introduction of new standards for aluminum alloys for humanoid robots is expected to enhance material quality, with the new standard increasing grain size control precision fourfold [4] - Strategic investments in the aluminum sector for robotics have been significant, with 28 investments in 2023 averaging over 200 million yuan each [4] Group 3 - Challenges for the aluminum industry include performance limitations, as aluminum alloys have a fatigue life only 60% that of titanium alloys, and environmental regulations are tightening [5][6] - The emergence of magnesium alloy alternatives poses a competitive threat, with new alloys being developed that offer lower density and electromagnetic shielding properties [7] - The aluminum industry is at a crossroads, needing to balance technological innovation with cost control amidst increasing competition and environmental pressures [7][8] Group 4 - The humanoid robot industry is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 60%, driving aluminum demand from thousands of tons to millions of tons [8][9] - The aluminum industry is evolving from a focus on volume to performance, with opportunities for growth in the humanoid robot sector potentially rivaling the automotive lightweighting trend [8][9]

First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 24, 2025 © Kaiser Aluminum All Rights Reserved Forward Looking Statements The information contained in this presentation includes statements based on management's current expectations, estimates and projections that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements include statements regarding the company's anticipated financial and operating performance, relate to future event ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported conversion revenue for Q1 2025 of $363 million, a decrease of approximately $4 million or 1% year-over-year [13] - Adjusted operating income for Q1 was $43 million, up $18 million year-over-year [16] - Reported net income for Q1 was $22 million or $1.31 per diluted share, compared to $18 million or $1.12 per diluted share in the prior year [17] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was $73 million, an increase of approximately $19 million from the prior year period [18] - The effective tax rate for Q1 was 25%, compared to 23% in Q1 2024 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace and high strength conversion revenue totaled $121 million, down $16 million or approximately 12%, reflecting a 10% decline in shipments [13] - Packaging conversion revenue totaled $127 million, up $9 million or approximately 8% year-over-year, despite a 9% decline in shipments [14] - General engineering conversion revenue for Q1 was $84 million, up $3 million or 4% year-over-year, with a 12% increase in shipments [15] - Automotive conversion revenue of $32 million increased modestly by 2% year-over-year, despite a 9% decrease in shipments [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong demand in business jet, defense, and space sectors, while commercial aircraft OEM demand was down [13] - Trade policies have created a favorable environment for general engineering, driving higher demand and solid pricing [15] - The company expects to see continued orders in the aerospace sector as production ramps up [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on optimizing overhead and maintaining its position as a low-cost producer [6] - Major investments include a new coating line at the Warwick rolling mill and the Trentwood Phase seven project, expected to drive EBITDA and margin performance [9][10] - The company is well-positioned to navigate market volatility due to its North American supply chain and metal-neutral contracts [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in sustaining strong momentum through 2025, despite ongoing trade policy volatility [6] - The outlook for all end markets remains consistent, with expectations of 5% to 10% growth year-over-year in conversion revenue for 2025 [27] - The company raised its full-year 2025 EBITDA expectations by 5% to 10% above recasted 2024 adjusted EBITDA [27] Other Important Information - The company changed its inventory valuation methodology from LIFO to weighted average cost effective January 1, impacting comparability of results [12] - The company generated solid cash flow from operations of $57 million during Q1, with capital expenditures totaling $38 million [20] - A quarterly dividend of $0.77 per common share was declared, reflecting confidence in long-term strategy [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin progression and guidance - Management clarified that the margin progression was influenced by inventory changes and market price recognition, with expectations of returning to mid-20% margins as investments come online [31][35] Question: Shipments in packaging - Management indicated that the focus on coated and value-added products will continue, with significant increases expected in conversion revenue in the second half of the year [40] Question: Automotive market resilience - Management expressed confidence in the automotive segment, noting strong positions in light trucks and SUVs, and highlighted the relatively small impact of automotive on overall business [44][46] Question: Aerospace destocking cycle - Management believes the company is midway through the destocking cycle in aerospace, with expectations of continued orders as production ramps up [54]

Financial Performance - Alcoa's adjusted EBITDA excluding special items increased to $855 million in 1Q25, up from $677 million in 4Q24[16] - Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation rose to $548 million in 1Q25, compared to $202 million in 4Q24[16] - Adjusted net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation increased to $568 million in 1Q25, from $276 million in 4Q24[16] - Adjusted earnings per common share increased to $215 in 1Q25, compared to $104 in 4Q24[16] Market Dynamics - Realized primary aluminum price increased to $3,213 per metric ton in 1Q25, up from $3,006 per metric ton in 4Q24[16] - Realized alumina price decreased to $575 per metric ton in 1Q25, down from $636 per metric ton in 4Q24[16] - The company cash balance was $12 billion as of 1Q25[23] - The company Adjusted net debt was $21 billion as of 1Q25[23] Operational Highlights - Alcoa formed a joint venture for San Ciprián and is resuming production at the smelter, with an expected EBITDA loss of approximately $70 million to $90 million in 2025[11, 44] - The company returned $26 million to stockholders through dividends in 1Q25[23] Outlook - Alcoa anticipates alumina production between 95 and 97 million metric tons for FY25[25] - Alcoa anticipates aluminum production between 23 and 25 million metric tons for FY25[25]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue decreased by 3% sequentially to $3.4 billion, with the Illumina segment's third-party revenue down 8% due to lower average realized prices and shipments [11] - Net income attributable to Alcoa was $548 million, up from $202 million in the prior quarter, with earnings per share more than doubling to $2.07 [12] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by $178 million to $855 million, driven by higher aluminum prices and lower intersegment profit elimination [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Illumina segment, revenue decreased due to lower prices and shipments, while the aluminum segment's revenue remained flat despite an increase in average realized prices [11] - Adjusted EBITDA for the alumina segment decreased by $52 million due to lower prices and volume, while the aluminum segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $60 million due to higher costs [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The LME aluminum price showed resilience despite a general decrease, with the Midwest premium increasing but not reaching expected levels [40][41] - Alumina prices declined in the first quarter due to increased liquidity and production normalization, with over 80% of Chinese refineries reportedly unprofitable [38][39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet and focus on operational excellence, with a commitment to safety and continuous improvement [7][10] - Alcoa is engaging with U.S. and Canadian governments to advocate for favorable trade policies and is focused on restarting the San Ciprian smelter under a joint venture [45][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs and their impact on operations, particularly the 25% tariff on Canadian aluminum [32][30] - The outlook for the second quarter includes expectations of unfavorable performance in the aluminum segment due to tariff costs and operating expenses related to the San Ciprian smelter restart [25][26] Other Important Information - The company completed a $1 billion debt offering to refinance existing debt, which is expected to lower interest expenses [10] - Cash flow activities showed a strong cash balance of $1.2 billion at the end of the first quarter, despite high working capital consumption typical for this period [15][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on tariff impacts - Management clarified that the $100 million negative impact from tariffs considers higher Midwest premiums and the overall cost of Canadian tariffs, while the $105 million figure is a quarterly estimate based on current pricing assumptions [54][55] Question: Engagement with government on tariffs - Management confirmed ongoing engagement with U.S. and Canadian governments, emphasizing the need for economic upstream aluminum production to support downstream jobs [63][64] Question: San Ciprian smelter restart and hedging strategy - Management indicated that the smelter losses would be heavier in 2025 due to restart inefficiencies, with hedging strategies in place to manage costs [76][78] Question: Impact of lower oil and input prices - Management noted that while some input prices are increasing, productivity initiatives are expected to offset these costs [89] Question: Working capital expectations - Management expects a significant drop in working capital throughout the year, particularly in the second quarter, as high pricing normalizes [93] Question: Future of aluminum production in China - Management expressed confidence that the Chinese industry would react quickly to economic pressures, potentially leading to curtailments in output [85] Question: Trade actions in the EU - Management stated that there is too much uncertainty regarding potential EU trade actions to speculate on impacts at this time [137]