AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 从近期英伟达遭到抛售，到甲骨文因报告AI支出激增而股价暴跌，再到围绕OpenAI相关公司的情绪恶 化，怀疑的迹象日益增加。展望2026年，投资者之间的争论焦点在于：是在潜在泡沫破裂前减少对AI 的敞口，还是加倍下注以从这一颠覆性技术中获利。 Callodine Capital Management首席执行官Jim Morrow表示："我们正处于周期的'见真章'阶段。故事讲得 很好，但现在我们都在下注，看看投资回报是否真的那么好。" 对AI交易的不安涉及其用途、巨大的开发成本，以及消费者最终是否会为这些服务买单。这些问题的 答案将对股市的未来产生重大影响。 标普500指数这波持续三年、规模达30万亿美元的牛市，主要由Alphabet和微软等全球最大的科技公 司，以及受益于AI基础设施支出的公司（如芯片制造商英伟达和博通，以及电力供应商星座能源）所 推动。如果它们停止上涨，股指也将紧随其后。 Value Point Capital负责人Sameer Bhasin表示："这些股票回调不是因为增长率下降，而是当增长率不再 加速时，它们就会回调。" 许多其他公司 ...

智通财经APP注意到，上周五股市收盘下跌，科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌约1.7%，而蓝筹股道 琼斯工业平均指数和基准标普500指数分别下跌0.5%和1%。 本周来看，纳斯达克指数下跌约1.5%，而道琼斯指数上涨超过1%。标普500指数本周下跌0.6%，但在周 四收于历史新高。 在美联储再次降息25个基点之后，市场关注点可能转向接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔下一任美联储主席的人选变 动，特朗普认为凯文·哈塞特或凯文·沃什中的一人将被任命。本周的经济日程也将继续消化政府停摆所 积压的延迟数据，其中11月份就业报告定于周二发布，11月份通胀数据将于周四早上公布。 在企业界，美光(MU.US)将于周三公布季度业绩，而投资者将在周四迎来埃森哲(ACN.US)、耐克 (NKE.US)、联邦快递(FDX.US)以及Olive Garden母公司达登餐厅(DRI.US)的业绩报告。 两位凯文 联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)周三的四分之一个百分点降息标志着2025年第三次降息，也是委员会今年 最具分歧的一次，有三名委员对该决定持不同意见，且分歧方向不一。 现在，市场关注点转向了2026年降息的可能性——美联储预计只降息一次——以及围绕 ...

2026年，我们的行业配置将紧紧围绕以上两条核心线索，具体如下： 科技与安全：AI能力闭环，资源能源安全与前沿产业创新发展 AI产业趋势角度，看好国产算力及芯片制造产业链，关注AI电力建设、AI眼镜新品、人形机器人和ToB 端AI应用 资源安全与能源安全层面，关注战略资源品重估与新型能源体系建设。关注铜、铝、锡等基本金属、供 需格局较好的钴、钨、稀土、铬小金属、储能、 绿色氢氨醇等新能源发展及固态电池、钙钛矿、核能 等未来能源方向 改革与增长：供给侧反内卷与需求侧促消费 来源：东吴证券股份有限公司 行业配置两条主线——科技与安全、改革与增长 2026年行业配置视角要更加"以我为主"，通过科技自立自强巩固国家安全，全面深化改革增强内生增长 韧性，"集中力量办好自己的事"是发展的重中之重： 一方面，突破产业围堵和技术封锁，即通过技术攻关、科技创新在AI革命中掌握主动权，提升产业链 安全水平、实现核心环节自主可控 另一方面，降低经济增长对美国及其战略盟友的依赖水平，即更加重视经济内循环韧性、打破内需生长 的堵点卡点，并重视多边对外开放布局、多元化培养外部需求 风险提示 海外降息节奏及特朗普政府对华政策不确定性风险： ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Overseas, the Fed's guidance on 2026 interest - rate cut expectations affects tech - stock valuations. Compared with the potential tightening of the ECB and BOJ, the Fed remains dovish, pressuring the US dollar. The Trump administration's 2025 "US National Security Strategy" may lead to a power vacuum in some regions, causing countries to increase defense spending and reshaping the geopolitical landscape. The report continues to be bullish on gold and US Treasuries [1][39] - Domestically, the equity market is oscillating, and risk appetite is generally low at the end of the year. The market has difficulty forming a consensus. Convertible bonds, with an additional option value, present a configuration window at the end of the year and beginning of the next year in sectors with large expectation gaps [1][40] - The top ten high - rated, medium - low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Hope Convertible Bond, Liqun Convertible Bond, Eagle 19 Convertible Bond, etc. [1][41] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Weekly Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Rise - From December 8 to 12, 2025, the equity market generally rose. The average daily trading volume of the two markets increased from about 8105.49 billion yuan to 24948.34 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 48.12% [6][10] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.34% to 3889.35 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.84% to 13258.33 points, the ChiNext Index rose 2.74% to 3194.36 points, and the CSI 300 fell 0.08% to 4580.95 points [6] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 8 industries closed up, with 3 industries rising more than 2%. Communication, national defense and military industry, electronics, machinery equipment, and power equipment led the gains, while coal, petroleum and petrochemicals, steel, textile and apparel, and basic chemicals led the losses [14] 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise - From December 8 to 12, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.20%. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 11 industries closed up, with 4 industries rising more than 2%. National defense and military industry, building materials, electronics, communication, and automobile led the gains, while coal, basic chemicals, social services, commercial and retail trade, and non - ferrous metals led the losses [16] - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 606.37 billion yuan, a significant increase of 68.36 billion yuan, a 12.71% week - on - week change. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume were Zai 22 Convertible Bond, Furong Convertible Bond, etc. [16] - Approximately 35.77% of individual convertible bonds rose, about 16.88% rose in the 0 - 1% range, and 14.61% rose more than 2% [16] - The overall market conversion premium rate rose, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 42.34%, a 1.49 - percentage - point increase from the previous week. Different price and parity intervals showed different trends [22] 1.3 Stock - Bond Market Sentiment Comparison - The trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better this week. The weighted average and median of convertible bond price changes were positive and negative respectively, while those of the underlying stocks were both negative. The trading volume of both the underlying stocks and convertible bonds increased significantly, with the underlying stocks having a larger increase and a higher quantile level [36] - On different trading days, the trading sentiment of the stock and convertible bond markets alternated. For example, on December 8, the trading sentiment of the stock market was better, while on December 9, the trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better [37] 2. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - Overseas, continue to be bullish on gold and US Treasuries due to the Fed's stance and the US national security strategy [1][39] - Domestically, for convertible bonds, there are configuration opportunities at the end of the year and beginning of the next year in three sectors: AI edge - side, especially consumer electronics; upstream targets such as chip manufacturing and key substrates; and power transmission and distribution equipment [1][40]

2017年诞生于广州黄埔的粤芯，肩负着填补粤港澳大湾区12英寸晶圆制造的产业空白的重任。在半导体产业"缺芯"浪 潮中，这家企业以惊人的"广州速度"实现突破：2018年3月打桩建设，2019年9月便完成工艺开发并启动量产，仅用18 个月就走完了传统晶圆厂数年才能完成的建设周期，彻底改写了广州"有电子产业无芯片制造"的历史。 如今， 粤芯 已建成区域产能最大的12英寸芯片生产平台，一期、二期项目实现合计月产8万片晶圆的量产能力，三期 投产后总产能将进一步提升至12万片/月，为物联网、汽车电子、工业控制等关键领域提供核心支撑。 近日，证监会IPO辅导公示系统公告，被誉为"广州第一芯"的粤芯半导体技术股份有限公司已联合辅导券商广发证券 向广东证监局提交《辅导工作完成报告》，正式启动IPO辅导验收程序。从2025年4月24日提交辅导备案到如今进入验 收阶段，共计经历了7个多月。 作为广东半导体制造的"拓荒者"，粤芯的差异化发展路径构筑了独特竞争力。与聚焦先进制程的行业巨头不同，粤芯 深耕180-40nm成熟制程，专攻高压、车规等模拟芯片特色工艺，在细分领域形成了比肩行业的实力。其40nm车规芯片 不仅通过严苛的AEC- ...

[浮云]荷兰不体面，那我们就帮着荷兰体面，因为两个月前的"安世之乱"让在中华企战战兢兢，毕竟谁 也不知道下一个会不会轮到自己。 这个时候中企唯一能做的就是"断臂求生"，所以"打包甩卖"的戏码就在欧洲上演了，这可让荷兰难堪了 不少。 中企"断臂求生"的损失大吗？现在荷兰还有什么办法挽回中企吗？ 这给卖掉的这个主角——Fosber集团，绝非是一个仅仅能带来流水的普通子公司，在瓦楞纸板生产设备 这个垂直领域，它甚至可以被称为全球范围内的"隐形君王"。每当我们在北美市场看到崭新的高端生产 线，其中有一半以上都流淌着这家企业的工业血液。 放眼整个地球，每三台正在运转的高端瓦楞纸板设备，就有一台出自Fosber之手。时光倒流回十年前的 2014年，东方精工手里拿着7400万欧元，不仅要把Fosber娶进门，还要逐步实现100%的全资控股。 这在当时的业界被形象地比喻为"蛇吞象"，没人能想到这笔收购会如此成功，十年间，这头"象"被调教 成了产奶的"金牛"。 到了2023年，Fosber已经凭借一己之力扛起了东方精工近7成的营收大旗，哪怕是到了交易前夕的2024 年，其净利润还保持着惊人增速，手里的订单多到工厂不得不连轴转。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, is recognized as the Financial Times Person of the Year for his pivotal role in the AI revolution and the significant investment plans that support the U.S. economy and stock market [3][4]. Group 1: Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia is currently the highest-valued company globally, having briefly surpassed a market capitalization of $5 trillion this year, with a current valuation of $4.4 trillion [4]. - Huang's personal net worth is projected to exceed $160 billion by the end of 2025, placing him among the top ten wealthiest individuals globally [4]. Group 2: AI and Chip Manufacturing - Nvidia's leading position in AI chip manufacturing has shown remarkable resilience, even amidst competition from companies like Huawei and Google [5]. - The demand for AI is driving a significant increase in data center construction, contributing substantially to U.S. GDP growth, with Nvidia being a major supplier of AI chips [5][6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Huang has invested billions into other AI companies, which some critics view as a potential conflict of interest, but he argues that these investments are too small to significantly impact overall demand [6][7]. - Nvidia has committed to investing up to $100 billion in OpenAI over the coming years, despite growing concerns about an AI bubble [6][7]. Group 4: Leadership and Management Style - Huang's leadership style is characterized by a flat organizational structure, with 50 to 60 executives reporting directly to him, fostering a culture of resilience and collaboration [13][15]. - He is known for his intense focus on work, stating that his life revolves around family and work, with no hobbies [13][15]. Group 5: Vision for AI - Huang views the next phase of AI as an engineering challenge, focusing on how to adapt technologies like ChatGPT for broader applications across various industries [17][18]. - He dismisses both dystopian and overly optimistic views of AI, emphasizing a pragmatic approach to its development and application [17][18].

【导读】AI交易崩了，甲骨文崩完，博通也崩了 大家好，今晚继续关注海外市场的表现，美国继续上演冰火两重天，道琼斯指数盘中创新高，而科技股为主的纳斯达克指数，则下跌。 一起看看发生了什么事情。 AI交易崩了 12月12日晚间，美股三大指数下跌，道琼斯指数盘中一度创历史新高，投资者继续从科技股撤出资金，转而加码市场中偏"价值"的板块。纳指 跌超1%。 对人工智能热潮的担忧再度加剧，科技股承压。继甲骨文股价周四暴跌后，博通股价也成为关注焦点，跌幅约为10%。 | 2.00 | 今开:379.96 | | --- | --- | | 3.26 | 昨收:406.37 | | : 414.61 | 量比: 5.71 | | : 138.10 | 委比: -77.78% | | : 4.90 | 股息(TTM): 2.35 | | 产： 17.21 | 股息率(TTM): 0.58% | | . | Beta: -- | | 成交量: 3348.66万股 | 换手:0.71% | | --- | --- | | 成交额：124.50亿 | 振幅:4.61% | | 市盈率(TTM): 74.41 | 市净率：21.17 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a divergence, with the Dow Jones index reaching a record high while the tech-heavy Nasdaq index is declining, down over 1% [4][5] - Concerns regarding the AI trading sector are intensifying, leading to a sell-off in technology stocks [5] Group 2: Company Performance - Broadcom's stock fell approximately 10% despite reporting a record fourth-quarter revenue of $18.02 billion and a profit of $8.518 billion, exceeding analyst expectations [7] - The CEO of Broadcom indicated that the gross margin for rapidly growing AI revenue is lower than that of non-AI revenue, which disappointed investors [7] - Fermi's stock plummeted 40% after a tenant terminated a $150 million agreement related to an AI campus project, raising concerns about potential bubbles in AI-related infrastructure [8] Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the strong performance of the Dow indicates a potential market trend shift, where gains may spread beyond a few large-cap stocks [13] - There is a belief that 2026 will be a pivotal year for market leadership to diversify, prompting a shift in investment strategies [13][14]

北京时间12月12日晚，美股周五早盘走势分化。道指再创盘中新高，纳指与标普500指数走低。市场关 注板块轮动迹象。美联储鲍尔森称有进一步降息的空间。美联储施密德解释本周反对降息25基点是因为 通胀"过高"。 道指涨103.31点，涨幅为0.21%，报48807.32点；纳指跌117.83点，跌幅为0.50%，报23476.03点；标普 500指数跌19.17点，跌幅为0.28%，报6881.83点。 周五早盘，道指最高上涨至48886.86点，创盘中历史新高。 芯片制造商博通（Broadcom）股价大跌，尽管其第四季度业绩超出预期，并对本季度给出了强劲的预 测，称人工智能芯片销售额有望翻倍。 运动服饰零售商露露乐檬（Lululemon）股价跳涨，此前该公司宣布其首席执行官将于1月底卸任。该股 今年表现不佳，年初至今已下跌超过50%。 周四投资者涌入被认为对经济更为敏感的周期性股票，同时从与人工智能（AI）交易相关的成长型股 票中获利了结。这一轮调仓发生在美联储周三今年第三次降息之后。 在前一交易日，道指和标普500指数均收于纪录高位，而纳斯达克综合指数则下跌0.3%收市，因 Alphabet和英伟达（Nvid ...