OPEN项目于2023年由五角大楼下属的国防高级研究计划局（Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency，DARPA）启动，目标是在综合劳动力、加工及其他成本后，计算关键金属的合理价格。该举 措显示出政府希望更直接介入并引导市场定价，但外界仍对AI能否真正改变关键矿产交易模式持审慎 态度。 据悉，特朗普政府官员最初将把OPEN的AI定价模型用于至少四种关键矿产，包括锗、镓、锑和钨，随 后再扩展至其他品种。标普全球（SPGI.N）和芬兰数据公司Rovjok将为该项目提供数据和技术支持。 该AI模型旨在通过提高价格确定性，促进矿商与制造商之间的长期供应协议。但如果AI设定的参考价 格得到贸易集团和关税机制的支持，可能在提高部分矿业项目盈利能力的同时，也推高下游制造业的成 本。目前尚不清楚这些价格是固定还是浮动，也不明确其适用范围及具体实施时间表，相关方案仍有待 更多盟友加入后才能落地。 与此同时，特朗普政府正加快在其他领域部署AI工具，包括通过与OpenAI、Anthropic以及Alphabet旗下 谷歌（GOOGL.O）的合作，将生成式AI用于军事场景。 另外，据路透社周 ...

【钇和钪两类稀土元素严重短缺 部分美国航天与半导体供应商已"无力接单"】财联社2月27日电，据行业知情人士 对媒体透露，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商当前正面临日益严重的稀土短缺。 短缺主要集中在钇和钪这两类稀土元素上。 其中的一个关键痛点是钇——其被用于防止发动机和涡轮机在高温下熔化的涂层。 其中的一个关键痛点是钇——其被用于防止发动机和涡轮机在高温下熔化的涂层。 如果没有定期涂抹这些涂层，发动机便无法运行。 自去年11月以来，国际市场上钇价已累计上涨了约60%，目前的价格约是一年前的69倍。 根据部分美企高管和贸易商的说法，一些涂层制造商现在也已开始实行材料配给。 两家购买钇以制造涂层的北美公司高管表示，由于钇短缺，他们不得不暂时停产。 研究机构SemiAnalysis的创始人兼首席执行官Dylan Patel表示，除了钇之外，美国半导体制造商所需的钪也即将耗 尽。 如果没有定期涂抹这些涂层，发动机便无法运行。 自去年11月以来，国际市场 【钇和钪两类稀土元素严重短缺 部分美国航天与半导体供应商已"无力接单"】财联社2月27日电，据行业知情人士 对媒体透露，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商当前正面临日益 ...

钇是核心痛点之一，它被用于制造耐高温涂层，防止发动机和涡轮在高温下熔化——若无法定期使用这 类涂层，发动机将无法正常运行。 自媒体去年11月首次报道钇短缺问题以来，其价格已飙升60%，目前约为一年前的69倍。据企业高管与 交易商透露，部分涂层制造商已开始对原材料实行配给制。 两家采购钇用于生产涂层的北美企业高管向媒体表示，由于供应短缺，他们已不得不暂时停产。其中一 家为了保障大型客户（包括部分发动机制造商）的供应，目前正在拒绝小型及海外客户的订单。 据一位知情消息人士透露，涂层供应链上的另一家企业近期已耗尽原料，停止销售含氧化钇的产品。 业内消息人士透露，美国航空航天与半导体企业的供应商正面临愈发严重的稀土短缺问题，已有两家供 应商拒绝了部分客户的订单。 此次短缺集中在钇、钪等稀土元素上。这两种元素是17种稀土元素中的小众品类，虽用量微小，但在国 防科技、航空航天及半导体领域发挥着至关重要的作用，且全球供应几乎完全依赖中国。 尽管钇和钪的短缺尚未对喷气发动机或芯片的生产造成影响，但一名美国政府官员对路透社表示，部分 美国制造商目前正面临稀土短缺。 生产压力 航空航天供应链专家Kevin Michaels表示， ...

新华财经北京2月27日电本月的最后一个交易日，A股三大指数收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，沪指涨 0.39%，报4162.88点；深证成指跌0.06%，报14495.09点；创业板指跌1.04%，报3310.30点。沪深京三市 成交额达到2.51万亿元，较上一交易日小幅缩量504亿元。 沪指本月累计涨1.09%，月线斩获3连阳，深成指累计涨2.04%，创业板指累计跌1.08%。 板块方面，小金属、稀土、贵金属、能源金属、有色金属、煤炭、电力板块涨幅居前；玻璃玻纤、元 件、电子化学品板块跌幅居前。 盘面热点 央行：将远期售汇业务的外汇风险准备金率从20%下调至0 央行公告称，为促进外汇市场发展，支持企业管理好汇率风险，中国人民银行决定自2026年3月2日起， 将远期售汇业务的外汇风险准备金率从20%下调至0。下一步，中国人民银行将继续引导金融机构优化 对企业汇率避险服务，保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。 钇和钪两类稀土元素严重短缺部分美国航天与半导体供应商已"无力接单" 据智通财经报道，行业知情人士对媒体透露，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商当前正面临日益严重 的稀土短缺。短缺主要集中在钇和钪这两类稀土元素上 ...

【钇和钪两类稀土元素严重短缺 部分美国航天与半导体供应商已"无力接单"】智通财经2月27日电，据 行业知情人士对媒体透露，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商当前正面临日益严重的稀土短缺。短缺 主要集中在钇和钪这两类稀土元素上。其中的一个关键痛点是钇——其被用于防止发动机和涡轮机在高 温下熔化的涂层。如果没有定期涂抹这些涂层，发动机便无法运行。自去年11月以来，国际市场上钇价 已累计上涨了约60%，目前的价格约是一年前的69倍。根据部分美企高管和贸易商的说法，一些涂层制 造商现在也已开始实行材料配给。两家购买钇以制造涂层的北美公司高管表示，由于钇短缺，他们不得 不暂时停产。研究机构SemiAnalysis的创始人兼首席执行官Dylan Patel表示，除了钇之外，美国半导体 制造商所需的钪也即将耗尽。Patel指出，美国主要的半导体制造商都依赖钪来制造芯片组件，这些组 件"基本上用于每一部5G智能手机和基站"。 转自：智通财经 ...

2月26日，据新浪财经等报道，美国航空航天和半导体公司的供应商面临日益严重的稀土短缺问题，两 家供应商已因此拒绝部分客户订单。短缺集中在钇和钪等小众稀土元素，其在国防技术、航空航天和半 导体领域作用关键。 航空航天供应链专家表示，钇供应短缺尚未影响喷气发动机生产，但制造商已深感担忧。半导体研究公 司SemiAnalysis创始人兼首席执行官Dylan Patel指出，美国半导体制造商的钪库存即将告罄，将危及下 一代5G芯片生产。另据媒体报道，自2025年11月首次报道钇短缺以来，钇价累计上涨60%，较一年前 暴涨约69倍。 中诚信国际表示，我国稀土行业已形成"南重北轻"双雄竞争格局，2025年4月对钐、钆、钇等7类中重稀 土实施出口管制，推动稀土价格波动上行，2026年轻重稀土价格走势将持续分化，镨钕市场维持紧平 衡。 头豹研究院指出，2025-2027年全球新能源车销量年均增长15-20%，持续拉动镨钕需求，预计2025-2026 年稀土价格指数在200-250点震荡上行，氧化镨钕价格中枢回升至60-80万元/吨。 北方稀土：公司是全球稀土行业龙头，依托集团拥有的白云鄂博采矿权获得稳定的稀土精矿供给。 大地 ...

Core Insights - The aerospace and semiconductor supply chain is facing a critical shortage of rare earth elements, particularly yttrium and scandium, which are essential for advanced manufacturing and defense technologies [1][4] Group 1: Yttrium - Yttrium is crucial for special coatings that prevent jet engines and industrial turbines from melting at extreme temperatures [3] - The price of yttrium has surged approximately 60% since the reported shortage began last year, now being nearly 70 times higher than a year ago [3] - Due to supply constraints, two North American companies producing high-temperature coatings have temporarily halted production, prioritizing large clients like engine manufacturers over smaller and overseas customers [3] Group 2: Scandium - The shortage of scandium raises concerns about potential disruptions in the production of next-generation 5G chips, as it is used in fuel cells, specialized aluminum alloys, and advanced chip manufacturing processes [4] - Major U.S. chip manufacturers rely on scandium for components in nearly every 5G smartphone and base station [4] - The U.S. currently lacks domestic scandium production and has no fully alternative supply sources, with estimates suggesting that existing inventories may last only a few months [4] Group 3: Broader Implications - The current supply squeeze highlights how limited export controls on niche minerals can impact high-value industries, with yttrium and scandium's absence potentially leading to billions of dollars in production line shutdowns [5] - Delays and uncertainties in export licensing can trigger price surges, supply rationing, and strategic anxiety among U.S. manufacturers [5] - The situation emphasizes that reliance on critical minerals is not just a trade issue but also a national security concern [5]

Core Insights - The shortage of rare earth elements, particularly yttrium and scandium, is severely impacting the aerospace and semiconductor supply chains in North America [1][2][3] - Yttrium prices have surged by 60% since the shortage was first reported, with a staggering increase of approximately 69 times compared to a year ago [1] - Major aerospace coating companies are prioritizing supply for large clients, leading to service refusals for smaller and overseas customers [1][2] Group 1: Aerospace Industry Impact - Two North American aerospace coating companies have been forced to temporarily halt production due to yttrium shortages [2] - Yttrium is essential for high-temperature thermal barrier coatings used in protecting aircraft engines and turbines [2] - The shortage has not yet directly affected the overall production of jet engines, but industry experts warn of potential risks due to increasing demand from Boeing and Airbus [2] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry Impact - Scandium, another critical rare earth element, is facing supply constraints, which poses risks for the production of next-generation 5G chips [1][3] - The U.S. currently has zero domestic production of scandium, and existing inventories may only last for a few months [1] - Major semiconductor manufacturers rely on scandium for components in nearly every 5G smartphone and base station [3]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell received a criminal subpoena due to budget overruns on office renovations, indicating potential political tensions regarding his monetary policy [1] - Concurrently, China has reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to levels not seen in over a decade, suggesting a strategic shift in financial relations [3] - The dynamics of economic decision-making have shifted from traditional market forces to geopolitical influences, with military and diplomatic leaders now playing a significant role in determining prices and resource allocation [4] Group 2 - The U.S. is stockpiling "war metals" such as cobalt, antimony, tantalum, and scandium, which are critical for modern weaponry, due to domestic shortages and reliance on foreign imports [6][8] - The U.S. Department of Defense is attempting to establish a rare earth reserve to reduce dependence on China, but faces significant technological and cost challenges [11][12] - The market for rare earths is manipulated, with prices kept low to prevent new entrants, benefiting companies like MP Materials that have secured government contracts at favorable rates [16][19] Group 3 - The imposition of tariffs on Chinese permanent magnets is intended to protect U.S. manufacturing, but it creates a cost burden on American companies that cannot produce these components in the short term [20][21] - The current geopolitical climate resembles the Cold War era, where resource prices are driven by military competition rather than industrial demand [24][25] - The global supply chain is evolving into a strategic battleground, with countries leveraging their resources as hard currency and imposing export taxes [30] Group 4 - The overarching logic of great power competition has shifted from profitability and efficiency to control over resources and strategic assets [33] - The current environment emphasizes security and self-sufficiency over cooperation, marking the beginning of a new era in international relations [33]

Summary of Conference Call on Metal and Resource Market Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal market is expected to maintain strong growth in 2026, with a baseline increase of 30% to 50% driven by both EPS and PE improvements. The current non-ferrous metal index still has room for growth [1][3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended investment order: 1. Gold 2. Silver 3. Tin 4. Minor metals (Tungsten, Uranium) 5. Basic industrial metals (Copper, Aluminum) - Precious metals are preferred due to their price increase trends and PE expansion potential. Minor metals show good price elasticity, while basic industrial metals have long-term value [1][5] Gold Market Insights - Current gold price is $1,150 per ounce, with an upward trend expected to continue due to geopolitical factors driving safe-haven demand. Related companies have a PE of only 12-13 times, indicating significant investment potential [1][6] - The gold industry is projected to see a PE increase to at least 15 times, suggesting further upside [6][24] Silver Market Insights - Silver price is nearing $30,000 per ton, with significant growth potential. Companies like Shengda Resources show promising prospects. The silver market is expected to present substantial investment opportunities in the next couple of years, potentially reaching ten times the current price by 2027 [1][7][9] Tin Market Challenges and Projections - The tin market faces supply concentration risks, particularly in Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of Congo. The semiconductor industry's rapid growth is creating a supply gap. Tin prices are expected to reach 450,000 yuan by 2027, with related companies' PE potentially reaching 18 to 20 times [1][10] Tungsten Market Dynamics - China controls a significant portion of global tungsten supply, with stable demand from military and nuclear sectors. A global tungsten shortfall exceeding 5% is anticipated from 2026 to 2027, with prices expected to rise to 600,000 yuan [1][11] Copper Market Challenges - The copper market is facing headwinds from high inventories and geopolitical factors. Current copper prices are fluctuating around 100,000 yuan, with a potential decrease in volatility. Companies like Zijin Mining have a market cap of 1 trillion yuan, corresponding to a PE of 16 times, indicating safety in holding or increasing positions [1][4][14] Aluminum Market Overview - The aluminum market is experiencing price increases, currently ranging from 24,000 to 25,000 yuan, with potential to stabilize above 25,000 yuan. Companies like China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum are highlighted for their growth potential [1][15][16] Lithium Market Outlook - The lithium market is seeing strong consumption growth, but supply is not keeping pace, leading to sustained high prices. Regulatory risks are present, but the overall trend remains bullish [1][12] Minor Metals Investment Opportunities - Minor metals like Rhenium and Uranium are highlighted for their investment potential, with Rhenium primarily used in aerospace and Uranium seeing increasing demand in nuclear power [1][13] Conclusion - The overall outlook for the non-ferrous metal market is positive, with various segments showing strong growth potential. Investment strategies should focus on precious metals and minor metals, while being cautious of supply risks in industrial metals.