我们预测公司25-27 年归母净利润分别为41/52/63 亿元（原25-27 年预测分别为39/48/58 亿元，主要上调 PC、数据中心等业务收入预测），根据可比公司26 年21倍PE 估值，对应目标价为107.73 元。 风险提示 终端需求不及预期风险、贸易环境变动风险、其他收益占比过高风险。 消费电子基本盘稳固，短期行业扰动不改公司向上趋势。近期部分投资者担心存储涨价将传导至终端消 费者，进而引发市场对终端销量以及存储外其他供应链环节盈利能力的担忧。我们认为公司主要客户均 为国内外头部品牌，其与上游核心供应商通常都会签署长期协议,锁定价格与库存，且从商业模式来 看，ODM行业存储均采用客供料形式，存储、OLED 屏或主控等相关客供料环节涨价不会挤占公司盈 利能力。从出货量维度，一方面整个行业ODM 渗透率不断提升，另一方面头部ODM 厂商的市场份额 将继续提升，因此我们认为公司手机ODM出货量仍有望维持增长。同时公司智能穿戴、AIOT 等业务高 速增长， 25 年前三季度公司AIOT 收入55 亿元，同比增长73%，各类海外客户合作的智能家居产品、 XR、游戏机产品等持续放量，公司消费电子基本盘稳固。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" with a target price of 107.73 CNY [7][12]. Core Insights - The company's financial stability is supported by diverse business segments driving growth, with a significant increase in revenue projections for PC and data center businesses [3][11]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 41 billion, 52 billion, and 63 billion CNY respectively, reflecting an upward revision from previous estimates [3][12]. - The company is expected to maintain growth in its ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) business, particularly in the smartphone and PC sectors, with a notable increase in shipments and revenue [11][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 85,338 million CNY, 109,878 million CNY, 158,374 million CNY, 194,316 million CNY, and 233,809 million CNY, with growth rates of -7.9%, 28.8%, 44.1%, 22.7%, and 20.3% respectively [5][14]. - The operating profit is projected to grow from 2,831 million CNY in 2023A to 6,978 million CNY in 2027E, with corresponding growth rates of 1.0%, 6.7%, 49.7%, 28.0%, and 20.5% [5][14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 2,707 million CNY in 2023A to 6,280 million CNY in 2027E, with growth rates of 5.6%, 8.1%, 39.2%, 28.0%, and 20.5% [5][14]. Business Performance - The company has a strong foothold in the consumer electronics sector, with a solid base that is expected to withstand short-term industry fluctuations [11]. - The PC ODM business is projected to see significant growth, with an expected revenue of over 300 billion CNY in 2025 and a shipment target of 1.8 million units [11]. - The data center business is anticipated to achieve over 40 billion CNY in revenue for 2025, with continued growth expected in AI servers and general servers [11].

纳斯达克综合指数昨日下跌0.8%，呈现相似走势。亚太股市隔夜亦跟随下挫，日本日经225指数重挫逾3.0%，中日地缘政治紧张局势为市场增添新的不确定 性。截至发稿时，欧美股指期货同样呈现下跌态势。 标普500指数周一延续回调走势，下跌近1.0%，收盘跌破50日均线6707点，创今年5月以来首次。尽管出现若干看跌技术信号，但自历史高点回落幅度仅约 6.0%，回调幅度有限，长期趋势仍保持完整。 鉴于美联储对就业市场的担忧，周四延迟发布的9月就业报告将为投资者提供判断美联储政策前景的关键线索。市场目前仅预期12月会议降息10个基点（概 率40%），且到2026年底累计降息幅度为85个基点。 TradeMax前瞻：英国通胀与英伟达时刻 今日经济日历一级数据有限。但周三将迎来关键时刻：英国10月CPI通胀数据即将发布，而本周焦点无疑集中在英伟达(NVDA)第三季度财报上。 除非英国数据出现显著上行惊喜，且鉴于英国GDP数据疲软，我预计英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利下月将转变立场，投票支持将基准利率从4.00%下调25个基点 至3.75%。 英伟达财报风险高企，高估值与人工智能支出前景成市场焦点。分析师预计其调整后每股收益为1. ...

Core Viewpoint - The global AI computing power investment is expected to drive high growth in the optical communication sector's net profit attributable to the parent company in Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] Group 1: Optical Communication Sector - The optical communication sector is anticipated to continue high growth in net profit due to increased investment in AI computing power [1] - Demand for hollow-core optical fibers, submarine cables, and DCI (Data Center Interconnect) is noteworthy [1] Group 2: Telecommunications Operators - The telecommunications operator sector is expected to maintain steady growth [1] - The development of AI applications is bringing new growth momentum to cloud computing and data center businesses for telecom operators [1] Group 3: ICT Equipment and IDC - The ICT equipment and IDC sectors are likely to benefit from the capital expenditure growth of internet giants [1] Group 4: Copper Connection Sector - The copper connection sector is set to realize growth as production capacity is released [1] Group 5: Market Trends - The optical module market is expected to maintain high prosperity due to ongoing investments in domestic and international computing infrastructure [1] - As of October 28, the communication ETF (515880) has a 52% allocation to optical modules and a 22% allocation to servers, with optical fibers and copper connections combined exceeding 81% [1]

美银认为"AI泡沫论"对芯片股是真利好，因为市场的普遍怀疑情绪能防止赛道过度拥挤，有助于市场冷静，确保更健康的持久回报。英伟达估值仅24倍 市盈率却保持50%营收增长，股价未反映真实增长潜力，存在显著低估。 对于近期的"AI泡沫论"，美银提出了鲜明的逆向观点：对芯片股是"反向利好"，有助于防止过度拥挤。英伟达存在显著低估，因为股价没有反映真实的 增长潜力。 该行认为，近期AI芯片股的波动主要源于可修正的宏观因素，而非AI支出周期的基本面恶化。事实上，从AI配套产业的强劲表现及英伟达的乐观展望来 看，底层需求依旧坚实。 美银称，对OpenAI宏大计划的质疑更是以偏概全，忽略了真正驱动AI投资的是大型科技巨头的防御性战略。尤其值得关注的是，作为行业龙头的英伟 达，其当前股价并未反映其真实的增长潜力，存在显著的低估。 AI怀疑论：一个健康的"逆向积极"信号 尽管上周大型AI半导体股票平均下跌了7-8%，但美银认为，这并非AI支出周期出现问题的信号。相反，股价波动更多是由宏观因素驱动，例如对美国 政府停摆的担忧、疲软的就业数据、关税动荡以及对OpenAI评论的误读。这些都是可修正的短期噪音，而非基本面利空。 真正的基 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided content, but the AHP score is 1.66, placing it in the 22.3% percentile, indicating a mid-to-lower tier position in the non-innovation system AHP model [3][9]. Core Insights - The company focuses on digitalization in the power energy sector, with three main business areas: digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure. It has established partnerships with leading clients across various industries, including state-owned enterprises [3][10]. - The digital energy market in China is expected to reach a scale of 370 billion yuan by 2025, growing at a rate of 17.46% year-on-year, driven by increasing power demand and energy structure transformation [3][15]. - The company has developed advanced technologies, including proprietary AI-driven systems and specialized hardware, positioning itself to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the energy sector [3][16]. Summary by Sections 1. AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratios - The AHP score for the company is 1.66, with expected allocation ratios for offline investors being 0.0227% for Class A and 0.0200% for Class B under a neutral scenario [9][10]. 2. Fundamental Highlights and Features - The company operates in three main business areas: digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure, with a comprehensive product matrix covering key areas of the power system [10][11]. - It has established collaborations with major clients, including State Grid and China Three Gorges Corporation, and is expanding into other sectors such as transportation and urban construction [11][12]. 3. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - The company’s revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is projected to be 56.86 billion yuan, 42.34 billion yuan, and 60.90 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 6.53 billion yuan, 3.77 billion yuan, and 5.70 billion yuan [19][20]. - The gross profit margins for the same years are 30.59%, 32.65%, and 30.06%, indicating a competitive position within its peer group [21][22]. 4. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise funds for six major projects, including the development of an intelligent digital twin platform and an advanced AI platform for the power industry, with expected internal rates of return ranging from 18.58% to 21.16% [32][34].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Neutral" to the company, with an AHP score of 1.66, placing it in the 22.3% percentile of the non-technology innovation system [3][7]. Core Insights - The company, South Network Digital, focuses on digitalization in the power energy sector, offering a comprehensive range of services including digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure [3][9]. - The digital energy market in China is projected to reach a scale of 370 billion yuan by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.46%, indicating significant market opportunities for the company [13][14]. - The company has established partnerships with major state-owned enterprises and industry leaders, enhancing its market position and growth potential [9][15]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - The AHP score for South Network Digital, after excluding liquidity premium factors, is 1.66, indicating a mid-to-low tier position in the market [3][7]. - The expected allocation ratios for offline investors A and B are 0.0227% and 0.0200%, respectively, under a neutral scenario [8]. Fundamental Highlights and Features - South Network Digital operates in three main business areas: digital grid, enterprise digitalization, and digital infrastructure, leveraging AI and cloud technologies [9][10]. - The company has developed key technologies such as the "Fuxi" power control chip and the world's first micro intelligent current sensor, positioning itself as a leader in the digital transformation of the energy sector [14][15]. Financial Comparison with Peers - The company's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is projected to be 56.86 billion, 42.34 billion, and 60.90 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 6.53 billion, 3.77 billion, and 5.70 billion yuan [16][19]. - The gross profit margins for the same years are 30.59%, 32.65%, and 30.06%, placing the company in the middle tier compared to its peers [19][21]. - The operating cash flow for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is expected to be 5.13 billion, 24.94 billion, and 13.64 billion yuan, indicating a strong cash flow position [24][25]. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise funds for six major projects, including the construction of an intelligent digital transformation platform and an advanced AI platform for the power industry [29][30]. - The expected internal rates of return for these projects range from 18.58% to 21.16%, demonstrating the potential for profitable investments [31].

Core Insights - The company reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving revenue of 128.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.099 billion yuan, up 51.17% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 44.943 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.75% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8.17% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 1.210 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 59.46% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.53% [1] - The company's gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 8.17%, an increase of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year and 1.04 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Business Segments Growth - All four major business segments reported revenue growth exceeding 70% year-on-year [1] - The smart terminal business saw revenue growth of 84.4% year-on-year, while the high-performance computing segment grew by 70% [1] - The AIoT and other businesses experienced a revenue increase of 72.9%, and the automotive and industrial products segment grew by 77.1% [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The smart terminal business is expected to achieve a smartphone shipment growth rate exceeding 30% in 2025, benefiting from increased ODM penetration and market share gains among leading ODM manufacturers [2] - The data center business is projected to maintain double-digit revenue growth, with expectations of exceeding 40 billion yuan in revenue for the year [2] - The automotive electronics segment is anticipated to surpass 1 billion yuan in revenue for the first time this year, with continued investment in this area [2] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 4.006 billion yuan, 4.940 billion yuan, and 5.987 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.94, 4.86, and 5.89 yuan [2] - The projected PE ratios for the same years are 25.8, 20.9, and 17.3 times [2]

Core Insights - The company, Lian Technology, ranks 26th in the "Top 30 Computing Power Centers" list published by Deben Consulting, indicating its growing presence in the computing power sector [1] - Lian Technology is focusing on building a comprehensive computing power network across key regions in China, leveraging its AI computing power parks in Southwest China and Guangzhou [1] Company Strategy - The company is developing a "computing power + algorithm + application" ecosystem to enhance its innovative applications in the computing power sector [1] - Lian Technology aims to efficiently allocate computing resources by integrating regional systems and resource reuse, contributing to the national integrated computing power network [1] Future Plans - The company plans to expand its data center operations in major urban areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Hangzhou Bay, the Greater Bay Area, Chengdu-Chongqing, Wuhan, and Xinjiang, capitalizing on its strengths in the IDC sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for A-shares and a "Buy" rating for H-shares with target prices of RMB 7.56 and HKD 15.57 respectively [6][12]. Core Views - The company has shown improvement in operational efficiency and is accelerating its digital transformation, benefiting from the growth in AI applications which enhance revenue from cloud computing and data center services [1][5]. - Traditional business segments remain stable with a positive growth trend, as evidenced by the increase in mobile users to 356 million and broadband users to 129 million [2]. - The company is enhancing its network capabilities, with cloud revenue growing by 20.6% year-on-year and data center revenue increasing by 8.9% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 292.99 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 8.772 billion, up 5.20% [1][11]. - The third quarter alone saw revenue of RMB 92.78 billion, with a net profit of RMB 2.423 billion, reflecting a 5.4% increase year-on-year [1]. User Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company had 356 million mobile users, a net increase of 12.48 million, and 129 million broadband users, with a net increase of 6.79 million [2]. Network and Technology Development - The company is advancing its network from 5G to 5G-A and upgrading broadband from gigabit to 10-gigabit, which is expected to enhance user experience [3]. - The cloud business achieved revenue of RMB 52.9 billion, while the data center business generated RMB 21.4 billion, both showing strong growth [3]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.09 percentage points to 5.10%, and the net profit margin increased by 0.26 percentage points to 6.8% due to enhanced operational efficiency and cost control [4]. - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary, Unicom Smart Technology, for listing on the ChiNext board, which is expected to support its long-term growth strategy [4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in revenue and profit driven by the development of AI applications, maintaining profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at RMB 9.602 billion, RMB 10.124 billion, and RMB 10.643 billion respectively [5][10].