证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 璞泰来（603659） 2025 年业绩预告点评：负极盈利拐点已现， 多业务板块持续向好 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 15,340 | 13,448 | 14,855 | 19,473 | 23,569 | | 同比（%） | (0.80) | (12.33) | 10.46 | 31.09 | 21.03 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,912 | 1,191 | 2,389 | 3,098 | 4,023 | | 同比（%） | (38.42) | (37.72) | 100.65 | 29.67 | 29.88 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.89 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 1.45 | 1.88 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.76 | 49.38 | 24.61 | 18.98 | 14.61 | [Table_T ...

美国《纽约时报》1月19日文章，原题：美国痴迷石油，而中国电池很快将领军全球美国政府押注投资 者将会投入至少1000亿美元来重振衰败的石油产业，赌注是在未来几十年里，各国仍会希望从美国购买 石油，为汽车、卡车、船只和飞机提供动力。与此同时，中国政府正在大力推动用清洁电力替代石油。 中国科技企业正为一个由电动机而非高油耗发动机驱动的世界铺平道路。这是一种颇具21世纪特色的做 法，不仅要解决自身的能源问题，还要向其他国家出售电池和其他电动产品。 美国人在接受电动汽车方面行动迟缓，而中国家庭早已爱上了电动汽车。2025年，中国售出的新车中 54%要么是纯电动汽车，要么是插电式混合动力汽车。而且中国的电动汽车制造商正在不断创下纪录 ——无论是比亚迪的销量（去年其纯电动汽车销量首次超过特斯拉），还是小米的速度（其汽车在德国 纽博格林等主要赛道上屡破纪录）。这些汽车并非由石油驱动。 美国在这场竞争中脚步迟缓。从更广泛的角度来看，美国工业基地在电池和稀土磁铁方面的能力大多已 经弱化。美国那些生产无人机或其他新电力时代产品的公司，也落后于中国竞争对手。电气化需要涉足 建设发电厂和大规模制造这种复杂的领域，而这些正是中国的优势 ...

在市场风格转向价值板块的背景下，股东减持行为呈现出不同的特征。 贵金属和环氧丙烷板块有着实实在在的涨价预期和业绩兑现能力，电网设备在十五 五期间的4万亿投资也是明确的利好。 这些板块与缺乏业绩兑现预期的AI应用方向形成鲜明对比。 根据减持相关规定，控股股东和持股5%以上股东通过集中竞价交易减持股份，每90天不得超过公司总股本的1%。 西部黄金的减持比例正好达到这一上限。 减持计划需要提前15个交易日公告，给予市场充分的反应时间。 2026年1月以来，A股市场出现了多起股东减持案例。 1月19日，长盈精密公告称控股股东拟减持不超过1%股份。 同日，伟思医疗公告实控人一致行动人拟 减持不超过3%公司股份。 三达膜公告股东清源中国拟减持不超过3%公司股份。 昨晚，当A股市场结束一天的交易后，西部黄金发布了一则公告。 这家黄金龙头企业的控股股东新疆有色计划减持不超过911万股，占总股本的1%，预计套 现规模约为2.8亿元。 西部黄金的股价从2024年低点的8.83元，最高涨至36元，区间涨幅高达3倍，创出历史新高。 去年三季报显示，公司营收同比增长106.2%，净利润同比增长 168.04%。 业绩与股价双双飙升的局 ...

双方计划建立专项工作机制，确保合作高效推进。 恩捷股份在湿法隔膜、铝塑膜及硫化物电解质等领域具 备深厚的技术积累与量产能力。 恩捷股份将通过布局固态电池关键材料，进一步巩固其产业链地位，并为 恩力动力提供稳定的上游供应；恩力动力则有望借助材料端的支持，向市场推出更具竞争力的电池产品。 恩力动力 是一家专注于高比能固态电池技术研发与产业化的国家专精特新"小巨人"企业，深耕硫化物固态 电解质技术路线，在固态界面包覆、锂金属负极保护、超离子导体材料等关键技术上实现重要突破。 恩力动力 产品覆盖3.5Ah至100Ah规格，能量密度达270-600Wh/kg，可在-40℃至100℃环境下稳定运行。 其 电池已应用于机器人、无人机及高端电摩等领域，为前沿动力能源提供技术支撑。 /扫码加入行业交流群/ 硅碳、电芯、新能源汽车、低空经济、 人形机器人、工商业储能、超级电容器等产业同行❤️↓ 添加微信，请备注： 姓名-单位职位 2026.06.10 -> 06.12 上海新国际博览中心 | 3 800+ 200+ 企业参展 经济、消费电子、半导体、Al数据中心、 www.finexpo.xin 【DT新材料】 获悉，1月19日 ...

海博思创1月20日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量4.50万股，成交金额1160.42万元，大宗交易成交 价为257.87元。该笔交易的买方营业部为国信证券股份有限公司宁波分公司，卖方营业部为国信证券股 份有限公司宁波分公司。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生4笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为4608.64万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，海博思创今日收盘价为257.87元，下跌7.41%，日换手率为15.27%，成交额 为15.12亿元，全天主力资金净流出1.18亿元，近5日该股累计上涨17.18%，近5日资金合计净流出2.13亿 元。 1月20日海博思创大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 成交价格 | 相对当日收盘折 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万股） | （万元） | （元） | 溢价（%） | | | | 4.50 | 1160.42 | 257.87 | 0.00 | 国信证券股份有限公 | 国信证券股份有限公 | | | | | | 司宁波分公司 | 司宁波分公司 | （文章来源：证券时报网） 两融数据显 ...

Core Insights - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) market is experiencing significant growth, with major battery manufacturers aggressively purchasing LFP materials [1] - The total procurement of LFP materials by companies such as CATL, BYD, EVE Energy, Sunwoda, and Chuangneng New Energy has reached 6 million tons, with an order value exceeding 240 billion yuan [1] - There is a high demand for mid-to-high-end LFP products, leading to full-capacity operations at various companies including Longpan Technology, Wanrun New Energy, Fulian Precision, Fengyuan Co., and Rongbai Technology [1]

除此之外，晶核能源的全固态电池正极，所采用的材料是富锂锰基，而非高镍原材料，据李延涛介绍，富锂锰基作为正极材料，"能够将电芯能量密度提升 至800Wh/kg"。 36氪获悉，诞生于"星空计划"的全固态电池企业晶核能源，近日完成数千万元天使轮融资，本轮融资由追觅天空工场创投基金领投。 晶核能源是一家全固态电池电芯与系统解决方案供应商，其创始人兼CEO李延涛曾是中航锂电及吉利动力电池创始骨干成员。李延涛告诉36氪，这轮融资所 获得资金，将用于全固态电池技术商业化落地、核心团队人才引进，以及全球商业化版图快速拓展。 在新能源汽车领域，全固态电池因其高能量密度与安全冗余，长期被视为行业的圣杯。但宥于工艺复杂、成本高企，且核心技术长期未取得突破，全固态电 池至今未能实现大规模量产。 聚焦全固态电池行业痛点，晶核能源提出了自己的解决方案。全固态电池量产的最大掣肘，是固固界面阻抗问题。对此，李延涛表示，晶核能源研发了正负 极包覆技术，"在制备正负极材料时，在外面做一层硫化物包覆，这样一来，相同材料间的致密性会更好，其电导率较目前的全固态电池能够提升一个量 级"。晶核能源计划，"在2027年底，将全固态电池的充放电倍率提升至 ...

Core Viewpoint - The sodium-ion battery industry is experiencing a significant surge due to skyrocketing lithium carbonate prices, which have reached as high as 179,000 yuan/ton, prompting a shift towards sodium-ion technology as a cost-effective alternative [1][4][8]. Industry Overview - The sodium-ion battery industry is marked as the "year of industrialization" in 2026, with companies like CATL and BYD leading the charge alongside emerging players focused on sodium technology [2][5]. - As of 2025, China's sodium-ion battery shipments exceeded 3.7 GWh, indicating the industry's transition from laboratory to commercial viability [1]. Market Dynamics - The rising prices of lithium carbonate are driving inquiries from clients and investors, leading to increased production efforts in sodium-ion materials [2]. - The sodium-ion battery's economic viability becomes apparent when lithium carbonate prices exceed 130,000 to 150,000 yuan/ton, making it a competitive option for mid-range power and energy storage applications [4]. Technological and Production Challenges - The sodium-ion battery industry faces significant challenges, including production capacity bottlenecks and the need to improve performance metrics to match lithium batteries [10]. - Current sodium-ion batteries have energy densities ranging from 100 to 160 Wh/kg, while lithium iron phosphate batteries achieve 160 to 200 Wh/kg, highlighting the performance gap [10]. Supply Chain and Material Availability - The supply chain for sodium-ion batteries is still maturing, with key materials like hard carbon and electrolyte systems not yet reaching the stability of lithium battery supply chains [12]. - The fluctuation in lithium carbonate prices poses a risk to the cost advantage of sodium-ion batteries, as demonstrated by a recent drop of 8.99% in lithium futures [11]. Standardization Efforts - The establishment of a comprehensive standardization framework for sodium-ion batteries is underway, with multiple national and industry standards being developed to guide the industry [3][15]. - Current standards are insufficient, particularly in areas such as safety, performance requirements, and testing methods for specific sodium-ion products [14]. Future Outlook - The sodium-ion battery industry is seen as a complementary technology to lithium batteries, focusing on specific applications where its unique advantages can be leveraged [12][8]. - The ongoing development of standards and improved production capabilities will be crucial for the industry's growth and acceptance in the market [15].

Core Viewpoint - The market share of leading battery manufacturers CATL and BYD has declined in 2025, with a combined drop of nearly 5 percentage points compared to the previous year [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of domestic power batteries is projected to reach 769.7 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.4% [2]. - Among the total installed capacity, ternary batteries account for 144.1 GWh (18.7%) with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, while lithium iron phosphate batteries dominate with 625.3 GWh (81.2%) and a year-on-year growth of 52.9% [2]. - CATL leads the market with an installed capacity of 333.57 GWh, holding a market share of 43.42%, while BYD follows with 165.77 GWh and a market share of 21.58% [2][4]. Group 2: Market Share Changes - Both CATL and BYD experienced a decline in market share in 2025, with CATL down by 1.67 percentage points and BYD down by 3.17 percentage points, marking the largest declines among the top fifteen battery manufacturers [3][4]. - In contrast, the majority of second and third-tier battery manufacturers saw an increase in market share, indicating a competitive shift in the industry [5][6]. Group 3: Emerging Competitors - Guoxuan High-Tech recorded the highest market share growth among the top fifteen, achieving an installed capacity of 43.44 GWh and a market share increase of 1.07 percentage points [6][7]. - The rankings for the top five battery manufacturers remained unchanged, while the positions from sixth to fifteenth experienced significant reshuffling, with several new entrants making their debut [8][10]. - New companies like Jiyao Tongxing and Choneng New Energy have entered the top fifteen list, reflecting the growing trend of automakers developing their own battery solutions [11][14]. Group 4: Overall Industry Trends - The total production of power and other batteries in China reached 778.1 GWh in the previous year, with a year-on-year growth of 42.5% [15]. - The cumulative sales of power and energy storage batteries amounted to 1,700.5 GWh, with power batteries accounting for 1,200.9 GWh (70.6%) and energy storage batteries for 499.6 GWh (29.4%) [16]. - The export of power batteries reached 189.7 GWh, representing 62.2% of total exports, with a year-on-year growth of 41.9% [17].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the battery sector under pressure, as evidenced by the decline of the Battery 50 ETF (159796) by 2.55% after four consecutive days of gains, with a trading volume of 322 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) saw most of its constituent stocks decline, with significant drops including Sunshine Power down over 5%, and others like Xian Dao Intelligent and Multi-Fluorine down over 4% [3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the Battery 50 ETF include major players such as Sunshine Power and Ningde Times, with varying declines in their stock prices [4]. Group 2: Project Announcements - On January 19, China Energy Construction announced the procurement results for a 153 MW battery storage project in South Africa, with Sunshine Power winning the bid for a total project capacity of 742.22 MWh and a contract value of 528 million yuan (approximately 0.86 yuan/Wh) [5]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The battery sector is expected to recover due to multiple catalysts, including a surge in demand for energy storage, rising material prices, and accelerated solid-state battery technology [6]. - Global demand for large-scale energy storage is projected to exceed expectations, with a forecasted growth of over 60% by 2026, driven by various market factors including the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act [7]. - Prices of upstream raw materials have generally increased, with battery-grade lithium carbonate rising by 64.4% to 157,000 yuan/ton, and lithium hydroxide up by 77.51% to 150,000 yuan/ton as of January 16, 2026 [8]. Group 4: Technological Developments - The solid-state battery sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with significant policy support and market catalysts enhancing industry prospects [9]. - Major automotive manufacturers are accelerating the integration of solid-state batteries, with companies like FAW Hongqi and GAC Group making substantial progress towards mass production by 2027 [9]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is positioned to benefit significantly from the energy storage sector, with a storage component of 18.7%, and a solid-state battery component of 45%, indicating strong growth potential [10]. - The ETF's focus on energy storage and power batteries, along with its low management fee of 0.15% per year, makes it an attractive investment option for capturing opportunities in the battery sector [16].